NFL Week 11 Odds 2024

Author

Sean Chaffin

Updated: Nov 18, 2024

  • DraftKings logo
    Bet $5, Get $150 If Your Bet Wins
    Claim Now1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min. $5 bet. Get 1 promo code to redeem 1-month of access to NFL+ Premium and max. $250 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: dkng.co/ftball. NFL+ Premium Terms: Offer only for eligible subscribers & must be redeemed by 11:59PM 9/30/24; After 1-month promo period, subscription automatically renews each month at then-current price (currently $14.99/mth) until cancelled; Addt’l terms: nfl.com/terms. Offer expires 9/19/24 at 11:59 PM ET.

Coaching can never be underestimated in the NFL. The top teams have leaders that seemingly adjust to any situation – such as Andy Reid, Mike Tomlin, Sean McVay, Kyle Shanahan, and John Harbaugh.

Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell is adding his name to that list.

After a 10-year career as a player, Campbell went on to work as a coach for the Dolphins and Saints before landing as a head coach in Detroit in 2021.

He’s helped to completely turn the franchise around, including an appearance in the NFC Championship game last season.

Campbell now appears to have an even better squad on both sides of the ball. That doesn’t mean there won’t be struggles and that was the case in Week 10.

Amazingly, the Lions overcame five Jared Goff interceptions to win 26-23 over the Texans.

Campbell’s obvious love of his players and intensity make it easy to see why his players love him – and also make it easy to root for him. The post-game message to players below illustrates that perfectly.

The Lions may not have covered last week, but at 7-2 against the spread, Detroit will remain a favorite for many handicappers throughout the season.

Also, make sure you read our week 11 NFL parlays and prop picks at our dedicated articles.

Matchups to Watch

NFL fans are in store for some real showdowns in Week 11, with the Chiefs at Bills at the top of the list.

Kansas City remains unbeaten at 9-0 and the Bills (8-2) are a real juggernaut that keep finding ways to win – and covering 60% of the time.

The Chiefs may be unbeaten, but the Bills have also won five in a row. The Chiefs defense is leading the way this season, allowing less than 18 points per game.

Bills quarterback Josh Allen has been solid and is eighth in the league in passing yardage with 17 touchdowns and only four interceptions.

Here’s a look at some other matchups to watch this week.

  • Ravens (7-3) at Steelers (7-2) – A massive AFC North showdown that has become one of the biggest rivalries in the league. Look for plenty of hitting in this one.
  • Commanders (7-3) at Eagles (7-2) – Another huge divisional battle and crucial for the Commanders to have a chance at winning the NFC East for only the fourth time since 2000.
  • Packers (6-3) at Bears (4-5) – Neither of these want to fall too far behind in the NFC North, which is currently dominated by the 8-1 Lions. The Bears fired offensive coordinator Shane Waldron this week just 10 months after he took the job. Passing game coordinator Thomas Brown now takes over and will look to help rookie quarterback Caleb WIlliams find some footing. He sits 23rd in the league in passing yardage with just 9 touchdowns on an offense that ranks 30th in the league.
  • Bengals (4-6) at Chargers (6-3) – Is time running out for Jue Burrow and the Bengals? A 2-point conversion attempt to win the game came up short against the Ravens last week and now the squad faces another tough test. The Chargers have quietly built a nice season and look to keep pace in the playoff race.

Week 11 NFL Odds

Ready to make those selections for this week? Here’s a look at this week’s odds, courtesy of FanDuel.

MatchupBetting LineMoneylineTotal
Commanders at EaglesEagles -3.5 Commanders +168
Eagles -200
48.5
Jaguars at LionsLions -13.5Jaguars +640
Lions -950
46.5
Packers at BearsPackers -5.5Packers -240
Bears +198
40.5
Rams at PatriotsRams -4.5Rams -225
Patriots +188
43.5
Browns at SaintsSaints -1.5Browns -102
Saints -116
44.5
Vikings at TitansVikings -5.5Vikings -260
Titans +215
39.5
Raiders at DolphinsDolphins -7.5Raiders +295
Dolphins -370
44.5
Ravens at SteelersRavens -3Ravens -178
Steelers +150
48.5
Colts at JetsJets -3.5Colts +162
Jets -194
43.5
Seahawks at 49ers49ers -6.5Seahawks +240
49ers -295
48.5
Falcons at BroncosBroncos -2.5Falcons +116
Broncos -136
44.5
Chiefs at BillsBills -2.5Chiefs +114
Bills -134
46.5
Bengals at ChargersChargers -1.5Bengals +106
Chargers -124
47.5
Texans at CowboysTexans -7.5Texans -370
Cowboys +295
50.5

* The Arizona Cardinals, Carolina Panthers, New York Giants, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are on byes this week.

Interesting Prop Bets

Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson came up just a bit short of 49.5 rushing yards last week, but hopefully this week’s prop bet comes with better results.

Look for Brock Purdy to throw for 2-plus touchdowns against the Seahawks at -140 via DraftKings. Seattle has given up almost 25 points per game and isn’t great against the pass.

Picks for the People

The Lions came up just short of covering in Week 10 despite five turnovers, handing our predictions a 3-4 record last week.

A poor effort by the Falcons against the Saints did not help. Let’s get back on the horse this week.

  • Commanders at Eagles – Both teams have put up come nice point totals in recent weeks and this one seems likely to top the 48.5
  • Jaguars at Lions – Detroit should bounce back with a better performance. That 13.5 is just too high to feel great, but the over 46.5 looks good.
  • Browns at Saints – New Orleans found a way to beat the Falcons last week. The Saints are pretty dreadful, but the Browns are more dreadful. The Saints eke out a win by more than 1.5.
  • Vikings at Titans – Minnesota’s offense has dropped off a bit, but the Titans are the team to get things corrected. Look for the purple to top the 5.5-point spread. 
  • Chiefs at Bills – Could this be another preview of the AFC Championship game? The Chiefs have been perfect record-wise this year but this doesn’t seem like a perfect team. In Buffalo, look for the wins to add a blemish to KC’s record and cover that 2.5 points. Look for the total to go over 46.5 as well.
  • Texans at Cowboys – Dak Prescott is undergoing surgery this week and backup Cooper Rush was 13 of 23 against the Eagles for just 45 passing yards. Micah Parsons has returned for the Cowboys, but a win here seems unlikely. Look for the Texans to cover the 7.5. An additional interesting note: going back to the playoff game against Green Bay last season, the Cowboys have lost by an average of 22 points in five home games.

Good luck with our own picks this week!

Author

About the author

Sean Chaffin is a freelance writer and former teacher in Ruidoso, New Mexico. He has covered poker and casino gaming for many years, and is a big foot...

[Read full bio]