Republicans Chances In Colorado

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Republican political leadership is eying several Senate races that they think will make the difference for them to take over the majority in 2022. 

Surprising many, some of the races they’re eying are in states like Colorado that is generally considered safe for Democrats in the 2022 midterm elections. 

Political betting sites like PredictIt haven’t caught onto this way of thinking – with the odds of Democrats winning the open Democratic seat above 70%. 

Biden’s Approval Rating

Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL), who chairs the Republican’s senate campaign organization is saying that if President Joe Biden’s approval rating remains at staggeringly low levels the GOP could be poised to not just take back the majority in the Senate. 

To Expand its gains beyond the handful of already established battlegrounds and into states currently considered safe for Democrats – namely Colorado and Washington State. 

Flipping these states in favor of the Republicans is widely considered a longshot, but shows the level of optimism that Republican leadership has entering the 2022 midterm elections. 

A lot of that optimism is due to President Biden’s sagging approval ratings. As one Republican strategist put it, “if 65% of voters going into Election Day feel the country is still on the wrong track, they’re going to blame the Democratic president, Democratic House, and Democratic Senate.”

Blue State Repercussions

Colorado is the state Republicans are pointing to as an example of a blue state with the potential to come into play for the GOP down the road. 

Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO) is up for re-election this year, and while he remains the heavy favorite to win, Republicans say there’s reason to believe he could be vulnerable. Senate races in Washington and Vermont could also be in play, according to Republicans. 

While Republicans need to flip only one seat in the Senate this year to regain their majority in the upper chamber, they face their own set of challenges. 

They’re playing offense in Georgia, Arizona, New Hampshire, and Nevada, and defending Senate seats in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Wisconsin. 

The political betting markets continue to show that Republicans are expected to take back control of Congress this fall with a full sweep of the House and Senate. 

Market For Republicans In Colorado

PredictIt prices this outcome at 73c, and has been the most popular bet by far for months.

How much will Republicans win by in the Senate? 

The current money is on 53 seats, but confidence is low at this stage but will solidify with primaries held over the next several months.