Best NFL Quarterback Odds 2025

Few roles in American sports are as celebrated or as scrutinized as the NFL quarterback. The legends of the past, such as Tom Brady, Joe Montana, John Elway, and Peyton Manning, remain etched in history as the gold standard of greatness.

But today’s quarterbacks are building legacies of their own. Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, and Jalen Hurts headline a new era defined by explosive playmaking and high-stakes moments. Every fan and bettor knows exactly what these names bring on Sundays.

In this article, we will explore the betting markets tied to the quarterback position and revisit recent performances to spot trends that could shape future wagers.

Let’s get started.

Betting On NFL Quarterbacks

When it comes to betting, no position in football attracts more attention than the quarterback.

Sportsbooks put QBs at the center of nearly every major market because they are often the biggest difference-makers on the field.

Season-long futures allow bettors to predict who will lead the league in passing yards or touchdowns, while awards markets such as NFL MVP are almost always quarterback-driven.

Player prop bets add even more variety, giving you the chance to wager on season totals or single-game outputs, from passing yards to touchdown counts and even interceptions.

With so many ways to bet, quarterbacks offer endless opportunities to ride the hot hand or fade a player you expect to stumble. For fans and bettors alike, no other position blends on-field importance with betting intrigue quite like the QB.

2024 NFL Leading Passers

Name	Attempts	Passing Yards	Passing TD’s
Joe Burrow (CIN)	652	4,918	43
Jared Goff (DET)	539	4,629	37
Baker Mayfield (TB)	570	4,500	41
Geno Smith (SEA)	578	4,320	21
Sam Darnold (MIN)	545	4,319	35

Joe Burrow threw the ball 652 times in 2024 and led the league in passing yards with 4,918 and touchdowns with 43. Statistically speaking, he was the top quarterback a season ago, but the Bengals still finished 9-8 and missed the playoffs.

Jared Goff finished second in the NFL in passing, especially impressive considering the Lions offense was also sixth in the league in rushing. Goff finished about 300 yards shy of Burrow last year on 113 fewer attempts.

Baker Mayfield had the best year of his career while Geno Smith and Sam Darnold posted very respectable seasons with each of them moving on from their former teams after the season concluded.

Our Favorite Quarterback Related Bets in 2025

Cam Ward to Win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year (+350)

The No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft won’t be walking into the best situation. The Titans are far from a contender, and their offense will almost certainly need Cam Ward to throw early and often just to stay competitive.

At least he’ll have some proven targets in Calvin Ridley, Van Jefferson, and Tyler Lockett, with Tony Pollard offering support in the backfield. Still, Ward’s path to big numbers may come less from team success and more from sheer volume.

In a crowded Offensive Rookie of the Year market, that workload alone makes Ward the most intriguing bet among the rookie quarterbacks.

Trevor Lawrence to Win NFL Comeback Player of the Year (+550)

The Jaguars endured a tough 2024 season, due in large part to Trevor Lawrence being sidelined. He missed seven games while battling shoulder problems and a serious concussion.

When healthy, Lawrence has proven he can produce. In each of the two seasons prior, he led Jacksonville to at least a .500 record and threw for over 4,000 yards. Now he has Liam Coen as his head coach, and Coen did a masterful job in Tampa Bay a season ago where he helped guide Bucs QB Baker Mayfield to his best season yet as a pro quarterback.

If he can avoid setbacks in 2025, his skill set and supporting cast give him a legitimate shot to post big numbers and emerge as a strong Comeback Player of the Year candidate.

Josh Allen to Win NFL MVP (+650)

Since 2018, only four players have won the NFL MVP award: Patrick Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen. History shows that once a quarterback reaches that level, they are capable of winning it multiple times.

The Bills enter the 2025 season as the consensus Super Bowl favorite, and Allen is the driving force behind those expectations. He is coming off a strong 2024 campaign with 4,262 total yards and 40 touchdowns, while cutting his turnovers from 21 in 2023 to just seven in 2024.

At +650, Allen offers solid value to repeat as MVP, especially given how important he is to Buffalo’s success and how firmly he belongs in the race.

Patrick Mahomes to Lead NFL in Passing Touchdowns (+1200)

It feels like Patrick Mahomes is overdue for a bounce-back season after two years that were, by his own lofty standards, relatively quiet. Calling him “average” is obviously unfair, but compared to the video game numbers he has put up in the past, his production has dipped.

Last season Mahomes threw for 3,928 yards and 26 touchdowns. That output is solid for most quarterbacks, but when stacked against his 2022 campaign of 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns, the difference is striking. Kansas City’s offense lacked the same explosiveness, due in part to an inconsistent wide receiver group, yet Mahomes still managed to keep the Chiefs in contention until the end.

What makes him so dangerous in 2025 is the potential for regression in the opposite direction. With Travis Kelce still reliable, Rashee Rice emerging (albeit suspended for the first six games), the presence of other weapons like Xavier Worthy and Hollywood Brown, Mahomes has the supporting cast to elevate his numbers again. If the Chiefs’ receivers take even a modest step forward, his stat line could return to MVP levels.

At +1200 to lead the league in touchdown passes, Mahomes represents both pedigree and value. Few quarterbacks have his proven ceiling, and it is never a bad idea to back one of the most decorated passers in the game when the price looks this appealing.

Baker Mayfield to Lead NFL in Passing Yards (+1600)

Baker Mayfield is coming off the best season of his career, and Tampa Bay’s offense could be even more explosive in 2025 with the arrival of rookie wide receiver Emeka Egbuka. His route running and big-play ability give Mayfield another dynamic target to pair with veterans Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, creating one of the more well-rounded receiving groups in the league.

The Buccaneers did lose offensive coordinator Liam Coen, who left for the Jaguars’ head coaching job, but the foundation of this passing attack remains intact. Mayfield will once again benefit from six divisional matchups against the Falcons, Panthers, and Saints, three teams that consistently struggled on the defensive side of the ball last season. Those games alone could provide plenty of opportunities to rack up yards and touchdowns.

Mayfield quietly finished third in the NFL in passing yards in 2024, cementing himself as more than just a stopgap starter. At 16-1 odds to lead the league in passing in 2025, he offers intriguing value for bettors looking for a quarterback who has both the volume and the supporting cast to put together another big year.

NFL Passing Title Winners Since 2015

Year	Player	Passing Yards	Team
2024	Joe Burrow	4,918	Bengals
2023	Tua Tagovailoa	4,624	Dolphins
2022	Patrick Mahomes	5,250	Chiefs
2021	Tom Brady	5,316	Buccaneers
2020	Deshaun Watson	4,823	Texans
2019	Jameis Winston	5,109	Buccaneers
2018	Ben Roethlisberger	5,129	Steelers
2017	Tom Brady	4,577	Patriots
2016	Drew Brees	5,208	Saints
2015	Drew Brees	4,870	Saints

NFL Total Passing Touchdowns Leaders Since 2015

Year	Player	Total Passing TDs
2024	Joe Burrow (CIN)	43
2023	Dak Prescott (DAL)	36
2022	Patrick Mahomes (KC)	41
2021	Tom Brady (TB)	43
2020	Aaron Rodgers (GB)	48
2019	Lamar Jackson (BAL)	36
2018	Patrick Mahomes (KC)	50
2017	Russell Wilson (SEA)	34
2016	Aaron Rodgers (GB)	40
2015	Tom Brady (NE)	36

Always Shop Around

While odds shopping is important for all forms of sports betting, it’s even more important in regards to futures betting.

If you are set to plunk down your hard earned cash on an futures bet, make sure you do your research before settling on the sportsbook where you’re going to make that wager.

For example, you can bet Baker Mayfield to lead the league in passing yards at +1200 at DraftKings, but wouldn’t it make more sense to bet him at +1400 on FanDuel? A $100 wager would only pay $1300 at DraftKings, but you would win $1500 at FanDuel. That’s a sizable difference and is really noticeable with futures bets.

So shop around for your best odds and get every edge you can over the sportsbooks. Lord knows they already get every edge they can over their patrons.