2026 AFC South Betting Odds
The AFC South race has tightened up considerably and the Jaguars (9-4) have overtaken the Colts for the top spot with just a few weeks remaining.
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The Colts sit at 8-5 and have been reeling a bit over the last few weeks, including a critical 36-19 loss to the Jaguars in Week 14. The Colts have a shot at the playoffs, but lost quarterback Daniel Jones with a torn Achilles in the loss to Jacksonville.
The team has even resorted to bringing Phillip Rivers out of retirement at age 44. It will be interesting to see if Rivers has anything left, but his work may involve handing off even more to RB Jonathan Taylor. The schedule doesn’t get easy as the Jags head to Seattle in Week 15 and then finish the season with matchups against the 49ers, Jaguars, and Texans.
Houston is also hot at 8-5 and continues to look solid. The top teams in the division all at least have a shot at wild card playoff berths, but additional Colts losses could mean Indy’s hopes get dashed.
On the other end of the spectrum lies the Titans at 2-11. The squad has at least shown some competitiveness lately. But at 6-7 against the spread, bettors have mostly been rewarded for taking Tennessee’s opponents.
Odds to Win 2025 AFC South Entering Week 15
| Team | Current Odds to Win AFC South | Odds to Win AFC South Entering Week 9 | Odds to Win AFC South Entering Week 5 | Odds to Win AFC South Entering Week 3 | Preseason Odds to Win AFC South |
| Indianapolis Colts | +2700 | -270 | +100 | +125 | +290 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | -185 | +280 | +125 | +190 | +340 |
| Houston Texans | +170 | +1400 | +650 | +310 | +110 |
| Tennessee Titans | NA | +10000 | +10000 | +1700 | +700 |
The Colts’ loss to the Jaguars was huge and the odds of the squad winning the division have fallen dramatically. Indy will need plenty of help to retake the top spot with the Jags now the odds-on favorite to win.
The Jaguars sat at +340 to start the season, but it will not cost you $100 to earn $170 on the team to win the division. Houston also still has a shot and the team’s stock has risen considerably since earlier in the season.
The Texans have won six of the last seven and could offer some value later in the season. That could come via some favorable matchups against the Cardinals, Raiders, and even the Colts in the final week of the season.
2025 AFC South Win Totals
The story has certainly changed after 14 weeks of play with the number of expected wins for the Colts falling significinatly. Meanwhile, the Jaguars and Texans win totals continue to edge up.
The Jags have significantly outpaced win total predictions and those taking the over 7.5 at the beginning of the season have been rewarded. That over/under now sits at 8.5 and topping that seems highly likely.
Here’s a look at the AFC South projected win totals and their betting odds as we kick off Week 15.
| Team | Current Win Total and Betting Odds | Win Totals and Betting Odds After Week 9 | Win Totals and Betting Odds After Week 5 | Win Totals and Betting Odds After Week 3 | Preseason Win Total and Betting Odds |
| Indianapolis Colts | O/U 8.5 | (-230/+190) | O/U 11.5 | (-145/+125) | O/U 10.5 | (+115/-140) | O/U 9.5 | (+105/-125) | O/U 7.5 | (+100/-120) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | O/U 10.5 | (-1250/+750) | O/U 9.5 | (-120/+100) | O/U 9.5 | (-140/+120) | O/U 8.5 | (-110/-110) | O/U 7.5 | (-115/-105) |
| Houston Texans | O/U 10.5 | (-250/+210) | O/U 7.5 | (+110/-130) | O/U 7.5 | (+105/-130) | O/U 7.5 | (-105/-115) | O/U 9.5 | (+105/-125) |
| Tennessee Titans | O/U 2.5 | (-200/+170) | O/U 3.5 | (+120/-140) | O/U 3.5 | (+110/-135) | O/U 4.5 | (-125/-105) | O/U 5.5 | (-145/+125) |
- After their 6-1 start to the season, the Colts have fallen significantly.
- The Jags have seen a three-game improvement from their preseason win total projection moving from 7.5 to 10.5 after a respectable 4-3 start to the season. Oddsmakers appear now to believe the AFC South will have two teams winning double-digit games in 2025.
- The Texans began with a projected win total of 9.5 games and a woeful offense has sank that projection to 7.5 with juice favoring the under. The team has now improved with the same win total as the Jags at 10.5.
- The Titans are on a collision course with securing one of the top overall picks yet again. The Titans are now favored to finish with three wins or fewer in 2025, the second lowest projected win total in the NFL behind the Jets.
2025 AFC South – To Win Super Bowl 60 Odds
If the Super Bowl 60 champion is to come from the AFC South, it most certainly would be the Texans or Jaguars at this point.
The Jaguars currently boast the top record in the division and their Super Bowl odds have moved from 65-1 at the start of the season to 20-1 as we enter Week 15.
The Texans have also seen their odds to win the Super Bowl improve, rising from 22-1 to start the season to 16-1 now. Bettors looking for a longshot that can still produce some nice returns, may consider one of these options..
Here’s how the division looks for odds to win the Super Bowl.
AFC South Teams – Super Bowl LX Odds
| Team | Current Odds to Win Super Bowl | Odds to Win Super Bowl LX Entering Week 9 | Odds to Win Super Bowl LX Entering Week 5 | Odds to Win Super Bowl LX Entering Week 3 | Preseason Odds to Win Super Bowl |
| Indianapolis Colts | +22500 | +1300 | +2700 | +4000 | +8000 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +2000 | +3500 | +3000 | +5000 | +6500 |
| Houston Texans | +1600 | +6000 | +5500 | +4000 | +2200 |
| Tennessee Titans | NA | +40000 | +40000 | +40000 | +17500 |
2025 AFC South – Player MVP Odds
If the NFL MVP is to come from the AFC South it looked most likely to be Daniel Jones before his season-ending injury, although he was still a longshot.
Jones. CJ Stroud, and Cam Ward have all been taken off the board, at least at FanDuel. The only possibility remains Trevor Lawrence, but he would have to get extremely hot in the last month of action to ge the nod.
The AFC South related betting odds for NFL MVP are below.
| Player | Current Odds to Win NFL MVP | Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 9 | Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 5 | Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 3 | Preseason Odds to Win NFL MVP |
| Daniel Jones (Colts) | NA | +2200 | +5000 | +8000 | +20000 |
| C.J. Stroud (Texans) | NA | +50000 | +20000 | +5000 | +2500 |
| Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) | +30000 | +50000 | +10000 | +6000 | +4500 |
| Cam Ward (Titans) | NA | NR | NR | +17500 | +10000 |
Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners
1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the NFL tab.
3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.
4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.
5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.
