2026 NFL Rushing Touchdown Leader Odds

If you follow the NFL each season, you’re probably pretty well aware of the fact that NFL is very much a copycat league where if a few teams are having a lot of success…

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BestOddsBetting OddsNFLRushing Touchdowns
Published:Aug 29, 2025
Updated:Feb 5, 2026
Brent BooherSenior Writer
Ed Winchester
Fact Checker

Nov 3, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens running back Derrick Henry (22) dives over Denver Broncos safety Brandon Jones (22) tackle attempt for a touchdown during the first quarter at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-Imagn Images

Take, for example, the Eagles infamous “Tush Push” or “Brotherly Shove” where the Eagles use their mammoth offensive line and Jalen Hurts’ ridiculous lower body strength to shove their quarterback into either a pile of human flesh to pick up a key first down, or even better, when they are inside the 2-yard line with a chance to score.

After a few seasons where it looked like the NFL running back was going the way of the dodo bird, the running game has made a resounding comeback in recent seasons, capped off by the 2024 performances of Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry.

So now, it’s cool to run the football again, and as such, one of the more underrated NFL futures bets on the board where you bet on the player to lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns has also grown in popularity over the last few seasons.

In this article, we will break down the NFL Most Rushing Touchdowns betting odds for the 2025 season and revisit recent history across the NFL to help you get a better feel for the names to look out for as the new season quickly approaches.

Nov. 11, 2007; San Diego, CA, USA; San Diego Chargers running back LaDainian Tomlinson (21) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Indianapolis Colts during the 2nd quarter at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, CA. The Chargers defeated the Colts 23-21. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-Imagn Images

All-Time Single-Season Rushing TD Leaders

PlayerRushing TD’sSeason
LaDainian Tomlinson (SD)282006
Shaun Alexander (SEA)272005
Priest Holmes (KC)272003
Emmitt Smith (DAL)251995
John Riggins (WAS)241983

While the run game is making a frenetic comeback into every NFL teams respective playoffs, gone are the days of the bellcow rusher that teams feed the ball to 300+ times a season and gone are the days where that no-doubt #1 overall running back gets all the touches inside the green zone.

The early 2000’s brought us the days of Priest Holmes, LaDainian Tomlinson and Shaun Alexander, with each of those guys being the must-have guys in any fantasy football draft.

However, hitting 20+ rushing TD’s in a season has not been accomplished by any running back since the 2006 season when LT went ballistic with 28 rushing scores. The closest anyone has come to 20+ rushing TD’s in a season since that point came three times in the last 10 seasons with LeGarrette Blount (2016), Jonathan Taylor (2021), and Raheem Mostert (2023) each finding the end zone 18 times in their respective seasons.

Despite nearly breaking the single-season rushing record last season, Saquon Barkley only found the end zone 13 times. Jalen Hurts being a TD vulture certainly didn’t help that cause, as Hurts would score 14 rushing TD’s of his own.

And there in lies why we aren’t very likely to see anyone come close to what LT, Holmes and Alexander did in the early 2000’s.

What is the NFL Most Rushing Touchdowns Bet?

This is about as self explanatory as an NFL futures bet can be. The winner of the NFL Most Rushing TD’s bet is, you guessed it, the player that finishes with the most rushing touchdowns.

In the event of a tie at the top of the leaderboard, your winning wager would be split based on how many players also shared the rushing touchdowns lead for that respective season.

The 2024 season was the most recent example of this, as Derrick Henry, James Cook and Jahmyr Gibbs all ended the year with 16 rushing touchdowns. So if you had Derrick Henry to lead the league in rushing TD’s, your winning wager would have been a third of what you would have won if Gibbs and Cook didn’t decide to rain on your parade.

This differs from other NFL futures bets, particularly the awards bets, as this bet is strictly decided by the players statistics and not by who voters like the most for that particular award.

USATSI 27370913 - Portrait with NFL player running.

The Favorites To Lead NFL in Rushing Touchdowns in 2026

With just three games left, just a few players are realistically still in the running for the 2025 title of most rushing touchdowns. Here’s a quick rundown of those players.

Jonathan Taylor (-320) – Indianapolis Colts (16 TDs through Week 15)

Jonathan Taylor has had an impressive year as the Indianapolis Colts’ star running back, showcasing his elite talent on the field. With a blend of speed, agility, and power, he has become a key player in the Colts’ offense, leading the team in rushing yards and touchdowns. His ability to break tackles and find gaps in defenses has made him a significant threat to opponents.

As the season progresses, Taylor is on track to potentially lead the league in rushing touchdowns. His strong performance and a solid offensive line have created numerous scoring opportunities, particularly in goal-line situations where he excels at finding the end zone.

If Taylor maintains his current pace, he could not only secure the title of the NFL’s leading rusher but also set a new record for rushing touchdowns in a single season.

Jahmyr Gibbs (+290) – Detroit Lions (13 TDs through Week 15)

What was once a healthy 50/50 split between David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs became a bit more one-sided in favor of the second-year pro out of Alabama.

Gibbs ended the 2024 NFL season with a share of the league lead in rushing TD’s with 16, and enters 2025 as the unquestionable #1 option in the Lions backfield.

However, David Montgomery does still exist and a big reason for Gibbs uptick in touchdowns came with Montgomery missing a few games due to injury last year. Gibbs entered the new year in a very similar situation with Saquon Barkley, with the potential to have a massive season possibly watered down thanks to his teammate.

Josh Jacobs (+750) – Green Bay Packers (13 TDs through Week 15)

As one of the most dynamic running backs in the NFL, Jacobs has showcased his ability to find the end zone consistently. As key piece of the Packers’ offense, his combination of speed, strength, and vision allows him to break through defenses effectively. Jacobs has demonstrated a knack for capitalizing on scoring opportunities, particularly in the red zone, where his physical style of play shines.

In addition to his rushing abilities, Jacobs has become a versatile threat in the passing game. His capability to catch passes out of the backfield adds another dimension to his scoring potential, making him unpredictable for opposing defenses. This versatility enables the Packers to utilize him in various formations, increasing his chances of finding the end zone in multiple ways.

With a strong offensive line and strategic play-calling, he has the tools necessary to maximize his scoring opportunities. Jacobs could very well secure his place atop the leaderboard for touchdowns this season.

Josh Allen (+1200) – Buffalo Bills (12 TDs through Week 15)

With a unique blend of size and athleticism, Allen is one of the most effective rushing quarterbacks in the NFL. He possesses both the strength to push through tackles and the agility to evade defenders. This makes him a formidable threat in short-yardage and goal-line situations, where he can capitalize on his power while also utilizing his speed to break free for longer gains.

The Bills’ offensive scheme is tailored to leverage Allen’s running ability. With designed quarterback runs and read-option plays becoming a staple of their offense, he frequently finds himself in prime positions to score. His role as a dual-threat quarterback, paired with a solid offensive line that creates running lanes, allows him to accumulate rushing touchdowns efficiently.

Furthermore, Allen’s competitive nature drives him to excel, especially in crucial situations. His penchant for making impactful plays during high-pressure moments often results in him taking the initiative to run the ball himself when the situation calls for it. Allen could very well emerge as the leader in rushing touchdowns this season.

Derrick Henry (+10000) – Baltimore Ravens (10 TDs through Week 15)

The longevity and durability of Derrick Henry needs to be studied, as the 31-year old running back with nearly 12,000 yards rushing in his nine-year career just continues to keep dominating opposing defenses, and now that he’s paired with Lamar Jackson in the Ravens’ backfield, it has seemingly prolonged the impact he has that much more.

And while Henry does have to contend with Lamar’s legs when it comes to being the one that ultimately finds the end zone, it’s a much different situation than what Saquon Barkley has to deal with in Philadelphia.

As such, the 2024 rushing TD leader entered 2025 with the shortest odds to lead the league in rushing touchdowns once again, a feat King Henry has accomplished in three of the last six seasons.

Dec 8, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams running back Kyren Williams (23) scores a touchdown ahead of Buffalo Bills cornerback Christian Benford (47) during the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Kyren Williams (+1300) – Los Angeles Rams (10 TDs through Week 15)

A funny thing happened last season with Sean McVay after the Rams entered the bye week with a 1-4 record.

McVay realized the Rams could run the football, and that they had a pretty darn good running back in the backfield that could do it.

The Rams entered 2024 telling everyone that Kyren Williams would see less carries and return punts. Instead what happened is the young rusher out of Notre Dame would carry the ball 316 times (3rd most in the NFL) and find the end zone 14 times.

Kyren is more than capable of doing that again, especially with Rams’ QB Matthew Stafford getting up there in age and starting to face lower back issues as the new season approaches. McVay may not want to give Kyren the ball over 300 times again, but he will certainly be called upon in the red zone to get touchdown scoring opportunities.

Christian McCaffrey (+2500) – San Francisco 49ers (9 TDs through Week 15)

Christian McCaffrey’s unparalleled versatility positions him uniquely to accumulate the most rushing touchdowns in the NFL this season. In Kyle Shanahan’s offense, he serves as the focal point, consistently receiving high-volume touches in goal-line situations and red-zone opportunities. With his elite acceleration and vision, McCaffrey exploits mismatches and turns short gains into touchdowns more efficiently than most players.

McCaffrey has already demonstrated a strong scoring pace in 2025, entering the late season with double-digit total touchdowns, nine of those coming on the ground. As one of the league’s most durable and explosive backs when healthy, he has stayed on the field all season, building momentum heading into the final weeks where volume often translates directly to scores.

Looking ahead, the San Francisco 49ers’ remaining schedule offers favorable matchups that could allow McCaffrey to surge past current leaders.

2024 Rushing Touchdown Leaders

PlayerRushing TD’sTeam
Derrick Henry16 (T-1st)Ravens
James Cook16 (T-1st)Bills
Jahmyr Gibbs16 (T-1st)Lions
Josh Jacobs15Packers
Jalen Hurts14Eagles
Kyren Williams14Rams
Bijan Robinson14Falcons
Saquon Barkley13Eagles
Josh Allen12Bills
David Montgomery12Lions

Always Shop Around

This is your friendly PSA that if you like a particular player to lead the league in rushing touchdowns this season, don’t just settle on the first set of odds you see. Shop around for the very best odds you can get.

Why would you bet Derrick Henry at +425 at Caesars when you could get King Henry at +550 at FanDuel?

Instead of making $425 on a $100 bet, wouldn’t you want to earn $550?

So shop around for your BestOdds (hence the name of the website!) and get every edge you can over the sportsbooks.

How to Bet On the Rushing TDs Leader

1. Go to your sportsbook and log in.
2. Look for the tab with ‘Betting Odds and choose NFL.’
3. Click on ‘Player Futures.’
4. Select ‘Most Rushing TDs.’
5. Place your bet on the bet-slip window.

About the Author: Brent Booher

Die-hard sports fan and overall lover of everything sports betting. Best bet ever placed was a $20 wager on Manchester United to win by the exact score of 3-1 in the 2019 Champions League at 80:1.

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