2022 AFC South Betting Odds

The AFC South is never an easy division to figure out, and the events of 2021 didn’t really do anything to change that notion. The Tennessee Titans won the division for a second straight season and was the only of the four clubs to reach the postseason.

The division has more questions than answers. The Titans have Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry but lost A.J. Brown in a trade to the Eagles. The Colts are giving it a go with Matt Ryan after jettisoning Carson Wentz following a late-season collapse.

The Texans surprised in a good way last season but are still rebuilding with Davis Mills at QB. The Jags have yet another new coach, but at least this one has had NFL success before.

One thing is for sure, and that’s the AFC South will be one of the more interesting divisions in football, especially at the top. Below, we’ll get to our AFC South outlook and picks.

2022 AFC South Odds

2022 AFC South Outlook & Predictions

The Tennessee Titans know exactly what their recipe for success is: hand the ball to Derrick Henry and play solid defense. Throwing to Brown was mixed in there, but the hope is that first-round pick Treylon Burks can shoulder the load of targets.

That’s exactly what NFL Coach of the Year Mike Vrabel’s team did anytime its stars were healthy in 2021, and we expect the same in 2022. We are once again looking at 11 or 12 wins and a two-horse race.

The only real threat here is Indianapolis, which finished 9-8 following a collapse that wound up with a missed postseason. Jonathan Taylor was first team All-Pro after running for over 1,800 yards behind one of the top offensive lines in football. There’s no reason we can’t see that type of production again from the 20-TD scorer in 2021.

Let’s not forget that the Colts had this division locked up before giving it away late in the year. Tennessee remains formidable but if Ryan can limit the mistakes that Wentz couldn’t, the Colts get the wins they need to surpass Tennessee at the peak of the AFC South.

While Tennessee’s line is more attractive, there’s a reason that the Colts are the favorite. Head over to one of the sites where you can get this close to even money around -105.

The Jags are hitting the reset button with Super Bowl-winning coach Doug Pederson, who should be able to develop a very talented Trevor Lawrence. We should expect to see a marked improved from Jacksonville just by virtue of no longer being a circus, but it won’t be enough wins to compete.

The same can be said for the Texans, who may have really found something in Davis Mills. Houston is high on the young signal-caller and another strong season from Houston comparatively could hasten the rebuild process. Getting to .500 should be a reasonable goal for both Jacksonville and the Texans.

2021 AFC South Results

The Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans were once again battling for supremacy, but injuries to Tennessee and a surging Jonathan Taylor gave the edge to Indianapolis. But late in the year, a stunning loss to a problem-plagued Jacksonville wound up handing the division to Tennessee once again.

The Titans won three straight to lose out the season and finished at 12-5 for a second straight AFC South title.

The Titans are the only ones that can look at the 2021 regular season with any fond memories, especially considering how much it overcame without Derrick Henry for a long stretch. As for Indianapolis, the collapse proved the end of the Carson Wentz experiment, prompting the Colts to try their luck with Matt Ryan instead.

The Texans were no a good team in 2021, but were also not nearly as bad as many thought. Houston scratched and clawed its way to a 4-13 record but was a respectable 8-9 against the spread. The roster appeared devoid of talent, but this group capitalized on being underestimated and kept games close.

The Urban Meyer situation in Jacksonville did not take long at all to sour, between the on-field results and the coach’s off-field antics. Trevor Lawrence flashed at times but Jacksonville was a putrid team for the most part, going 3-14 and finishing dead last behind Houston. At 5-12 ATS, the Jags were tied for the fewest wins against the spread in the NFL.

Past AFC South Division Winners

YearWinnerRecord
2020Tennessee Titans11-5
2019Houston Texans10-6
2018Houston Texans11-5
2017Jacksonville Jaguars10-6
2016Houston Texans9-7
2015Houston Texans9-7
2014Indianapolis Colts11-5
2013Indianapolis Colts11-5
2012Houston Texans12-4
2011Houston Texans10-6
2010Indianapolis Colts10-6

How To Bet On NFL Division Winners

Shopping lines can be a game-changer for you when betting on NFL futures, just like the AFC South winner. That’s the best advice for you, shop lines before placing a bet.

Looking at an odds table may be tricky, so here are some pointers you can follow. The odds show you which team is the odds favorite. The lower the odds, the better the team.

They also state how much money you can win if the bet is successful. For example, a $100 bet on Tennessee (+110) would give you $110 in winnings and a total payout of $210.

The handle is another factor to consider. It represents the percentage of total wagers going for a team to win the division. Let’s say the Jaguars have a 3% handle, which means 3% of all money wagered on the AFC South is going for Jacksonville.

The last thing you should see is the percentage of bets. This is the number of wagers—not the amount—each franchise is getting.

For example, the Colts have a 60% of all bets. This doesn’t tell you how much money they are getting, but how many bets they are receiving.

They can have 60% of the bets, but 48% of the handle, meaning smaller bets are being placed on them.

Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners

1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.

2. Look for the NFL tab.

3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.

4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.

5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually on the right side of the screen.

Betting Odds For AFC Divisions

2021 AFC West Division Odds

2021 AFC North Division Odds

2021 AFC East Division Odds