2026 MLB Home Run Leader Betting Odds
Whether you’re a diehard baseball junkie or a casual fan who only catches a handful of games each season, just about everyone can agree that home runs are pretty cool.
Across the baseball world, few statistics connect with fans quite as much as the home run.
Apparently, plenty of people enjoy watching just how far a man can launch a small object through the Earth’s atmosphere after taking a swing at it with a wooden stick.
If that sounds like you, there are ways to turn your interest in home runs into a wager that could potentially produce a nice little profit.
Here, we’ll cover everything you need to know about wagering on MLB’s Home Run Leader and how the market can add some extra excitement to the MLB season.
Note: Results and odds updated Sept. 28, 2026, following the conclusion of the regular season.
Best Sportsbooks for MLB Home Run Leader
DraftKings Sportsbook
DraftKings posts MLB home run leader odds throughout the baseball season, giving bettors the opportunity to wager on which player will finish with the most home runs. Futures are generally available before Opening Day and remain on the board as the season moves along.
The sportsbook routinely adjusts its prices based on player production, injuries, and movement in the home run race. Bettors can follow the leading sluggers while assessing both favorites and longer-shot contenders.
DraftKings pairs its home run leader futures with player props and other season-long MLB markets, providing several ways to wager on baseball’s leading power hitters.
FanDuel Sportsbook
FanDuel includes MLB home run leader wagering within its extensive baseball futures menu. Bettors can back top sluggers before the season starts or enter the market later as the race takes shape.
Prices change throughout the year to account for home run totals, current form, and lineup developments. That gives bettors opportunities to respond as new contenders emerge and market conditions shift.
FanDuel also carries numerous player-focused wagering options for baseball fans following the MLB home run race.
BetMGM Sportsbook
BetMGM offers MLB home run leader prices on many of baseball’s biggest stars as well as potential breakout candidates. These futures remain available through much of the season and are updated regularly.
Bettors can compare prices on a broad group of power hitters while keeping an eye on movement in the standings. The market typically includes established sluggers alongside emerging players showing significant home run potential.
Beyond the home run leader market, BetMGM offers a complete selection of MLB futures and player award wagers.
Caesars Sportsbook
Caesars Sportsbook provides MLB home run leader wagering for bettors interested in backing baseball’s top power hitters. Futures prices are posted on many of the league’s premier sluggers throughout the season.
The market changes as players move up and down the leaderboard, creating opportunities to evaluate prices at different stages of the campaign. Odds can move considerably in response to hot streaks, slumps, and injury developments.
Caesars also carries related MLB futures, including MVP awards and season-long statistical leader markets.
bet365 Sportsbook
Bet365 provides comprehensive MLB futures coverage that includes odds on the league’s home run leader. Bettors can choose among a large group of players competing for one of baseball’s most recognizable statistical titles.
The sportsbook regularly changes its prices as the season develops, reflecting shifts in player production and the standings among MLB’s top sluggers. That creates opportunities for both preseason and in-season futures wagering.
Alongside home run leader prices, bet365 offers a broad range of MLB player and team futures during the year.
BetRivers Sportsbook
BetRivers includes MLB home run leader wagering as part of its baseball futures selection. The market asks bettors to predict which player will end the season at the top of the home run standings.
Prices are updated throughout the year as players compete for the lead. Bettors can follow performance trends and evaluate the contenders as the season develops.
BetRivers also provides additional MLB futures covering award races and team championship markets, giving baseball bettors several longer-term wagering choices.
Hard Rock Bet
Hard Rock Bet offers MLB home run leader prices on many of the game’s leading power hitters. Bettors can make futures wagers before the season or follow the market as the race develops through the summer.
The sportsbook adjusts its prices based on player production and changes in the leaderboard. That allows bettors to evaluate both emerging contenders and established stars as the race changes.
Hard Rock Bet also carries a variety of baseball futures and player-focused markets for fans tracking the home run race.
How is the Winner Decided?
Unlike annual MLB honors such as Most Valuable Player or the Cy Young Award, the MLB Home Run Leader is simply determined by which player hits the most home runs during the league’s 162-game regular season.
For betting purposes, the winner is the player who ends the season with the highest home run total. If players tie, payouts are generally reduced and may be split, so bettors should review the specific sportsbook’s dead heat rules for exact settlement details.
Some sportsbooks may also post separate markets for the American League or National League home run leader, but this particular wager applies to all of MLB.
2026 MLB Home Run Leader Results and Final Odds
The race for Major League Baseball’s home run crown is one of the most popular futures markets each year, and the 2026 competition delivered one of the most dramatic finishes in recent memory. Sportsbooks including FanDuel, DraftKings, and BetMGM kept the market available into the final weeks of the regular season, and the title ultimately finished in a tie.
Chicago Cubs outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong and Philadelphia Phillies slugger Kyle Schwarber shared the MLB lead with 45 home runs each. Crow-Armstrong made a second-half surge to catch Schwarber, whose pace slowed during the final two weeks. With the championship shared, most sportsbooks will settle Home Run Leader tickets according to their dead heat rules.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (45 HR, Co-Leader)
Crow-Armstrong put together one of the strongest all-around seasons in recent memory in 2026. He recorded 45 home runs and 41 stolen bases to become only the seventh player in MLB’s 40-40 club, while also setting the Cubs’ franchise record for homers by a left-handed hitter. Across 161 games, he led MLB in runs scored (119), total bases (356), extra-base hits (84), and plate appearances.
On Sept. 15, Crow-Armstrong had 42 home runs, two behind Schwarber, and was listed at +300 to capture the title. He hit three more during the closing stretch to finish even, meaning wagers on him will be settled using dead heat terms. His overall season also made him the overwhelming NL MVP favorite, with his price reaching -1600 by the end of August.
Kyle Schwarber (45 HR, Co-Leader)
Schwarber entered August as a -125 favorite after leading every MLB player with 32 home runs at the All-Star break. By mid-September he had reached 44 and shortened to -1000, but he hit only one more homer the rest of the season, allowing Crow-Armstrong to finish level with him.
The 45-home run season came after Schwarber established a career high with 56 in 2025. He has now hit 313 homers since the beginning of the 2019 season, more than any other MLB player during that period. For bettors, his late-season price provides a cautionary example: under standard dead heat settlement, a shared title at -1000 turns what looked like a near-certain winner into a losing ticket.
Pete Alonso (43 HR, Third)
In his first year with Baltimore, Alonso topped the American League with 43 home runs and finished two behind the MLB co-leaders. It was only the second time he had led his league in homers and his first since hitting 53 as a rookie in 2019. Alonso also paced the AL with 113 RBIs, becoming the first player since RBIs became official in both leagues in 1920 to win an RBI title in each league.
Yordan Alvarez and Junior Caminero (42 HR, Tied for Fourth)
Alvarez was listed at +4000 on Aug. 3 and ultimately hit 42 home runs while leading MLB in batting average (.316), on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Caminero carried +3500 odds on Aug. 3, reached 40 homers by mid-September when his price stood at +1500, and also finished with 42.
How the August Contenders Finished
Several players who were highlighted earlier in the season ultimately fell out of the final race. Aaron Judge, +350 on Aug. 3, missed substantial time after landing on the 60-day injured list with a fractured rib. Nick Kurtz (+1000) and Cal Raleigh (+900) were unable to close the gap, while Shohei Ohtani (+10000) spent time on the injured list during September. None of those four players finished inside MLB’s top 10 in home runs.
Final 2026 MLB Home Run Leaderboard
The table below lists the final top 10 home run hitters from the 2026 MLB regular season along with the odds each player carried on this page on Aug. 3.
| Rank | Player | Team | Home Runs | Odds on Aug. 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-1 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Cubs | 45 | Not listed |
| T-1 | Kyle Schwarber | Phillies | 45 | -125 |
| 3 | Pete Alonso | Orioles | 43 | Not listed |
| T-4 | Yordan Alvarez | Astros | 42 | +4000 |
| T-4 | Junior Caminero | Rays | 42 | +3500 |
| T-6 | Matt Olson | Braves | 41 | +2500 |
| T-6 | Hunter Goodman | Rockies | 41 | Not listed |
| T-6 | Ben Rice | Yankees | 41 | +1800 |
| 9 | Rafael Devers | Giants | 37 | Not listed |
| T-10 | Munetaka Murakami | White Sox | 35 | +2500 |
| T-10 | Brandon Lowe | Pirates | 35 | Not listed |
Ben Rice (+1800) and Matt Olson (+2500) each ended the season with 41 home runs, four shy of the leaders. Bobby Witt Jr. (+2200) and Byron Buxton (+10000), two value options highlighted in August, both ended up outside the top 10.
Betting Recap
With Crow-Armstrong and Schwarber finishing tied, most sportsbooks will use dead heat rules. These generally divide the stake by the number of tied players before paying the winning portion at the original price. Using that method, a $100 bet on Crow-Armstrong at +300 returns $200 for a $100 profit. A $100 wager on Schwarber at -125 returns $90, producing a $10 net loss, while the same $100 bet at -1000 returns $55. Settlement policies differ by operator, so bettors should verify the exact rules with their sportsbook.
The 2026 race reinforced a point made in August: durability can matter just as much as peak power in this market. Crow-Armstrong played 161 games and led MLB in plate appearances, while Judge’s fractured rib took one of the leading contenders out of the chase.
The result also demonstrated how quickly a futures market can change. Crow-Armstrong was not one of the players featured on this page in early August but ultimately earned a share of the title. The value argument made for Kurtz at +1000 did not work out, as he ended the season outside the top 10.
Previous MLB Home Run Leaders
Going back to 2015, the table below shows the player or players who led Major League Baseball in home runs each season.
It is also worth noting that the shortened 2020 MLB season, which was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, produced a home run leader with only 22 homers.
The shared 2026 crown marked only the second tied home run lead across the last 12 seasons, with 2021 being the other.
| Year | Player | Home Runs |
| 2026 | Pete Crow-Armstrong (Cubs) and Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 45 |
| 2025 | Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 60 |
| 2024 | Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 58 |
| 2023 | Matt Olson (Braves) | 54 |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 62 |
| 2021 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays) and Salvador Perez (Royals) | 48 |
| 2020* | Luke Voit (Yankees) | 22 |
| 2019 | Pete Alonso (Mets) | 53 |
| 2018 | Khris Davis (Athletics) | 48 |
| 2017 | Giancarlo Stanton (Marlins) | 59 |
| 2016 | Mark Trumbo (Orioles) | 47 |
| 2015 | Chris Davis | 47 |
* – The 2020 MLB season was shortened due to the COVID-19 pandemic
How to Bet On The MLB Home Run Leader
To wager on which player leads MLB in home runs, follow these steps:
- Visit your preferred sportsbook and sign in to your account.
- Choose the MLB Odds tab from the betting menu.
- Open the ‘Futures’ drop-down menu.
- Select MLB Home Runs Leader, or the sportsbook’s equivalent market.
- Choose your wager and add it to the bet-slip window.
