NFL MVP Odds 2025

A familiar name is now atop the odds board, looking to claim his third career MVP award. Patrick Mahomes is the short favorite at +125. Mahomes has guided the Chiefs out of choppy waters after a rocky start. Kansas City has overcome injuries, suspensions, and the lingering effects of being embarrassed in the Super Bowl this past February by the Eagles. After starting the season 0-2, the Chiefs have won four of their last five games and look as strong as ever.

For most of the season, the odds-on favorite to win MVP was reigning league MVP Josh Allen, whose odds dropped to as low as -110 in some spots entering Week 6. He’s now listed as the second-shortest favorite at +350, largely due to a two-game losing streak the Bills carried into their bye week. Despite that stumble, Allen remains a very strong candidate.

The biggest surprise on the odds board is the rise of second-year quarterback Drake Maye. After the Patriots slipped to 1-2 with an ugly home loss to the Steelers, Maye was listed anywhere from 100-1 to 125-1 to win MVP. Since then, Maye and the Patriots have been white-hot, winning four straight games. His dazzling performance on Sunday Night Football in Buffalo conjured memories of Tom Brady’s dominance over Bills Mafia for so many years.

Maye now carries the third-shortest odds to win MVP at +700. If you have a Maye futures ticket in hand, you’re sitting on a potentially juicy profit should he pull off what once seemed unthinkable just a few weeks ago.

Before we jump into the rest of the MVP race, here’s a look at the current odds as we enter Week 8.

Week 8 NFL MVP Odds Report

Player	Current Odds to Win NFL MVP	Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 6	Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 4	Preseason Odds to Win NFL MVP
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)	+125	+470	+2500	+650
Josh Allen (Bills)	+350	+135	+220	+600
Drake Maye (Patriots)	+700	+3000	+10000	+6000
Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)	+900	+700	+1600	+2500
Matthew Stafford (Rams)	+1200	+1400	+2000	+4000
Jared Goff (Lions)	+1800	+1400	+3000	+3500
Dak Prescott (Cowboys)	+2200	+1700	+5000	+3000
Daniel Jones (Colts)	+2200	+2700	+4000	+20000
Jordan Love (Packers)	+2500	+1400	+1400	+2000
Justin Herbert (Chargers)	+2500	+2000	+500	+2000

The Favorite

Patrick Mahomes (+125) – QB – Kansas City Chiefs

The more things change, the more they stay the same.

The Chiefs opened the season with back-to-back losses, and it looked as though their descent back to Earth was finally underway. Well, in the words of the timeless Lee Corso: “Not so fast, my friend!”

With Xavier Worthy and Rashee Rice back in the lineup, a defense that looks as sharp as ever, and Patrick Mahomes at the center of it all, Kansas City appears to be returning to the form we have all come to expect. Mahomes’ MVP candidacy has not been this strong in quite some time.

The Chiefs are 4-1 since their 0-2 start, with their only defeat coming in a Monday Night Football matchup against the Jaguars, a game they let slip away. Now, they look poised to rattle off a serious run, and with Josh Allen and the Bills visiting in Week 9, Mahomes has the chance to put the rest of the MVP field firmly behind him with a signature performance in what could be a preview of the AFC Championship.

Best MVP Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+125)

The Contenders

Josh Allen (+350) – QB – Buffalo Bills

The defending NFL MVP looked to be well on his way to securing his second consecutive award, but the Bills defense has not been doing their franchise quarterback many favors. The Patriots and Falcons each picked apart Buffalo’s defensive unit in their last two games.

Buffalo returns from its bye week to face the Panthers in Week 8, and they will need their quarterback to don the Superman cape once again. Not only do they have to deal with the Chiefs resurgence in the AFC, but the Patriots are hot on their heels and currently lead the division standings.

As mentioned above, the biggest game of the young season looms next weekend when the Bills visit the Chiefs. First, though, they must avoid the land mine that is a dangerous Carolina team that plays excellent at home and owns the third-best rushing offense in football. The Bills defense ranks 31st against the run, so Allen may once again have to put the team on his back to end the two-game skid and get their season back on track.

If Allen can lead Bills Mafia to wins in the next two weeks, he will be a near lock to return to the top of the MVP leaderboard. However, it feels like his MVP chances depend heavily on these upcoming games.

Best MVP Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+350)

Drake Maye (+700) – QB – New England Patriots

Every season there seems to be a quarterback who makes the unexpected leap from good to star, and this year that player is Drake Maye.

To call Maye an afterthought in the MVP race after New England’s Week 3 home loss to the Steelers would have been generous. The Patriots turned the ball over five times in that 21-14 defeat, including two giveaways at the Steelers’ 2-yard line. Following that loss, Maye’s MVP odds fell anywhere from 100-1 to 125-1, and outside of the most die-hard Patriots fans, no one considered him a realistic candidate.

It turns out we were all wrong. The Patriots have not lost since that Week 3 clunker, with Maye throwing for 959 yards and seven touchdowns during their four-game winning streak. He currently leads all starting quarterbacks in completion percentage and holds the best passer rating among those who have played every game this season.

Catching Mahomes and Allen will not be easy, but Maye has established himself as a legitimate contender. Given New England’s remaining schedule, he is unlikely to fade from the MVP conversation anytime soon.

Best MVP Betting Odds: BetMGM (+750)

Baker Mayfield (+900) – QB – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Just a few short weeks ago, it was Baker Mayfield who appeared to be emerging as the strongest threat to Josh Allen’s throne. He had just come off an incredible performance against the Seahawks, throwing for 379 yards and two touchdowns with only four incompletions, and Tampa had improved to an NFC-best 4-1.

Since then, the Buccaneers have split their last two games, dominating the 49ers at home before dropping a 24-9 Monday Night Football matchup to the Lions in Week 7. While Baker remains a viable candidate for the award, Drake Maye has surpassed him on the odds board, and Mayfield now sits at +900 to claim his first MVP.

Tampa’s wide receiving corps is battered, with Mike Evans expected to miss most of the season with a broken collarbone and Chris Godwin back on the injured list. Emeka Egbuka is also playing through a pulled hamstring, leaving Baker with fewer weapons each week. If he continues to play at a high level, he will still get plenty of credit, but the path will be an uphill climb given how depleted the Buccaneers’ offense has become.

Best MVP Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+900)

Names To Watch

Matthew Stafford (+1200) – QB – Los Angeles Rams

Remember all that chatter about Stafford’s health and possible retirement? Yeah, it turns out all of that was a bunch of bologna.

Stafford has been sensational in his age-37 season, entering Week 8 with the second-most passing yards in the NFL and an NFL-best 17 touchdown passes. In Week 7, the Rams made the long trip from Los Angeles to London, and all the ageless veteran did was throw five touchdown passes on the day, despite Puka Nacua being sidelined with an ankle injury.

The Rams are one of the top contenders in the NFC, and if they can emerge from a loaded NFC West, Stafford is a name to watch as he could give the current MVP frontrunners a serious challenge.

Best MVP Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+1200)

Jared Goff (+1800) – QB – Detroit Lions

Jared Goff remains a remote threat to win the MVP award, but his chances took a significant blow when he was unable to guide the Lions to a big road win over the Chiefs in Week 6.

Goff has played outstanding football for the Lions, throwing for over 1600 yards with 15 touchdowns and only three interceptions, but he will need the quarterbacks in front of him to stub their toe a few times before he can get back within striking distance to become a serious contender for the award.

Best MVP Betting Odds: BetMGM Sportsbook (+2000)

Dak Prescott (+2200) – QB – Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have the top offense in football and have paired that explosive group with the worst defense in football. It’s a combustible situation that is likely to leave the Cowboys closer to .500 than contending in the NFC, however, Dak Prescott has been lighting up the box score each week to where if the defense can just marginally improve, his MVP chances should not be overlooked just yet.

Dak enters Week 8 with the most passing yards in the NFC with 1,881 and has thrown 16 touchdowns this season with only three interceptions. His MVP fate, much like Josh Allen’s, relies largely on a terrible defense making enough stops week over week to open up the door for the offense to steal the victory.

Best MVP Betting Odds: BetMGM Sportsbook (+2500)

Daniel Jones (+2200) – QB – Indianapolis Colts

One of the most fascinating stories to emerge from the first seven weeks of the NFL season is the strong play of the Indianapolis Colts, with Daniel Jones serving as the latest example of what can happen when you no longer play football in the New York metropolitan area.

If the MVP award were not so heavily tilted toward quarterbacks, Jonathan Taylor would likely have the strongest case on the Colts roster. He has been unstoppable to start the season. Still, Daniel Jones has been outstanding, throwing for nearly 1,800 yards with 10 touchdowns and only three interceptions. The artist formerly known as Danny Dimes has also added four more scores with his legs, helping lead the Colts to a 6-1 start.

For Jones to become a true MVP candidate, he will need a statement victory to solidify his résumé. That chance could come in Week 12 when Indianapolis travels to Arrowhead Stadium.

Best MVP Betting Odds: DraftKings Sportsbook (+2500)

Pizza Bet Long Shot

Sam Darnold (+3300) – QB – Seattle Seahawks

We’ve been banging the drum for Slingin’ Sammy Darnold all season and we’re not backing off now. The Seahawks are a legitimate threat in the NFC and Darnold has created quite the connection with NFL leading receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

While Darnold remains a distant long shot at 33-1, he has helped guide the Seahawks to a 5-2 record and their schedule offers several opportunities for statement games to put him in that Drake Maye/Baker Mayfield category of guys that can hang around long enough to become a quiet threat to win MVP.

Is it likely to happen? Probably not. But literally nothing in the NFL has made sense so far this season, so why not?

Best MVP Betting Odds: DraftKings Sportsbook (+5000)

Recent NFL MVP Winners

Season	Player	Position	Team
2024	Josh Allen	QB	Buffalo Bills
2023	Lamar Jackson	QB	Baltimore Ravens
2022	Patrick Mahomes	QB	Kansas City Chiefs
2021	Aaron Rodgers	QB	Green Bay Packers
2020	Aaron Rodgers	QB	Green Bay Packers
2019	Lamar Jackson	QB	Baltimore Ravens
2018	Patrick Mahomes	QB	Kansas City Chiefs
2017	Tom Brady	QB	New England Patriots
2016	Matt Ryan	QB	Atlanta Falcons
2015	Cam Newton	QB	Carolina Panthers

Recent MVP Trends

It’s a Quarterback’s Award: Every MVP since 2012 has been a quarterback and 21 of the last 25 NFL MVP awards have gone to the top signal caller of the season. Look for the offensive player of the year award futures market if you want to bet on a running back or receiver.

Team Success Matters: 18 of the last 20 MVPs played for teams with at least 12 wins.

Passing Stats Drive Votes: Those sexy box score numbers go a long way with voters. Keep that in mind if you’re debating betting on a guy that may not have the stats to pull in the necessary attention to win this award.

Dual-Threat Advantage: If you can be just as dangerous with your legs as you are your arm, you have a big leg up in this award.

Narrative Counts: Pay close attention to the storylines around the league as the season winds down, often times that will point you in the right direction as to how the race for NFL MVP is shaking out.

How Is the NFL MVP Decided?

The NFL’s Most Valuable Player award is determined through a voting process conducted by a panel of 50 sportswriters and broadcasters from across the United States.

Each voter selects their top candidates, and the player with the most points is named MVP. While there is no hard games-played minimum like the NBA’s 65-game rule (which will prevent Joel Embiid from ever becoming MVP ever again), player availability plays an enormous factor in who eventually becomes MVP, as a quarterback or another key contributor missing three or four games can see their MVP chances evaporate.

The NFL MVP is announced during the NFL Honors show, held the Thursday before the Super Bowl.

Because of the award’s history and the significance from the position itself, quarterbacks absolutely dominate the voting. The last 11 straight winners of the NFL MVP award have been quarterbacks and dating back to 2000, 21 of the last 25 winners of the NFL MVP award have been, you guessed it, a quarterback.

Essentially, a running back or wide receiver would need a historic season just to be in the conversation.

The race to be NFL MVP figures to be as wide open as any in recent seasons. Here’s a look at how the NFL MVP race shakes down as we inch closer to the new season.

How to Bet on the NFL MVP Award

• Follow the season closely! Injuries, big wins, and standout performances can shift odds.
• Log into your sportsbook account, or sign up if you don’t have one.
• Navigate to the NFL betting section, usually under ‘Football’ or ‘NFL Odds.’
• Select ‘Player Futures’ then find the ‘NFL MVP’ market.
• Choose your player and enter your stake, confirm the bet in your slip.

All odds were accurate as of this writing. All odds courtesy FanDuel Sportsbook unless otherwise listed.