2023 AFC East Odds
2023 AFC East Odds
Following the 2021 season, it is quite clear that we are in the era of the Buffalo Bills in the AFC East division.
Buffalo has won the division crown two straight seasons and is not only the AFC East favorite, but the favorite to win the Super Bowl at many sportsbooks.
The Patriots were a playoff team a season ago and are still a group to be reckoned with thanks to Bill Belichick and the development of second-year QB Mac Jones.
The Dolphins decided to stunningly fire Brian Flores and wound up hiring Mike McDaniel to give the offense a boost.
The Jets are still in rebuild mode but had an excellent opening round of the 2022 NFL Draft and should be a team that improves from its standing a season ago.
Below, we’ll get into an outlook and some predictions for the AFC East this upcoming season.
2023 AFC East Odds
2023 AFC East Outlook & Predictions
The first thing that comes to mind when you think about the AFC East?
It better be Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills.
After two decades of dominance by the New England Patriots, Buffalo is the two-time defending AFC East champion and the favorite once again, along with the favorite to win the Super Bowl.
It’s really a three-team race between Buffalo, Miami, and New England when we talk about realistic chances in the AFC East. The Jets should improve on their 4-13 mark but aren’t a threat to win the division.
The Patriots and Dolphins both have pretty long odds of at least +400 at multiple sportsbooks, but it’s easy to be more excited about Miami.
The offense not only has a new coach, but Tyreek Hill will do wonders for Tua Tagovailoa or Teddy Bridgewater under center. Between Hill and Jaylen Waddle, the Dolphins’ offense can be dynamic.
All that said, this is likely the Bills’ division to win and oddsmakers agree, that’s why Buffalo is more than double your money to win the AFC East.
Buffalo extended star wideout Stefon Diggs, solidified the o-line in front of its All-Pro quarterback, and added recent Super Bowl champ Von Miller with a six-year deal.
2021 AFC East Results
The Bills followed up their 2020 AFC East title with yet another in 2021, going 11-6 in the first 17-game season in NFL history.
The Patriots finished one game back at 10-7 while Miami was 9-8, but it was clear all along that Buffalo was head and shoulders above both teams, talent-wise.
The decisive blow came in Week 16 when the Bills went to Foxborough and scored 33 points to knock off the Patriots and take what would be a permanent lead in the division.
Buffalo went 5-1 against AFC East foes and closed the season on a 4-1 mark. New England was 6-2 on the road in 2021 but just 4-5 at home.
The Bills were also the No. 1 ranked DVOA defense in football a season ago, allowing the fewest yards per game of any team by over 30 yards.
The Allen-led offense was also fifth in yards per game and third in points per game in 2021.
Past AFC East Division Winners
| Year | Winner | Record |
| 2020 | Buffalo Bills | 13-3 |
| 2019 | New England Patriots | 12-4 |
| 2018 | New England Patriots* | 11-5 |
| 2017 | New England Patriots | 13-3 |
| 2016 | New England Patriots* | 14-2 |
| 2015 | New England Patriots | 12-4 |
| 2014 | New England Patriots* | 12-4 |
| 2013 | New England Patriots | 12-4 |
| 2012 | New England Patriots | 12-4 |
| 2011 | New England Patriots | 13-3 |
| 2010 | New England Patriots | 14-2 |
*Super Bowl Champion
How To Bet On NFL Division Winners
Let’s start with one key point we’ve reiterated in other articles: always shop lines before betting.
At the end of the day, the more money you get, the better, right?
When looking at the NFL betting odds, take some notes.
First, the odds. These tell you which team is favored (the lower number, the more favored) and how much you would earn if you win the bet.
For example, a $100 bet on New England (+350) would give you $325 of profit and a total payout of $425.
The next thing you should see is the handle. This represents the percentage of the total amount bet a team is receiving to win the division.
For example, a 9% handle to the Dolphins means 9% of the AFC East winner has gone to Miami.
Finally, look at the percentage of bets. This refers to the number of wagers—not the amount—received for each team.
For example, the Bills have an 85% of all bets, which doesn’t translate to how much was wagered on Buffalo.
They can have 85% of the bets, but 63% of the handle, meaning smaller bets are being placed on them.
Step-By-Step Process To Bet On NFL Divisional Winners
1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the NFL tab.
3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.
4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.
5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually on the right side of the screen.