NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds 2026
The 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year race has already changed considerably since the preseason. Jahmyr Gibbs remains at the top of the betting market, defending…
The table below shows the latest available NFL OPOY prices across the current market. Odds move throughout the season and can differ between sportsbooks, so the prices displayed by an individual operator should always be checked before placing a wager.
2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds
| Player | Team | Position | Current OPOY Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | Detroit Lions | RB | +300 to +330 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | WR | +470 to +550 |
| Kenneth Walker III | Kansas City Chiefs | RB | +650 to +900 |
| Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | RB | +1100 to +1500 |
| Ja’Marr Chase | Cincinnati Bengals | WR | +1500 |
| Derrick Henry | Baltimore Ravens | RB | +1500 to +1700 |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | WR | +2400 to +2800 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | Detroit Lions | WR | +2500 |
| CeeDee Lamb | Dallas Cowboys | WR | +2500 to +3000 |
| Jonathan Taylor | Indianapolis Colts | RB | +2600 to +3000 |
| James Cook | Buffalo Bills | RB | +2700 to +3500 |
| Christian McCaffrey | San Francisco 49ers | RB | +3000 to +3500 |
Odds checked October 2, 2026. The ranges above reflect currently available prices across major sportsbooks and are subject to change.
2026 NFL OPOY Race: Where It Stands
The first three games have already separated several candidates from the preseason field. Gibbs remains the market leader, but Smith-Njigba’s start has substantially shortened the defending winner’s price. Walker has been another major mover after immediately becoming a high-volume runner for Kansas City.
| Player | 2026 Production Through Three Games | Early OPOY Context |
|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 27 receptions, 405 receiving yards, 6 receiving TDs | Defending winner has opened 2026 with league-leading receiving production |
| Kenneth Walker III | 360 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs, 82 receiving yards, 2 receiving TDs | Immediate high-volume role for an unbeaten Kansas City team |
| Bijan Robinson | 349 rushing yards, 118 receiving yards, 3 total TDs | 467 scrimmage yards despite Atlanta’s uneven opening |
| Ja’Marr Chase | 18 receptions, 185 receiving yards, 3 receiving TDs | Remains prominent in the market despite a quieter statistical start |
| Jonathan Taylor | 258 rushing yards, 67 receiving yards, 5 total TDs | Strong touchdown production keeps him within the wider contender group |
Three games remain a small sample within a 17-game regular season. OPOY prices can move sharply following injuries, changes in workload, breakout performances and changes in team results. The current board should therefore be read as a snapshot of the race rather than a prediction of the final vote.
Current NFL Offensive Player of the Year Favorites
Jahmyr Gibbs – Detroit Lions
Gibbs entered the season near the top of the OPOY market and remains the shortest-priced candidate. His position reflects both his established production and his central role within Detroit’s offense.
He opened the season with 156 rushing yards and two touchdowns against New Orleans while adding another 30 yards as a receiver. Buffalo contained his rushing production in Detroit’s second game, but Gibbs still contributed 61 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown.
That dual rushing and receiving role is particularly relevant to an award based on offensive production. Gibbs does not need to rely exclusively on rushing volume to accumulate yards and touchdowns, which gives him several statistical routes into the OPOY conversation.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba – Seattle Seahawks
Smith-Njigba is attempting something that has not been accomplished since Marshall Faulk won three consecutive Offensive Player of the Year awards from 1999 through 2001: successfully defending the award.
His opening three games have provided a statistical basis for considering that possibility. Smith-Njigba has recorded 27 receptions for 405 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 135 receiving yards per game.
The start follows a 2025 season in which he led the NFL with 1,793 receiving yards on 119 receptions and won OPOY. Rather than beginning 2026 with the statistical regression that can follow a career season, he has initially increased his per-game receiving production.
The historical difficulty of winning consecutive awards remains relevant, but the early production explains why Smith-Njigba has moved from approximately +2000 in the September market to around +500.
Kenneth Walker III – Kansas City Chiefs
Walker has produced one of the largest early movements in the OPOY market. Through three games with Kansas City, he has carried 65 times for 360 yards, an average of 5.5 yards per attempt.
His contribution extends beyond rushing production. Walker has added 82 receiving yards and two receiving touchdowns, giving him 442 yards from scrimmage and four total touchdowns through three games.
He opened his Kansas City regular season with 173 rushing yards against Denver, followed with 178 yards from scrimmage against Indianapolis and scored both a rushing and receiving touchdown against Miami. Kansas City has started 3-0, giving Walker both individual production and early team success.
That combination has moved Walker from outside the leading preseason group into the first tier of the current market.
Bijan Robinson – Atlanta Falcons
Robinson entered 2026 after leading the NFL with 2,298 yards from scrimmage in 2025, yet finishing fourth in OPOY voting. His individual production has remained substantial through the first three games.
Robinson has rushed 66 times for 349 yards while adding 118 receiving yards, taking him to 467 yards from scrimmage. His strongest performance came against Green Bay, when he rushed for 194 yards and two touchdowns on 29 carries and added 19 receiving yards.
The early complication is Atlanta’s 1-2 record. Robinson demonstrated in 2025 that exceptional individual volume does not necessarily translate directly into first-place OPOY votes when the player’s team is outside the leading group.
Ja’Marr Chase – Cincinnati Bengals
Chase remains among the shorter-priced wide receivers despite beginning the season below Smith-Njigba’s receiving pace. Through three games, he has 18 receptions for 185 yards and three touchdowns.
His season began with two receptions for 12 yards against Tampa Bay before he responded with seven receptions, 75 yards and two touchdowns against Houston. He then recorded 98 receiving yards and another touchdown against Pittsburgh.
Chase’s established ceiling keeps him prominent in a season-long market, but the current race illustrates how quickly OPOY pricing responds to production. Smith-Njigba’s explosive opening and Walker’s emergence have both pushed ahead of him on the board.
Other 2026 OPOY Contenders
Derrick Henry – Baltimore Ravens
Henry remains within the leading group of OPOY candidates because few running backs offer the same combination of rushing volume and touchdown potential. His route to the award is comparatively straightforward: remain among the league leaders in rushing yards and touchdowns while Baltimore remains competitive.
Chris Olave – New Orleans Saints
Olave has emerged as one of the notable receiver movers in the early market. Through three games he has 27 receptions for 375 yards, putting him among the NFL’s leading receivers by both catches and yardage.
The principal difference between Olave and Smith-Njigba so far has been touchdown production. Sustaining his yardage pace while increasing his scoring output would strengthen his statistical profile as the season develops.
Amon-Ra St. Brown – Detroit Lions
St. Brown remains an important part of the wider OPOY market and has opened the season with substantial scoring production. His candidacy is also directly connected to Gibbs because two leading offensive candidates on the same team can divide attention if both sustain elite production.
Jonathan Taylor – Indianapolis Colts
Taylor has 258 rushing yards through three games and has already scored four rushing touchdowns, with another touchdown as a receiver. His 325 yards from scrimmage do not currently match Walker, Robinson or Smith-Njigba, but his touchdown production keeps him relevant to the broader race.
Indianapolis faces Washington next, giving Taylor another opportunity to change his position in a market that can move considerably from one week to the next.
What Matters in the NFL OPOY Race?
The Associated Press Offensive Player of the Year award is determined by voting rather than by a fixed statistical formula. No single yardage, touchdown or team-win threshold guarantees the award.
Recent results nevertheless provide useful context for understanding the profiles that have received the most support.
Elite Individual Production
Recent winners have generally produced seasons that place them at or near the top of a major offensive category. Smith-Njigba led the NFL in receiving yards in 2025. Saquon Barkley produced a dominant rushing season in 2024. Christian McCaffrey accumulated elite rushing and receiving production in 2023, while Justin Jefferson led the NFL in both receptions and receiving yards in 2022.
For the 2026 field, that makes the league leaderboards particularly relevant. A strong September can establish a candidate, but maintaining that production across the full regular season is considerably more difficult.
Team Performance
Individual statistics remain the foundation of an OPOY case, but recent voting also shows that team context can matter. Players producing elite numbers for successful teams have repeatedly featured prominently in the final vote.
This should not be treated as a formal qualification. There is no minimum number of team wins required to receive the award. It is instead one piece of historical context when comparing players with similar individual production.
Running Backs and Wide Receivers Have Dominated Recent Voting
Patrick Mahomes in 2018 remains the most recent quarterback to win Offensive Player of the Year. Every winner from 2019 through 2025 was either a running back or wide receiver.
That does not prevent a quarterback from winning in 2026, but it explains why the current betting market is concentrated around running backs and receivers while quarterbacks generally have longer prices.
How Is the NFL Offensive Player of the Year Decided?
The Associated Press presents the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award annually. It is separate from the NFL Most Valuable Player award and is intended to recognize outstanding offensive performance.
The modern voting process uses ranked ballots. That distinction matters when reading final results because a player can accumulate support across different positions on voters’ ballots rather than simply winning through a single count of first-place votes.
The award has existed since 1972. Running backs historically account for the largest share of winners, while wide receivers have become increasingly prominent during the modern passing era.
2025 NFL Offensive Player of the Year Voting
Jaxon Smith-Njigba won the 2025 award after leading the NFL with 1,793 receiving yards. Christian McCaffrey finished second following a season with 2,126 yards from scrimmage and 17 touchdowns, while Puka Nacua and Bijan Robinson were also prominent in the final voting.
| Rank | Player | Team | Position | Voting Points | First-Place Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | WR | 272 | 14 |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | San Francisco 49ers | RB | 223 | 12 |
| 3 | Puka Nacua | Los Angeles Rams | WR | 170 | 8 |
| 4 | Bijan Robinson | Atlanta Falcons | RB | 168 | 6 |
| 5 | Drake Maye | New England Patriots | QB | 58 | 5 |
2025 OPOY Finalist Statistics
| Player | Position | Key Production | Additional Production | TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 1,793 receiving yards | 119 receptions | 10 receiving |
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | 2,126 scrimmage yards | 1,202 rushing yards | 17 total |
| Puka Nacua | WR | 1,715 receiving yards | 129 receptions | 10 receiving |
| Bijan Robinson | RB | 2,298 scrimmage yards | 1,478 rushing yards | 13 total |
| Drake Maye | QB | 4,394 passing yards | 31 passing TDs | 31 passing |
The 2025 result demonstrates why the OPOY race cannot be reduced to one statistic. Robinson led the league in yards from scrimmage, Nacua led in receptions and McCaffrey exceeded 2,000 yards from scrimmage, yet Smith-Njigba’s league-leading receiving season ultimately received the most voting support.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year Winners
| Season | Winner | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | WR |
| 2024 | Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | RB |
| 2023 | Christian McCaffrey | San Francisco 49ers | RB |
| 2022 | Justin Jefferson | Minnesota Vikings | WR |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | Los Angeles Rams | WR |
| 2020 | Derrick Henry | Tennessee Titans | RB |
| 2019 | Michael Thomas | New Orleans Saints | WR |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | QB |
| 2017 | Todd Gurley | Los Angeles Rams | RB |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | Atlanta Falcons | QB |
The recent history is notable for the absence of quarterbacks. Running backs or wide receivers have won each of the seven awards since Mahomes won in 2018.
Smith-Njigba is also attempting to become the first repeat winner since Marshall Faulk, who won the award in 1999, 2000 and 2001.
How NFL OPOY Odds Work
NFL Offensive Player of the Year is a futures market. Sportsbooks publish odds on potential winners before and during the season, with prices changing as new information becomes available.
Positive American odds show the potential profit on a $100 winning wager. For example, +500 represents $500 in potential profit on a $100 stake, plus the original stake returned if the wager wins. A $10 winning wager at the same price would return $60 in total: $50 profit plus the $10 stake.
The price also represents the sportsbook’s market assessment rather than a guaranteed probability. Different sportsbooks can publish different prices for the same player, which is why comparing OPOY odds before placing a wager can matter.
How to Bet on NFL Offensive Player of the Year
- Open an account with a regulated sportsbook available in the relevant jurisdiction.
- Navigate to the NFL futures or awards section.
- Find the NFL Offensive Player of the Year market.
- Review the available candidates and current prices.
- Compare the same player across sportsbooks where possible.
- Select the player to add the wager to the bet slip.
- Enter the intended stake and review the odds and potential return.
- Confirm the wager only after checking the final details displayed by the sportsbook.
OPOY futures can remain open for much of the regular season, although individual sportsbooks can suspend the market temporarily or change the available selections. Prices generally react to weekly performance, injuries, team results and changes in player workload.
Best Sportsbooks for NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds
NFL award markets are available at a number of regulated sportsbooks. Availability depends on jurisdiction, and individual operators can display different OPOY prices or temporarily remove a market.
The sportsbook sections below provide access to operator information and current offers. When comparing OPOY markets, the relevant consideration is the price available for the same player at the time the wager is being considered.
DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook lists NFL futures and award markets, including Offensive Player of the Year when available in the customer’s jurisdiction. Prices can move throughout the regular season as the award race develops.
FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel Sportsbook offers NFL futures and player-award markets in eligible jurisdictions. Its OPOY price for an individual player can differ from competing sportsbooks as the season progresses.
BetMGM Sportsbook
BetMGM Sportsbook provides NFL futures markets in supported states, including player awards when listed. Customers can compare its current OPOY prices with those offered elsewhere before selecting a market.
Caesars Sportsbook
Caesars Sportsbook lists a range of NFL futures in eligible jurisdictions. OPOY markets can be compared alongside other season-long player and team markets.
bet365 Sportsbook
bet365 Sportsbook provides NFL futures and award markets where permitted. Its current price can be checked against other sportsbooks when comparing OPOY candidates.
BetRivers Sportsbook
BetRivers Sportsbook offers NFL futures in supported jurisdictions. Market availability and OPOY prices can change during the season.
Hard Rock Bet
Hard Rock Bet provides NFL futures and player-award markets where available. Customers should check the Sportsbook directly for the current OPOY selections and prices available in their jurisdiction.
2026 NFL OPOY FAQs
Who is the favorite to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year in 2026?
Jahmyr Gibbs is the current betting favorite, with prices around +300 to +330 across the market as of October 2, 2026. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is immediately behind him after recording 405 receiving yards and six touchdowns through Seattle’s first three games.
Who won NFL Offensive Player of the Year in 2025?
Seattle wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba won the 2025 Associated Press NFL Offensive Player of the Year award. He finished the regular season with 119 receptions for an NFL-leading 1,793 receiving yards and 10 receiving touchdowns.
Can Jaxon Smith-Njigba win OPOY in consecutive seasons?
Yes. There is no rule preventing consecutive awards. It is historically uncommon, however. Marshall Faulk was the most recent player to win consecutive OPOY awards, taking the honor three straight times from 1999 through 2001.
What does OPOY mean in the NFL?
OPOY means Offensive Player of the Year. The Associated Press award recognizes outstanding offensive performance during the NFL season.
Is NFL OPOY the same as NFL MVP?
No. Offensive Player of the Year and Most Valuable Player are separate Associated Press awards. A player can receive votes for both, but the awards are decided independently.
When is NFL Offensive Player of the Year announced?
The award is announced after the regular season as part of the NFL’s annual awards presentation. Sportsbooks can continue adjusting OPOY futures throughout the regular season before closing the market.
Can a quarterback win Offensive Player of the Year?
Yes. Quarterbacks are eligible to win OPOY. Patrick Mahomes was the most recent quarterback winner in 2018. Running backs and wide receivers have won every edition since then.
Do NFL OPOY odds change during the season?
Yes. OPOY odds can change substantially as player statistics, injuries, workload and team results develop. Smith-Njigba provides an early 2026 example: his price shortened considerably after producing 405 receiving yards and six touchdowns through three games.
Why are NFL OPOY odds different between sportsbooks?
Each sportsbook sets and adjusts its own market. The same player can therefore have different odds at different operators at the same time. Comparing available prices allows the bettor to see those differences before placing a wager.
What positions usually win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?
Running backs have won the award most frequently over its history, while wide receivers have become increasingly prominent. Every winner from 2019 through 2025 was either a running back or wide receiver.
Is NFL Offensive Player of the Year a futures bet?
Yes. OPOY is a season-long futures market. A wager is settled according to the eventual award result under the sportsbook’s applicable market rules.
Odds and markets are subject to change. Sports betting is only available where legal and to customers who meet the applicable age and location requirements. Review the terms displayed by the sportsbook before placing a wager and gamble responsibly.
