Best NFL Parlay Bets Week 3
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Parlay Picks by Will Armitage. Will has been an avid sports fan since the early 1980s. His first sporting love was a mediocre English soccer team that dwelled in the lower leagues for decades. He since has switched allegiance to the EPL’s Arsenal. Every year since 1994, he has bet on the Minnesota Vikings to lift the Vince Lombardi. He is still waiting to be paid….
If you’re looking for sure picks, below are my best parlay bets for NFL Week 3.
Each week, I produce my idea of a value five-leg parlay where I choose one moneyline underdog, one over, one under, and a couple of spread bets.
Should I manage to land all five, then the payout would be just over +3000 which would be an exciting return.
Moneyline – Packers Vs. Buccaneers – (Best Odds – +150)
Green Bay’s recent successes have been predicated upon their Lambeau Field fortress, no matter the time of year.
You would not normally envisage a team with a generally poor traveling form especially to warm weather stadia as being a value underdog.
However, my take on this game of former NFC Central rivals is that, despite the Bucs sitting at 2-0, the GOAT. They were not at their best against Dallas or New Orleans. I believe Green Bay will provide a much sterner test.
I had expected this to be a -110 each of two-match come mid-September. However, the sportsbooks are pricing up the Packers between +138 to +150 underdogs.
Davante Adams may well have headed to Nevada and lost his first two games.
But with Aaron Rodgers on fire against the Bears at the weekend, he’ll be wishing he’d stayed one more year.
The battle of the golden oldies will be won by the “youngster” at just 38 years of age: one Aaron Charles Rodgers.
Over/Under – 49ers Vs. Broncos (43) (-110)
With the mercurial and re-energized Russell Wilson bringing a new belief to Mile High and a free-scoring San Francisco team coming to town, this game screams out to be a high-scoring, high-altitude, high-octane affair.
Poor Trey Lance! His broken ankle in their victory over the Seahawks has opened the door for Jimmy G to return under center. He will keep the scoreboard ticking over.
The Broncos will go toe-to-toe throughout.
The line for this game was originally up at 46.5. These teams scored exactly 43 points in their Week 2 victories. I was happy to have taken 46.5.
The total of 43 at Caesars and PointsBet appears all the more attractive now.
Remember the score-fest we witnessed back in Super Bowl XXIV when Montana et al steamrollered John Elway’s team 55-10.
I expect a similarly entertaining show to be put on.
Spread – Steelers (+3.5) Vs. Browns (-110)
Cleveland would have been hoping to be 2-0 ahead of their first challenge against an AFC North rival. Seemingly like most teams in the NFL so far this season, both teams sit at 1-1.
When I first made the selection for this leg of my parlay, I was anticipating a Pickett against Watson clash.
Instead, we shall see two different starters under center.
However, I still maintain my stance that this divisional road underdog catching more than a field goal is too tempting.
As to whether the Steelers can win, I’m not sure. But it promises to be a closely fought affair. Will Mitch silence the Dawg Pound? We shall soon see…
Over/Under – Cowboys Vs. Giants (40) (-110)
The Giants are enjoying a two-game winning streak thanks to their low-scoring victory in Week 2 against the Panthers.
I expect history to repeat itself.
By that, I mean that those fans who brave the game of two previous superstars of the sport at the Met Life will be in for another low-scoring affair.
As to whether the Giants can surprise nearly every NFL commentator by starting 3-0, we shall soon find out.
If they can grind out a victory, it’s not going to be pretty and the scoreboard will not be busy.
This total has done nothing but fall since it was first released. It now is at 40 points. This still feels on the high side.
The issue is that you cannot change a team that sat bottom of the NFC in points scored into chart-toppers over the course of one post-season and the game against the Cowboys will be a case in point.
Spread – Eagles (-4) Vs. Commanders (-110)
When I first wrote about this game, there was a huge discrepancy between two of the most famous sportsbooks, Caesars and Draftkings. DraftKings was a pick’em, whereas Caesars was at -2.5.
This acutely demonstrated the importance of shopping around for the best odds before placing your wager.
Imagine you are part of a WhatsApp group chat discussing your betting performance after the game.
Can you imagine the frustration if the result is a one-point victory for the Eagles and you hadn’t shopped around for the best odds (at BestOdds) and you were left with a busted parlay?!
Could you face the ignominy of your buddies’ banter deriding your decision not to have looked for the optimal price?
I mean, you shop for the best entry point when trading shares, why wouldn’t you shop for the best odds before placing a bet?
As it stands, these two sportsbooks now agree on the correct line to be -4. My view is that Philly would be a bet all the way to -6.5.
How To Bet NFL Parlays
A parlay bet is a sports wager that combines several bets on one ticket alone.
Usually, you would go with moneyline bets but can use spreads, totals, and futures.
You can include props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up to 15 or more depending on the sportsbook.
Parlays are wholly customizable meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go.
How many sides will be included, and how difficult is it to make each leg of the parlay or do the same game parlays.
The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds.
It’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk the money you’re prepared to lose.
Check out NFL parlay bets week 4 for betting ideas and to lock in early odds.
If you fancy regular bets, we got the NFL week 3 odds analysis worth checking out.