2025 NFL Most Passing Yards Odds
No stat defines today’s NFL better than passing yards.
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Quarterbacks are no longer just asked to run the offense. They are expected to put up massive numbers through the air. With rules tilted toward passing and talent spread across the league, the race to lead the NFL in passing yards has become one of the most exciting storylines every season.
Heading into 2025, the competition was stacked. Patrick Mahomes remains the standard, but Joe Burrow, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson are always in the mix. Then you have that second tier of quarterbacks with names like Baker Mayfield, Jared Goff, C.J. Stroud, Jayden Daniels and several others.
For bettors and fans, predicting who ends the season on top is not just about picking the biggest name. Offensive schemes, durability, and consistency over 17 games all play a huge role.
In this article, we will break down the top favorites, highlight potential sleepers, and take a look at what oddsmakers expect for the 2025 NFL season. But first, let’s check out last year’s passing leaders.
2024 NFL Passing Leaders
| Player/Team | Passing Yards |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | 4,918 |
| Jared Goff (DET) | 4,629 |
| Baker Mayfield (TB) | 4,500 |
| Geno Smith (SEA) | 4,320 |
| Sam Darnold (MIN) | 4,319 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 4,172 |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | 3,928 |
| Aaron Rodgers (NYJ) | 3,897 |
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | 3,870 |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | 3,864 |
Joe Burrow put forth the best season of his professional career with a sterling 4,918 yards and 43 touchdowns in 2024. If healthy for a full 17 games, Burrow figures to always be a top contender to lead the NFL in passing yards.
Jared Goff threw for 4,629 yards a season ago, his highest season output since 2019 when he was a member of the Los Angeles Rams. This number is even more impressive when you consider how potent the Lions’ rushing offense was a season ago.
Baker Mayfield, Geno Smith and Sam Darnold rounded out the top five, showing that this bet often involves quarterbacks that aren’t as mainstream as the faces of the sport such as Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen.
What is the NFL Most Passing Yards Bet?
This futures market is as straightforward as it gets.
Out of every quarterback in the league, the goal is to pick the one who will finish the 2025 season with the most passing yards.
Unlike award futures, where you not only need a player to perform at an elite level but also rely on voters to recognize it, this bet is decided strictly by the numbers.
If you back Joe Burrow to lead the league in passing yards and he finishes on top, you cash your ticket.
If you take someone like Jared Goff to lead the league in passing yards and he ends up tied with Burrow, you still win, although the payout would be split.
When it comes to futures wagers, this one is about as clear-cut as they come.
Favorites to Lead NFL in Passing Yards in 2025
With just three weeks remaining in the season, just a few players still have a hot to emerge as the league’s apssing yardage leader. Here’s a look at those still available for this NFL prop bet.
Dak Prescott (-400) – Dallas Cowboys (3,931 yards through Week 15)
Dak Prescott entered the 2024 season with sky-high expectations to finally take the next leap and carry the Cowboys to their first NFC Championship appearance since Bill Clinton was in office, back when cell phones and the internet were still novelties.
Instead, in typical Cowboys fashion, Prescott stumbled out of the gate before an injury ended his season for good. He was limited to just eight games, finishing with just under 2,000 passing yards.
Now healthy again, Prescott has been stellar, averaging more than 280 tards per game despite a tough season for Dallas overall. Brian Schottenheimer, who served as his offensive coordinator during Prescott’s 2023 breakout, took over as Dallas’ head coach heading into 2025 and that has paid dividends for the QB.
Matthew Stafford (+350) – Los Angeles Rams (3,722 yards through Week 15)
The Rams have been an offensive juggernaut and are second in the league in offensive yards per game. Stafford finished 13th in the league in 2024, but has ramped up his game this season.
Having weapons like Puka Nacua and Davante Adams catching passes certainly helps. Can Stafford rise to the top this season? That remains to be seen. One offensive weapon may be out for a bit – Adams experienced a late-season injury. Stafford has never led the league in yardage before.
However, he finished among the top three in 2011, 2012, 2013, 2017, and 2021. He also threw for 5,000 yards in 2011.
Jared Goff (+1000) – Detroit Lions (3,672 yards through Week 15)
Jared Goff has really found a home in the Motor City since the Rams traded him for Matthew Stafford.
He has come close to winning a passing yards title in each of his last two seasons in Detroit, finishing second overall in both 2022 and 2023. Will the third year be the charm for Goff?
The big question entering the Lions faced entering 2025 is how much the offense will be affected by Ben Johnson moving on to take the Bears’ head coaching job. The same weapons remained intact for Detroit and Goff has put up a solid season. If Prescott stumbles down the stretch, Goff might deliver for prop bettors.
Sleepers to Capture the 2025 NFL Passing Yards Title
Just two quarterback remain that realistically have a shot at the passing yardage title.
Drake Maye (+6000) – New England Patriots (3,567 yards through Week 15)
Patriots have good reason to enamored with Maye. The second-year quarterback has led New England to an 11-3 record through Week 15 with a shot to win the AFC East.
The great performance has come after averaging 255 yards per game, while posting 22 touchdown passes and throwing just 7 interceptions. Despite the great season, the odds are slim Maye can overcome a deficit and win the passing yardage title.
Sam Darnold (+25000) – Seattle Seahawks (3,433 yards through Week 15)
After leaving Minnesota, Darnold revived his career in Seattle. The Seahawks are fifth in the league in scoring and Darnold has thrown 22 touchdowns with 11 interceptions.
It seems unlikely that Darnold will be the league’s passing leader, but Seahawks fans will be thrilled to see the huge year continue. Perhaps that could even include a big playoff run.
NFL Passing Title Winners Since 2015
| Year | Player | Passing Yards | Team |
| 2024 | Joe Burrow | 4,918 | Bengals |
| 2023 | Tua Tagovailoa | 4,624 | Dolphins |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | 5,250 | Chiefs |
| 2021 | Tom Brady | 5,316 | Buccaneers |
| 2020 | Deshaun Watson | 4,823 | Texans |
| 2019 | Jameis Winston | 5,109 | Buccaneers |
| 2018 | Ben Roethlisberger | 5,129 | Steelers |
| 2017 | Tom Brady | 4,577 | Patriots |
| 2016 | Drew Brees | 5,208 | Saints |
| 2015 | Drew Brees | 4,870 | Saints |
Always Shop Around
While odds shopping is important for all forms of sports betting, it’s even more important in regards to futures betting.
If you are set to plunk down your hard earned cash on an NFL Passing Yards Leader bet, make sure you do your research before settling on the sportsbook where you’re going to make that wager.
For example, earlier in the season you could bet Baker Mayfield at +1200 at DraftKings, but wager on him at +1400 on FanDuel. A $100 wager would only pay $1300 at DraftKings, but you would win $1500 at FanDuel. That’s a sizable difference and is really noticeable with futures bets.
So shop around for your best odds and get every edge you can over the sportsbooks. Lord knows they already get every edge they can over their patrons.
How to Bet on Most Passing Yards
To bet in this department, follow this step-by-step guide:
1. Go to your preferred sportsbook and log into your account.
2. Select the ‘NFL Odds’ tab option amongst the menu of sports available.
3. Go to the ‘Player Futures’ submenu.
4. Click on ‘Most Passing Yards.’
5. Pick your wager, review it and place it in the bet-slip window.
