
Will Armitage
Updated: Feb 28, 2023
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Every week this season, I pick a five-leg parlay where I choose one dawg moneyline wager which yet again this week is a road underdog.
On top of that, I add in one over, one under, and a couple of spread bets.
Should I be correct with all five, then the return for Week 7 would be a handsome +4482.
Remember to compare the odds on offer and then ensure that you find the Best Odds!
Someone taking the worse odds on the Lions would leave over $300 on the table with a $100 parlay, compared with the better bettor who took the best odds on the Lions causing an upset in Texas.
Last week’s selections started off well with both my moneyline and under-hitting.
However, the same cannot be said for my over or two spread bets, where I was let down by the Chiefs and Ravens.
Here’s hoping Week 7 proves to be my first lucky week of the season where all five legs land!
Moneyline – Lions Vs. Cowboys (Best Odds – +245)
Now the Lions heading into another part of Texas as underdogs would be a surprise were they to be playing in Houston.
However, Detroit visiting Dallas as the season starts to hot up is a game where the home team would be expecting to put up another victory on the board when the fixtures came out.
However, this is not the Lions team of 2021. This is the Lions team of 2022; the one where the sharp money has been down since the summer for this franchise to return to the head of the NFC Central of yesteryear.
However, all these pre-season futures bettors are licking their wounds with Michigan’s finest propping up the NFC North with a dismal 1-4 record.
But they haven’t been playing that badly and they’ve had a week’s break, whilst the Cowboys were given a lesson by the Eagles on Sunday.
On that note, the last team to be defeated by Detroit in the playoffs thirty years ago, back when Michael Jackson was top of the billboard and the NFC North was known with its previous moniker, was… the Dallas Cowboys. 38-6 on Jan. 5, 1992.
You shall be sitting pretty if history repeats itself!
Given how the Lions have started the season, it wouldn’t come as a total surprise if they return to the Motor City with a victory in the locker.
Detroit is my moneyline underdog pick this week.
Spread – Jets (+3) Vs. Broncos (-110)
The Jets have had to wait until Week 7 to make any one of my parlays. I have chosen 64 teams so far for my selections and so one would have expected the Jets to have featured a couple of times already.
As it is, a Jets team finally meriting the phrase “playing decent ball” flying into Mile High meeting a Broncos side whose pre-season excitement has been tempered somewhat, is what makes this a stand-out opportunity to merit inclusion in my parlay this week.
The Cougar-gate stories seem to have inspired Zach Wilson this season. Last season, he led the league last season for yards given up in sacks.
It’s a different story this time around!
He seems to have developed a sixth sense in the pocket and become more adept at evading capture, much to the Jets’ fans’ delight.
Russell Wilson’s eleventh season in NFL has not yet gone according to plan.
His tenth season was his first losing season and given the Broncos’ erratic form to date, one wouldn’t bet against the same happening again with a different jersey.
When I first made this leg of the parlay, the Jets had over a touchdown start! My original selection was the Jets with 7.5 points.
Now Vegas is giving the Broncos a field goal start in Colorado. That’s more than a 10-point swing.
I shall remain loyal to my pick and stick with the Jets to cover the spread.
Over/Under – Bears Vs. Patriots (39) (-110)
I expect this week’s Monday Night Football to serve up a classic.
The Bears haven’t triumphed against the Patriots for over two decades since a 24-17 victory in 2000.
The Patriots have come out on top in each game every four years in the meantime.
The caliber of these teams is not comparable to those that contested SuperBowl XX thirty-six years ago, which was my first live Super Bowl viewing on a small television screen at my boarding school when Chicago pummeled New England 46-10.
However, I do expect a similarly high-scoring affair with a large TV audience glued to their screens and seats.
The last two games between these two sides have averaged over 70 points!
The offenses in 2022 might not be up to scratch with the 2018 rosters, but the remarkable Bill Belichick, in his 28th season as a Head Coach, can still be counted on to deliver excitement for the neutral fan.
Just think back to what they pieced together on Sunday when they ran away from the Browns with four touchdowns in the second half.
New England is one of the highest points scorers on Monday Nights, with an average of 24 points per game.
Couple that with Chicago’s ability to score around 20 points in half their games and it bodes well for the scoreboard to tick over regularly on Monday night.
I’m not expecting another 70-pointer, but it should be entertaining and high-scoring nonetheless.
Originally the total was set at 43. BetRivers have the best price with the total at 39, whilst most other books are a point higher.
If you’re following me and betting the over, that’s the sportsbook offering the best odds.
Spread – Buccaneers (-9.5) Vs. Panthers (-110)
Pre-season, the odds for winning the Super Bowl saw the Bucs vying for favoritism with the Bills at around +750, whereas the Panthers were near the bottom of the table alongside the Jags and Jets at the best price of +13000.
Did you know that if you were in the small collective of avid Carolina fans who genuinely believed that the Panthers could make it third time lucky and win the Vince Lombardi Trophy this season that there was a 30% difference in the odds between FanDuel at +10000 and DraftKings at +13000?
As it happens, those with such tickets at either book need not be worrying about not having shopped for the best odds, given their team’s performance to date.
Can you imagine where the 1-5 Panthers would be if Mr. McCaffrey heads to Buffalo?!
The GOAT will waltz into Charlotte and leave having won by at least two touchdowns. Tampa will methodically cover the spread.
Over/Under – Texans Vs. Raiders (44.5) (-110)
Another team that has been so far noticeable with their absence from my parlay selections this season has been Las Vegas’ finest.
Remarkably, the Raiders have had just two winning seasons since 2002.
At this stage of the season, it would be a brilliant turnaround by the silver and black to post their third one in 20 years!
Last season, Las Vegas witnessed some classic high-scoring classics which had a habit of resulting in overtime home victories (on three occasions no less!).
That was when high-octane offenses came visiting.
When the lesser lights such as Chicago, Washington, and Denver headed to Vegas, the under hit every time. That is why I’m all over the under this week.
FanDuel are best priced currently at 44.5 for those wishing to join me on the under.
How To Bet NFL Parlays
A parlay bet is a sports wager that combines several bets on one ticket alone.
Usually, you would go with moneyline bets but can use spreads, totals, and futures.
You can include props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up to 15 or more depending on the sportsbook.
Parlays are wholly customizable meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go.
How many sides will be included, and how difficult is it to make each leg of the parlay or do the same game parlays.
The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds.
It’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk the money you’re prepared to lose.
Check out NFL parlay bets week 8 for betting ideas and to lock in early odds.
If you fancy regular bets, we got the NFL week 7 odds analysis worth checking out.
Sportbook Promos
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- CLAIM NOW 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER, Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117(MI).
- CLAIM NOW 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER, Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117(MI).

About the author
Will has been an avid sports fan since the early 1980s. His first sporting love was a mediocre English soccer team that dwelled in the lower league...
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