Brian Deschamps
Updated: Oct 1, 2024
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Quarterbacks are kings when it comes to MVP awards.
Nobody has won more MVP awards than Peyton Manning.
The Hall of Fame quarterback has five such trophies. And the odds are a QB will win again this year.
A player at that position has done so for the last 11 years, including Lamar Jackson, who won it last season for the second time in his career.
Jackson finished with 3,678 passing yards and 24 passing touchdowns.
And while those numbers aren’t necessarily MVP-worthy, he also ran for another 821 yards and five scores and led the Ravens to an NFL-best, 13-4 record.
The last non-quarterback to take home the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012.
Last Non-Quarterback to Win MVP
2012 | Adrian Peterson | RB | Minnesota Vikings |
2006 | LaDainian Tomlinson | RB | San Diego Chargers |
2005 | Shaun Alexander | RB | Seattle Seahawks |
2000 | Marshall Faulk | RB | St. Louis Rams |
1998 | Terrell Davis | RB | Denver Broncos |
1997 | Barry Sanders | RB | Detroit Lions |
You have to go all the way back to 1986 to find a non-quarterback or running back as the winner.
That was linebacker Lawrence Taylor of the New York Giants.
And if you can believe it, a kicker even won the award in 1982. It was Mark Moseley if you are wondering.
Read below for a list of front runners (and a longshot) for this year’s MVP award.
Who Will Win NFL AP Most Valuable Player 2024?
2024 Favorites
Patrick Mahomes (+250) – Kansas City Chiefs:
He’s been one of the best players in the NFL since entering the league back in 2017.
At age 29, Mahomes is already a three-time Super Bowl champion and two-time MVP.
Last season, the Chiefs quarterback threw for 4,183 yards, sixth most in the league, but did have a career-high 14 interceptions.
Tight end Travis Kelce is now 34 years old and Mahomes has one of the youngest wide receiving corps in the league, which includes second-year man Rashee Rice and rookie Xavier Worthy.
But that means very little when it comes to Mahomes, who always seems to excel and find a way to lead his team to victories.
Josh Allen (+425) – Buffalo Bills:
Josh Allen finished last season with just over 43 hundred passing yards, fourth most in the league.
But he brings a whole other dimension to the game thanks to his ability to run the ball. Allen rushed for 15 touchdowns last season, tied for second amongst all players.
He is extremely creative and can scramble as well as any quarterback in the league. But he is also a bit of a wildcard which explains his career-high 18 interceptions last season.
Like Mahomes, he is dealing with an inexperienced group of wide receivers and will need to prove that he can put the team on his shoulders and take them to another level.
C.J. Stroud (+800) – Houston Texans:
The Houston Texans have quickly become Super Bowl contenders, thanks in large part to quarterback C.J. Stroud, who is hoping to build off his incredible rookie season.
He finished last year with more than 41 hundred passing yards, 23 touchdowns, and just five interceptions.
The five INTs are the lowest of any quarterback who finished in the top 20 in passing yards.
He should only get better in his second season and with new offensive threats like Joe Mixon and Stefon Diggs in the mix this year, the sky’s the limit for Stroud.
Jalen Hurts (+1600) – Philadelphia Eagles:
Like Allen, the Eagles QB can hurt you with both his arm and his legs.
Hurts threw for 23 touchdowns last season and ran for another 15, leading his team to an 11-6 record.
But also like Allen, he was prone to mistakes, throwing 15 interceptions, the third-highest total of any quarterback.
Philly remains one of the top teams in the league and the addition of running back Saquon Barkley will certainly relieve some of the pressure from Hurts to have to do it all.
2024 Longshot
Longshot – Derek Carr (+5000) – New Orleans Saints:
Before the season began, Derek Carr’s odds of winning MVP were somewhere around 250-1.
But through the first two weeks, the New Orleans Saints offense looked unstoppable, thanks to Carr and running back Alvin Kamara.
Through Week 2, the Saints quarterback was averaging 11.4 yards per pass attempt, the most in the league. He was also tied for the league lead with five touchdown passes.
Carr may be a longshot, but he’s no stranger to putting up big offensive numbers.
How to Bet On NFL MVP
There are so many available futures bets that recreational gamblers are not just limited to the MVP market.
We have access to all kinds of different awards and personal stats that are associated with each individual player.
Futures betting continues to gain in popularity, and the betting products and options offered by the sportsbooks only continue to grow.
Timing is everything in betting. Odds fluctuate and change. Getting your wagers in at the right time can translate into higher payouts.
In the case of MVP odds, different factors dictate the odds’. It’s a week-to-week thing.
Injuries will cause the odds to get longer, minimizing the player’s chance of winning the award. A player who doesn’t play the entire season is pretty much out of the equation.
Supporting casts are a crucial component to help a player perform at his highest. You should consider looking at his teammates as well.
Where to Bet NFL MVP
Betting on the NFL MVP is one of the most popular types of NFL futures betting found across North America.
As the legalization of sports betting continues to grow across the US, placing a wager on your MVP candidate is becoming much easier.
All legal, regulated sportsbooks offer you MVP futures odds. Go to the NFL tab, click ‘Futures,’ and find MVP odds.
These are also called “Player Futures” or “Awards.” There, you’ll find all the players available to bet on.
If you live in an unregulated state, you can bet at social sportsbooks instead, such as Thrillzz, Fliff, and Sportzino.
Instead of betting on this year’s MVP with real money, you bet with virtual currency, known as GC and SC, which you can then redeem if your bet wins.
How Is The NFL MVP Decided?
The Associated Press is the entity that gives out the official MVP award. It’s 50 sportswriters that vote at the end of the regular season and before the playoffs start.
Remember, the award is only for the regular season output. The announcement of the winner happens the day before the Super Bowl.
MVP stands for “Most Valuable Player.” Although, the award rarely goes to the one who represents the most “value” to its franchise. Individual stats and team records go a long way as deciding factors to grant the MVP.
Super Bowl MVP History
Out of the 55 Super Bowl MVPs, 31 have gone to QBs. Seven running backs have won it, seven wide receivers, and ten defensive players.
Unlike the regular season MVP, which is led by QBs, the Super Bowl MVP can be found at almost any position on the field.
Sometimes the players who win the SB MVP come from obscurity, like S Dexter Jackson or LB Malcolm Smith. The big stage also presents an opportunity for legacies to be cemented, like LBs Von Miller and Ray Lewis dominating on Super Sunday.
The biggest surprise was when Green Bay’s Desmond Howard won the MVP as a kick returner. He totalled 244 return yards and a TD to earn the award.
Quarterbacks have won seven out of the last nine Super Bowl MVPs. As for losing teams, only Cowboys LB Chuck Howley has won the award with a losing effort.
Tom Brady holds the Super Bowl MVP record, winning four total Super Bowl MVPs. Joe Montana follows with three, while Terry Bradshaw, Eli Manning, and Bart Starr won two.
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