NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds 2025

While the NFL Most Valuable Player Award essentially honors the top quarterback in the NFL every season, barring a historically good season from another position, the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award typically honors the best non-quarterback to play in the NFL that season.

For sports bettors, this marks an incredible opportunity to find value on the board, as opposed to the MVP award which typically goes to one of the early frontrunners and largely depends on when you place your wager in order to maximize the value on one of those favorites.

Now, this isn’t to say a quarterback absolutely will not win this award. After all, we’ve seen six quarterbacks be named NFL Offensive Player of the Year dating back to the 2010 season.

However, the last six winners of this award have been a running back or a wide receiver, and those who vote on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award have quietly separated the MVP and OPOY award to have quarterbacks in one category (MVP) and all the other skill positions in the other (OPOY).

So what is the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award and how is it won? Who are some names to look for? Who are some deep sleepers that can potentially turn a small wager into a large payday?

We break all of this down and more in this article. Let’s dive in.

Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.

How Is The NFL Offensive Player of the Year Decided?

Each season, the Associated Press, known by many as the AP, gives out the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award to the offensive player they believe has performed the best throughout the course of the regular season.

A panel of 50 sportswriters and media members rank their top five choices for the award at the end of each NFL season, with the winner being the player who receives the most votes as determined by where they are slotted in each respective writer or media members top five.

In other words, the more first place votes a player receives, the higher the likelihood they will be named NFL Offensive Player of the Year.

While we mentioned above how the NFL Most Valuable Player Award has morphed into an achievement dominated by quarterbacks, the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award is more of a mixed bag.

Dating back to the 2000 season, here’s a position by position breakdown showing who has brought home this award over the last 25 seasons of NFL action.

Position	OPOY Awards Won Since 2000
Running Backs	13
Quarterbacks	9
Wide Receivers	3

As you can see, running backs have recently fared very well in winning this award, with the last two winners of this award (Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey) also being running backs.

While wide receivers appear to pale in comparison to their quarterback and running back friends, consider those three winners of the award have come in the last six seasons, adding further evidence that the tide is changing on who ultimately wins this award.

Top Candidates to Win the 2025 Offensive Player of the Year Award

Saquon Barkley (+550) – RB Philadelphia Eagles

The 2024 NFL OPOY award winner is the short favorite to become the first player to win consecutive OPOY award since Marshall Faulk rattled off three straight OPOY awards from 1999-2001, and for good reason why.

A season ago, Saquon Barkley became just the ninth running back in NFL history to rush for over 2000 yards on the season, and Barkley was instrumental in the Eagles Super Bowl Championship run.

Now Barkley enters the 2025 season with essentially the same dominant offensive line and supporting cast around him, with the Eagles looking like they have all the pieces in place to get back to the Super Bowl once again.

If Saquon stays healthy all season, which could be a risky proposition given he’s on the cover of Madden, you have to figure he will be very much in the mix to win this award once again.

Ja’Marr Chase (+900) – Cincinnati Bengals

One of the most intriguing teams of the upcoming 2025 NFL Season is that of the Cincinnati Bengals, who look like a modern-day version of the old Mike Martz Rams’ teams from the early 2000’s where they all gas and no brakes.

The Bengals very well could lead the NFL in scoring and also see their defense give up the most points this season, and one of the key cogs on the side of the football in which they dominate is that of the reigning NFL receiving triple-crown winner Ja’Marr Chase.

Chase is coming off an absolutely ridiculous 2024 season that saw him grab 127 passes for 1708 yards with 17 touchdowns. Considering the aforementioned defense the Bengals will field in 2025, the Bengals’ offense will need to put up a lot of points to keep pace on the scoreboard.

Ja’Marr Chase figures to be a key benefactor in said scenario and at +900, this could very well be the biggest steal on the NFL futures board when it’s all said and done.

Justin Jefferson (+1100) – Minnesota Vikings

It’s still hard to wrap your head around the fact that Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase were teammates at LSU with Joe Burrow slinging the rock around, but the Vikings superstar receiver has picked up right where he left off when he was busy torching Oklahoma and Clemson en route to a national championship in 2019.

There’s a very good argument to be made that Justin Jefferson is the best receiver in football, despite Ja’Marr Chase’s achievements in his early NFL career, however, there’s not much of an argument when you’re comparing Joe Burrow and Jefferson’s new quarterback this season J.J. McCarthy.

And McCarthy being an enigma is exactly why a player like Jefferson can be found at 11-1 to win the NFL OPOY Award this season.

However, the value with Jefferson is still undeniable, and we saw him post a 103 catch, 1533 yard, 10 touchdown season with Sam Darnold under center just a season ago.

If McCarthy isn’t in over his skis in his first season as an NFL starter, expect Jettas to light up the box score once again and be very firmly in the conversation to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year.

Sneaky Good Value Picks

Nico Collins (+1600) – Houston Texans

Before a hamstring injury sidelined Nico Collins for five weeks of the 2024 season, Collins was every bit as good as Chase and Jefferson and was really starting to emerge as a game changing wide receiver that C.J. Stroud not only could depend on, but frequently targeted in the passing game.

If Collins can play a 16 or 17 game season in 2025, he should very much be in the conversation to win the NFL OPOY award, especially given the turnover in the Texans’ wide receiving corps which saw Stefon Diggs depart in free agency after tearing his ACL, and Tank Dell suffered a horrific injury against the Chiefs that will keep him out for much of the 2025 season.

While Houston did draft two WR’s out of Iowa State, Collins is the unquestionable #1 WR on this team and will put up numbers so long as he stays in the lineup.

Christian McCaffrey (+2000) – San Francisco 49ers

After falling just short in an overtime Super Bowl loss to the Chiefs, Christian McCaffrey entered the 2024 NFL Season with a lot of preseason hype, ranging from MVP chatter to landing the cover of Madden.

Instead of a sensational season, CMC spent the majority of the year in street clothes on the 49ers sideline, and it wasn’t until later in the season that we saw him on the field at all.

However, thanks to the Niners being a general black hole of suck in 2024, CMC did not have a shortened offseason and did not have to play intense postseason games. Instead, for the first time since he was a Carolina Panther and he was used to having most of January off, CMC got a chance to rest and heal up in what he hopes will be a bounce back 2025 campaign.

As a result, Christian McCaffrey has gone from presumptive #1 overall fantasy football pick in 2024 to an under-the-radar pick to win OPOY in 2025.

Considering the depth of the Niners wide receiving corps as we approach the beginning of the season, and by depth I mean they have little of it, CMC has tremendous value at 20-1 to emerge from the pack and win his second NFL OPOY award in three seasons.

The Super Sleepers

Jayden Daniels (+5000) – Washington Commanders

We mentioned at the top that this award has trended towards favoring the other skill position players on this side of the ball, but that doesn’t mean you throw all of the quarterbacks in the league off your OPOY board.

Considering the stature of Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, and Patrick Mahomes amongst fans and media members alike, it could be a bit difficult for a guy like Jayden Daniels to break through this group to stake claim to an NFL MVP award.

But an NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award in which Daniels is showing off his arm and legs as the Commanders get back to the playoffs once again? It’s not entirely far fetched.

At 50-1, it’s at least worth a pizza bet. Stranger things have certainly happened.

Davante Adams (+10000) – Los Angeles Rams

This pick could be a bit dicey if Matthew Stafford’s back injury that’s kept him out of training camp and the preseason continues to linger into the season, but if Stafford is a full go, why not roll the dice on the Rams prize free-agent acquisition, Davante Adams?

Adams fills the role that Cooper Kupp once held down for the Rams before injuries caused the Rams to move on from Kupp, ultimately seeing him return to his home state of Washington to play for the rival Seahawks.

But if there is a man that lives up to the word “consistent” it’s that of the veteran Davante Adams.

Adams has posted five-straight 1000-yard seasons, and he’d be gunning for his eighth straight 1000-yard season in 2025 if it weren’t for missing four games in 2019, a season he still finished with 997 yards on the year. In five of his last seven seasons, he’s also grabbed 100 passes and has scored no fewer than eight touchdowns in each of his last five seasons.

At 100-1, you can do much worse than a small sprinkle on Davante Adams to win the NFL OPOY award.

All betting odds listed courtesy FanDuel Sportsbook

2025 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds

Player/Position	Team	Betting Odds
Saquon Barkley (RB)	Philadelphia Eagles	+550
Ja’Marr Chase (WR)	Cincinnati Bengals	+900
Justin Jefferson (WR)	Minnesota Vikings	+1100
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB)	Detroit Lions	+1300
Derrick Henry (RB)	Baltimore Ravens	+1400
Bijan Robinson (RB)	Atlanta Falcons	+1600
Puka Nacua (WR)	Los Angeles Rams	+1600
Nico Collins (WR)	Houston Texans	+1600
CeeDee Lamb (WR)	Dallas Cowboys	+2000
Christian McCaffrey (RB)	San Francisco 49ers	+2000

How To Bet On The NFL Offensive Player Of The Year

To bet on the OPOY award, you must:

1. Log into your sportsbook.
2. Look for the NFL betting odds tab.
3. Click on the ‘Players Futures’ category.
4. Select the OPOY award to display the odds.
5. Choose the player you want to wager on.
6. Submit it from the bet slip window on the right-hand side of the screen.