Week 3 of the NFL provided us with plenty of entertainment. From incredible catches to crunching tackles as well as the longest ever field goal!
Let’s hope for more of the same in Week 4. With odds for Week 4 finding their range, let’s preview all 16 games.
My parlay this week will again consist of five teams, whilst I shall be making other picks for the other games.
Jaguars: The Jags have continued their disappointing start under new head coach Urban Meyer. A lethal Arizona team convincingly beat them in a highly entertaining game at the weekend.
Unfortunately, Trevor Lawrence continues only to show flashes of the outrageous QB play we witnessed at Clemson. He gave away 2 INTs, which makes for an unenviable 7 INTs in 3 games, but he did throw an outstanding TD pass.
It wasn’t all doom and gloom for the Jags. Undrafted second-year RB James Robinson scurried for 134 total yards. The offense also managed an above-average 5.48 yards per rush. The run game gives hope that the offense doesn’t have to rely on Lawrence’s arm.
Like the previous two weeks, the secondary looked inexperienced and afraid of Murray. This defense has given up 907 yards and 91 points in three games this season. Meyer needs to radically improve this aspect of their game if they are to register their first win of the season.
Bengals: “Joe Burrow to Ja’Marr Chase”— I am sure that we will be hearing this many more times over the next few years. They connected for 2 TDs on Sunday with two very impressive catches from Chase.
Even though the Bengals didn’t put up the most impressive offensive stats, with only 268 total yards, they could take advantage of excellent field position and capitalize on the Steelers’ mistakes.
The defense was the dominant force for this Bengals win with two INTs, three sacks, and only allowing a paltry 45 rushing yards.
This team is shaping up to be an above-average team; maybe the best since the heady days of Boomer and Ickey.
The Jags have lost 18 straight games and will be deflated after three disappointing performances to start the season.
The Bengals will be looking to continue their excellent start to the season, with this talented offense continuing to grow in stature. Will it be 19 on the trot for the Jags?
I am taking the Bengals to win and cover the spread.
Washington: Washington suffered a heavy defeat at the hands of the Bills. The Bills’ offense played with a relentless mentality. The Washington defense gave up 4 TDs through the air, 1 TD on the ground, and 481 total yards.
So much was expected from this defense at the start of this season, yet they have conceded 921 passing yards in three games this season, which will worry Ron Rivera and his coaching staff.
The offense, which had a few question marks during the preseason, has scored 7 TDs and only given up 3 INTs.
Even without summer-signing Ryan Fitzpatrick, this offense is capable. They were able to keep pace with the explosive Bills offense for much of the first half.
Falcons: Atlanta achieved their first win of the season over the Giants. However, the offense took a step back from their Week 2 loss to the Bucs.
Most of Matt Ryan’s 243 yards were short-yardage dump-offs, mainly to utility back Cordarrelle Patterson, who proved adept at gaining extra yardage after the catch.
Unlike in Week 2, the offense could not gain momentum on rushing plays with only 69 yards. The offense put up all of these stats against a distinctly average Giants’ defense.
The defense played adequately, giving up 366 total yards. But they could stop the Giants at the right time and keep them from scoring more than 14 points.
Washington will be looking to bounce back after their heavy defeat. Their defense should have an easier time against a mediocre Falcons team and I expect Washington’s offense to keep the scoreboard ticking along.
I am taking the moneyline on Washington and also adding them to my parlay.
Texans: The Houston Texans lost their second game of the season to the Panthers on Sunday. Divis Mills had a losing first NFL start for the Texans, yet showed a lot of potential. He didn’t throw an INT and he wasn’t afraid of taking a deep shot.
Brandin Cooks was Mills’ favorite target going for 112 yards. His explosiveness and ability to stretch the field meant he had a good separation from defenders. Mills felt comfortable throwing deep or short to him.
After looking like a solid defense for the first two weeks, they gave up 414 yards and two offensive TDs. It would not be a surprise if this was to be repeated on Sunday.
Bills: The Bills blew away Washington with a 22-point win on Sunday. They finally look to be back to their dominant best. Josh Allen was lights-out; he contributed in all five of Buffalo’s TDs. He also threw for a modest 358 yards.
They were also able to continue their improved run game with 122 yards on Sunday. This is a massive step forward from last year in this department and it will help them make another Super Bowl push.
The defense continued where it left off from Week 2. The front seven stuffed any rushing attempts, only giving up 78 yards, and the secondary dominated Taylor Heinicke, picking him off two times.
The oddsmakers have the Bills as big favorites; indeed the most lopsided moneyline of the season to date. The Bills come into this game bouncing after two enormous wins.
The Texans will be looking to improve on both sides of the ball and see if they can provide an upset at Highmark Stadium this Sunday. I foresee another five Buffalo TDs this weekend.
So I am taking the over on 47 points, with the Bills scoring the vast majority of them.
Lions: The feisty Lions would’ve pulled off a shock win over the Ravens if Justin Tucker hadn’t made an NFL record, 66-yard field goal with the last play of the game. The offense looks usable again, and you wonder what this offense would look like if Goff had a decent group of receivers.
Neither team was able to get much momentum going on offense. Goff’s experience showed, leading his team to what they thought was a game-winning drive, but it wasn’t to be.
The defense played well on Sunday, more or less keeping the Ravens’ offense in check. They could smother the traditional run plays but had trouble stopping Lamar Jackson, who averaged 8.3 yards per rush.
They also picked off Lamar late in the 4th quarter to set up the go-ahead field-goal drive for Goff.
Bears: The Bears were trounced by the Browns on Sunday. The offense was never able to move downfield with multiple 3-and-outs. Justin Fields, on his first start, threw for a measly 68 yards.
However, he wasn’t given time to throw with the offensive line giving up six sacks and several pressures.
They also were unable to run the ball with only 46 rushing yards. This resulted in a total of 114 yards for the whole offense, which will surely be one of the lowest marks by any team this season.
The defense didn’t fare much better, giving up 461 total yards to the Browns’ offense, which means that the Bears are giving up almost 400 yards per game this season. They appear to be a far cry from the playoff Bears of last season.
Somewhat surprisingly, the Bears are slight favorites for this match. I am intrigued to see how this game pans out, as I think it’s almost too close to call.
The Lions’ offense versus the Bears’ defense will be an exciting matchup between the solid front seven of Chicago and the exceptional QB play we have seen from Goff so far this season.
I’m siding with the underdogs, the Lions at Soldier Field for this NFC North clash and am adding them to my parlay.
Panthers: The Panthers continued their strong start to the season, beating an injury-hit Texans squad by 24-9, but also losing Christian McCaffrey for this game at least to a hamstring injury.
Sam Darnold also continued his revival with 315 total yards, along with two rushing TDs. He is creating a solid connection with D.J. Moore, who had 112 yards for the day. This is a promising sign for Carolina fans who feel they have finally replaced Cam Newton.
The defense also played exceptionally again. They stuffed the Texans’ RBs, only giving up 42 rushing yards. The secondary also improved from last week, only giving rookie QB Davis Mills 168 yards.
Cowboys: The Cowboys went 2-1 with their win over the Eagles. It was an all-around team performance from the Cowboys. The RBs were the most impressive department on the team with 160 yards and 2 TDs.
They were able to break tackles to gain extra yards, with Elliott and Pollard averaging 5.5 yards per carry.
Dak Prescott had a tremendous game with three TDs and completed 81% of his passes. He is doing this only ten months after that horrific leg injury, which makes his stats even more impressive.
The defense found it hard to suppress Jalen Hurts, who passed for 326 yards. However, they were able to stifle Hurts on his running plays. Curiously, Philly’s RBs only managed three carries during the entire game. Will the Cowboys be as stingy against Carolina this weekend?
The sportsbooks have the Cowboys as clear favorites in this game. The Panthers should find some joy with Sam Darnold throwing the ball against a frail Cowboys secondary.
However, the same is true for the Cowboys throwing against a weak Panthers secondary. It would be no surprise to witness a high-scoring and entertaining game at the AT+T.
I am taking the over at 50.5 points.
Colts: Carson Wentz fought through two sprained ankles on Sunday, but he was far from his sharpest. He completed just over 50% of his passes and averaged a paltry 5.2 yards per attempt.
The Colts’ passing game lacked explosion without T.Y. Hilton (neck injury) and with Parris Campbell simply not reliable enough. Hilton is eligible to come off IR for this game but isn’t expected to be fit enough to play.
The defense, like many before, was trounced by a bulldozing Derrick Henry and gave up roughly 11 yards per attempt by Ryan Tannehill, whether passing or rushing. However, they managed to pick him off twice and they kept the Colts in the game until the fourth quarter when the Titans pulled away.
Dolphins: The Dolphins lost their second straight game on Sunday. After a 14-0 lead, they let the Raiders score 25 unanswered points. The Brissett-led comeback fell short in overtime.
The offense produced 128 rushing yards which is a massive improvement from the first two weeks of the season. However, Brissett only went for 215 yards, with most of those coming in the fourth quarter and overtime.
The defense plays well, even though the stats don’t back that up. They gave up 386 yards to an explosive Derek Carr, but the majority of those yards came from three big plays.
They did struggle to stop the run, which is a recurring issue with this defense.
Both teams have had disappointing starts to the season. The Fins’ defense should dominate an injured Wentz. But the Colts could stuff the Dolphins’ questionable offense. The oddsmakers have the Fins as favorites for this game. You could bet the under, with both teams not boasting the most explosive offenses.
I think Wentz will struggle so, I am adding the Dolphins to my parlay.
Browns: The Browns had a big win over the Bears on Sunday. Talismanic Odell Beckham returned from injury to add to their explosive offense, which is turning into one of the most clinical in the league.
They enjoyed 461 total yards on Sunday, with over 200 yards rushing. Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb both rushed for over 80 yards, demonstrating that they are currently the most dangerous RB pairing in the league. Hunt also added an impressive 74 receiving yards to his tally.
The defense had an equally imposing day, restricting the Bears to just 6 points. They had an outrageous nine sacks and negated both the Bears’ passing and running game.
Vikings: Minnesota achieved their first win of the season over the Seahawks. Kirk Cousins had another outstanding day with 323 total yards and three TDs. He also completed an exceptional 79% of his passes.
Justin Jefferson had his first big day of the season with 118 yards and a TD. He is showing some of the form he was in last year. However, Alexander Mattison surprised the Skol Army on the offense with 171 total yards, indicating the Vikings need not rely solely on Dalvin Cook.
Again, the defense struggled against both the run and in the air. Seattle averaged 5.9 yards per run and managed almost 13 yards per catch. However, they did force a turnover on downs and a three-and-out in the fourth quarter.
This is going to be an intriguing matchup. The Browns’ offense should have the edge over the Vikings’ defense, but the same could be said about the Vikings’ offense over the Browns’ defense.
The Over at 51.5 points might be in jeopardy with both teams possessing such explosive offenses. I’m expecting Odell to be the difference on Sunday.
I am taking the Browns to win in my parlay.
Giants: The Giants suffered their third straight loss of the season to Atlanta on Sunday. It was a low-scoring affair on Sunday, with the Falcons edging the victory on the game’s final play.
Daniel Jones put up 305 total yards and played mostly mistake-free football Sunday. Saquon Barkley does look stronger by the week, yet New York’s receiving corps is now thin, with both Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton exiting Sunday’s game with hamstring injuries.
The defense played pretty well, only giving up 312 total yards to the Falcons. They also had three sacks as well as a forced fumble. But they couldn’t stop the Falcons from scoring ten unanswered points in the fourth quarter.
Saints: The Saints enjoyed a 14 point win over the Patriots on Sunday. Jameis Winston still didn’t resemble the explosive Winston we witnessed in Week 1, even though he threw two TD passes. He threw for just 128 yards and only completed 60% of his passes.
This meant the Saints, as so often recently, had to rely heavily on Alvin Kamara and co. They rushed for 142 yards with a TD. On Sunday, they could well find joy in this department against a team that has given up 802 rushing yards this season.
The defense was able to stuff the run, so the Pats had to rely on Mac Jones’ arm. He threw for 270 yards but gave up three picks to the Saints, who were able to take advantage of the short field opportunities.
The Saints are heavy favorites for this match. The Saints’ offense should dominate the Giants’ D with both rushing and running plays. I don’t like the value of the moneyline. I think it will be a relatively low-scoring game, but the Saints will pull at least a touchdown clear at the Caesars Superdome.
I am taking the Saints to cover the spread of 7.5.
Titans: Tennessee constructed their most complete performance of the season to produce a win over divisional rivals, Indy. Derrick Henry ran riot over the Indy defense, rushing for 113 yards.
Ryan Tannehill also had a decent day in the air with three TDs and 197 yards, as well as over 50 yards rushing. However, he will put up big numbers when Henry is going lights-out. Tannehill was picked off twice, with one of them being a really poorly thrown ball.
The defense only managed two sacks and very few pressures on the limping Carson Wentz. But they did restrict the Colts’ run and pass game, so Indy could never benefit from momentum.
Jets: Zach Wilson and the Jets were shut out by a dominant Broncos team. Wilson only threw for 160 yards and completed just 54% of his passes. His QB play needs to improve dramatically, especially throwing fewer interceptions; he has now notched up seven in three games.
Wilson isn’t receiving much help from his running corps with just 41 rushing yards last weekend, which in turn puts further pressure on him. His o-line is not doing him many favors, as witnessed by the five sacks they conceded on Sunday.
The defense couldn’t stop the Broncos from taking advantage of the interceptions, but overall the unit played well. They were able to limit Teddy to just 235 yards, which is his lowest yardage this season.
The Titans’ offense should dominate the Jets’ defense in what could be a one-sided game. New York has won just 2 of their last 19 games and I don’t see that record improving this Sunday at the MetLife.
I am taking the Titans to cover the spread of -7.5.
Chiefs: Kansas is an unthinkable 1-2 after losing at home to the Chargers. Kansas City had three TD passes from Patrick Mahomes, a 100-yard rushing day from Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and a 104-yard receiving day from Travis Kelce, yet still came up short, with Justin Herbert outclassing the one-time league MVP.
Mahomes threw a pair of ill-timed interceptions, which allowed the Chargers a late TD to win the game on the second interception.
The defense couldn’t slow down the Chargers through the air, with the Chargers’ ground game being halted early on in the game. Jalen Hurts will be licking his lips before this game, with a chance to take advantage of the apprehensive Chiefs secondary.
Eagles: Philly lost to their divisional rivals on Monday night. Jalen Hurts and co will be looking to bounce back after a roller-coaster performance. Jalen Hurts rewarded The Eagles with 326 yards and two TDs. However, he also threw two interceptions, one of which was an ill-timed pick-six.
The rest of the offense didn’t have such a good day against the Cowboys. The RBs hardly touched the ball, which was very surprising. Also, the wide-outs struggled to get separation as well as dropping numerous catches. It was a poor and perplexing day at the office.
The defense managed to rumble a fumble recovery for a TD and racked up four sacks. They played well to limit Prescott to 238 yards. However, they were hurt by the Cowboys’ run game, giving up 160 yards and TDs.
It will be interesting to see if the Eagles run the ball more than three times against an exceptional Chiefs’ run defense. The Chiefs will be looking to prove that they are still a Super Bowl-caliber team and will play some fearless football.
The Chiefs are favorites to bounce back to winning ways for this game and the spread at -7 is tempting.
I am taking the Chiefs to cover the spread.
Cardinals: Arizona continues its winning streak with a victory over the Jags. Kyler Murray was excellent again with 316 yards and was able to find his receiver downfield on plenty of deep shots. He is cementing his place as truly an MVP candidate.
When Murray brought the Cardinals inside the 20, they could run the ball into the end zone with relative ease. AJ Green and Christian Kirk had 100 yard receiving days, showing just how deep this receiving core is.
The defense also chipped in with a pick-six and limited Lawrence to just 219 yards and a TD. They struggled against the run, giving up 159 yards and a TD, but they managed to secure two fumble recoveries to seal the win in the fourth quarter.
Rams: The Rams came out on top in an epic matchup with the Bucs. Matthew Stafford continued with his explosive style, going for 343 yards and an impressive four TDs. The Rams had to rely on Stafford owing to their inability to run the ball.
DeSean Jackson had a big day out with three catches for 120 yards, but Cooper Kupp is still Stafford’s favorite receiver with nine catches for 96 yards and two TDs. This WR group is one of the most talented in the league and will frighten any secondary.
The defense was excellent against the run, only giving up 35 rushing yards. However, they struggled to stop the GOAT and his talented wide-outs. They gave up 432 yards and couldn’t disrupt the 44-year-old’s aim.
These are two of five teams that are still unbeaten in the league. They will both be looking to secure an early lead in the NFC West. This game could be pivotal for these teams’ seasons. The Rams are heavy favorites to win this game, but I think it will be a high-scoring and very close affair.
I am betting the over at 55 points, with both teams boasting lights-out offenses.
Seahawks: The Seahawks are 1-2 after losing away to the Vikings. The Seahawks struggled to regain the momentum in the second half, where they went scoreless.
Russell Wilson, DK Metcalf, and Chris Carson really were cooking in the first half. We saw those three drive the offense to the playoffs last year, and for half the match, it looked like history was repeating itself. If they can start firing again this season, then Seattle should be a playoff contender again.
The defense looked shaky again on Sunday, with the Vikings putting up big numbers in both the running and passing plays. They also didn’t have a takeaway and only sacked Cousins once. This unit needs to improve quickly if they want to get back to the playoffs.
49ers: San Francisco lost their first game of the season on the last play to the Packers. Jimmy Garoppolo did a solid job in the second half after a slow start. He threw two timely TD passes to keep the 49ers in the game, but Aaron Rodgers had other ideas.
George Kittle exploited the Packers’ defense and picked up 92 yards for the day, showing the world that he is back to his best after last year’s injury. However, the 49ers missed rookie RB Elijah Mitchell who could sit out this week’s game as well with a shoulder injury.
Whether Jimmy G can start clicking earlier against Seattle’s aforementioned vulnerable defense will likely be a key factor to how this game unfolds. Chris Carson is likely to have some joy against a questionable 49ers’ run defense. The 49ers are favorites for this match, but I wouldn’t be totally surprised to see a Seahawks win.
However, I am betting on the 49ers to win and am putting them to my parlay.
Ravens: The Ravens almost suffered a shock loss to the Lions had Justin Tucker not made an NFL record field goal. Lamar Jackson was exceptional, but his receivers, especially Marquise Brown, let him down.
Brown had 53 yards on the day, but he dropped three likely TD passes from Jackson. Mark Andrews was Jackson’s most trustworthy receiver; he had over 100 yards and caught five of his seven targets.
The defense played adequately, limiting Goff to 217 yards and only giving up 93 rushing yards. These are good stats, but they were up against a below-average offense. They also struggled to pressure Goff, only forcing two sacks.
Broncos: Denver is 3-0 for the season, but they have played teams with a collective record of 0-9. However, they have been clinical in all three of those wins, scoring 76 points versus 26 points across the three matches.
Teddy Bridgewater only managed 235 yards, but he took advantage of good field position and helped drive his team into the red zone. However, when inside the 20, he was not highly efficient, coming out with four field goals and two rushing TDs.
The defense played excellently and was able to shut out the Jets’ offense. They had two interceptions and five sacks. Zach Wilson could not achieve any momentum, with the Jets’ punter being the busiest man on the field.
Denver is coming in as very slight favorites for this match in what the sportsbooks have as the tightest game of the weekend. However, I think the Ravens will prevail over Denver at the Mile High. Lamar need not be at his best to bring the Ravens another victory, whilst I expect Teddy to struggle.
I am taking the Ravens on the moneyline.
Steelers: Pittsburgh suffered a shock loss to the Bengals on Sunday. This team is looking like the best days are behind it. The offense had to rely on Ben Roethlisberger, who threw for a solid 318 yards, but both of his interceptions led to Bengals TDs.
The run game never achieved any momentum with only a measly 45 yards. But the most worrying part of the offense is the o-line. They gave up four sacks and multiple pressures and were unable to create any holes for their RBs.
Their defense didn’t have a good game either. They didn’t register a single sack and hardly pressured Joe Burrow behind his mediocre o-line. The Bengals also were able to run the ball well against them. This all provides a worrying sign for the Steelers.
Packers: The Packers have continued their dominant performance after their Week 1 shocker. They beat the 49ers on the last play of the game with a field goal. Aaron Rogers had another excellent game, throwing two TD passes to help Green Bay get off to a flyer.
Davante Adams had a first-rate game with 132 yards and a TD; he looked back to his usual best. Aaron Jones also continued his early-season form with a TD. He ran with power and purpose and was able to break several tackles for extra yards.
The defense was able to stuff the run and force Jimmy G to throw a huge 40 times, which resulted in pick-offs and him being sacked three times.
The Packers are heavy favorites to win this game, and I have to agree with the oddsmakers. I think Aaron Rogers should have plenty of time to throw and exploit an injury-hit Steelers defense.
I am taking the Pack to cover the spread.
Buccaneers: Tom Brady tried to carry the Bucs to win on Sunday. He threw for 432 yards and a TD. He also ran for 14 yards and a TD after being flushed out of the pocket. Despite Brady’s heroics, the Bucs were unable to get over the line.
Their inability to run the ball cost them on Sunday with only 35 yards. This is a significant worry for Bruce Arians, who knows he cannot rely solely on Brady even though he is the GOAT.
Tempa Bay’s stacked defense was able to stuff the run, giving up only 76 runs. However, they gave up numerous big plays to Stafford and his receivers, which ultimately contributed to their defeat.
Patriots: The Pats lost their second game of the season to the Saints. The New England offense was unable to keep up with the charging Saints offensive unit.
Mac Jones went into Week 3 looking like the veteran of his rookie QB class, but he showed some first-year inexperience many of his peers had already displayed when he was picked off for the first three times as a pro by the Saints’ aggressive secondary.
The Pats’ defense could not stop the Saints’ offense, which often started with a relatively short field. They will come up against a QB they know very well in Tom Brady in Week 4. This should be an advantage for the veteran defense as they know his style of play.
We will see what tactics Bill Belichick comes up with to stop Brady. It will be an exciting matchup between the Pats’ defense and the Bucs’ explosive offense. The Bucs are heavy favorites for this game. I think the under 49.5 points look likely to pay off.
I am taking the Bucs to cover the spread at -7, with Brady having no mercy on his old team, in what should be a low-scoring game at the Gillette.
Raiders: This explosive Raiders team continued its unbeaten record on Sunday against the Dolphins. Derek Carr continued to look like the best version of himself in Sunday’s win, throwing for 386 yards. Carr now has 1,203 passing yards through three weeks and a 6:2 TD:INT ratio.
Carr will also hope to have Josh Jacobs lined up behind him again in Week 4 after the star back missed the past two games with ankle and toe injuries, although Peyton Barber did produce an out-of-nowhere 111-yard effort Sunday.
The defense was not able to match the offensive efforts. They allowed a mediocre Miami offense to run for 133 yards. They also gave up numerous penalties and gave Brissett the chance to send the game into overtime.
Chargers: The Chargers managed a shock win over Super Bowl favorites, the Chiefs. Justin Herbert, Keenan Allen, and Mike Williams have continued their excellent form from last season.
Herbert outdueled Patrick Mahomes on Sunday with four TDs, no interceptions, and Williams finally looks like a complete receiver in new offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi’s system.
The Chargers’ defense allows just 201.7 passing yards per game and a modest 6.6 yards per attempt. They also picked off Mahomes twice and limited him to a miserly 260 yards.
Both these teams are looking to break into the playoffs. I think this will turn into a very high-scoring game, with both QBs trying to outperform the other.
Both teams’ strengths are their offenses, even though they both have solid defenses. The Chargers are slight favorites and who would bet against them after their win in Week 3? It should be a very entertaining spectacle.
I am taking the over at 52.5 points for the Monday Night game, with both teams boasting explosive offenses.