NFL First Drive Stats
NFL Week 10 First Drive Odds (SD vs. BAL)
The NFL First Drive odds are out for the Week 10 Monday Night Game between the San Diego Chargers and Baltimore Ravens.
DraftKings offers a couple of ways to wager on the opening drive of Monday Night’s game.
Ravens First Drive Result – Betting Options 1
|
Potential Result |
Odds |
|
Punt |
-117 |
|
Field Goal Attempt |
+367 |
|
Touchdown |
+345 |
|
Turnover or Safety |
+568 |
Ravens First Drive Result – Betting Options 2
|
Potential Result |
Odds |
|
Punt |
-119 |
|
Field Goal Made |
+431 |
|
Passing TD |
+620 |
|
Rushing TD |
+800 |
|
Interception |
+1200 |
|
Fumble Lost |
+1720 |
|
Missed Field Goal |
+2100 |
|
Turnover Downs or Safety |
+1980 |
At DraftKings, bettors have options. This week, you could wager on the Ravens to attempt a field goal on their opening drive at +367 odds.
Or, you could wager on the Ravens to make a first-drive field goal at +431 odds instead.
What Is NFL First Drive Betting?
NFL First Drive betting asks what will happen on a team’s first offensive possession of the game.
Both teams have their own first drive. The market is therefore not limited to the team receiving the opening kickoff. If Team A receives the ball first, you can still bet on the outcome of Team B’s first offensive possession.
The wager is settled as soon as the selected team’s opening drive ends, so anything that happens later in the game is irrelevant.
Common First Drive Result Options
- Punt – the team’s opening possession ends with a punt.
- Touchdown – the offense scores a touchdown on its opening drive.
- Field Goal Attempt – the possession produces a field goal attempt, whether the kick is made or missed, if the market is specifically graded on the attempt.
- Turnover / Other – can include interceptions, fumbles, turnover on downs, safeties, or other uncommon outcomes depending on the sportsbook.
Always check the market wording before placing the bet. Sportsbooks don’t necessarily group every rare outcome the same way.
First Drive Result vs First Drive “Any Other”
Each sportsbook can have its own unique First Drive betting options. Some operators provide more options than others.
Some sportsbooks offer a few potential outcomes (TD, FG Attempt, Punt) and a final option called Any Other.
| Outcome | Standard First Drive Result? | Could fall under “Any Other”? |
|---|---|---|
| Touchdown | Usually yes | No |
| Punt | Usually yes | No |
| Field Goal Attempt | Often yes | Depends on market wording |
| Interception | Sometimes grouped as Turnover | Sometimes |
| Fumble | Sometimes grouped as Turnover | Sometimes |
| Turnover on Downs | Varies | Often |
| Safety | Rarely a standalone main option | Often |
| Blocked Punt / Field Goal | Varies | Often |
The sportsbook’s own settlement rules are final. Check them if you are betting an unusual result, particularly turnover on downs, blocked kicks, or a safety.
How NFL First Drive Odds Work
Sportsbooks offer potential first-drive outcomes, such as Punt, Touchdown, Field Goal Attempt, or Any Other. Sportsbooks assign odds to these outcomes, and bettors can select the outcome they want to bet on.
Example Odds:
| First Drive Result | Example Odds | Approx. Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Punt | +125 | 44.4% |
| Touchdown | +180 | 35.7% |
| Field Goal Attempt | +350 | 22.2% |
| Turnover / Other | +500 | 16.7% |
Other NFL First Drive Betting Options
The standard result market shown above isn’t the only way sportsbooks offer opening-possession betting.
First Drive Offensive Score
This market simplifies outcomes into two options: Will the team score offensive points on its opening drive, or will it not?
| Selection | What usually qualifies? |
|---|---|
| Offensive Score | A qualifying offensive touchdown or made field goal. |
| No Offensive Score | Punt, turnover, missed field goal, turnover on downs, or another non-scoring result. |
First Drive Field Goal Made
Some sportsbooks also offer a simple Yes/No market on whether a team will make a field goal during its opening possession.
This is different from a Field Goal Attempt market. An attempt can qualify even if the kick misses, while a Field Goal Made bet requires a successful kick.
How to Research an NFL First Drive Bet
Historical First Drive numbers are a useful starting point, but the percentages don’t tell you everything.
1. Check the Current Offense
Opening-drive statistics from earlier in the season can become less useful if a team has changed quarterback, lost important offensive linemen, or significantly altered its play-calling.
Look for changes that could explain why a team’s recent results differ from its season-long percentage.
2. Consider Scripted Opening Plays
NFL offenses often enter games with a prepared sequence of early plays. Some teams start aggressively, while others use their opening possession to establish tendencies and field position.
That makes First Drive betting different from using a team’s full-game scoring average alone.
3. Look at the Opposing Defense
A strong offensive opening-drive record can run into a defense that starts games particularly well.
When possible, compare the offense’s opening-drive result rates with the opponent’s early-game defensive performance rather than looking at only one side of the matchup.
4. Check the Game Total
The full-game over/under can provide context for the expected scoring environment.
A high total doesn’t guarantee the opening drive will produce points, but it can signal that the market expects efficient offenses or weaker defenses. A much lower total may point to a tougher scoring environment.
Compare the latest totals through our NFL odds page.
5. Check the Weather
Strong wind, heavy rain, or other difficult conditions can affect passing, kicking, and play-calling.
Treat weather as one part of the matchup, not an automatic reason to bet a punt or no-score result. What matters is whether the conditions are severe enough to alter how the teams are likely to play.
6. Check Injuries and Late Lineup News
The absence of a quarterback, starting tackle, primary receiver, or other important offensive player can change the probability of an opening drive succeeding.
Check final injury information rather than relying exclusively on a season-long First Drive percentage.
7. Shop Around for the Best Price
The same First Drive result can be priced differently at two sportsbooks.
Illustrative example only:
| First Drive Bet | Sportsbook A | Sportsbook B |
|---|---|---|
| Punt | +115 | +135 |
| Touchdown | +190 | +175 |
| Field Goal Attempt | +325 | +375 |
| Turnover / Other | +525 | +475 |
If you already want to bet Punt, you’re better off using the +135 odds from Sportsbook B instead of the +115 odds at Sportsbook A.
A $10 winning bet at +115 produces $11.50 in profit. The same $10 bet at +135 produces $13.50.
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More NFL Stats for First Drive Betting
Opening-drive results make more sense when they are viewed alongside other early-game and scoring data:
- NFL First Quarter Stats – compare early-game performance beyond the opening possession.
- NFL First Half ATS Stats – see how teams perform against first-half spreads.
- NFL First Half Over/Under Stats – compare first-half scoring totals.
- NFL First Team to Score Stats – see which teams get on the board first most often.
- NFL First Touchdown Scorer Stats – research the player most likely to score the game’s opening touchdown.
- NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Stats – compare individual touchdown-scoring rates.
- NFL Highest-Scoring Quarter Stats – compare when teams produce most of their points.
- NFL Player Props – view the wider player betting market.
NFL First Drive Betting FAQs
Can I bet on both teams’ first drives?
When the sportsbook offers both markets, yes, each team’s first offensive possession is treated separately, so the bet isn’t limited to the team receiving the opening kickoff.
Does a Field Goal Attempt bet require the kick to be made?
If the market is specifically graded as a Field Goal Attempt, the kick only needs to be attempted, not made. A separate Field Goal Made market requires a successful kick. Always check the sportsbook’s wording and rules.
What is included in First Drive “Other”?
The definition varies. It can include uncommon outcomes such as a turnover on downs, a safety, a blocked kick, or other results without their own odds. Check the operator’s specific market rules.
What stats are useful for a First Drive Punt bet?
Start with the team’s opening-drive Punt %, then look at opponent strength, recent offensive changes, injuries, game environment, and the sportsbook’s price.
