MLB Best Player Props Today – August 29th, 2025

We’re back with a jam-packed slate on Friday, featuring plenty of exploitable matchups to target for MLB player props today. We’re going with three pitcher props for this evening. Today’s bets feature two earned run props and one strikeout prop.

We’ll start with Chicago Cubs’ right-hander Cade Horton against the Colorado Rockies. Then, we’ll move on to Texas Rangers’ righty Jack Leiter against the Athletics. Finally, we’ll fade Houston Astros’ starter Cristian Javier as he takes on the Los Angeles Angels.

Keep reading to find my best MLB player props for August 29, 2025.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Cade Horton Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-120) at Fliff

Horton is having an impressive rookie season, registering a 2.88 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 93.2 innings.

The Cubs’ righty has been in a terrific rhythm lately, allowing a combined two earned runs in his last seven starts, spanning 37 innings.

While this is a projected high-scoring game in the most hitter-friendly environment at Coors Field, I’m willing to take a shot on Horton keeping it rolling, given his recent performance.

It also helps that the Cubs have limited Horton’s pitch count to about 85 pitches over this stretch, as they try to preserve their first-year starter.

We’re getting a good price at Fliff at -120, since this is as short as -140 at DraftKings.

Odds Comparison for Cade Horton Under 2.5 Earned Runs

Sportsbook	Odds
Fliff	-120
Caesars	-130
Hard Rock Bet	-130
BetMGM	-130
DraftKings	-140

Jack Leiter Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+120) at Caesars

Leiter is on a roll for the Rangers right now, allowing two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven outings.

This is highlighted by a dominant start in his last turn, where he tossed seven scoreless innings with zero walks and 10 strikeouts against the Cleveland Guardians.

The hot stretch has boosted Leiter’s overall numbers to a respectable 3.81 ERA in 115.2 innings.

Like Horton, Leiter is in a tough spot in a home run haven at Sutter Health Park as he takes on the Athletics, but I’m willing to take the plunge because we’re getting plus money.

Take advantage of the decent deal at Caesars at +120, since this is listed at +115 elsewhere.

Odds Comparison for Jack Leiter Under 2.5 Earned Runs

Sportsbook	Odds
Caesars	+120
DraftKings	+115
Hard Rock Bet	+115
BetMGM	+115
Fliff	3.5 (-180)

Cristian Javier Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120) at Hard Rock Bet

Javier has struggled in three starts since returning from Tommy John surgery, putting up a 5.40 ERA with 10 strikeouts in 10 innings.

The Astros’ righty has failed to get past the fifth inning in each of those outings.

While this is a good matchup against the strikeout-prone Angels, it feels like too high a bar at 5.5 strikeouts, given what we’ve seen from Javier so far.

We all know how it takes time for pitchers to return to form following Tommy John, so it’s not surprising to see Javier have a tough time.

You can get an amazing deal at Hard Rock Bet at +120, since this is priced at -125 at DraftKings and -130 at Fliff.

Odds Comparison for Cristian Javier Under 5.5 Strikeouts

Sportsbook	Odds
Hard Rock Bet	+120
BetMGM	-110
DraftKings	-125
FanDuel	-128
Fliff	-130