MLB Best Player Props Today – September 12th, 2025

We’re back with a jam-packed slate on Friday, featuring plenty of exploitable matchups to target for MLB player props today. We’re going with three pitcher props for this evening. Today’s bets feature two strikeout props and one earned run prop.

We’ll start with Detroit Tigers’ ace Tarik Skubal against the Miami Marlins. Then, we’ll move on to Texas Rangers’ righty Jacob deGrom against the Mets. Finally, we’ll ride with Baltimore Orioles’ lefty Trevor Rogers as he takes on the Toronto Blue Jays.

Keep reading to find my best MLB player props for September 12, 2025.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

Tarik Skubal Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-112) at FanDuel

Skubal is having another phenomenal season, registering a 2.10 ERA and 0.86 WHIP with 28 walks and 222 strikeouts in 180 innings.

The Tigers’ ace and reigning AL Cy Young has 11 games with double-digit strikeouts this year, so 8+ is a reasonable bar for him, especially against the Marlins.

While Miami has the fifth-lowest strikeout rate against lefties this season, this is a great spot in a pitcher-friendly environment, where Skubal is likely to pitch deep into this game due to this underwhelming lineup.

In other words, I’m not too concerned with Miami’s strikeout rate because Skubal can get to 8+ punchouts with volume, as I can easily see a seven-inning outing here.

We’re getting a good price at FanDuel at -112, since this is as short as -122 at Caesars.

Odds Comparison for Tarik Skubal Over 7.5 Strikeouts

Sportsbook	Odds
FanDuel	-112
bet365	-115
BetMGM	-115
Hard Rock Bet	-120
Caesars	-122

Jacob deGrom Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-160) at BetMGM

deGrom has had a terrific season for the Rangers, registering a 2.78 ERA and 0.93 WHIP with 35 walks and 169 strikeouts in 155.2 innings.

The Rangers’ ace has six or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine outings, so this is a clearly attainable number for him.

That’s why I’m willing to pay -160 juice on this prop, since this number has moved up to 6.5 elsewhere, including at DraftKings.

Bet on deGrom to turn in a strong performance against his former team, the Mets.

Odds Comparison for Jacob deGrom Over 5.5 Strikeouts

Sportsbook	Odds
BetMGM	-160
bet365	-165
Hard Rock Bet	-165
FanDuel	-174
DraftKings	6.5 (+106)

Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-120) at Hard Rock Bet

Rogers has been one of the biggest surprises in MLB this season, returning from injury to put up a 1.51 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 95.2 innings.

The Orioles’ lefty has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 14 of 15 starts this season.

Despite that, we only need to pay -120 on the Under here. I understand the Blue Jays have a pesky lineup, but I can’t pass up this kind of hit rate.

This is up to -125 at bet365, so we can take advantage of the slight discount at Hard Rock Bet (-120).

Odds Comparison for Trevor Rogers Under 2.5 Earned Runs

Sportsbook	Odds
Hard Rock Bet	-120
BetMGM	-120
Caesars	-120
DraftKings	-122
bet365	-125