2024 AFC Betting Odds
Lukasz
Updated: Aug 15, 2023
At +600, the Kansas City Chiefs are the betting favorite to win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl.
When it comes to representing the AFC at this year’s big game, the Chiefs will have to get past some other great teams.
Teams’ Odds On Winning The NFL AFC Conference
2022 AFC Division Winners
| Team | Record | Division | ‘23 Odds to Win Division |
| Buffalo Bills | 13-3 | AFC East | +120 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 14-3 | AFC West | -180 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 12-4 | AFC North | +150 |
| JAX Jaguars | 9-8 | AFC South | -155 |
The Buffalo Bills are +900, and the Cincinnati Bengals are +1000 to be crowned Super Bowl champions.
The Ravens, Dolphins, Chargers, Jaguars, and Browns all have Super Bowl aspirations this year as well.
The AFC is clearly loaded with talented teams who will be all in on a long playoff run when the regular season ends.
The article below covers everything related to AFC betting for this upcoming NFL season.
- 2023 AFC Win Totals
- 2023 AFC Super Bowl
- 2023 AFC Division Winners
- AFC Player Awards Betting
Let’s Go!
2023 Win Totals
We can spend a lot of time handicapping NFL teams and developing our power rankings.
Or, to get an understanding of how the general market ranks teams, all we have to do is look at the Win Totals set by the sportsbooks and watch how the public bets into them.
2023 AFC – Win Totals
| Teams | Win Total | Odds To Win AFC | 2022 Record |
| KC Chiefs | +11.5 | +350 | 14-3 |
| CIN Bengals | +11.5 | +550 | 12-4 |
| BUF Bills | +10.5 | +450 | 13-3 |
| BAL Ravens | +10.5 | +900 | 10-7 |
| MIA Dolphins | +9.5 | +1300 | 9-8 |
| NY Jets | +9.5 | +1000 | 7-10 |
| CLE Browns | +9.5 | +1800 | 7-10 |
| LA Chargers | +9.5 | +1100 | 10-7 |
| JAX Jaguars | +9.5 | +1400 | 9-8 |
- At +1400, JAX has a decided advantage on most teams because the AFC South division is so weak. Despite having a win total of just +9.5, it’s all but assumed JAX will be in the playoffs as a division winner.
- The Ravens won 10 games last year, with Lamar Jackson missing four regular season games. If he can find a way to stay healthy all season long, Baltimore will be very interesting to watch this year.
- The Miami Dolphins scored a lot of points last year, and Tua Tagovailoa is similar to Lamar Jackson. When Tua is on the field, good things happen for the Dolphins.
- The New York Jets welcome Aaron Rodgers this year, and that move has seen them leapfrog their division rivals from Miami according to the odds.
- Buffalo and Kansas City are still expected to be the top two AFC teams this year, with the advantage going to the defending Super Bowl Champs from KC.
2023 AFC – To Win Super Bowl Odds
Before the 2022 NFL regular season, the Buffalo Bills were thought to be the next great AFC team. Buffalo went out and had an incredible regular season, winning 13 games and losing just three.
However, the playoffs proved to be a disappointment for Bill’s bettors.
Buffalo won their opening game against Miami 34-31. In the second round, the Bengals came into Buffalo and knocked off the home favorites, 27-10.
Of course, the Kansas City Chiefs took that opportunity to remind football fans that the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC goes through KC.
The Chiefs just got by Cincinnati 23-20, before beating the Philadelphia Eagles in the Super Bowl.
AFC Teams – Super Bowl Odds
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars |
| KC Chiefs | +600 | +600 | +600 |
| BUF Bills | +900 | +900 | +900 |
| CIN Bengals | +1100 | +1000 | +1000 |
| NY Jets | +1600 | +1600 | +1600 |
| BAL Ravens | +1800 | +1800 | +2000 |
Sportsbooks are united in how they rank the Top 5 AFC teams. The odds are very similar everywhere, with a little bit of value found with Baltimore at Caesars.
2023 AFC – Division Winner Favorites
The Bills, Chiefs, Bengals, and Jaguars won their division in 2022. All four teams are the betting favorites this year to win their division again.
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars |
| BUF – AFC East | +120 | +120 | +125 |
| KC – AFC West | -165 | -180 | -180 |
| CIN – AFC North | +150 | +150 | +160 |
| JAX – AFC South | -155 | -155 | -175 |
- The Jets and Dolphins will push Buffalo in the AFC East.
- Will the Chargers be able to close the big gap between KC and LAC?
- If Lamar Jackson can find a way to play all 17 games this year, how much will Baltimore challenge the Bengals?
- Ugh… the AFC South (JAX, TEN, IND, HOU) is really bad.
2023 AFC – Player Awards
The AFC is absolutely loaded when it comes to quarterback play.
The top four betting favorites for NFL MVP are all AFC QBs.
| Player | NFL MVP Odds | Most Passing YDS Odds |
| Patrick Mahomes | +600 | +300 |
| Josh Allen | +700 | +800 |
| Joe Burow | +700 | +900 |
| Justin Herbert | +900 | +650 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +1600 | +2000 |
| Trevor Lawrence | +1600 | +1800 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | +1600 | +2200 |
| Lamar Jackson | +1600 | +4000 |
Of the top 9 MVP betting favorites, Jalen Hurts and Dak Prescott are the only non-AFC QBs.
The other 7 are all AFC Gunslingers.
Interesting AFC East Bets To Consider
The Quarterbacks will get most of the headlines but don’t sleep on the quality RBs found in the AFC as well.
| Player | Most Rushing YDS | 2022 Rushing YDS |
| Nick Chubb | +450 | 1538 YDS |
| Derrick Henry | +650 | 1525 YDS |
| Jonathan Taylor | +650 | 861 YDS |
The Top 3 betting favorites to lead the league in rushing yards this year are all AFC RBs.
However, the Jonathan Taylor relationship in Indy does not currently look like it will work long-term!
Always Shop Around
Having a chance to sit and watch our NFL bets play out is a very entertaining way to spend a Sunday.
However, there are many bettors of all skill levels who also enjoy the handicapping process as well.
Diving into the analytics and stats to help predict the right outcome on your next bet can be part of the entertainment package.
However, how many recreational bettors realize the biggest advantage bettors of all skill levels have over the sports books is our ability to shop around for the Best Odds available.
Tua Tagovailoa showed last year that he is an elite QB capable of putting up impressive stats when he is on the field and healthy.
The odds on Tua to win the NFL MVP this year range from +1600 to +2200.
The difference in profit for a single $10 bet on Tua is $60, depending on the odds you take.
Over time, the impact on your overall ROI, when you shop around, is significant.
How To Bet On AFC Betting Odds
To bet on the AFC Champion, follow these steps:
1. Go into your sportsbook and log into your account.
2. Click on the NFL odds tab.
3. Get into the ‘Team Futures’ tab.
4. Click on ‘Conference Winner’.
5. Go to the AFC and select your team.
6. Place your bet from the bet slip tab appearing on the right side of the screen.
Betting Odds For AFC Divisions
