Aside from backing a specific team to win the English Premier League title, you can also bet on whether a certain team will make the top four.
In this betting option, you have a little more freedom. You’re not betting on a team to clinch a specific position; the team that you select can be first, second, third, or fourth in the league, and you’ll still win your wager.
So, as long as the team is in the top four, regardless of the order, you’ll win your bet.
The Sky Blues, Manchester City, are usually the favorites since they have consistently finished in the top four in the past few years.
However, their odds are usually scant and there’s not a lot of value in backing them, especially in a futures market. The same goes for the likes of Chelsea, Manchester United, and Liverpool, who make up the bookies’ top-four favorites this season.
Backing outsiders like Leicester and Tottenham, who boast much greater value, may be a wiser choice for bettors who are looking for value in this market.
At the end of the 38-game season, the four teams with the most points make up the league’s top 4.
If two teams have an equal number of points, the following tiebreakers will be used—in this specific order—to separate tied teams:
While there’s no silverware for finishing in the top four, the teams that finish in these positions get to qualify for the UEFA Champions League, which is Europe’s top club competition. So there is still a lot at stake.
To no one’s surprise, last season’s top four are the bookies’ top-four favorites this season, in addition to being the title favorites.
But there are still some outsiders who could shake things up.
Manchester City – Since the 2010/11 season, the Citizens have always been in the top four. So the bookies’ trust isn’t at all misguided.
Man City are also the defending champions, so it’s highly unlikely that such a top team could fail to make the top four. Plus, Pep Guardiola has never finished outside the top four in his managerial career.
Chelsea – Chelsea almost missed out on the top four last season. They lost on the final day of the season but were extremely lucky because Leicester also lost their final day fixture.
This season, however, they are not only top-four favorites, but also title favorites. They are also the defending European champions, so a lot is expected from Thomas Tuchel’s team this season.
Liverpool – The 2019/20 Premier League champions looked like they were going to miss out on the top four last season, but the Reds rallied at the end of the season and were gifted with a third-place finish.
Their main worry last season was injuries, so if the team can avoid such injuries, then a top-four finish should be the least of Liverpool’s targets.
Jurgen Klopp has a great managerial record with Liverpool. Since joining the Reds, he’s managed to guide them to a top-four finish in all his full seasons.
Manchester United – Manchester United have been in and out of the top four in the last few seasons, but they finally look stable enough to compete with the League’s top contenders.
They finished 3rd in the 2019/20 season and bettered that by achieving a second-place finish last season.
Their squad has massively improved after they made several key signings. Jadon Sancho, Raphael Varane, and Cristiano Ronaldo all joined the Red Devils during the summer transfer window.
With such an elite squad, Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s men will definitely have their sights on the top four, and possibly even a title bid.
Tottenham – Spurs were once a common fixture in the top four. From 2015 to 2019, they consistently qualified for the UEFA Champions League. They even famously made the Champions League final back in 2019.
For the past few seasons, however, they’ve been off the pace. They finished 7th last season and didn’t even qualify for the Europa League and had to settle for the newly established UEFA Conference League.
They still have several positives to look forward to this season. Sharp-shooter Harry Kane chose to stay for at least one more season, and Nuno Espírito Santo is their new head coach.
So a top-four finish is definitely one of their main targets this season.
Leicester City – The Foxes haven’t made the top four since their historic title win. In the past two seasons, they’ve come agonizingly close to finishing in the top four.
However, due to final day defeats, they’ve had to settle for a fifth-place finish in consecutive seasons.
Arsenal – Arsenal finished 8th last season, just below their North London counterparts. So, for the first time in 25 years, they won’t take part in European football.
This may be a blessing in disguise as their main focus will now be on the league. The last time that Arsenal finished in the top four was in the 2015/16 season, so Mikel Arteta has a lot to do this season if he wants to return the Gunners to their former glory.
West Ham – The Hammers were last season’s surprise package. Under David Moyes, they were exciting to watch and almost made the top four.
They eventually finished sixth in the league and broke their Premier League points record, which earned them a spot in this season’s Europa League.
Everton – The Toffees haven’t finished in the top four since the 2004/05 season. That was the same season that their current manager, Rafael Benitez, led cross-town rivals Liverpool to European glory.
However, they have an exciting squad and an experienced manager who can guide them back to the top.
|Season||Top Four Teams|
|2020/21||Manchester City, Manchester United, Liverpool, Chelsea|
|2019/20||Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Chelsea|
|2018/19||Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea, Tottenham|
|2017/18||Manchester City, Manchester United, Tottenham, Liverpool|
|2016/17||Chelsea, Tottenham, Manchester City, Liverpool|
|2015/16||Leicester City, Arsenal, Tottenham, Manchester City,|
|2014/15||Chelsea, Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United|
|2013/14||Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal|
|2012/13||Manchester United, Manchester City, Chelsea, Arsenal|
|2011/12||Manchester City, Manchester United, Arsenal, Tottenham|
Betting on the EPL top 4 is extremely easy. All you have to do is follow this step-by-step guide: