NFL Player Prop Bets Week 5

Zach Wilson gained some respect last week, keeping the New York Jets in the game against the defending-Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs in Week 4.

Wilson completed 28 of 39 passes for 245 yards and two touchdown passes.

Wilson outplayed Patrick Mahomes, and that’s rare.

Actually, it’s never happened before.

Zach Wilson of the @nyjets is the only opposing QB to have more completions, more passing yards, more TD passes and fewer interceptions than Patrick Mahomes in a Mahomes start, college or pro (out of 127 total starts, including postseason).

— OptaSTATS (@OptaSTATS) October 2, 2023

If Wilson can produce another dependable stat line in Week 5 and show some consistency, maybe he could be the long term answer at QB after Rodgers is out of the picture?

We shall see.

Instead of long term questions, let’s look at some shorter term questions.

Like, which player props look like solid bets in Week 5?

Zach Wilson – QB, New York Jets

Let’s see if we can get that consistency from Wilson.

The Jets head out to Denver to take on the Broncos in the high altitude of Empower Field at Mile High.

The Denver Broncos’ defense was vaporized by Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins in Week 3.

Tua collected 309 passing yards and four touchdown passes and only had three incompletions.

More touchdown passes than incomplete passes is always a bad sign.

While it appeared that Denver would get a break by playing the Chicago Bears in Week 4, they had to overcome a 28-7 deficit to pick up a win.

Once again, the Broncos’ defense was blistered, this time in a surprising performance from Justin Fields.

Fields completed 28 of 35 passes for 335 yards and four touchdown passes.

Denver’s defense is an absolute mess.

I think Zach Wilson can clean up on Sunday, and his fairly low passing yards prop of 201.5 looks like a nice opportunity to hit the over.

Pick: Wilson – OVER 201.5 Passing Yards

Best Odds: (-114) FanDuel

James Conner – RB, Arizona Cardinals

The Arizona Cardinals take on the Cincinnati Bengals this week, and this matchup looks like a good chance for Cardinals’ running back James Conner to pick up a chunk of yards.

Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry put up a typical performance against the Bengals last week, rushing for 122 yards and a touchdown on 22 carries.

Plenty of gaps in this Cincinnati defense have been found by opposing rushers.

The former-Pittsburgh running back and AFC North foe of the Bengals, James Conner has had a strong start to 2023, averaging 5.13 yards per carry.

With 62 carries on the season, Conner is clearly the lead back for Arizona as the next highest share of carries is 12 from Keontay Ingram.

The Cardinals run game is really impressive. James Conner is a good runner and the team runs a wide variety of run plays effectively. Easy to see why they are currently a top 5 rushing offense. pic.twitter.com/BgFxw7RMAo

— mike (@bengals_sans) October 5, 2023

As long as Cincinnati’s offense continues to struggle, I like the Cardinals to pound the rock and kill the clock, keeping Burrow off the field.

Conner is in line to see a big workload on Sunday.

Pick: Conner – OVER 59.5 Rushing Yards

Best Odds: (-110) bet365

George Pickens – WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

Despite the lackluster quarterback play for the Steelers, Pickens has still posted 75 or more yards in two of four contests this season.

With questions about starting QB Kenny Pickett’s health in Week 5, Pickens’ receiving yards prop has now dipped below 50 yards.

Pittsburgh welcomes the Baltimore Ravens this week, and this could be an opportunity for the Steelers to get their passing game going.

Baltimore has allowed just 168.3 passing yards per game, but they have also faced some interesting QBs.

They faced rookie QB C.J. Stroud in Week 1, a questionable Joe Burrow in Week 2, backup Gardner Minshew in Week 3, and Dorian Thompson-Robinson in Week 4.

That’s a pretty soft lineup.

Although you can put Kenny Pickett’s name on this soft quarterback list, I’d expect Pittsburgh to be playing from behind and chucking it to survive.

A negative game script favors Steelers’ top target George Pickens.

Pick: Pickens – OVER 47.5 Rushing Yards

Best Odds: (-110) DraftKings