The NFL season is upon us!
Yes, we are a couple of months away, but football is in the air, and NFL betting is coming alive. This article gives everything you need to know about one specific prop.
Here is the Regular Season Passing Yards for some of the starting QBs for 2021:
This is another type of bet you can put on, and it’s as simple as you can find. Choose the player you think will have the most passing yards at the end of the regular season. If a said player ends up Week 17 as the passing yards leader, collect your payout.
The betting odds for placing a futures bet will always be tempting and with big payouts. The public has seen none of the possible QBs play a single snap in 8 months. Those feel like forever, by the way.
However, sharp bettors study the head coaches and the playbook shown last season. The level of the offseason moves the team does to help their QB is also a big part of planning your bet.
Again, these are straightforward bets. Pick the QB you think will end with more TD passes in the season. This is a really tough bet to predict, though.
Over the last 13 seasons, only Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, and Drew Brees have repeated as leaders in this stat. Only Brees did it back-to-back in 2011, 2012, and 2015, 2016.
As you can see in the list above, the bettors can select a specific quarterback. Then, they choose whether they will throw over or under the set number of yards given.
For example, if you are looking to bet on Justin Herbert. You’ll see the oddsmakers think his passing yards at the end of the season will be around 4450.5. You choose if he is going over or under that number.
It’s the same concept as the previous market. This time, instead of yards, you’re betting on passing touchdowns.
The no.1 overall pick in the draft, Trevor Lawrence, is coming with high expectations.
Let’s say you want to bet on his total TDs for the season. The odds mark them at 24.5. You bet on whether he throws 25 or more or 24 or fewer TDs.
Let’s take a deeper look into the candidates for passing yards leaders when the regular season ends. Remember, there are a few factors to consider. The team’s strength of defenses they will face is one of them. Their offensive weapons and playbook are also important.
Look at the team’s philosophy, does a team often step off the gas when winning? Does it start running the ball in the latter stages? Do they go all in and come out throwing after halftime?
Patrick Mahomes – The Chiefs pass the ball a lot. Mahomes averaged 39,2 passes per game last season. Plus, he likes to throw bombs. Having the deadliest receiving duo in the league like WR Tyreek Hill and TE Travis Kelce, it’s clear to see Mahomes on the run for passing yards leader.
He was second last year, so expect another big year under a much-improved offensive line as well.
Dak Prescott – The Dallas signal-caller was putting insane statistical numbers last year. Of course, it was before a season-ending injury. Prescott averaged 371.2 yards per game in his five games last year.
In 2019, he ended the season with 4902 passing yards, a number that would’ve won him the passing yards title in 2020. He throws lots of bombs and has a stacked receiving corps.
Josh Allen – He has a grenade launcher in that arm, and he is getting more accurate every single year. In 2020, he finished with 4,544 yards and a 69.2% completion rate.
Not only does he have Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley as targets, Buffalo now added Emmanuel Sanders to a deep receiver chart. Another factor that helps Allen’s cause is that the Bills don’t really run the football well. They rely on Allen’s arm.
Tom Brady – This is an interesting one. Brady just posted his fifth-highest passing yards season in his 20-year career. But this was due to a lot of factors. First, his receiving corps is the best in the league, combining depth and talent.
Secondly, Bruce Arians and Byron Leftwich were so inept in the play calling the first downs, and the Bucs usually faced long third downs. This translates in: “Oh we screwed up, Brady has to save us.” Yes, Brady saved them and guided them to a Super Bowl.
The quarterbacks we talked about will be in the mix unless an injury gets in the way. Another good option is mobile quarterbacks.
Remember how deadly Lamar Jackson was in 2019 in the end zone? A mobile QB puts the defense in a state of frenzy, and it makes everything much more unpredictable.
Guys like Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, or Kyler Murray should also be in the mix. They are smart, elusive, and have great receivers to find in the endzone.