2022 NFL Win Totals Betting Odds

When we look ahead to the 2022 National Football League season, futures betting immediately comes to mind. While betting on a division winner or Super Bowl champion may seem more appealing, win totals are another popular option.

Betting on win totals means choosing whether a given club will go over or under the total that the sportsbook sets before the season.

The upcoming season will once again feature 17 games for each team, a change beginning in 2021. The extra game certain impacts the totals market and it needs to be kept in mind, as it’s still a relatively new addition.

Keep reading to learn more about 2022 NFL win totals for each squad.

NFL Win Totals Odds

Arizona Cardinals: Over/Under 8.5 Wins

With the total set at eight a season ago, the Cardinals won 11 games. That said, the group fell apart toward the end of the season and were blown out of a Wild Card playoff game against the rival Rams.

The Cardinals have a talented roster starting with Kyler Murray, but star receiver DeAndrew Hopkins is suspended the first six games of the season, and Arizona have one of the toughest schedules in the league due to its placement in the always-difficult NFC West.

Atlanta Falcons: Over/Under 4.5 Wins

It’s a new era in Atlanta, as Matt Ryan is moved on and this team appears to be in a rebuild. It will be Marcus Mariota or rookie Desmond Ridder under center, along with a roster that will not feature star WR Calvin Ridley.

The total is set low for a reason, and there’s a chance that the Falcons are really, really bad this upcoming season. If you want to bank on something like 4-13 for Atlanta, you can find the total of five wins and go under as well to set up a potential push rather than a loss at under 4.5 wins.

Baltimore Ravens: Over/Under 9.5 Wins

Baltimore was plagued by injuries throughout 2021, leading to six straight losses to close the season. The hope is that a healthy Lamar Jackson and J.K. Dobbins will lead to big things from this Ravens offense, particularly on the ground now that Hollywood Brown has been traded to Arizona.

The Ravens’ out of division schedule isn’t too tough and even as injuries piled up last season, Baltimore got off to an 8-3 start before an 8-9 finish. Heading into 2022, Baltimore could be worth a bet to get two more wins.

Buffalo Bills: Over/Under 11.5 Wins

The Buffalo Bills have won the AFC East two seasons in a row and own one of the largest win totals in addition to the lowest odds to win the Super Bowl. Josh Allen is a superstar and the Bills’ offense is wholly dynamic, while its defense is also an excelling unit.

The thing to keep in mind is that the Bills went 11-6 to win the division last year and the total is right at 11.5 games, so taking the over requires some improvement.

Carolina Panthers: Over/Under 5.5 Wins

The 2021 season didn’t go as Matt Rhule or the Panthers wanted, and there are pretty low expectations for this group going into 2022 outside of Christian McCaffrey. Carolina did make tons of additions on the defensive side of the ball, however, and signed WR D.J. Moore to a three-year contract extension.

Carolina’s total remains low at 5.5 or 6 wins, depending on the sportsbook, but it’s a hard team to bet without knowing who plays QB.

Chicago Bears: Over/Under 6.5 Wins

The Bears have found their quarterback in Justin Fields and the schedule isn’t incredibly difficult in comparison to most teams. That’s the good news.

The bad news is that the Bears had plenty of holes to fill after going 6-11 and under the win total of 7.5 in 2021. There was a flurry of action in the offseason with a bunch of one and two-year deals on both sides of the ball, but is an improvement in the works as the win total for 2022 drops to 6.5 victories?

Cincinnati Bengals: Over/Under 9.5 Wins

After a somewhat improbably run to the Super Bowl, Joe Burrow and the Bengals are back to try and take the AFC crown once again. Clearly one of the most potent offenses in football, Cincinnati has shown it can beat anyone in their conference, including Kansas City.

The win total was just around six for this team a season ago, and now it’s shot up to about 9.5 wins across the board after this group went 10-7 in 2021.

Cleveland Browns: Over/Under TBD

Cleveland went 8-9 a season ago and since they acquired Deshaun Watson, it looks like they will trade Baker Mayfield, assuming there are teams that want his services.

This team’s total is off the board at plenty of books because we aren’t exactly sure what Watson’s suspension will be stemming from the league investigating nearly two dozen civil lawsuits against the former Texans QB. Until that plays out, beware of betting the Browns one way or the other.

Dallas Cowboys: Over/Under 10.5 Wins

While the Cowboys still didn’t get as far in the playoffs as they would’ve liked, anyone who backed this team to win the division or took the over on win totals was pleasantly surprised with 12-5 and an NFC East crown.

The total is around 10.5 wins for 2022 but with a strength of schedule that ranks 31st of 32 and an electric offense returning, Dallas remains the most talented team in its division and one of the most talented in the NFC.

Denver Broncos: Over/Under 8.5 Wins

It’s a new day in Denver as Russell Wilson comes over to give the Broncos a star QB presence for the first time in a long time, especially if you consider that Peyton Manning wasn’t in his prime when he came over. This team will immediately be a factor in the AFC West with Kansas City and the LA Chargers, and oddsmakers agree with a total of 10 or 10.5 wins, depending on the site.

Detroit Lions: Over/Under 6.5 Wins

The Lions went just 3-13-1 in 2021, but fought tooth and nail to be in most of the games it lost, even when it got late into the season. Whether Dan Campbell can help this team over increased total of 6.5 wins remains to be seen, but this group could benefit from an advantageous schedule.

Green Bay Packers: Over/Under 10.5 Wins

Green Bay remains a Super Bowl contender with Aaron Rodgers back in the fold on a three-year extension and on the other side, CB Jaire Alexander got a massive new deal as well.

The Packers were 13-4 before losing in the divisional round of the playoffs, and the total for wins hovers between 10.5 and 11.5, depending on the site. The group returns many of the players that made it one of the best teams in the league in 2021.

Houston Texans: Over/Under 4.5 Wins

Despite winning just four games, the Texans were a pleasant surprise in many of their games throughout 2021 when it came to keeping things close. That said, big things are not expected with a win total at 4.5 across the sports betting landscape.

Houston was active with short-term deals and it will likely be a toss up on whether it gets four or five wins to go over or under its total.

Indianapolis Colts: Over/Under 9.5 Wins

Indianapolis was all set for a playoff run before a awful loss to Jacksonville ruined things for Carson Wentz and everyone else involved. The Colts have moved on to Matt Ryan and will once again take a crack at the postseason with one of the very best rosters in football, starting with all-world RB Jonathan Taylor.

The Colts won nine games a season ago and the current total for 2022 is 9.5 games. So if you think Ryan is an improvement over Wentz, this could be a number to look out for.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Over/Under 6.5 Wins

It’s a new era for the Jags once again. The Urban Meyer era was a total disaster, but Super Bowl winner Doug Pederson has arrived to try and capitalize on the massive talent that is Trevor Lawrence. After winning just three games in 2021, the total is now 6.5 as oddsmakers expect significant improvement from the union of the second-year QB and a new coach.

Kansas City Chiefs: Over/Under 10.5 Wins

The Chiefs’ win total heading into last season was about 12 wins, and this group went 12-5 before falling in the AFC championship game to the Bengals.

Kansas City’s total is around 10.5 after the offense lost dynamic playmaker Tyreek Hill, choosing to fill that void with the combination of Marquez Valdes-Scantling and JuJu Smith-Schuster. The Chiefs have a fairly difficult schedule but have won 12 games in each of the past four seasons, with the first three coming on a 16-game schedule.

Las Vegas Raiders: Over/Under 8.5 Wins

Things were looking bleak before a four-game streak put the Raiders into the playoffs at 10-7 a season ago. The total is set at 8.5 at most sportsbooks going into 2022, as Las Vegas boasts the seventh-toughest strength of schedule.

Derek Carr had a breakout season and was rewarded with an extension while the team also acquired all-pro wideout Davante Adams from the Packers in the offseason before signing him to a five-year contract. If you’re buying the end of last season, this team is worth a bet for a 9-8 record.

Los Angeles Chargers: Over/Under 10.5 Wins

In contrast to the Raiders, the Chargers looked destined for the postseason before losing to Las Vegas in Week 18 to reverse the fortunes of those two teams. Los Angeles finished right on its preseason win total at 9-8 and on the outside looking in when it came to the playoffs.

Justin Herbert is absolutely a player to buy into and despite this team’s trouble stopping the run, the Chargers can be expected to improve. Oddsmakers obviously agree, because these team has a win total at 10.5, a full game-and-a-half above its result from a season ago.

Los Angeles Rams: Over/Under 10.5 Wins

The Rams won 12 games to capture the division title before making a run to the Super Bowl title with Matthew Stafford under center. The NFC West is no bargain, and oddsmakers know it, so the total is a little lower at around 10.5 wins for the upcoming season.

The offense got even more dynamic with the addition of Allen Robinson, and it also added Bobby Wagner to its vaunted defense. Will it be a repeat from Los Angeles at 11 or more wins?

Miami Dolphins: Over/Under 8.5 Wins

After winning 10 games and missing the playoffs in 2020, the Dolphins won nine games in 2021 and again, missed the playoffs. That said, the total is set around 8.5 or nine wins, and Miami can certainly reach this mark again in another average season.

The Dolphins’ schedule is 21st in terms of strength and even if you aren’t a Tua believer, Teddy Bridgewater may get some playing time. Whoever plays QB will have Tyreek Hill, and that’s always a plus.

Minnesota Vikings: Over/Under 8.5 Wins

The Vikings’ win total for 2022 is the same as it was in 2021: about 8.5 wins at most sites. Minnesota played in as many close games as anyone a season ago, but lost many of them and finished at 8-9 as a result.

While it’s hard to put your faith in Kirk Cousins, this is a team that was better than it’s record in 2021, and you could be getting a steal with this group needing just nine wins in 2022.

New England Patriots: Over/Under 8.5 Wins

New England went over its win total of nine last season, finishing 10-7 and reaching the postseason. The Patriots are no longer the power of the AFC East, and the win total around 8.5 wins reflects that. New England hasn’t made too many earth-shattering moves, but is developing a young QB in Mac Jones.

New Orleans Saints: Over/Under 8.5 Wins

New Orleans looks to rebound from a disappointing 2021 season, though it still resulted in nine wins and landing right on the preseason number. Jameis Winston figures to be healthy and back under center, while Andy Dalton is also in the QB room.

This team isn’t the top club in the division, that belongs to Tampa Bay. But still, the Saints roster is probably good enough to go 9-8 again, which is all you need here.

New York Giants: Over/Under 7.5 Wins

The Giants were one of the worst teams in football last year, and it’s hard to see things going that poorly once again. After ending with just four wins, the total is at 7.5 going into 2022 and it helps that NEw York has the 29th easiest schedule in the league.

New York Jets: Over/Under 5.5 Wins

The Jets were very bad in 2021, winning just four games. But oddsmakers and the public seem to agree on some improvement for QB Zach Wilson, as the total is around 5.5 and comes with significant juice.

New York did have an excellent first round of the NFL draft, but the schedule is quite difficult at the start. You’re banking on this team reeling off several wins late in the season if you’re betting on Gang Green.

Philadelphia Eagles: Over/Under 9.5 Wins

The Eagles managed to piece together a 9-8 season and reach the playoffs, and oddsmakers think that Philly can go it again. The total is at 9.5 at most sportsbooks going into 2022, but we would caution against a hasty be on the Eagles.

The NFC East is known for beating one another up, and getting ahead can be difficult. The Cowboys are also the clear-cut best team in the division, and getting two clubs to 10 wins could be tough. That said, the strength of schedule is very low for Philly.

Pittsburgh Steelers: Over/Under 7.5 Wins

Ben Roethlisberger is gone and your confidence in Mitch Trubisky is likely to be the deciding factor on a wager here. The total is 7.5 wins and even though Big Ben was holding the Steelers back in some way, we still don’t really know what to expect from this new era in Pittsburgh.

What we can say is the Steelers were active on defense in the offseason and are going to try and play some ugly games in 2022.

San Francisco 49ers: Over/Under 9.5 Wins

The San Francisco 49ers were once again just a game from the Super Bowl before losing to the division-rival Rams. But going into 2022, we could be seeing a different Niners team with Trey Lance rather than Jimmy Garoppolo under center.

The Niners want to trade Jimmy G but his offseason surgery complicates things. We should treat the upcoming season as one in which they will have the mobile Lance under center, adding a new dynamic to the offense.

This group went 10-7 last year behind a strong defense and an excellent run game. Expect more of the same and a bit of a sweat on this 9.5-win total.

Seattle Seahawks: Over/Under 5.5 Wins

Russell Wilson is gone, and things are completely different in Seattle. It’s hard to know what to expect from a team that is without a constant it had for so long, and it’s hard to imagine the Seahawks improving with Drew Lock at quarterback.

There’s definitely some upside to getting TE Noah Fant in the deal and maybe this turnaround won’t take so long, but this team’s win total is down at 5.5 wins in 2022 for good reason.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over/Under 11.5 Wins

The Bucs won 13 games a season ago and oddsmakers expect this team to be in the mix in the NFC South once again. Tampa Bay’s win total matches the 11.5 number we saw last year, so it seems reasonable that this team can do it again.

It certainly helps to have the stable of weapons that Tom Brady does and a couple of them even got new deals, including Leonard Fournette and Chris Godwin.

Tennessee Titans: Over/Under 9 Wins

The Titans had an interesting season that ended with 12 wins, a division title, and a somewhat stunning loss to Cincinnati in the divisional round. With a healthy Derrick Henry from the jump, Tennessee looks to repeat that regular-season performance.

Tennessee benefits from a pretty weak schedule, ranking 24th in overall strength. The win total is around nine or 9.5 wins, so find that whole number at nine if you want to take an over.

Washington Football Team: Over/Under 7.5 Wins

The Football Team went 7-10 a season ago and flew under its win total, perhaps underachieving to a degree in a weak division. Armed with a new name, the Commanders look to improve on that mark and go over the win total of 7.5 in the process.

A bet on Washington probably hinges on your opinions of Carson Wentz, who will be the team’s new starting quarterback. It helps that this team’s schedule ranks 31st in terms of strength.

How To Bet Win Totals

Totals fall into the ‘futures’ category. This means you place your bet, but the result will be determined at a future date, meaning the end of the regular season.

In win totals, the oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for every team in the NFL. The bettor then decides whether the team goes over or under the number set by the books.

Both sides of the bet will have moneyline odds attached to them.

These odds have a minus (-) or a plus (+) sign next to them. These will define the payout they give. The (-) sign represents the amount the bettor has to risk to win $100. The (+) signs mean the amount the bettor would win based on a $100 bet.

For example, the New York Jets projected win total is six games. You will find something like this:

New York Jets: Over 6 games (-110) / Under 6 games (-110)

In this case, both sides of the bet require you to risk $110 to win $100.

Where To Find Win Totals Bets At Online Sportsbooks

As said before, this falls under the future bets umbrella. The bettor will look for the ‘NFL Futures’ tabs in the NFL section. You can find the win totals named ‘Team Futures’ or ‘Regular-Season Wins.’

Strategy For Betting Win Totals

Line Shopping

Look for the same team totals in different sportsbooks to see which one pays the most. If the Steelers win total is 8.5 wins, and one sportsbook pays the over at -110, you can shop around and find another that pays it at +105.

Get bigger profits by shopping around at different online sportsbooks.

Recency Bias

Recency bias means the performances of a player or team in the recent past affect bettors’ decisions on a current wager.

Inflated Lines

These are the byproduct of public bettors going heavy on one team. Recency bias may impact that. The bettors can use this to find value by fading the public and get bigger payouts.