NFL First Drive Stats

BestOddsBetting OddsNFLFirst Drive Stats
Published:
Updated:
Malcolm DarnleySenior Writer
Alex Ford
Fact Checker

NFL Week 10 First Drive Odds (SD vs. BAL) 

The NFL First Drive odds are out for the Week 10 Monday Night Game between the San Diego Chargers and Baltimore Ravens.

DraftKings offers a couple of ways to wager on the opening drive of Monday Night’s game. 

Ravens First Drive Result – Betting Options 1

Potential Result

Odds

Punt

-117

Field Goal Attempt

+367

Touchdown

+345

Turnover or Safety

+568

Ravens First Drive Result – Betting Options 2

Potential Result

Odds

Punt

-119

Field Goal Made

+431

Passing TD

+620

Rushing TD

+800

Interception

+1200

Fumble Lost

+1720

Missed Field Goal

+2100

Turnover Downs or Safety

+1980

At DraftKings, bettors have options. This week, you could wager on the Ravens to attempt a field goal on their opening drive at +367 odds.

Or, you could wager on the Ravens to make a first-drive field goal at +431 odds instead.

NFL First Drive Stats Explained - image

What Is NFL First Drive Betting?

NFL First Drive betting asks what will happen on a team’s first offensive possession of the game.

Both teams have their own first drive. The market is therefore not limited to the team receiving the opening kickoff. If Team A receives the ball first, you can still bet on the outcome of Team B’s first offensive possession.

The wager is settled as soon as the selected team’s opening drive ends, so anything that happens later in the game is irrelevant.

Common First Drive Result Options

  • Punt – the team’s opening possession ends with a punt.
  • Touchdown – the offense scores a touchdown on its opening drive.
  • Field Goal Attempt – the possession produces a field goal attempt, whether the kick is made or missed, if the market is specifically graded on the attempt.
  • Turnover / Other – can include interceptions, fumbles, turnover on downs, safeties, or other uncommon outcomes depending on the sportsbook.

Always check the market wording before placing the bet. Sportsbooks don’t necessarily group every rare outcome the same way.

First Drive Result vs First Drive “Any Other”

Each sportsbook can have its own unique First Drive betting options. Some operators provide more options than others.

Some sportsbooks offer a few potential outcomes (TD, FG Attempt, Punt) and a final option called Any Other. 

Outcome Standard First Drive Result? Could fall under “Any Other”?
Touchdown Usually yes No
Punt Usually yes No
Field Goal Attempt Often yes Depends on market wording
Interception Sometimes grouped as Turnover Sometimes
Fumble Sometimes grouped as Turnover Sometimes
Turnover on Downs Varies Often
Safety Rarely a standalone main option Often
Blocked Punt / Field Goal Varies Often

The sportsbook’s own settlement rules are final. Check them if you are betting an unusual result, particularly turnover on downs, blocked kicks, or a safety.

How NFL First Drive Odds Work

Sportsbooks offer potential first-drive outcomes, such as Punt, Touchdown, Field Goal Attempt, or Any Other. Sportsbooks assign odds to these outcomes, and bettors can select the outcome they want to bet on.

Example Odds:

First Drive Result Example Odds Approx. Implied Probability
Punt +125 44.4%
Touchdown +180 35.7%
Field Goal Attempt +350 22.2%
Turnover / Other +500 16.7%

Other NFL First Drive Betting Options

The standard result market shown above isn’t the only way sportsbooks offer opening-possession betting. 

First Drive Offensive Score

This market simplifies outcomes into two options: Will the team score offensive points on its opening drive, or will it not?

Selection What usually qualifies?
Offensive Score A qualifying offensive touchdown or made field goal.
No Offensive Score Punt, turnover, missed field goal, turnover on downs, or another non-scoring result.

First Drive Field Goal Made

Some sportsbooks also offer a simple Yes/No market on whether a team will make a field goal during its opening possession.

This is different from a Field Goal Attempt market. An attempt can qualify even if the kick misses, while a Field Goal Made bet requires a successful kick.

How to Research an NFL First Drive Bet

Historical First Drive numbers are a useful starting point, but the percentages don’t tell you everything.

1. Check the Current Offense

Opening-drive statistics from earlier in the season can become less useful if a team has changed quarterback, lost important offensive linemen, or significantly altered its play-calling.

Look for changes that could explain why a team’s recent results differ from its season-long percentage.

2. Consider Scripted Opening Plays

NFL offenses often enter games with a prepared sequence of early plays. Some teams start aggressively, while others use their opening possession to establish tendencies and field position.

That makes First Drive betting different from using a team’s full-game scoring average alone.

3. Look at the Opposing Defense

A strong offensive opening-drive record can run into a defense that starts games particularly well.

When possible, compare the offense’s opening-drive result rates with the opponent’s early-game defensive performance rather than looking at only one side of the matchup.

4. Check the Game Total

The full-game over/under can provide context for the expected scoring environment.

A high total doesn’t guarantee the opening drive will produce points, but it can signal that the market expects efficient offenses or weaker defenses. A much lower total may point to a tougher scoring environment.

Compare the latest totals through our NFL odds page.

5. Check the Weather

Strong wind, heavy rain, or other difficult conditions can affect passing, kicking, and play-calling.

Treat weather as one part of the matchup, not an automatic reason to bet a punt or no-score result. What matters is whether the conditions are severe enough to alter how the teams are likely to play.

6. Check Injuries and Late Lineup News

The absence of a quarterback, starting tackle, primary receiver, or other important offensive player can change the probability of an opening drive succeeding.

Check final injury information rather than relying exclusively on a season-long First Drive percentage.

7. Shop Around for the Best Price

The same First Drive result can be priced differently at two sportsbooks.

Illustrative example only:

First Drive Bet Sportsbook A Sportsbook B
Punt +115 +135
Touchdown +190 +175
Field Goal Attempt +325 +375
Turnover / Other +525 +475

If you already want to bet Punt, you’re better off using the +135 odds from Sportsbook B instead of the +115 odds at Sportsbook A.

A $10 winning bet at +115 produces $11.50 in profit. The same $10 bet at +135 produces $13.50.

NFL quarterback preparing for an offensive drive at the line of scrimmage.

More NFL Stats for First Drive Betting

Opening-drive results make more sense when they are viewed alongside other early-game and scoring data:

NFL First Drive Betting FAQs

Can I bet on both teams’ first drives?

When the sportsbook offers both markets, yes, each team’s first offensive possession is treated separately, so the bet isn’t limited to the team receiving the opening kickoff.

Does a Field Goal Attempt bet require the kick to be made?

If the market is specifically graded as a Field Goal Attempt, the kick only needs to be attempted, not made. A separate Field Goal Made market requires a successful kick. Always check the sportsbook’s wording and rules.

What is included in First Drive “Other”?

The definition varies. It can include uncommon outcomes such as a turnover on downs, a safety, a blocked kick, or other results without their own odds. Check the operator’s specific market rules.

What stats are useful for a First Drive Punt bet?

Start with the team’s opening-drive Punt %, then look at opponent strength, recent offensive changes, injuries, game environment, and the sportsbook’s price.

About the Author: Malcolm Darnley

Malcolm loves to watch all kinds of different sports. He also writes about them.

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