NFL MVP Odds 2026
When the 2025 NFL regular season wrapped up, the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award went to Matthew Stafford, the veteran Los Angeles Rams quarterback. Stafford’s 2025…
A trusted brand
Offers competitive odds
Available in multiple states
Easy navigation
Competitive odds
Many notable features on offer
Stafford (pictured below) finished just ahead of New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye in the closest MVP vote since 2003. Stafford’s performance was instrumental in guiding the Rams to a 12–5 record and an NFC Championship game appearance.
The marked his first MVP award and his acceptance speech also included the announcement that he plans to return for an 18th season.
Other big names were featured in the race throughout the year. Here’s a look at how some of the MVP odds played out throughout the season. Look for updated odds as the 2026-27 season approaches.
Week 16 NFL MVP Odds Report
| Player | Current Odds to Win NFL MVP | dds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 8 | Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 6 | Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 4 | Preseason Odds to Win NFL MVP |
| Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) | NR | +125 | +470 | +2500 | +650 |
| Josh Allen (Bills) | +440 | +350 | +135 | +220 | +600 |
| Drake Maye (Patriots) | +420 | +700 | +3000 | +10000 | +6000 |
| Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers) | +40000 | +900 | +700 | +1600 | +2500 |
| Matthew Stafford (Rams) | -220 | +1200 | +1400 | +2000 | +4000 |
| Jared Goff (Lions) | +15000 | +1800 | +1400 | +3000 | +3500 |
| Dak Prescott (Cowboys) | NR | +2200 | +1700 | +5000 | +3000 |
| Daniel Jones (Colts) | NR | +2200 | +2700 | +4000 | +20000 |
| Jordan Love (Packers) | +15000 | +2500 | +1400 | +1400 | +2000 |
| Justin Herbert (Chargers) | NR | +2500 | +2000 | +500 | +2000 |
The Favorites
Matthew Stafford (-220) – QB – Los Angeles Rams
Remember all that chatter about Stafford’s health and possible retirement? Yeah, it turns out all of that was a bunch of bologna.
Stafford has been sensational in his age – 37 season, and leading the league in TDs pases and yardage. In Week 7, the Rams made the long trip from Los Angeles to London, and all the ageless veteran did was throw five touchdown passes on the day, despite Puka Nacua being sidelined with an ankle injury.
The Rams are one of the top contenders in the NFC, and if they can emerge from a loaded NFC West, Stafford is a name to watch as he could give the current MVP frontrunners a serious challenge.
Best MVP Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (-220)
Drake Maye (+420) – QB – New England Patriots
Every season there seems to be a quarterback who makes the unexpected leap from good to star, and this year that player is Drake Maye.
The Patriots have been a force this season, with Maye throwing for almost 3,600 yards and 23 touchdowns through Week 15. He currently leads all starting quarterbacks in completion percentage at 70.9%.
Best MVP Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+420)
Josh Allen (+440) – QB – Buffalo Bills
The defending NFL MVP looked to be well on his way to securing his second consecutive award, but the Bills defense has not been doing their franchise quarterback many favors. The Patriots and Falcons each picked apart Buffalo’s defensive unit earlier in the season.
Buffalo has since returned to form and Allen is a huge part of that. If Allen can lead Bills Mafia to wins down the strecth, he will at leats be back in the MVP conversation
Best MVP Betting Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook (+440)
Recent NFL MVP Winners
| Season | Player | Position | Team |
| 2025 | Matthew Stafford | QB | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2024 | Josh Allen | QB | Buffalo Bills |
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers |
| 2019 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Baltimore Ravens |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Kansas City Chiefs |
| 2017 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | QB | Atlanta Falcons |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | QB | Carolina Panthers |
Recent MVP Trends
It’s a Quarterback’s Award: Every MVP since 2012 has been a quarterback and 22 of the last 26 NFL MVP awards have gone to the top signal caller of the season. Look for the offensive player of the year award futures market if you want to bet on a running back or receiver.
Team Success Matters: 19 of the last 21 MVPs played for teams with at least 12 wins.
Passing Stats Drive Votes: Those sexy box score numbers go a long way with voters. Keep that in mind if you’re debating betting on a guy that may not have the stats to pull in the necessary attention to win this award.
Dual-Threat Advantage: If you can be just as dangerous with your legs as you are your arm, you have a big leg up in this award.
Narrative Counts: Pay close attention to the storylines around the league as the season winds down, often times that will point you in the right direction as to how the race for NFL MVP is shaking out.
How Is the NFL MVP Decided?
The NFL’s Most Valuable Player award is determined through a voting process conducted by a panel of 50 sportswriters and broadcasters from across the United States.
Each voter selects their top candidates, and the player with the most points is named MVP. While there is no hard games-played minimum like the NBA’s 65-game rule (which will prevent Joel Embiid from ever becoming MVP ever again), player availability plays an enormous factor in who eventually becomes MVP, as a quarterback or another key contributor missing three or four games can see their MVP chances evaporate.
The NFL MVP is announced during the NFL Honors show, held the Thursday before the Super Bowl.
Because of the award’s history and the significance from the position itself, quarterbacks absolutely dominate the voting. The last 12 straight winners of the NFL MVP award have been quarterbacks and dating back to 2000, 22 of the last 26 winners of the NFL MVP award have been, you guessed it, a quarterback.
Essentially, a running back or wide receiver would need a historic season just to be in the conversation.
The race to be NFL MVP figures to be as wide open as any in recent seasons. Here’s a look at how the NFL MVP race shakes down as we inch closer to the new season.
How to Bet on the NFL MVP Award
- Follow the season closely! Injuries, big wins, and standout performances can shift odds.
- Log into your sportsbook account, or sign up if you don’t have one.
- Navigate to the NFL betting section, usually under ‘Football’ or ‘NFL Odds.’
- Select ‘Player Futures’ then find the ‘NFL MVP’ market.
- Choose your player and enter your stake, confirm the bet in your slip.
All odds were accurate as of this writing. All odds courtesy FanDuel Sportsbook unless otherwise listed.
