NFL MVP Betting Odds 2023

NFL MVP Betting Odds 2023

Prior to the 2021 NFL season, the list of players who had won back-to-back MVP awards consisted of Jim Brown, Joe Montana, Brett Favre, and Peyton Manning.

On Feb 10, 2022Aaron Rodgers won his second consecutive MVP award and fourth overall, joining some very elite company.

If Rodgers can win the NFL MVP again next year, he will join Brett Favre as the only player to win the award in three consecutive seasons and join Peyton Manning as the only player to win the award five times in a career.

Early betting odds are already posted for the 2022 NFL MVP, let’s take a look at who has a shot at being crowned the league’s best player next season.

NFL MVP Odds Report

The Favorites

Aaron Rodgers (+800) – If you compare Aaron Rodgers’ stats from last season to his year before, you might think the 17-year Green Bay Packers QB had a bit of a down year.

The fact is, Rodgers had one of the greatest seasons of all-time in 2020, and his 2021 year, although not one of the all-time greats, was still good enough for him to win his fourth career MVP.

Rodgers completed 69% of his passes in 2021 and once again threw for more than 4,000 yards. He also recorded 38 touchdown passes and only five interceptions.

His 111.9 passer rating led the league, even though it was only the third-highest passer rating of his career. Rodgers may have 17 years under his belt, but he is showing no signs of slowing down.

Patrick Mahomes (+500) – At the age of 26, Patrick Mahomes has just completed his fourth consecutive year throwing for more than 4,000 yards in a season.

The Kansas City Chiefs starting pivot also played in his fourth consecutive AFC Championship game, although the Cincinnati Bengals prevented him from getting to his third Super Bowl. Did I mention he is only 26?

In 17 starts, Mahomes threw for over 4,800 yards, completing over 66% of his passes. His 37 touchdowns give him a total of 151 TD passes in his four years as a starting NFL QB.

If there was an issue for the 2018 NFL MVP last year, it was his 13 interceptions, which was a single-season high for him. If Mahomes can limit the INT’s in 2022, another MVP award might be on the way.

Josh Allen (+700) – If Josh Allen’s 4,400 passing yards and 36 TD passes in the regular season didn’t catch your attention, then maybe the stats he put up in the Buffalo Bills two playoff games will.

Allen had a passer rating of 149.0 in the two games, with 9 TDs, 637 yards passing and 0 interceptions.

Not only is the four-year Buffalo QB one of the game’s elite passers, but with over 700 yards rushing, he is a true dual-threat.

Allen was drafted 7th overall in the 2018 draft, the same draft Cleveland selected Baker Mayfield 1st overall and the Jets took Sam Darnold 3rd.

The Contenders

Joe Burrow (+1000) – After a disappointing rookie season that was cut short by a serious injury, Joe Burrow didn’t just bounce back in his sophomore year, he bounced the Bengals all the way to the Super Bowl.

Burrow already has a college National Championship, a Heisman Award, and almost added a Super Bowl ring to his trophy collection in just his second season of pro ball.

Burrow became the only QB in NFL history to lead his team to a Super Bowl after being sacked more than 50 times in a regular season. The Bengals were smart to tank a few years back and increase their chances of drafting “Joe Cool” with the 1st overall pick.

They would be smarter to invest in an offensive line this off-season to help their franchise QB out. If they do… watch out for Burrow.

Justin Herbert (+800) – How do you top the greatest NFL rookie season by a QB ever? If you are LA Chargers Justin Herbert, you put up even more impressive numbers in year two.

After watching the Miami Dolphins draft Tua Tagovailoa with the 5th pick in the 2020 draft, Herbert heard his name called with the very next pick and then promptly went out and won the NFL offensive rookie of the year award.

In 2021, Herbert took another leap forward, throwing for over 5,000 yards and 38 touchdowns.

There was already a lot of buzz about Herbert getting serious MVP consideration this year and at +800, expectations are already very high for someone who only turns 24 this March.

Lamar Jackson (+1500) – At the age of 25, Lamar Jackson has already played in 58 NFL games and his record as a starter is an impressive 37-12.

The 2021 season was not kind to Jackson, who suffered a serious high ankle sprain, limiting him to only 12 of the team’s 17 starts.

The last player to win the NFL MVP award not named Aaron Rodgers was Lamar Jackson. That year, the Baltimore Ravens QB passed for over 3,000 yards and rushed for over 1,200 yards, while going 13-2 as a starter.

The former Heisman Trophy winner has shown when he is at his very best, he is the most dangerous dual-threat QB in NFL history.

The Longshots

Dak Prescott (+2000) – It was just two seasons ago when Dak Prescott suffered a gruesome injury ending his 2020 season after just five starts.

In 2021, Prescott rebounded with 16 starts leading the Cowboys to an 11-5 record and the NFC East title.

The 7 QBs selected before Prescott in the 2016 Draft

PlayerPickTeamCareer WinsCareer TDs
Jared Goff1stRams45126
Carson Wentz2ndEagles44140
Paxton Lynch26thBroncos14
Christian Hackenberg51stJets00
Jacoby Brissett91stPatriots1436
Cody Kessler93rdBrowns28
Connor Cook100Raiders01
Dak Prescott135Cowboys53143

Prescott’s best season came in 2019 when he threw for just under 5,000 yards and 30 TDs against 11 INTs.

In 2021, the former 135th overall pick was third in passer rating and threw 37 touchdowns against only 10 INTs.

Russell Wilson (+2800) – Russell Wilson did not get drafted 135th overall like Dak Prescott did, but I’m sure Seahawks fans are pretty happy with how the 75th overall pick in the 20212 draft has panned out so far.

Not only has Wilson proven to be an outstanding third-round pick, but he has been extremely durable at the position. The 10-year-veteran had started every game for Seattle for nine consecutive years, before sitting out three games due to injury in 2021.

Wilson has 10 consecutive seasons of passing for at least 3,000 yards and it was only two years ago the agile QB set a personal best of 40 TD passes in a single season.

If we are to believe all his social media videos, then we can bet on Russ continuing to work extremely hard at becoming the best at his craft. At +2800 odds, this longshot might be a worthwhile play.

Tom Brady – (Retired, for now….) – So my quick internet search before I started writing this article turned up no odds for the game’s all-time greatest player.

Obviously, that has something to do with the fact that he retired this past off-season and isn’t expected to play next year. However, I’m not necessarily buying into that.

Brady is coming off a season in which he threw for over 5,300 yards, 43 touchdowns, and completed almost 68% of his passes.

For a man who everyone thought was crazy because he kept talking about wanting to play until he was 50, why would he retire after one of the greatest seasons of his career?

I suspect at age 44, (45 by the start of the 2022 season) the G.O.A.T has little interest in pre-season football and maybe even a 17 game regular season.

But chasing championships seems like something he still might be interested in doing. If I can find some odds, I will definitely lay a half-unit on Brady making a Week 3 appearance for the Buccaneers and picking up exactly where he left off.

MVP Futures Betting

The MVP bets are one of the most popular futures markets in the betting world. Placing a wager on your MVP candidate is becoming easier for you.

All the candidates are on plus-money odds right now. This means the profit you get if you win the bet is more than the original amount wagered.

Twelve of the last 14 MVPs have been QBs. Only two RBs like LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006 and Adrian Peterson in 2012 have broken that trend.

Out of all the active guys under center, only two have won the award more than once. Tom Brady did it in 2007, 2010, and 2017. Aaron Rodgers did it in 2011, 2014, and last year in 2020.

How To Bet NFL MVP Futures

Timing is everything in betting. Odds fluctuate and change. Getting your wagers in at the right time can translate into higher payouts. In the case of MVP odds, different factors dictate the odds’ trajectories. It’s a week-to-week thing.

Injuries will cause the odds to get longer, minimizing the player’s chance to win the award. A player who doesn’t play the full season is pretty much out of the equation.

On the other side, a player can start a bit cold. But, if he improves weekly and sets a successful season for his franchise, the odds will get low for him. Reversely, if a player starts hot and cools down, his odds will get higher.

Supporting casts are a key component to help a player perform at his highest. You should consider looking at his teammates as well.

Where Can You Bet On MVP Futures?

All legal, regulated sportsbooks offer you MVP futures odds. Go to the NFL tab, click on ‘Futures,’ and you should find MVP odds.

These are also referred to as “Player Futures” or “Awards.” There, you’ll find all the players available to bet on.

How Is The NFL MVP Decided?

The Associated Press is the entity that gives out the official MVP award. It’s 50 sportswriters that vote at the end of the regular season and before the playoffs start.

Remember, the award is only for the regular season output. The announcement of the winner happens the day before the Super Bowl.

MVP stands for “Most Valuable Player.” Although, the award rarely goes to the one who represents the most “value” to its franchise. Individual stats and team records go a long way as deciding factors to grant the MVP.

Super Bowl MVP History

Out of the 55 Super Bowl MVPs, 31 have gone to QBs. Seven running backs have won it, as well as seven wide receivers, and 10 defensive players.

Unlike the regular season MVP, which is clearly led by QBs, the Super Bowl MVP can come out of nowhere. Some heroes are really odd, like S Dexter Jackson or LB Malcolm Smith. Also, legacies have been cemented, like LBs Von Miller and Ray Lewis dominating on Big Sunday.

The biggest shock came when Green Bay’s Desmond Howard won the MVP as a kick returner. He displayed 244 return yards and a TD to get the award.

Quarterbacks have won seven out of the last nine Super Bowl MVPs. As for losing teams, only Cowboys LB Chuck Howley has won the award at a losing effort.

Brady holds the record by winning four total Super Bowl MVPs. Joe Montana follows with three, while Terry Bradshaw, Eli Manning, and Bart Starr won two.

It’s the Dallas Cowboys that have produced the most SB MVPs with seven. The Steelers and Patriots hold six each, tying on second place.