Best NFL Parlay Bets Week 11

Will Armitage

Updated: Nov 14, 2022

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Thanksgiving really is now just around the corner.

The weather may have started to turn for the worse, but the NFL Season is certainly hotting up! This week’s parlays see the largest spread of altitudes for my games.

One is at sea level. One is a mile up.

And one is another half-mile further up in the sky! Week 11 sees the 49ers and Cardinals head down south up to the heights of Mexico City.

It promises to be a most entertaining weekend.

Regular readers know the format by now. I choose one moneyline dawg, two spread bets, one over and one under.

The less said about my Week 10 selections, the better.

You would have done rather well by doing the opposite of my selections!

If they all win, my parlay payout would be +3100.

Remember, all five must win for my bet to be a winning one.

Moneyline – Raiders Vs. Broncos (Best Odds – +130)

Las Vegas will be happy that this road trip is closer to home compared to their two previous flights down south to New Orleans and Jacksonville.

It’s been five weeks since they last clashed with an AFC West rival.

The protagonists of the toughest division in the NFL have provided their fair share of epic games.

Hopefully, this clash in Mile High will not disappoint.

Seeing that I have the Raiders as my dawg selection this week, I don’t really care about the spectacle.

As long as DC and DA are gelling as they did back in Fresno, then I think the Silver and Black are the value underdog bet of the weekend.

The Russell Wilson aura of invincibility has waned further this season.

The 2-7 Raiders boast a 7-2 lead over the Broncos in their last 9 games.

Those two victories each came by a solitary point in Colorado in 2018 and 2019.

In trading, a popular saying is that the trend is your friend.

Well, I’m sure hoping this trend of Raiders having one over the Broncos continues this week!

Spread – Rams (+3) Vs. Saints (-107)

Weeks 9 thru 12 will be the most telling part of the Rams’ season.

The Super Bowl champions have this trappy schedule ahead of their Week 13 bye. A Florida flight to face the Bucs in Week 9.

This is followed by a return to California to host the Cards.

This week they rock up in Louisiana, having won just a third of their games this season.

Who would have expected that back in the summer?!

Next week sees them entertained by the Chiefs. That sure is a lot of air miles. Yet, in Sean McVay I have trust!

The Head Coach with the largest salary in the league had no difficulty in motivating his players on the road last season when they went 7-2.

2022 has been more of a damp squib on their travels.

Yet, the Saints were 3-5 at home last season and this season appears to follow a similar pattern.

I feel that the Rams simply have too much gold dust sprinkled throughout the team for the Saints to stop them on the ground or in the air.

The Field Goal head start for the Rams will not be enough to stop them from covering the spread and heading back west with an all-too rare victory under their belts.

Over/Under – 49ers Vs. Cardinals (43.5) (-110)

One of the premises of BestOdds has always been to help bettors bet better.

There are some simple pieces of advice that any bettor should always bear in mind.

You can read more about some of the top tips to bet better. It ranges from being a more responsible gambler to always shopping around for the best odds.

At the time of writing, FanDuel’s total was at 43.5 and DraftKings was at 45. This game will be played in the amazing Azteca stadium in Mexico City.

People think Denver’s Mile High Stadium is up in the clouds. Well, this vast arena is another 2,000 feet higher!

Expect flagging defenses to make a lot of mistakes to keep the scoreboard busy and the ball to fly high!

Spread – Eagles Vs. Colts (+9.5) (-109)

Since the summer, this line has moved a remarkable 12.5 points; from a Colts’ position as 3-point favorites to being a 9.5 point ‘dog.

The books are split between giving Indy a 8.5 point or 9.5 point start. So make sure you shop around!

If you think Indianapolis will cover the spread, make sure you take the 9.5 with Caesars rather than the 8.5 at FanDuel.

The Matt Ryan influence has been clear for all to see with the Colts this season. Jonathan Taylor is quietly doing what he does best and a great offensive line is helping him succeed.

I expect the Colts to keep tabs on the hugely talented Eagles’ combination of Offensive Line and Quarterback.

I’m happy to take Indianapolis with close to 10 points, whilst at home.

I cannot see them winning, but I can see them keeping closer tabs on the rampant Philadelphia Eagles than the books currently think.

Over/Under – Bengals Vs. Steelers (43.5) (-110)

Neither team has yet appeared in any of my under-parlay picks this season.

Last season’s surprise Super Bowl runners-up travel east to western Pennsylvania for their AFC East clash.

In the 2010s, Pittsburgh regularly culled the Bengals with a 17-3 win record. This decade has seen a reversal with Joe B arresting the dismal streak.

What is noticeable though is no matter which team has bragging rights, this is generally not a high-scoring rivalry.

Since 2010, only 28% of games have surpassed 45 points, with the average being 40 and a median of 42.

With Pittsburgh’ fans harking back to the Big Ben era, Captain Joe B not firing as consistently well as last year.

With history on my side, the under has my money on it.

You can include props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up to 15 or more depending on the sportsbook.

Parlays are wholly customizable meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go.

How many sides will be included, and how difficult is it to make each leg of the parlay or do the same game parlays.

The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds.

It’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk the money you’re prepared to lose.

How To Bet NFL Parlays

A parlay bet is a sports wager that combines several bets on one ticket alone.

Usually, you would go with moneyline bets but can use spreads, totals, and futures.

You can include props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up to 15 or more depending on the sportsbook.

Parlays are wholly customizable meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go.

How many sides will be included, and how difficult is it to make each leg of the parlay or do the same game parlays.

The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds.

It’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk the money you’re prepared to lose.

Check out NFL parlay bets week 12 for betting ideas and to lock in early odds.

If you fancy regular bets, we got the NFL week 11 odds analysis worth checking out.

Latest update: 3 hours ago
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About the author

Will has been an avid sports fan since the early 1980s. His first sporting love was a mediocre English soccer team that dwelled in the lower league...

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