2025 AFC East Betting Odds

A lot of things in the world seemed to change in 2020, but while the pandemic and other world events dominated the headlines, 2020 is also the year Tom Brady finally departed the AFC East and let the other three teams have some fun again.

At least, that was originally the idea as to what would happen. However, instead of a fun-filled division where parity reigned supreme, Josh Allen has put the AFC East in a chokehold in a very similar manner to the GOAT himself.

With all eyes on the Bills finally winning their long-pursued Lombardi Trophy, is the AFC East division race a mere coronation for the Bills start to another playoff run? Or will somebody rise-up to give Buffalo some semblance of stress in this division?

Before we jump into the AFC East, here’s how the division race shook out last season.

2024 AFC East Results

Team	2024 Overall	2024 Divisional
Buffalo Bills	13-4	5-1
Miami Dolphins	8-9	3-3
New York Jets	5-12	2-4
New England Patriots	4-13	2-4

It only took 13 weeks of the 2024 NFL Season for the Bills to mathematically lock up the AFC East and secure their fifth straight AFC East crown, however, the division was long decided before that.

The Dolphins once again had a promising season derailed when Tua suffered yet another concussion, seemingly setting the team on a death spiral with unfortunate break after unfortunate break plaguing their 2024 campaign.

The Patriots got a lot of promising performances out of rookie QB Drake Maye, but immediately fired Bill Belichick’s heir to the throne, Jerod Mayo, and brought back another former Patriot to run the show in 2025 with the hire of former Titans HC Mike Vrabel. Vrabel inherits a lot of young talent on a team that will play a softer schedule in 2025 thanks to their 4-13 record a season ago.

Lastly, the New York Jets were a glorious dumpster fire that just never seemed to disappoint. I will be sad this iteration of them will be gone, but the Jets ineptitude is eternal and surely this new iteration of them will continue the tradition that so many Jets teams before them have carried out. Our thoughts and prayers go out to Aaron Glenn for what is sure to be a miserable experience as a head coach.

Without further ado, the article below covers the AFC East with all the NFL Futures Odds and insights you need to know ahead of the start of the new NFL season, including:

• 2025 AFC East Win Totals
• 2025 AFC East Super Bowl Odds
• 2025 AFC East Division Winner
• AFC East Player MVP Odds

Let’s dive into the AFC East!

2025 AFC East Win Totals

Sure you may have heard Stephen A’s opinions on the AFC East, or maybe Colin Cowherd went on a 19-minute diatribe comparing the AFC East to sitcoms from the 90’s and his comparison of the Patriots to Seinfeld was so on the nose you felt compelled to hammer their future bets.

Whatever the case may be, the true litmus test to what we are to expect to play out in the forthcoming NFL season is where the oddsmakers have set each of these team’s win totals at.

Going off of these win totals, you will see they really, really like the Bills.

Team	Projected Wins and Betting Odds
Buffalo Bills	O/U 11.5 | (-160/+135)
Miami Dolphins	O/U 7.5 | (-105/-115)
New York Jets	O/U 6.5 | (+125/-145)
New England Patriots	O/U 8.5 | (+105/-130)

• The Bills are looking to win their fifth straight AFC East title, and oddsmakers are backing them to make it six in a row with a projected win total of 11.5 in 2025. The Bills are one of four teams in the NFL with this projected win total, with some books even moving this number to 12.5. Even with that said, the over on this win total looks to be a very solid bet with the Bills cashing those win total over tickets in seven of the last eight seasons.
  
• The Dolphins enter the season with a projected win total of 7.5, a number they have cleared in each of the last five seasons, however, this number could very well come down to Zach Wilson in the event Tua gets injured once again. That’s a decision that could wind up not being very fun.
  
• The Patriots are expected to make a big jump under new coach Mike Vrabel with a win total set at 8.5. If the Pats were to cash this over, that would mean Vrabel more than doubled the Patriots wins from the 2024 season. Vrabel had winning seasons in four of his six years as coach of the Titans.
  
• The Jets have the longest playoff drought in not just the NFL, but in all of professional sports. They fire their head coach seemingly every two seasons and have hit the reset button more times than we can count. The Jets have failed to win six games in a season in six of their last nine years and oddsmakers are projecting they will do it once again in 2025. 

2025 AFC East – To Win Super Bowl 60 Odds

The Bills are widely considered to be one of the short favorites to reach and win Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, California in February 2026, with the other three AFC East members being considered long shots to deliver another Lombardi Trophy to their franchise.

Here’s a look at some of the odds to win Super Bowl 60 amongst members of the AFC East.

AFC East Teams – Super Bowl LX Odds

Team	FanDuel	DraftKings	BetMGM
Buffalo Bills	+750	+600	+700
New England Patriots	+7000	+6000	+8000
Miami Dolphins	+8000	+10000	+8000
New York Jets	+22500	+25000	+20000

The Jets haven’t won a Super Bowl since defeating the Baltimore Colts in Super Bowl III, back on in January of 1969. It’s probably not changing in 2026 either.

The Patriots, once a staple in the Super Bowl under Brady and Belichick, now find themselves at +8000 to win the Super Bowl at BetMGM. Drake Maye has a world of potential, but it does feel like the Patriots are a few years away from re-entering the AFC contender discussion.

The Dolphins haven’t won a Super Bowl since 1972 when they completed the perfect season and it’s hard to picture this team being anywhere near Super Bowl LX unless they attend the game in person.

2025 AFC East – To Win Division Odds

Of all the division races in the NFL, oddsmakers believe this one will be the one that is over the earliest as the Buffalo Bills are the heavy favorites to stake claim to their sixth straight AFC East championship.

Here’s how the odds shake out in the AFC East as we head towards the start of the new NFL season.

Team	FanDuel	DraftKings	BetMGM
Buffalo Bills	-270	-330	-325
New England Patriots	+500	+475	+550
Miami Dolphins	+750	+1000	+850
New York Jets	+1800	+1900	+1800

2025 AFC East – Player MVP Odds

It should be of no surprise that the AFC East player with the shortest odds to win the 2025 NFL MVP award is none other than the current MVP himself, Bills’ QB Josh Allen.

Once again, Allen is tabbed as one of the main contenders for NFL MVP, with the other three quarterbacks in this division needing the season of a lifetime to enter the same conversation.

Here’s how the MVP Odds shake out for each of the four starting quarterbacks in the AFC East.

Player	FanDuel	DraftKings	BetMGM
Josh Allen (Bills)	+600	+550	+600
Drake Maye (Patriots)	+6000	+4500	+5000
Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)	+6000	+6000	+6000
Justin Fields (Jets)	+15000	+10000	+10000

Could Tua be a MVP dark horse if he can stay on the field? At +6000, it wouldn’t be a bad pizza bet. 

Drake Maye should continue to develop into a really fine quarterback, and Josh McDaniels has produced some fun offenses in each of his stints in Foxboro, but he doesn’t feel like a likely contender for the MVP, even if the Patriots were to over achieve under Vrabel.

Justin Fields is an extreme long shot, and seems quite unlikely to be in the mix given the current state of the Jets offense.

Step-By-Step To Bet On Divisional Winners

1. Go to your favorite sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the NFL tab.
3. Click on the Division’s tab from the drop-down menu.
4. Choose the odds and team you will bet on.
5. Place your bet from the bet slip window—usually—on the right side of the screen.

Betting Odds For AFC Divisions

2025 AFC West Division Odds
2025 AFC South Division Odds
2025 AFC North Division Odds