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NFL Week 4 Odds


Thomas Snodgrass

Updated: Sep 26, 2023

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With three weeks of the 2023 season in the books, we’ve got some more information on the current edition of these 32 clubs.

Some of the information has become clearer, like the Miami Dolphins’ explosive offense putting up 70 points on the Denver Broncos.

Some of the information has become muddier, like the heavily-favored Dallas Cowboys dropping their Week 3 matchup against the Arizona Cardinals.

How good are the Miami Dolphins?

How good are the Dallas Cowboys?

Let’s sift through these Week 4 matchups and find the best options to bet on this week, and like always, the best odds!

To kick off Week 4, let’s discuss Thursday Night Football, a contest between NFC North rivals.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers – Thursday 28th September 2023 (Thursday Night Football)

The Detroit Lions defeated the Atlanta Falcons last week, and in the process, may have showcased a new franchise running back in Jahmyr Gibbs.

Gibbs tallied a respectable 80 yards on 17 carries, proving that he can be more than a receiving back in third-down play-calling packages.

Facing a Green Bay rushing defense that allowed 124 rushing yards to Falcons’ rookie running back Bijan Robinson in Week 2 gives Gibbs an opportunity to build on his Week 3 success.

The Packers just squeezed by the Saints in Week 3, winning 18-17.

A 30-yard chuck downfield from Jordan Love to Jayden Reed set up a late touchdown for Green Bay.

Love has kept the Pack afloat, carrying this offense, but I don’t know how long that can last.

Pick: Detroit Moneyline

Best Odds: (-112) FanDuel

Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars – Sunday 1st October 2023

The Jacksonville Jaguars surprised me last week when they lost to the Houston Texans.

The Jags’ offense has been mediocre at best in 2023, and their Week 4 matchup with the Atlanta Falcons could keep this offense down once again.

Atlanta’s passing defense has held opposing quarterbacks to just 170 yards per game, fourth-best in the NFL. Trevor Lawrence should be taking a back seat in this one.

Travis Etienne has been the focal point of Jacksonville’s offense early in the 2023 campaign, and he should see plenty of carries this week against the Falcons.

So far this season, the Jags allowed just 17 points to the Kansas City Chiefs, but allowed 21 to the Indianapolis Colts and 37 to the Houston Texans.

Rookie quarterbacks have crushed Jacksonville’s defense, and I’m confused on how good this Jags team can be.

This feels like a bounce back week for the Falcons.

Pick: Atlanta Moneyline

Best Odds: (+140) Bet365

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills – Sunday 1st October 2023

Last week the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills won each of their games by a combined score of 108-23!

Now, we get treated to this pair going head-to-head in an AFC East battle when both currently sit as the two highest-scoring offenses in the NFL.

This game should be fun.

Quarterbacks Tua Tagovailoa and Josh Allen are two of the most popular choices to win the NFL MVP Award, and their top receiving targets, Tyreek Hill and Stefon Diggs, are certain to put on a show.

I’m a fan of a good ol’ fashioned slugfest, so I’ll fire a bet on the over.

Let’s dance.

Pick: Over 53.5

Best Odds: (-105) FanDuel

Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers – Sunday 1st October 2023

For the second consecutive week, the Minnesota Vikings take part in a battle of completely defeated teams, this week against the 0-3 Carolina Panthers.

Who will leave Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte with a win?

If the Panthers intend to win, they may want to roll quarterback Andy Dalton out there once again.

Dalton threw for 361 yards and two touchdowns in a losing effort to the Seattle Seahawks last week, hooking up with veteran receiver Adam Thielen 11 times for 145 yards and a touchdown.

The offense looked way more competent in the hands of the veteran QB.

If the Vikings lose their fourth consecutive game to start the season, the trade rumors around Kirk Cousins could start getting louder.

It’s do-or-die time for the Vikes.

Pick: Vikings (-3.5)

Best Odds: (-108) FanDuel

Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears – Sunday 1st October 2023

Another battle of completely defeated teams!

The Denver Broncos and Chicago Bears lost each of their games by a combined score of 111-30.

Both of these defenses are so bad right now that the Broncos and Bears’ subpar offenses may look better in Week 4.

That could make this game easier to watch.

Justin Fields needs to prove that he can be the Bears’ starting quarterback moving forward and Russell Wilson has to show that he still has some gas left in the tank.

Whichever team loses this game has a very solid chance at making the first selection of the 2024 NFL Draft.

These defenses are in a lowly state and they will relinquish points no matter who they square up with, so I’m taking the over.

Pick: OVER 45.5

Best Odds: (-115) BetMGM

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns – Sunday 1st October 2023

This week will be the week the Cleveland Browns prove to be the top team in the AFC North.

Baltimore has a plethora of injuries, they just dropped an overtime win at home to the Gardner Minshew-led Indianapolis Colts, and their passing game still has not quite clicked under new offensive coordinator, averaging just 190 passing yards per game.

Cleveland currently has the best defense in the NFL.

The Browns held Derrick Henry to just 20 rushing yards last week and their defense is now allowing just 163.7 total yards of offense per game.

Cleveland is going to stall the Ravens’ one-dimensional and banged up offense.

Pick: Browns (-2.5)

Best Odds: (-110) FanDuel

Pittsburgh Steelers at Houston Texans – Sunday 1st October 2023

The Texans recorded 37 points against the Jaguars last week, but I don’t see it happening again this week against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

While C.J. Stroud may be the best rookie QB in 2023, he still hasn’t lined up against a defense quite like Pittsburgh’s.

Stroud has been sacked 12 times in the first three games and he also leads the NFL in “poor passes” with 26, according to

With constant pressure from T.J. Watt, Stroud could struggle to find his receivers in Week 4.

The Steelers’ offense should be able to score on this Texans defense allowing 24.3 points per game.

Pick: Steelers (-3)

Best Odds: (-110) PointsBet

Los Angeles Rams at Indianapolis Colts – Sunday 1st October 2023

Gardner Minshew led the Colts to victory in Week 3, but Anthony Richardson may be back under center in Week 4.

The Colts’ defense held their own against the Baltimore Ravens and their rushing attack, but will now have to switch gears and focus on Rams’ QB Matt Stafford and the wildly effective receiving pair of Puka Nacua and Tutu Atwell this week.

Indy allowed rookie C.J. Stroud to fling 384 yards and two touchdowns against their defense in Week 2, so this LA passing attack should continue firing.

Assuming the Rams can get up on the scoreboard early, I don’t see Richardson getting the Colts over in this one.

Pick: Los Angeles Moneyline

Best Odds: (+108) FanDuel

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints – Sunday 1st October 2023

The New Orleans Saints have had a stingy defense in 2023, having yet to allow more than 18 points in a game.

The big question for the Saints in Week 4 is who will be under center: Derek Carr or Jameis Winston?

For Tampa Bay, they faced the lowly defenses of the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears in the first two weeks, scoring 20 points against the Vikes, and 27 against the Bears.

Their offense may have looked more effective based purely on their competition.

The Bucs’ offense was thwarted by a better defense of the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3, and Tampa Bay will face another solid defense this week.

I believe the Saints’ defense will stymie Baker and the Bucs in Week 4.

With questions surrounding both of these offenses, I’ll take the under.

Pick: Under 41

Best Odds: (-110) BetRivers

Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles – Sunday 1st October 2023

The Commanders scored 33 points in Week 2, then just three points in Week 3.

While their weekly offensive output is certainly somewhere between that range, it may be closer to their lower range when facing a quality defense such as Philadelphia in Week 4.

Washington QB Sam Howell had a nightmare of a game in last week’s loss to the Bills, throwing for just 170 yards and tossing four interceptions.

The Commanders will need to keep the ball in their own hands if they want even the slightest chance of stealing this NFC East matchup.

The Eagles went up 13-3 at halftime against Tampa Bay on Monday Night Football last week, then whittled down the clock in the second half.

If Philly takes an early lead on Washington this week, we could see a repeat of that clock-grinding offense from the Eagles.

Pick: Eagles (-7.5)

Best Odds: (-110) PointsBet

Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans – Sunday 1st October 2023

It looks like Joe Burrow and this Cincinnati offense is slowly rounding into form.

With the passing game coming around for the Bengals, they have a perfect matchup against a porous Titans’ defensive secondary that can put Cincy back in the conversation.

Ja’Marr Chase reappeared from his quiet start, catching 12 passes for 141 yards in the Bengals’ Week 3 win over the LA Rams.

Tennessee lost a one point contest in Week 1 to the Saints, lost in overtime against the Chargers in Week 2, then got blasted by the Browns in Week 3.

The Titans could very easily be an 0-3 team right now.

Tennessee is falling backwards and Cincinnati should step on them to build themselves up in Week 4.

Pick: Cincinnati Moneyline

Best Odds: (-130) DraftKings

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers – Sunday 1st October 2023

Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo is currently questionable with concussion issues, and if he doesn’t suit up, it will be hard to back Las Vegas on the road against an AFC West rival.

Garoppolo and receiver Davante Adams hooked up 13 times for 172 yards and two touchdowns in the Raiders’ Sunday Night Football loss to the Steelers, but it was a nice thing to see from what has been a dim offense these first few weeks.

Austin Ekeler of Los Angeles is questionable as well, but if the running back were to play in Week 4, the Chargers would receive a jolt to their offense.

LA’s QB Justin Herbert put on a clinic last week against the Vikings, completing a ridiculous 40 of his 47 pass attempts for 405 yards and three touchdowns.

Herbert will be the reason the Chargers get back to .500 in Week 4.

Pick: Chargers (-5.5)

Best Odds: (-110) Caesars

New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys – Sunday 1st October 2023

Last week, the New England Patriots picked up an expected first win, defeating the New York Jets.

Also, the Dallas Cowboy picked up an unexpected first loss, losing to the Arizona Cardinals.

I don’t know what to expect from this matchup in Week 4.

Both of these defenses have been strong in the early part of this season, and even with the subtraction of star cornerback Trevon Diggs from the Dallas defensive secondary, this has the makings of a low scoring battle.

I’m assuming both of these teams will try to win this game on the ground.

Plenty of carries for Patriots’ running back Rhamondre Stevenson, and of course Ezekiel Elliott in a revenge game against his old club.

I’m expecting lots of Tony Pollard as well from the Cowboys, assuming they don’t want to risk too many frustrations against this New England defense allowing just 177 passing yards per game.

Pick: Under 43.5

Best Odds: (-110) PointsBet

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers – Sunday 1st October 2023

The Cardinals picked up a huge win over the Cowboys last week, and if they win again this week against the San Francisco 49ers, I’ll have to change my tune on Arizona.

Unfortunately for the Cardinals, I believe they will join the growing list of teams crushed by the 49ers.

San Francisco’s offense continues to be an absolute force, and just when you don’t believe it can get better, it does.

Brock Purdy collected a career-high 310 passing yards against the New York Giants in Week 3, showing that every week, any player in this offense can put on a show.

Purdy, McCaffrey, Samuel, Kittle, Aiyuk, all of this offensive talent against the NFL’s 26th-ranked defense in yards allowed.

Good luck, Arizona.

Pick: Pass

Kansas City Chiefs at New York Jets – Sunday 1st October 2023 (Sunday Night Football)

This matchup looked really interesting coming into the season, now though, not so much.

While Kansas City’s offense is always at the top of discussion in the NFL, their defense has been quite a formidable unit.

After allowing 21 points in their season-opening loss to the Detroit Lions, the Chiefs’ defense has allowed just 19 points in their last two games combined.

KC should be able to halt this Zach Wilson-led Jets offense in Week 4.

Although this New York offense doesn’t appear to be a major threat to pile up points, the Jets’ defense certainly has the ability to keep points off the board.

The Chiefs just destroyed the Bears last week, 41-10, but I don’t see KC collecting nearly as many points in this one.

Pick: Under 42.5

Best Odds: (-110) DraftKings

Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants – Monday 2nd October 2023 (Monday Night Football)

The Seahawks have scored 37 points exactly in back-to-back weeks, and it appears that Geno Smith was not just a one-hit wonder for Seattle.

There was some solid running from this Seahawks backfield as well in Week 3, with Kenneth Walker III running for 97 yards and two touchdowns on 18 carries and rookie Zach Charbonnet collecting 46 yards on nine carries.

Seattle could emerge as one of the best backfield tandems in the NFL soon.

That tandem should be on display once again this week against a Giants defense that continues to get flattened by opposing ground attacks, allowing 138 rushing yards per game (29th in the NFL).

New York is near the bottom of the league in the NFL in almost every offensive category, and until they begin to show signs of life, I’ll keep fading them.

Pick: Seattle Moneyline

Best Odds: (+110) Caesars

Check out next week’s NFL betting odds.

If you fancy parlays, we have an NFL Week 4 Parlay to check out.


About the author

A fan of both the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers, which is rare! Thomas provides sports betting content with the intent to educate and enter...

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