Mexico World Cup Odds

Claudio Fortuna

Updated: Nov 14, 2022

Mexico has been a mainstay at the World Cup for several tournaments but while they are often competitive, they have regularly struggled to be involved at the business end.

They’ll be keen to show they have the technical ability to be competitive in Qatar and they have plenty of stars who could help them achieve that.

As mentioned, Mexico is regular at the World Cup, and their appearance in Qatar will mean they’ve participated in every tournament since 1994.

They secured their spot in the 2022 renewal by finishing runners-up in the CONCACAF group, where they were just pipped at the post by Canada on goal difference.

While the Mexican squad might not have quite the star power of some previous ones, coach Gerardo Martino still has plenty of talent at his disposal.

Wolves striker Raul Jimenez is a match for anyone on his day, while Hirving Lozano of Napoli is a more than able understudy.

Throw in the young and precocious duo of Diego Lainez and Julian Araujo and there is certainly enough here to ruffle a few feathers.

Mexico Team Odds To Win World Cup

Mexico is one of the more unfancied nations for the World Cup at a price of 90/1 (+9000).

They’re not without a chance in Qatar, but as the odds suggest, it would be a pretty big shock if they emerged victorious.

Mexico’s high odds in the outright betting might be in part due to a tough draw in Group C, which sees them take on Argentina, Poland, and Saudi Arabia.

Mexico is 9/2 (+450) to win the group, while they are 5/6 (-120) to qualify, which, given the ability both Argentina and Poland have, would be a good achievement.

The Argentinians, of course, have the likes of Lionel Messi within their ranks.

So this group could come down to a straight fight between Mexico and Poland for who comes second and thus makes it through to the knockout stages.

This is a Mexico side that has a habit of getting out of the group stage but falling at the first hurdle in the knockout round.

In fact, the Mexicans have made it through to the knockout round in each of the last seven tournaments but have been beaten in the last 16 on all seven occasions.

They’ve had to face the likes of Germany, Argentina, Brazil, and the Netherlands in those encounters, so it’s perhaps not surprising they’ve been knocked out.

They are 4/1 (+400) – original odds: 7/2 (+350) – to buck that trend and reach the quarter-finals at last in 2022, while they are 11/1 (+1100) – original odds: 9/1 (+900) – to make it to the semi-finals.

If you think they can make the final, they are 33/1 (+3300) – original odds: 25/1 (+2500) – to do so.

How To Bet On Mexican Team In Qatar

If you want to be successful in betting on Mexico at the World Cup, it’s very important to be familiar with the huge number of markets that will be available on the sites of each bookmaker during the tournament.

If you are aware of how things work, know what to look out for, and are confident with the intricacies of the website, you’re going to be in a good position to place a successful bet.

Here’s a list of popular types of bets to keep in mind when betting on Mexico at the World Cup this winter.

Player Prop Bets

Mexico will look to Wolves’ striker Raul Jimenez as a major source of goals at the World Cup.

He’ll be key to their chances of qualification, and he might be a good candidate for a player prop bet.

This type of bet involves betting on a specific player’s performance, so in Jimenez’s case, this could be for him to open the scoring against Poland.

Team Prop Bets

Some punters are less interested in the actual outcome of a match and more so in what goes on during the contest.

They might not think Mexico can beat Germany, but instead, they’ll think they can score at least 0.5 goals against them.

This would be an example of a team prop bet.

Asian Handicap

Mexico has been drawn into a tough group, with Germany and Poland looking as particularly challenging opponents.

In the matches against those two nations, they’re likely to start the match as the underdogs, and for many, that will be an impossible task.

The Asian handicap market gives one team a virtual advantage by a specific number of goals.

So, if Mexico were playing Germany that aforementioned advantage might be 2.5 goals, meaning that Mexico is effectively starting the match-winning 2.5-0.

This means that punters might not think Mexico can beat their opponents, but believe they can lose by two goals or less.

So if Germany wins 3-1, the bet is successful as Mexico has covered the handicap.

Goal Lines

Mexico’s defence looks potentially weak and their attack stronger, so there’s good reason to suggest their matches might involve plenty of goals.

Goal lines bets enable you to bet on the total number of goals that will be scored during a match.

During Mexico’s match with Argentina at the World Cup, with so much attacking quality on show, you’d expect there to be plenty of goals, so you might look to back over 4.5 goals being scored in total.

Totals Bets

Each bookmaker will set the total number of goals they think will be scored during a match at the World Cup.

Totals bets are those where punters can decide if there are going to be more or fewer goals scored than this predicted number.

For example, In Mexico’s match with Poland, a bookmaker might predict a total of six goals being scored.

It’s then the punters’ decision to decide whether this number is too high or too low and then bet accordingly.

How To Sign Up At Sportsbook & Place A Bet On Mexico

Whether you’re wanting to back Mexico to win the World Cup or simply see them make it out of their group, there are a few simple steps that one should follow.

Online betting is very much the norm these days as technology has vastly improved the user experience.

Here are a few key pointers to be aware of when making a bet online for the World Cup.

If you haven’t already, you need to open an online betting account.

There are a whole host of bookies out there, all of whom will be offering lots of different sign-up offers to new accounts, particularly at big tournaments or events like the World Cup.

Once you’re signed up and have found the market you like the look of, for example, Hirving Lozano to score first for Mexico against Argentina, you then need to add the chosen bet to your betting slip:

  1. Click on the odds to add the chosen bet to your betting slip.
  2. Select how much you’d like to bet in your chosen currency.
  3. If you haven’t already done so, you’ll need to deposit money into your account using the deposit function. You’ll likely be prompted to do this when placing the bet.
  4. If there’s money already in your account, then you can go ahead and click ‘place bet’. Your betting slip will then confirm the bet has been placed successfully.
  5. Lots of bookmakers these days have live updates within their websites which provide ‘cash out’ options, so it’s best to keep an eye on this during a match at the World Cup, especially if your selection is looking like it might not win.

Mexico Team Overview For Qatar

Mexico has hosted the World Cup twice and interestingly the country’s best two performances at the famous tournament came on those two occasions.

They reached the quarter-finals of the competition in 1970 and 1986 and those remain their best finishes in their 16 World Cup appearances.

As mentioned, they have consistently made it out of their group – having made the knockout stages in all of the last seven tournaments – but have failed to progress past the round of 16, so that will be their big aim this time around.

If, as expected, they finish second in Group C, it’s likely they’ll face reigning champions France, which certainly won’t be easy.

Will they extend this unwelcome statistic to eight consecutive last-16 exits?

Key Football Players

This is certainly not a Mexican squad that is quite as strong as it once was.

Talisman Javier Hernandez doesn’t appear to be needed anymore, while another former star in Andres Guardado has struggled with injuries.

That’s not to say they haven’t got plenty of talent within their ranks with Raul Jimenez of Wolves a great option up front.

The 31-year-old has not had his best season for his club, but he’s shown he can perform when needed on the big stage in the past, and he’ll be hoping to do so again.

He scored two goals in four games on his return from injury in qualifying and his goals will be crucial to Mexico’s World Cup chances.

Their attack looks decent with Jimenez supported by Hirving Lozano and Diego Lainez. Both have the real ability on their day and Gerardo Martino will be hoping they find their shooting boots in Qatar.

The defence does look a bit threadbare with veteran defender Hector Moreno now 34 and as yet an able replacement hasn’t been found.

Sevilla’s Jesus Corona is a solid defensive screen, but he’s known to be inconsistent, and his covering of the defence will be needed in abundance.

Guillermo Ochoa is a solid keeper but at 37 years of age, he’s probably past his best now, so there are definite questions to answer at the back for Mexico when they take to the field in Qatar.

Injury List

Mexico have a couple of injury problems to be concerned about. 

Winger Tecacito, capped 71 times by his nation, is unlikely to play any part in the tournament after fracturing his fibula in August.

In addition, Wolves striker Raul Jimenez has missed the past few games with a hip injury, though he is likely to return to training before their tournament opener against Poland. 

Coaching & Technical Staff

Mexico is led by Argentinian manager Gerardo ‘Tata’ Martino, an experienced coach who has plenty of experience at the highest level.

He has coached at both Barcelona and Argentina in the past and although his spells at both didn’t last long, he would have learned plenty from his time in charge.

He brought plenty of success to Atlanta United in the MLS and then joined the Mexican project ahead of this World Cup journey.

He has led them to top the CONCACAF rankings and will hope to draw on the experience he has gathered during his time in a variety of managerial roles when he takes his side to Qatar.

Martino is supported by his assistant Jorge Theiler, who has been in the role since January 2019.

He assisted Martino when the manager was in charge at Atlanta United and they have built up a solid partnership together.

Completing the Mexican coaching team are Norberto Scoponi, the goalkeeping coach, Rodolfo Paladini, the fitness coach, and Damián Silvero, the video analyst.

All have been working with Martino since he took the job in January 2019.

Mexico Team Road To Qatar

Mexico enjoyed a solid qualifying campaign. They aren’t the most thrilling team to watch with their coach Gerardo Martino often employing a pragmatic approach in the way he sets his team up.

His side finished second in the CONCACAF World Cup qualifying group, just losing out to Canada on goal difference.

But with seven wins, four draws, and just two defeats, it was a solid showing and one which secured their place in the World Cup finals in Qatar.

They went undefeated in their final seven qualifying games, conceding just once in the process –evidence this is a side that is set to ensure it doesn’t concede goals and knows how to shut up shop.

The fact plenty of the defensive units are towards the end of their careers could be perceived as a negative but is arguably a further feather in the cap of their manager and his meticulous planning.

Mexico showed in their qualifying campaign they will make it hard for the opposition to break them down.

You can imagine that they’ll look to beat teams on the counter-attack or via set-pieces in Qatar this winter, as it’s likely they’ll have limited possession against the likes of Argentina and Poland, and any of the other bigger teams that await in the knockout stages.

Mexico’s World Cup History

Qatar will mark Mexico’s 17th appearance at the World Cup.

Their best finishes came when hosting the tournament in 1970 and 1986 when they reached the quarter-final stage.

They are World Cup regulars and have been consistent in making it to the knockout stages, but they have regularly come unstuck in the last 16 when taking on a better calibre of opposition.

They have had some tough tests over the years against the likes of Argentina and Brazil, but they’ve also gone down to Bulgaria and United States, so they could easily have bucked the trend.

Mexican Fans

Mexican fans are hugely passionate and really get behind their team for the big football tournaments.

They come out in force and it’s rare that at the end of the stadium they watch the action form isn’t a sea of green.

Fans often wear huge sombreros and paint their faces to show their support for the players on the pitch.

You can expect to see more of the same in Qatar and if the Mexicans can start well, it’s likely that the roars from their supporters will get louder and louder.

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About the author

He has been involved in the sports betting industry for years as a producer and handicapper specifically focusing on the EPL and other football lea...

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