NFL Parlay Picks Week 5 2024

After Thursday night’s exhilarating matchup, in which the Atlanta Falcons defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 36-30 in overtime, we can only hope the rest of Week 5 will be as exciting.

Falcons’ quarterback Kirk Cousins, who suffered a season-ending achilles injury in 2023, broke Atlanta’s franchise record for passing yards (509) against Tampa Bay in just his fourth game with his new franchise.

With the remainder of Week 5 on the horizon, we’ve crafted up a three-leg alternate yards parlay featuring two Packers and one Seahawk.

Remember to bet responsibly and manage the bankroll carefully.

Note: The parlay odds were correct at the time of writing.

Week 5 Alternate Yards Parlay

Wicks 25+ rec yds, Jacobs 40+ rush yds and Metcalf 40+ rec yds (-103 at FanDuel)

Dontayvion Wicks’ Outlook (25+ Receiving Yards)

The Packers’ second-year wide receiver has shown many glimpses of talent but hasn’t played full-time throughout his Green Bay career.

An ankle injury to starting wideout Christian Watson has thrust Wicks into the Packers’ WR2 role.

After Watson was hurt in the first quarter last week against the Vikings, Wicks saw more playing time and recorded five receptions for 78 yards and two touchdowns.

What is even more impressive is that he led the team with 13 targets.

The Virginia product ran 43 routes with a 30.2 target per route run percentage. Wicks also owned 37.5% of the team’s air yards and a 24.5% target share (Stats are from RotoWire).

According to FantasyPros, the Rams employ single-high at the seventh-highest rate in the NFL. Wicks is first among Green Bay’s receivers, with a 33% target per run rate against this coverage.

Through four weeks, the Rams rank 20th in the NFL against the pass, allowing 219.8 yards per game.

Wicks’ normal receiving yards total for this game is set at 50.5 by most sportsbooks.

This leg of the parlay, for Wicks to record 25+ receiving yards, is -480 (81.82% implied odds) on FanDuel.

On other bookmakers such as DraftKings, it’s listed at -700 (87.5%) for him to have 25 or more receiving yards.

The top data models for both betting and fantasy football also have Wicks enjoying a solid day through the air against Los Angeles.

Model Projections for Wicks’ Receiving Yards

• Action Network: 56 yards
• ESPN: 55 yards
• FantasyPros: 52.5 yards
• RotoWire: 50.33 yards
• Yahoo: 50.3 yards
• Numberfire: 49.3 yards
• BettingPros: 46.5 yards

Josh Jacobs’ Outlook (40+ Rush Yards)

The former Las Vegas Raider and two-time Pro Bowler has endured an odd season so far for Green Bay.

Through four weeks, he’s been efficient on the ground, averaging 4.6 yards per carry, but surprisingly hasn’t found the end zone.

Jacobs has recorded 40 or more yards in all four games. In Week 4, he collected an impressive 52 rushing yards on just nine carries against Minnesota.

He only had nine carries due to a negative game script since the Packers were trailing by double digits for the majority of the afternoon.

This week, Green Bay is a three-point favorite over Los Angeles, which, if the bookmakers are correct, will certainly lead to more rushing opportunities.

It’s been a rough season for the Rams (1-3) since they are missing their top two star receivers, Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua.

Los Angeles has kept every game to one score except its 41-10 loss against Arizona in Week 2, which also bodes well for Jacobs.

The 26-year-old faces a mouthwatering matchup against Los Angeles’ defensive unit that ranks dead-last in the league defending the run (surrendering 165.5 rush yards per game).

Jacobs, a former member of the Alabama Crimson Tide, is averaging 82.25 rushing yards per game in 2024.

Most sportsbooks list Jacobs’ rushing total for this week between 62.5 and 65.5 yards.

This leg of the parlay for Jacobs to have 40 or more rush yards is a bargain at -380 (79.17% implied odds) on FanDuel.

DraftKings features him at -575 (85.19%) and Caesars at -1200 (92.31%). The -1200 odds at Caesars are definitely excessive.

Model Projections for Jacobs’ Rushing Yards

• ESPN: 69 yards
• Numberfire: 65.7 yards
• FantasyPros: 65 yards
• Yahoo: 62.7 yards
• BettingPros: 60.8 yards
• Action Network: 60 yards
• RotoWire: 51 yards

DK Metcalf’s Outlook (40+ Receiving Yards)

The ultra-athletic DK Metcalf is enjoying a superb season thanks to ranking fourth in the NFL in receiving yards (366). He’s also averaging an impressive 91.5 receiving yards per outing.

Since Week 1, when he recorded a paltry 29 yards on three receptions, mostly due to a positive game script in Seattle’s 26-20 win over Denver, he’s been on fire.

Over the last three games, Metcalf has racked up 129, 104 and 104 yards. Throughout that span, he’s been targeted 21 times.

This week’s opponent, the New York Giants, have allowed 66.25 yards per game to opposing WR1s. The opportunity is there thanks to these receivers averaging six receptions per contest.

According to Mick Ciallela of Fantrax, the Giants rank 24th in pass defense DVOA and are 28th in the category against opponents’ top wideouts.

Metcalf doesn’t need many receptions to eclipse 40 yards due to his average of 15.3 yards per reception. In Week 3, during a 24-3 blowout win over Miami, he collected 104 yards on just four catches.

Including stats from 2023 and 2024, since Seattle’s 2023 Week 6 bye, Metcalf has recorded 40 or more receiving yards in 13/16 (81.25%) games. This year, he’s three for four.

Most bookmakers feature the former Ole Miss product’s receiving total between 63.5 and 65.5 yards.

The -380 line (79.17% implied odds) for this leg (40+ receiving yards) at FanDuel is much better than DraftKings at -450 (81.82%) and Caesars at -550 (84.62%).

Model Projections for Metcalf’s Receiving Yards

• FantasyPros: 73.7 yards
• ESPN: 73 yards
• Numberfire: 73 yards
• Action Network: 70 yards
• Yahoo: 68.9 yards
• RotoWire: 68.87 yards

Also, check out weekly NFL odds and picks at our dedicated articles here:

• Week 5 Odds
• Week 5 Props