2025 NFL Rushing Touchdown Leader Odds

Author
Author

Brent Booher

Published: Aug 29, 2025
Author
Fact Checker

Sadonna Price

Updated: Aug 29, 2025
Nov 3, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry (22) dives over Denver Broncos safety Brandon Jones (22) tackle attempt for a touchdown during the first quarter at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-Imagn Images

If you follow the NFL on a year-to-year basis, you’re probably pretty well aware of the fact that NFL is very much a copycat league where if a few teams are having a lot of success doing something, many other teams will eventually follow suit.

Take, for example, the Eagles infamous “Tush Push” or “Brotherly Shove” where the Eagles use their mammoth offensive line and Jalen Hurts’ ridiculous lower body strength to shove their quarterback into either a pile of human flesh to pick up a key first down, or even better, when they are inside the 2-yard line with a chance to score.

After a few seasons where it looked like the NFL running back was going the way of the dodo bird, the running game has made a resounding comeback in recent seasons, capped off by the 2024 performances of Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry.

So now, it’s cool to run the football again, and as such, one of the more underrated NFL futures bets on the board where you bet on the player to lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns has also grown in popularity over the last few seasons.

In this article, we will break down the NFL Most Rushing Touchdowns betting odds for the 2025 season and revisit recent history across the NFL to help you get a better feel for the names to look out for as the new season quickly approaches.

Nov. 11, 2007; San Diego, CA, USA; San Diego Chargers running back LaDainian Tomlinson (21) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Indianapolis Colts during the 2nd quarter at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, CA. The Chargers defeated the Colts 23-21. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-Imagn Images

All-Time Single-Season Rushing TD Leaders

PlayerRushing TD’sSeason
LaDainian Tomlinson (SD)282006
Shaun Alexander (SEA)272005
Priest Holmes (KC)272003
Emmitt Smith (DAL)251995
John Riggins (WAS)241983

While the run game is making a frenetic comeback into every NFL teams respective playoffs, gone are the days of the bellcow rusher that teams feed the ball to 300+ times a season and gone are the days where that no-doubt #1 overall running back gets all the touches inside the green zone.

The early 2000’s brought us the days of Priest Holmes, LaDainian Tomlinson and Shaun Alexander, with each of those guys being the must-have guys in any fantasy football draft.

However, hitting 20+ rushing TD’s in a season has not been accomplished by any running back since the 2006 season when LT went ballistic with 28 rushing scores. The closest anyone has come to 20+ rushing TD’s in a season since that point came three times in the last 10 seasons with LeGarrette Blount (2016), Jonathan Taylor (2021), and Raheem Mostert (2023) each finding the end zone 18 times in their respective seasons.

Despite nearly breaking the single-season rushing record last season, Saquon Barkley only found the end zone 13 times. Jalen Hurts being a TD vulture certainly didn’t help that cause, as Hurts would score 14 rushing TD’s of his own.

And there in lies why we aren’t very likely to see anyone come close to what LT, Holmes and Alexander did in the early 2000’s.

What is the NFL Most Rushing Touchdowns Bet?

This is about as self explanatory as an NFL futures bet can be. The winner of the NFL Most Rushing TD’s bet is, you guessed it, the player that finishes with the most rushing touchdowns.

In the event of a tie at the top of the leaderboard, your winning wager would be split based on how many players also shared the rushing touchdowns lead for that respective season.

The 2024 season was the most recent example of this, as Derrick Henry, James Cook and Jahmyr Gibbs all ended the year with 16 rushing touchdowns. So if you had Derrick Henry to lead the league in rushing TD’s, your winning wager would have been a third of what you would have won if Gibbs and Cook didn’t decide to rain on your parade.

This differs from other NFL futures bets, particularly the awards bets, as this bet is strictly decided by the players statistics and not by who voters like the most for that particular award.

Jan 26, 2025; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) runs with the ball for a touchdown against the Washington Commanders during the second half in the NFC Championship game at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

The Favorites To Lead NFL in Rushing Touchdowns

Derrick Henry (+550) – Baltimore Ravens

The longevity and durability of Derrick Henry needs to be studied, as the 31-year old running back with nearly 12,000 yards rushing in his nine-year career just continues to keep dominating opposing defenses, and now that he’s paired with Lamar Jackson in the Ravens’ backfield, it has seemingly prolonged the impact he has that much more.

And while Henry does have to contend with Lamar’s legs when it comes to being the one that ultimately finds the end zone, it’s a much different situation than what Saquon Barkley (more on him in a second) has to deal with in Philadelphia. As such, the 2024 rushing TD leader enters 2025 with the shortest odds to lead the league in rushing touchdowns once again, a feat King Henry has accomplished in three of the last six seasons.

Jalen Hurts (+750) – Philadelphia Eagles

America’s favorite anytime touchdown bet is back in 2025, with Jalen Hurts using the vaunted “Tush Push” to find the end zone 14 times last season and 10, 13, and 15 rushing touchdowns the three years before that.

Hurts penchant for vulturing away touchdowns from Saquon Barkley and the rest of the Eagles’ offensive skill position players was almost put in grave danger after the NFL strongly considered banning the Eagles red zone cheat code, however, the Tush Push lived to see another season and as such, Hurts is your second shortest favorite to lead the league in rushing touchdowns in 2025.

Given how many times the Eagles find themselves on the 1 or 2-yard line in a single-season, this could be a bet with a whole lot of value for sports bettors.

Saquon Barkley (+1000) – Philadelphia Eagles

If it weren’t for Jalen Hurts existing, Barkley would absolutely be the short favorite to lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns entering the 2025 season.

Saquon was downright incredible in 2024, rushing for over 2,000 yards and accounting for 13 rushing scores on the year.

However, as any Saquon fantasy owner can confirm for you, Jalen Hurts is absolutely going to steal precious rushing touchdowns away from him, which makes this bet a bit more risky than it would otherwise appear to be.

At 10-1 odds though, this may still merit a sprinkle in the event Hurts misses a few games (do we really believe Tanner McKee is going to be the TD vulture Hurts is?) or if Saquon just starts housing everything before Hurts can saunter on in and take away his tuddy.

Jahmyr Gibbs (+1100) – Detroit Lions

What was once a healthy 50/50 split between David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs became a bit more one-sided in favor of the second-year pro out of Alabama.

Gibbs ended the 2024 NFL season with a share of the league lead in rushing TD’s with 16, and enters 2025 as the unquestionable #1 option in the Lions backfield.

However, David Montgomery does still exist and a big reason for Gibbs uptick in touchdowns came with Montgomery missing a few games due to injury last year. Gibbs enters the new year in a very similar situation with Saquon Barkley, with the potential to have a massive season possibly watered down thanks to his teammate.

Bijan Robinson (+1100) – Atlanta Falcons

After being freed from the death grip that was playing under Arthur Smith (good luck Steelers fans), Bijan Robinson had a phenomenal second-season with the Falcons, posting over 1400 yards rushing and 14 rushing touchdowns.

And while Robinson does have to deal with Tyler Allgeier taking carries away from him, it’s not as pronounced a situation as the Lions and Eagles have in place.

Bijan is definitely a prime candidate to have a big third season and to end the 2025 season atop the leaderboard for rushing touchdowns.

Dec 8, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams running back Kyren Williams (23) scores a touchdown ahead of Buffalo Bills cornerback Christian Benford (47) during the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

The Sleepers to Lead the NFL in Rushing Touchdowns in 2025

Kyren Williams (+1300) – Los Angeles Rams

A funny thing happened last season with Sean McVay after the Rams entered the bye week with a 1-4 record.

McVay realized the Rams could run the football, and that they had a pretty darn good running back in the backfield that could do it.

The Rams entered 2024 telling everyone that Kyren Williams would see less carries and return punts. Instead what happened is the young rusher out of Notre Dame would carry the ball 316 times (3rd most in the NFL) and find the end zone 14 times.

Kyren is more than capable of doing that again, especially with Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford getting up there in age and starting to face lower back issues as the new season approaches. McVay may not want to give Kyren the ball over 300 times again, but he will certainly be called upon in the red zone to get touchdown scoring opportunities.

Josh Allen (+1300) – Buffalo Bills

The Eagles are not the only team in the NFL with a lethal rushing threat combo at QB and RB, as the Bills feature reigning NFL MVP Josh Allen (12 rushing TD’s in 2024) and James Cook (16 rushing TD’s in 2024) in their backfield.

The Bills have discovered a way to replicate the Eagles “Tush Push” with their own battering ram at QB, and for that reason he should very much be in your consideration to end 2025 atop the leaderboard for rushing touchdowns.

Josh Jacobs (+1600) – Green Bay Packers

The Packers prize free-agent acquisition from a season ago promptly came to Lambeau Field and found the end zone 15 times in his debut season with the Packers. 

A big part of this had to do with Jordan Love’s injury and injuries suffered by their WR corps on a weekly basis, however, Jacobs will still play a huge role in Matt LaFleur’s offense in 2025.

Given that Love is coming off of a tough year and that the offense looked a lot better with Jacobs being the centerpoint of everything, Jacobs absolutely merits a look at potentially ending the new season with the most rushing touchdowns in football.

USATSI 26863815 - Sports photo with NFL players.

Deeper Sleepers to Lead the NFL in Rushing TD’s in 2025

James Cook (+2200) – Buffalo Bills

Cook had a share of the league lead last season with 16, and it’s a pretty safe assumption he will be a focal point in the Bills’ offense once again in 2025. 22-1 odds on a guy that’s already accomplished this feat isn’t a bad look whatsoever. 

Christian McCaffrey (+2500) – San Francisco 49ers

If CMC is healthy in 2025, this bet could wind up being quite the gem on the futures board. However, it is worth mentioning that CMC has never led the NFL in this category before. 

Ashton Jeanty (+4000) – Las Vegas Raiders

The prized prospect out of Boise State got selected by the #1 fan of running the football in the NFL, Mr. Pete Carroll. If Jeanty is as good as advertised, there’s a good chance he becomes the Raiders go to player to get the ball into the end zone in 2025. 

2024 Rushing Touchdown Leaders

PlayerRushing TD’sTeam
Derrick Henry16 (T-1st)Ravens
James Cook16 (T-1st)Bills
Jahmyr Gibbs16 (T-1st)Lions
Josh Jacobs15Packers
Jalen Hurts14Eagles
Kyren Williams14Rams
Bijan Robinson14Falcons
Saquon Barkley13Eagles
Josh Allen12Bills
David Montgomery12Lions

Always Shop Around

This is your friendly PSA that if you like a particular player to lead the league in rushing touchdowns this season, don’t just settle on the first set of odds you see. Shop around for the very best odds you can get.

Why would you bet Derrick Henry at +425 at Caesars when you could get King Henry at +550 at FanDuel?

Instead of making $425 on a $100 bet, wouldn’t you want to earn $550?

So shop around for your BestOdds (hence the name of the website!) and get every edge you can over the sportsbooks.

How to Bet On the Rushing TDs Leader

1. Go to your sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the tab with ‘Betting Odds and choose NFL.’
3. Click on ‘Player Futures.’
4. Select ‘Most Rushing TDs.’
5. Place your bet on the bet-slip window.

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Die-hard sports fan and overall lover of everything sports betting. Best bet ever placed was a $20 wager on Manchester United to win by the exact scor...

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