2026 NFC South Betting Odds
The NFC South has spent years carrying the label of one of the NFL’s weakest divisions, and while it hasn’t completely shed that reputation in 2025, the picture is a…



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The Buccaneers jumped out as the clear front-runner through much of the season, but going into Week 15 the team had lost five of the last seven games. A 29-28 loss to the Falcons on Thursday Night Football to start Week 15 hurt playoff hopes and gave the Panthers life. (Note: This article was written after the game on the Friday before the rest of Week 15.)
Mayfield played at an MVP-caliber level earlier in the season, but the Bucs began to crater later in the season, hurting any hopes at an MVP award.
The Falcons looked to be the team to challenge Tampa but at 5-9 going into Week 15, Atlanta’s playoff hopes are over. Instead at 7-6 the Panthers have a chance at the postseason for the first time since 2017. That was also the last time the team had a winning record.
Yet the Panthers are still in the mix at least to some degree and have show some definte improvement after records of 5-12 and 2-15 the last two seasons. The Panthers could certainly shake up some things in the playoff race.
Lastly, the Saints have shown some fight but just lack the talent on their roster to close out games. They’re 3-10 and not very likely to win many more games this season, which is something they actually may not be completely upset about with the rebuild that awaits them.
Before we jump head first into the NFC South, here’s a look at the odds to win the division entering Week 15.

Odds to Win 2025 NFC South Entering Week 15
| Team | Current Odds to Win NFC South | Odds to Win NFC South Entering Week 8 | Odds to Win NFC South Entering Week 5 | Odds to Win NFC South Entering Week 3 | Preseason Odds to Win NFC South |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -135 | -320 | -240 | -180 | -105 |
| Atlanta Falcons | NA | +350 | +290 | +200 | +230 |
| Carolina Panthers | +105 | +1700 | +1300 | +1700 | +400 |
| New Orleans Saints | NR | +6500 | +2700 | +2200 | +1300 |
The Bucs’ odds to win the South fallen after the recent weeks of losses and their hopes at a playoff appearance are now in jeopardy.
The Panthers actually offer some nice value at +105 and a real chance to rally to win the division. Two huge games remain against the Bucs in Weeks 16 and 18. The Falcons and Saints don”t have much left to play for except playing the role of spoilers.

2025 NFC South Win Totals
The NFC South was not expected to light the NFL on fire this season, and so far it’s only the Bucs and Panthers who are making any noise.
If you ever need that confirmation as to what oddsmakers think of the division, look no further than the projected win totals for each of the four teams.
| Team | Current Win Totals and Betting Odds | Win Totals and Betting Odds Entering Week 8 | Win Totals and Betting Odds Entering Week 5 | Win Totals and Betting Odds Entering Week 3 | Preseason Win Totals and Betting Odds |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | O/U 8.5 | (-180/+155) | O/U 11.5 | (-125/+105) | O/U 10.5 | (+105/-125) | O/U 10.5 | (-120/+100) | O/U 9.5 | (+100/-120) |
| Atlanta Falcons | O/U 3.5 | (-320/+260) | O/U 9.5 | (-110/-110) | O/U 8.5 | (+100/-120) | O/U 9.5 | (+110/-130) | O/U 7.5 | (-135/+115) |
| Carolina Panthers | O/U 7.5 | (-700/+500) | O/U 6.5 | (-120/+100) | O/U 5.5 | (+105/-125) | O/U 5.5 | (+120/-140) | O/U 6.5 | (-130/+110) |
| New Orleans Saints | O/U 4.5 | (-165/+140) | O/U 4.5 | (-105/-115) | O/U 4.5 | (+115/-135) | O/U 4.5 | (-110/-110) | O/U 5.5 | (+140/-165) |
- The Bucs win total has declined since hitting a peak of 11.5 after Week 7. The team will need to quickly turn things around to make the postseason and pay off for bettors who put in an early season over bet.
- The Falcons win total number has cratered after late season struggles. There is some talent there to at least build on, espcially running back Bijan Robinson.
- The Panthers have shown they will play well on their home field but are still figuring out how to win games on the road. The squad has had some tough opponents, but two key wins against Tampa in the last few games could mean a huge step up. The team reached the peak win total number on the season after Week 14 at 7.5. Still, getting over that hump won’t be easy.
- The Saints win total has remained at 4.5 for most of the season and I still like the under 4.5 now as much as I did after Week 1. -165 feels like a gift.

2025 NFC South – To Win Super Bowl 60 Odds
Entering Week 15, only Tampa and Carolina really figure to have a say in the playoffs, but bookmakers aren’t giving either much of a chance to make a deep run to the Super Bowl.
The Bucs certainly looked like a team capable of a deep playoff run earlier in the season, but the odds have gotten longer with each loss sustained in the second half of the season.
The Panthers have made huge strides this season, but a Super Bowl appearance seems highly unlikely. Just getting in the playoffs would be another nice accomplishment for Bryce Young and the boys.
Here’s how the rest of the Super Bowl odds stack up for the NFC South representatives.
NFC South Teams – Super Bowl LX Odds
| Team | Current Odds to Win Super Bowl LX | Odds to Win Super Bowl LX Entering Week 8 | Odds to Win Super Bowl LX Entering Week 5 | Odds to Win Super Bowl LX Entering Week 3 | Preseason Odds to Win Super Bowl LX |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +6000 | +2000 | +3000 | +2200 | +2700 |
| Atlanta Falcons | NR | +4500 | +8000 | +5000 | +6500 |
| Carolina Panthers | +17500 | +35000 | +40000 | +40000 | +15000 |
| New Orleans Saints | NR | +40000 | +40000 | +40000 | +40000 |

2025 NFC South – Player MVP Odds
The NFL MVP is essentially just a coronation of who was the best quarterback in the NFL that season, and if you’re looking for great NFL MVP bets, this is not the division for you. An MVP coming from the idvision seems highly unlikely as even Mayfield’s odds have fallen off the cliff.
With that being said, here’s a look at how each of the four starters in this division measure up in the race for MVP.
| Player | Current Odds to Win NFL MVP | Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 8 | Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 5 | Odds to Win NFL MVP Entering Week 3 | Preseason Odds to Win NFL MVP |
| Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers) | +30000 | +350 | +2200 | +2000 | +2500 |
| Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons) | NR | +20000 | +17500 | +7500 | +6000 |
| Bryce Young (Panthers) | NR | +50000 | +40000 | +17500 | +10000 |
| Spencer Rattler (Saints) | NR | +50000 | +50000 | +35000 | NR |
Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners
1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the NFL tab.
3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.
4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.
5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.







