2025 NFC South Betting Odds

If the AFC South is considered to be the red-headed stepchild of the NFL, the NFC South would probably be its first cousin.

The NFC South features two of the worst teams in all of football with the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints, who are a lot closer to having #1 overall pick vibes than a team that will make the postseason.

The Falcons are the perennial underachievers of the NFC, repeatedly having the talent to win double-digit games in a season, but inevitably doing Falcons things to stumble their way into horrific losses that cost them in the end.

Then there are the Baker Mayfield led Bucs, who have won this division four straight years and don’t look like they’re in any remote danger of failing to make it five years in a row.

Essentially, if you want to see good football played in the southeastern portion of the United States, you’re probably much better off turning on all that sweet SEC goodness that shows on your TV each Saturday in the Fall.

However, that doesn’t mean the NFC South doesn’t offer some value to sports bettors. Before we jump into everything NFC South, let’s quickly revisit how the 2024 NFC South race went.

2024 NFC South Results

Team	2024 Overall	2024 Divisional
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	10-7	4-2
Atlanta Falcons	8-9	4-2
Carolina Panthers	5-12	2-4
New Orleans Saints	5-12	2-4

Baker Mayfield and the Bucs went 10-7 a season ago, but were only 6-5 outside of the division, showing the bump that a team could get from playing the Falcons, Panthers, and Saints six times a year. 

Bucs first-year offensive coordinator Liam Coen immediately picked up right where previous OC Dave Canales left off, leading the Bucs offense to the 4th highest scoring offense in all of football. Coen was promptly severely punished for not getting the Bucs into the top 3 and forced to take the Jaguars job after Jaguars ownership realized that no one on the planet wants to work with Trent Baalke.

Thus, Todd Bowles will be on his fourth offensive coordinator in four seasons when Josh Grizzard takes over after serving as Bowles’ pass game coordinator a season ago. Grizzard will have no shortage of weapons on offense once again as the team added Ohio State WR Emeka Egbuka in the 2025 NFL Draft and gets another season of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin in the Bucs wide receiving corps. If that weren’t spicy enough, Tampa will have the ultra-explosive Bucky Irving in the backfield, and this is an offense that can be a top 10 unit once again in 2025.

The Falcons figure to be the Bucs main competition this season, and all hope lies on the shoulders of second-year pro Michael Penix Jr., who will almost surely get some poor sports commentator unceremoniously fired after accidentally swapping the “x” in his last name for an “s”.

Falcons head coach Raheem Morris and GM Terry Fontenot hope that Penix also won’t get them fired because after giving Kirk Cousins the GDP of a small Caribbean nation in the 2024 free agency period, the Falcons immediately spent the 8th overall pick on Penix. Cousins enters the 2025 season as a backup QB making $27.5 million with a cap hit of $40 million. I’m not a cap expert by any stretch, but that seems like a deal heavily-tilted to favor the quarterback.

If Penix can live up to his potential, the Falcons could finally end an eight-year playoff drought, with their last appearance coming a year after Atlanta introduced the term “28-3” into every sports fans lexicon. Atlanta, to their credit, still has quite a few weapons on the offensive side of the ball, highlighted by star RB Bijan Robinson, emerging star WR Drake London, and TE Kyle Pitts who is due to breakout any year now guys, I swear!

Defensively, the Falcons made great strides in their first year under Morris, and they secured the rights to former Georgia pass rusher Jalon Walker in this past draft, who should help beef up their defense even more.

And then there are the Panthers and Saints. To Carolina’s credit last season, they really looked like an entirely different team towards the end of the season after an absolutely disastrous start that saw Bryce Young getting benched and the team starting an abysmal 1-7. However, they would end the year with a 4-5 record, which for most teams isn’t the biggest accomplishment, but if you’ve watched the Panthers recently, they might as well hang a banner up for that achievement.

The Saints seemingly endless offseason method of kicking the can down the road and pretending like they don’t have the worst salary cap situation in professional sports seems to finally be coming to a head, as they are projected by many to be the worst team in football. It sure seems like New Orleans is positioning itself to run it back to the 1970’s when they had a QB named Archie Manning, only this time, they’re looking to drop a couple vowels at the end of that first name.

Without further ado, the article below covers the NFC South with all the NFL Futures Odds and insights you need to know ahead of the start of the new NFL season, including:

• 2025 NFC South Win Totals
• 2025 NFC South Super Bowl Odds
• 2025 NFC South Division Winner
• 2025 NFC South Player MVP Odds

Let’s dive into the NFC South!

2025 NFC South Win Totals

As one would probably expect, the NFC South is not expected to light the NFL on fire this season, and if you ever need that confirmation as to what oddsmakers think of the division, look no further than the projected win totals for each of the four teams.

Team	Projected Wins and Betting Odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	O/U 9.5 | (+100/-120)
Atlanta Falcons	O/U 7.5 | (-135/+115)
Carolina Panthers	O/U 6.5 | (-130/+110)
New Orleans Saints	O/U 5.5 | (+140/-165)

• If you had the perception that the Bucs have greatly benefitted by playing in the worst division in the NFC, you would be correct as they have cleared their win total in five of the last six seasons. In 2025, they’re projected to finish right about where they did a season ago, and you can currently get them at even money to win 10 games or more this season.
  
• While the Bucs have cleared their win total in five of their last six seasons, the Falcons have done the opposite, posting losing seasons in seven straight seasons and only clearing their win total once during that span. Oddsmakers again project Atlanta to hover around .500, could this finally be the year they end their run of futility?
  
• The Panthers appearance in Super Bowl 50 feels like an eternity ago, and Cam Newton still hasn’t jumped on that fumble. We’re a few months away from Super Bowl 60, ironically enough being played in the same venue where Super Bowl 50 was, and all Carolina has done since that point is post a single winning season with only two win total overs cashed. Not great Bob.
  
• Take a look at the Saints roster and tell me how they’re going to win 6 games this year. Go ahead. I’ll wait. 

2025 NFC South – To Win Super Bowl 60 Odds

After dissecting each teams win total odds, jumping into their Super Bowl odds seems quite amusing to say the least. After all, Carolina and New Orleans have two of the lowest win totals in football, so surely the Super Bowl odds aren’t going to be great.

Here’s a look at where the odds stand as we approach the opening kickoff of the 2025 season.

NFC South Teams – Super Bowl LX Odds

Team	FanDuel	DraftKings	BetMGM
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	+2700	+2500	+2500
Atlanta Falcons	+6500	+8000	+8000
Carolina Panthers	+15000	+15000	+10000
New Orleans Saints	+40000	+50000	+30000

These odds are a nice way of saying that only Tampa Bay has a shot in the underworld to hoist a Lombardi in February 2026. 

2025 NFC South – To Win Division Odds

As we mentioned at the top, the Bucs have placed a stranglehold on this division for the entire decade, winning the division in each of the last four seasons. The Bucs death grip over the NFC South was supposed to loosen up when Tom Brady retired from the sport, instead Baker Mayfield picked up right where he left off and the Bucs dominance has continued.

Here’s how the odds shake out in the NFC South as we head towards the start of the new NFL season, with the Bucs the sizable favorites to come out on top once again.

Team	FanDuel	DraftKings	BetMGM
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-105	-120	-110
Atlanta Falcons	+230	+215	+220
Carolina Panthers	+400	+475	+425
New Orleans Saints	+1300	+2000	+1500

2025 NFC South – Player MVP Odds

The NFL MVP is essentially just a coronation of who was the best quarterback in the NFL that season, and if you’re looking for great NFL MVP bets, this is not the division for you.

With that being said, here’s a look at how each of the four starters in this division measure up in the race for MVP.

Player	FanDuel	DraftKings	BetMGM
Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)	+2500	+2500	+3000
Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)	+6000	+5500	+6600
Bryce Young (Panthers)	+10000	+8000	+10000
Spencer Rattler (Saints)	NR	NR	NR

Baker Mayfield has nice mid-tier sleeper odds to win MVP with odds listed at anywhere from 25-1 at FanDuel and DraftKings all the way up to 30-1 at BetMGM.

Michael Penix Jr. has deep sleeper odds, but if the Falcons surprise and the numbers look good for the second-year lefty, he could certainly surge up the draft board.

And then there are Bryce Young and Spencer Rattler who are not going to win this award. In the case of Rattler, you can’t even get odds on him. Essentially, if you want to bet on either of these quarterbacks, you’re better off just donating that money to the charity of your choice.

Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners

1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the NFL tab.
3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.
4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.
5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.

Betting Odds For NFC Divisions

2025 NFC West Division Odds

2025 NFC North Division Odds

2025 NFC East Division Odds