2023 AFC West Odds
The AFC West turned out to be one of the most competitive divisions in the National Football League in 2021, and things could be shaping up that way once again in 2022.
The Kansas City Chiefs remain on the mountaintop after a sixth-straight AFC West crown, and they are once again the favorites going into 2022.
But close behind is the up-and-coming Chargers with Justin Herbert & Co. looking to rebound from a disappointing end to 2021.
As for the Broncos, the 2021 bottom-dwellers make a blockbuster trade for All-Pro QB Russell Wilson and are firmly in the running.
The Raiders surprised and went 10-7 to reach the postseason and should be a factor once again if it can get another stellar season from Derek Carr.
Las Vegas is projected last in this division, which says something about its overall strength.
2023 AFC West Odds
2023 AFC West Outlook & Predictions
While it’s never a comfort to bet against Kansas City in the Patrick Mahomes era, this could be the season to look elsewhere for your AFC West futures.
After all, three teams all have odds of +260 or less, telling you that oddsmakers see this one being much closer than what we’ve witnessed in recent seasons.
The loss of Tyreek Hill is a huge blow to the Chiefs’ offense and the community effort of JuJu Smith-Schuster and Marques Valdes-Scantling are no guarantee to fill that hugely explosive void.
Kansas City has made some other moves to shore up its defense and still do have Mahomes, but teams like LA and Denver are closing the gap.
Some people may be down on the Chargers after blowing what appeared to be a surefire playoff berth in 2021.
That said, oddsmakers know better, and this group is set up to break out in 2022.
Justin Herbert is another year bigger and stronger, while this offense brings back all the pieces that made it the No. 4-ranked DVOA unit a season ago.
The Broncos had some talent at the skill positions on offense but question marks at the QB position, but those are answered by the acquisition of Mr. Unlimited himself, Russell Wilson.
He’ll be with Jerry Jeudy, Javonte Williams, Courtland Sutton, Melvin Gordon, and others as they look to take a huge leap from the 7-10 mark last year.
The Raiders managed to make the playoffs and added Davante Adams from the Packers, giving the receiving corps a massive boost.
It also re-signed DE Maxx Crosby and WR Hunter Renfrow, two huge pieces. This is the underdog in the AFC West but only due to the level of competition.
To us, the best bet is on the Chargers to overtake the Chiefs at +250 or better.
If Los Angeles improves at stopping the run, this team has everything it needs for a deep postseason run. For value purposes, Las Vegas isn’t a terrible play considering the line.
But in this division, wins for them could be tougher to come by.
2021 AFC West Results
The Chiefs won the AFC West for a sixth straight season before falling in the AFC title game to the surprising Cincinnati Bengals.
Kansas City overcame huge turnover issues early in the season to find its form at the right time, only to be shut down in the second half at home by the Bengals.
In the end, it was another huge statistical season. Mahomes threw for over 4,800 yards and 37 TDs while Travis Kelce and Hill both caught nine scores and posted 1,100 yards or more.
The Raiders finished in second place behind a big year from Derek Carr, who threw for 4,800 yards.
It was a tumultuous season off the field but despite the distractions involving many things including Jon Gruden, Las Vegas managed to persevere.
The Chargers also put up some impressive offensive numbers, with Mike Williams and Keenan Allen both going for 1,100+ yard seasons and 15 combined scores.
Justin Herbert surpassed the 5,000-yard mark and tossed 38 touchdowns to go with it.
There isn’t much to say about Denver in 2021. This team won seven games but was just 1-5 in the division and hopes to be more competitive in 2022.
Due to injuries, it was an offense-by-committee sort of team, but returning weapons like Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton will be huge for Russell Wilson.
Past AFC West Division Winners
|2020||Kansas City Chiefs||14-2|
|2019||Kansas City Chiefs*||12-4|
|2018||Kansas City Chiefs||12-4|
|2017||Kansas City Chiefs||10-6|
|2016||Kansas City Chiefs||12-4|
|2010||Kansas City Chiefs||10-6|
*Super Bowl Champion
How To Bet On NFL Division Winners
Let’s start by addressing the most important thing to do.
Check different outlets, shop lines, and make sure you get the best NFL odds before placing any bet.
The odds table shows some stuff you need to watch out for.
The odds tell you which team is the favorite, according to Vegas. Favored teams will have lower odds.
By looking at those numbers, you know how much profit you will earn if you win the bet.
For example, a $333 bet on Kansas City (-333) would give you $100 in winnings and a total payout of $433.
The next step is looking at the handle. A handle shows you the percentage of total wagers on a team winning the AFC West.
Let’s say the Broncos have a 10% handle, which means 10% of all money bets on the winner of the AFC West is for Denver.
Finally, the percentage of bets is the number of bets (excluding bet amounts) directed to a franchise. For example, the Chiefs have 90% of all bets.
This doesn’t reflect the money amounts wagered on them.
They can have 90% of the wagers, but 35% of the handle, meaning smaller bets are coming in for them.
Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners
1. Enter your favorite sportsbook and log into your account.
2. Click on the NFL tab.
3. Pick the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.
4. Select the odds and team to bet on.
5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right part of the screen.