Odds For NFL Week 7

Sportsbooks have posted Week 7 lines to view and bet on.

Which teams should win their Week 7 matchups? Which teams will cover their Week 7 spreads?

Read on for betting odds, picks, and predictions for Week 7 of the NFL season.

With NFL odds for Week 7 finding their range, let’s preview all 13 games.

Thursday Night Football

New Orleans Saints (+1.5, +107 ML) Vs. Arizona Cardinals (-1.5, -115 ML)

I will continue to fade Kliff Kingsbury as a favorite, especially as we get into the second half of the season.

Even better, the Cardinals are 4-11 against the spread (ATS) as a home favorite underneath Kingsbury.

I don’t entirely trust this Saints team, but they have the defensive pieces to compete with a bumbling head coach.

I’ll take the underdog here as long as we’re catching a field goal.

My pick: New Orleans Saints +1.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Game Kickoff – 1 p.m. EST

Detroit Lions (+6.5, +255 ML) Vs. Dallas Cowboys (-6.5, -295 ML)

Dan Campbell is going to have his guys playing hard. It feels like this team often plays up to its competition despite how much the Lions lose.

We also have the Lions coming off their bye while the Cowboys just played on Sunday Night Football the week before.

That was the second-straight road game the Cowboys played and their bye is two weeks from now, so this could be a fatigue spot for Dallas and a fresh spot for the Lions.

I’ll take the points with Coach Campbell. His team should keep it close given the context.

My pick: Detroit Lions +6.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Cleveland Browns (+6.5, +240 ML) vs Baltimore Ravens (-6, -265 ML)

This is going to be your typical AFC North grinder game.

Both teams are going to run the ball. Both should see success, but if both teams decide to stack the box, both have elite secondary pieces that can overwhelm two quarterbacks not revered for their arms.

Lamar Jackson is a better quarterback than Jacoby Brissett, but I would argue the Browns have better skill position weapons than the Ravens.

All-in-all, I don’t think any of that matters. If this game becomes the low-scoring grinder I expect, the Browns should easily cover a relatively large number.

My pick: Cleveland Browns +6.5 (-110) | Playable at number

New York Giants (+3, +130 ML) Vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5, -140 ML)

I think the Giants are the better team.

Even if they’re on the road, the Giants have a much-better roster and shouldn’t be catching points.

Moreover, it’s worth looking at Daniel Jones’ home-road statistics. He’s surprisingly been much better away from the Meadowlands in his career.

• Daniel Jone’s career at home: 62.5% completion, 4097 yards, 17 TDs, 19 INTs, 5.58 adjusted yards per attempt
• Daniel Jone’s career on road: 63.1% completion, 4301 yards, 28 TDs, 10 INTs, 7.05 adjusted yards per attempt

Therefore, it goes to reason that Jones is 12-6 ATS on the road in his career while being just 7-12 ATS at home. Moreover, Jones is 11-4 ATS as a road underdog.

It also helps that the Jaguars have to buckle up and travel across the pond for the London game next week.

I’ll take the points and even sprinkle the ML with the Giants.

Quite how the now 5-1 Giants are the underdogs against the 2-4 Jaguars, I’ll never know! The original lines pre-season had the Jags as 1.5-point favorites. 

Now they are 3-point favorites. I find that baffling and my original sprinkle on the Giants is now a tablespoonful!

My pick: New York Giants +3 (-110) | New York Giants ML (+130)

Green Bay Packers (-5, -215 ML) Vs. Washington Commanders (+5, +190)

This is a tough game to a cap.

The sharp angle is to take Washington, given the Commanders are catching over a field goal at home and are coming off a long week after a Thursday Night game.

But it’s so hard to fade Aaron Rodgers. He’s 36-30 ATS as a road favorite in his career.

And it’s so hard to back Carson Wentz, although he is 6-5 ATS as a home favorite.

I’m leaning toward Washington, but I’d rather just pass on this one.

My pick: Pass | Lean Washington Commanders +5 (-110)

Indianapolis Colts (+2.5, +120 ML) Vs. Tennessee Titans (-2.5, -127 ML)

This is my favorite matchup of the week.

These two are constantly in competition for supremacy in the AFC South and the competition has gotten stiffer since Matt Ryan arrived in Indy.

I pretty much always look toward the home team in this spot.

However, Coach Mike Vrabel hasn’t been the most prolific coach when put in these spots – he’s just 2-6-1 ATS at home when the line is between a PK at -3.5. I also think Indianapolis has advantages on both sides of the trenches.

But the Titans are also coming off their bye week while the Colts could be sleeping after a lullaby matchup with the Jaguars.

I would rather stay away and just enjoy this matchup, but I do lean toward Tennessee.

Note that there is a big discrepancy in the sportsbooks with this game. 

If you favor the Colts, you’d best head to Draftkings as they have the best odds of +120. BetRivers are just +105.

A successful $100 bet would return $15 more at Draftkings than with BetRivers.

Remember to shop around for those best odds. You don’t want to leave profits unnecessarily on the table!

My pick: Pass | Lean Tennessee Titans -2.5 (-110)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10.5, -435 ML) Vs. Carolina Panthers (+10.5, +380 ML)

This line feels far too low.

Tom Brady has played the Panthers four times since becoming the QB in Tampa and has covered all four times easily.

Those games went as such:

• 9/20/20: 31-17 victory as 7.5-point favorites
• 11/15/20: 46-23 victory as 6-point favorites
• 12/26/21: 32-6 victory as 10.5-point favorites
• 1/9/22: 41-17 victory as 10.5-point favorites

Don’t overthink this. The Panthers cannot keep up with Brady’s Bucs. Simple!

My pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Atlanta Falcons (+6, +240 ML) Vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-6, -255 ML)

The Bengals are a high-variance team. They’ll either blow out the lowly Falcons or play down to their competition.

There’s not much in terms of a “spot” here.

The Bengals could be a little sleepy given this is a home game sandwiched in-between road matchups with the Saints and Browns, but I don’t give that much credence.

For me, this is either Falcons or pass.

My pick: Pass | Lean Atlanta Falcons +6 (-110)

Game Kickoff – 4 p.m. EST

New York Jets (+3, +150 ML) Vs. Denver Broncos (-3, -175 ML)

I’ve never really thought that there’s much of a home-field advantage in Mile High.

The Broncos are a rather poor 65-81-7 ATS at home since 2004. Of course, the books may already have the extra altitude baked into the line.

This is the second road game in a row for the Jets, however, and they had to play in Lambeau last week.

That’s a bruising road trip, despite their comprehensive victory.

But the Broncos have to prepare to travel to London after this game for their clash with the Jags at the iconic Wembley Stadium.

The Broncos are likely the play here given their all-around strength of the roster.

However, I’m only going to play them if some sharp money hits the Jets.

My pick: Pass

Houston Texans (+6.5, +250 ML) Vs. Las Vegas Raiders (-7, -295 ML)

Can the Texans keep up with the Raiders?

Curiously, both teams are coming off their Bye weeks. The Raiders also played the Chiefs on Monday Night in Week 5, so there could be a comedown factor in this one.

The Raiders played the Texans back in 2019, losing by three as five-point dogs. But that was during the Deshaun Watson days, so there are no real comparables here.

I also hate this line. Well done Vegas for making it so tough!

I lean toward the Texans catching over a touchdown but would rather just stay away.

My pick: Pass

Kansas City Chiefs (-3, -150 ML) Vs. San Francisco 49ers (+3, +140 ML)

A fascinating matchup between two top-tier teams.

But I give a pretty significant edge to the Chiefs.

Mostly because of the quarterback matchup, considering we’re getting Patrick Mahomes against Jimmy Garoppolo.

And despite how well the Niners’ defense and run game can keep up with the Chiefs, the quarterback play will be the difference. Especially in a game with a spread as short as this.

I’ll be on the Chiefs’ ML.

My pick: Kansas City Chiefs ML (-150) | Playable at number

Seattle Seahawks (+6.5, +260 ML) Vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5, -323 ML)

Coach Brandon Staley has been bigger than a touchdown favorite just three times in his career, and he’s gone 2-1 in the situation.

However, the Chargers are coming off a short week after a tough divisional matchup with the Broncos on Monday Night Football.

The team is looking forward to its Bye in Week 8, and I could see them sleepwalking into the Bye week.

The Seahawks will pound the football with Rashaad Penny and try to play keep-away from Justin Herbert.

The Chargers aren’t the strongest front seven in the world and don’t care to stop the run too much – they even finished third-to-last in Rush Defense DVOA last season.

I’ll take the points. I think it’s a good matchup for Seattle.

My pick: Seattle Seahawks +6.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Sunday Night Football

Pittsburgh Steelers (+6.5, +240 ML) Vs. Miami Dolphins (-7, -275 ML)

When Mike Tomlin is catching points, I’m looking his way.

Tomlin is the most profitable underdog coach in the NFL, covering about 65% of the games he’s an underdog in and winning 53% of them outright.

I really like him in this situation. +4.5 is a sharp line and I don’t yet trust any quarterback underneath Mike McDaniel’s leadership.

The Steelers have a competent front seven that should cause issues with whoever is under center for the Dolphins.

They will also keep the outside weapons from having enough time to operate downfield.

Tomlin will make sure this is a grinder, and that favors the near-touchdown dog.

My pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +6.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Monday Night Football

Chicago Bears (+7.5, +300) Vs. New England Patriots (-7.5, -330 ML)

Bill Belichick’s teams play up and down to their competition in September.

It’s an extension of the pre-season as he tries to figure out his team’s identity as well as identify the rest of the league’s weaknesses.

If this game was in Week 4, I’d be all over the Bears. But this is when the Patriots get going. It’s not just the Tom Brady years, either.

The 2021 Patriots won seven straight games between Weeks 7 and 13. The 2020 Patriots – led by the corpse of Cam Newton – won four of five between Weeks 9 and 13.

And these were dominating victories. Week 13 in 2020 was a 45-0 smashing of the Chargers. Week 7 in 2021 was a 54-13 deconstruction of the Jets.

Now, Belichick’s team will be heating up by putting the clamps on a young-and-inexperienced Justin Fields.

A quarterback who still is struggling with decision-making, especially against complex blitz schemes.

The Patriots cake walk in this one. I’d consider playing it at over a touchdown plus a field goal on top!

My pick: New England Patriots -7.5 (-110) | Play to -10 (-110)

Check out next week’s NFL betting odds.