2025 AFC West Betting Odds

Brent Booher

Sadonna Price

The magnitude of the Chiefs’ dominance in the AFC West since Andy Reid took over as head coach is downright incredible and somehow doesn’t get mentioned enough.
In each of the last 10 seasons, the Chiefs have won at least 10 games.
In each of the last nine seasons, the Chiefs have won the AFC West.
In each of the last seven seasons, the Chiefs have made it to the AFC Championship game.
Oh and Patrick Mahomes is 34-5 against the division since he became the starter.
The Chiefs winning the AFC West has become as much of a formality as the sunrise, but it feels like the rest of the division has finally started to at least close the gap on the Chiefs.
The Chargers are coming off of their best season performance since the 2018 Chargers went 12-4 on the season, and despite a disastrous showing in the playoffs, Jim Harbaugh very much has the Chargers heading in the right direction.
Sean Payton seemingly found his quarterback in Bo Nix and ended the Broncos playoff appearance drought, putting the Broncos back on the map for the new season.
The Raiders, under the guidance of minority owner Tom Brady, hired former Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll who promptly traded for his old quarterback Geno Smith and made this team a lot more interesting heading into a clean slate than they have been in quite some time.
There won’t be a more fun division in football than the AFC West. Before we fully jump in, here’s how the division shook out last season.
2024 AFC West Results
Team | 2024 Overall | 2024 Divisional |
Kansas City Chiefs | 15-2 | 5-1 |
Los Angeles Chargers | 11-6 | 4-2 |
Denver Broncos | 10-7 | 3-3 |
Las Vegas Raiders | 4-13 | 0-6 |
The Chiefs once again dominated their AFC West rivals, going 15-2 on the season and only dropping a Week 18 game against the Broncos with nothing but backups in the game and the Broncos needing the win to clinch a playoff spot.
The Chargers hung around with Kansas City in both matchups, however, the Chiefs would find a way to get the win in each contest, which has been the running theme seemingly every season since Patrick Mahomes became the starter there.
The Broncos had a bounce back campaign after paying for Russell Wilson to play quarterback for the Steelers, and despite losing in convincing fashion against the Bills in the playoffs, showed a lot of promise for a good portion of that game.
And the Raiders were a disaster, but there is light at the end of the tunnel in Vegas and it isn’t the Sphere.
This article below covers the AFC West with all the NFL Futures Odds and insights you need to know.
- 2025 AFC West Win Totals
- 2025 AFC West Super Bowl Odds
- 2025 AFC West Division Odds
- AFC West Player MVP Odds
Let’s dive into the AFC West!

2025 AFC West Win Totals
After a down 2023 season where the Chiefs only went 11-5 in their Super Bowl winning season, Kansas City went 15-2 in 2024 and appeared to be well on their way to a third consecutive Super Bowl Championship.
Only, the Eagles had different ideas, and the Chiefs ran into a buzzsaw in very similar fashion to their Super Bowl LV appearance in 2021 where the Bucs defense dominated an outmanned Chiefs offensive line on their way to a blowout win.
In any event, the Chiefs once again went over their win total and they once again won double-digit games for the 10th consecutive season.
Oddsmakers believe the Chiefs are in line to run that streak up to 11. Here’s a look at their win total odds, along with the rest of the division.
Team | Projected Wins and Betting Odds |
Kansas City Chiefs | O/U 11.5 | (+115/-135) |
Los Angeles Chargers | O/U 9.5 | (+110/-130) |
Denver Broncos | O/U 9.5 | (-105/-115) |
Las Vegas Raiders | O/U 6.5 | (-125/+105) |
- The Chiefs have a preseason win total of 11.5, placing them with the Eagles, Bills, and Ravens as the four teams in the NFL with that win total. The Chiefs have cleared their win total over in 10 of the last 12 seasons under coach Andy Reid.
- The Chargers hit double-digit wins for the first time since 2022 and only the third time since 2010. Jim Harbaugh’s first season saw the Chargers end a five-year skid for going under their win total, including in 2018 when the Chargers win total was set at 10.5 and the team went 10-6. With the Chargers win total set at 9.5, it merits mentioning that Jim Harbaugh has never had a losing season as a head coach in the NFL.
- The Broncos ended an eight-year under skid with their 10-7 record in 2024, shattering a preseason number of 5.5 with Bo Nix the key driver for the Broncos unexpected turnaround.
- The Raiders win total of 6.5 could be a sneaky good value bet, with Vegas having potential to post a pleasant surprise of a first season under Pete Carroll. Despite all of the woes the Raiders have had with personnel and coaching alike, they have managed to win at least seven games in six of the last 10 seasons. In his entire 14 year coaching career in Seattle, Pete Carroll never won less than seven games in a season.

2025 AFC West – To Win Super Bowl Odds
The Chiefs are routinely amongst the top contenders in the NFL at not only reaching the Super Bowl, but winning it all and getting the confetti shower.
The AFC West figures to be the deepest division in the AFC this season, so three teams in the division have favorable odds to win the Super Bowl.
Here’s how all the odds stack up across some of the major sportsbooks.
AFC West Teams – Super Bowl LX Odds
Team | FanDuel | DraftKings | BetMGM |
Kansas City Chiefs | +800 | +850 | +800 |
Denver Broncos | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +2700 | +2800 | +2800 |
Las Vegas Raiders | +12500 | +12000 | +10000 |
The Chiefs enter the 2025 NFL Season with their longest odds to win a Super Bowl since they entered the 2022 NFL Season as 10-1 favorites to win the Super Bowl.
Turns out, they would go on to win the Super Bowl that season. Will history repeat itself this season? It’s impossible to count them out, even if we may hope this run ends sometime relatively soon.
If you’re looking for a couple fun sleepers from the AFC, the Broncos and Chargers will be popular selections. Each team has quality young starting quarterbacks and excellent coaching, it’s just a matter of can they survive the Buffalo, Baltimore, Kansas City gauntlet.
Lastly, while the Raiders will be entertaining, they’re not at the Super Bowl level just yet. Give Pete Carroll a few years to get things sorted there.

2025 AFC West – To Win Division Odds
The Chiefs have won this division nine times in a row, it seems foolish to bet against them at this point, but they also seem to feel a bit more vulnerable than they’ve been in quite some time.
If there is an upset brewing in the division futures market, could it be happening in the AFC West?
Here’s a look at your odds to win the division as we kick off the new season.
Team | FanDuel | DraftKings | BetMGM |
Kansas City Chiefs | -105 | -115 | -118 |
Denver Broncos | +280 | +250 | +310 |
Los Angeles Chargers | +310 | +350 | +310 |
Las Vegas Raiders | +1200 | +2200 | +1700 |
This feels like a good time to remind you that shopping around for the best futures prices is instrumental to a profitable betting season. Take for example, the Raiders odds to win the AFC West at FanDuel listed at +1200, when you could get that same bet for +2200 at DraftKings. If you placed $100 on that and the Raiders happened to win the division, that’s a difference of $1000 in profit.
Now, are the Raiders going to win the AFC West? Probably not. But they could also get off to a good enough start where you could time a cash out to still net a profit on the bet.
Back to your regularly scheduled programming.
2025 AFC West – Player MVP Odds
Top to bottom, there may not be a better division in the sport for quarterback play than the four guys you’ll see under center from these storied franchises (and also the Chargers).
The NFL MVP is basically a quarterbacks only event now, here’s how the AFC West’s signal callers line up in this season’s race to be crowned the most valuable of them all.
Player | FanDuel | DraftKings | BetMGM |
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) | +650 | +700 | +650 |
Justin Herbert (Chargers) | +2000 | +1800 | +2000 |
Bo Nix (Broncos) | +6000 | +3500 | +5000 |
Geno Smith (Raiders) | +10000 | +15000 | +10000 |
Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners
1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the NFL tab.
3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.
4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.
5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.een.
Betting Odds For AFC Divisions

