NFL Player Prop Bets Week 4

The Miami Dolphins embarrassed the Denver Broncos in Week 3, winning by 50 points, and Dolphins’ rookie running back Devon Achane left his fingerprints all over that murderous scene.

Any bettor that placed a prop bet on the Dolphins rookie running back was a winner.

Achane totaled 18 carries for 203 rushing yards and two touchdowns on the ground and four catches for 30 yards and two more touchdowns through the air.

This current edition of the Broncos’ defense is absolutely awful, a defense so bad they may actually make the Chicago Bears look like an NFL team in Week 4.

Maybe Denver gets shredded by another rookie running back this week?

Bears’ rookie Roschon Johnson could be slated for a breakout game!

Time will tell.

But now, it’s time for me to tell you some solid player props for Week 4.

Sam Howell – QB, Washington Commanders

Howell’s passing props are usually set pretty low, because after all, it’s Sam Howell.

This week, Howell faces a Philadelphia Eagles team that allowed over 300 passing yards in each of their first two games, allowing 316 yards to Mac Jones of the Patriots, and 364 yards to Kirk Cousins of the Vikings.

The Eagles surrendered just 146 passing yards to Baker Mayfield of the Buccaneers in Week 3, but Philly dominated the time of possession in the second half and Mayfield was rarely seen after halftime.

Sometimes, I like to back a quarterback to hit the over on his passing yards prop when it appears that he’ll simply have to for his team to stay in the game.

The game script for this matchup calls for it.

Receiving options like Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson, and Curtis Samuel could certainly help Howell cross the threshold on the over of his passing yards prop as well.

Pick: Howell – OVER 212.5 Passing Yards

Best Odds: (-110) Bet365

Dameon Pierce – RB, Houston Texans

Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has been all the rage down in Houston, and rightfully so.

The Texans’ backfield has received very little attention, and it makes sense when you realize that Houstons’ top-running back Dameon Pierce has been as effective as a cinderblock, averaging just 2.5 yards per carry.

This week, Pierce may have an opportunity to reestablish his name as an RB1.

The Texans will face a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that has struggled to halt opposing running backs, allowing 151.7 rushing yards per game.

Much like Howell, Pierce’s prop is set fairly low, much of it having to do with his name and track record.

When the matchup calls for it, it’s best to take a swing on the over.

If Jerome Ford of the Cleveland Browns can run for 106 yards against this Pittsburgh defense, I’d assume that Pierce can run for 46 yards.

Pick: Pierce – OVER 45.5 Rushing Yards

Best Odds: (-115) PointsBet

Amari Cooper – WR, Cleveland Browns

The Browns take on their division rival Baltimore Ravens this week, and Baltimore is a little banged up at the moment.

A quick look at the Ravens defense:

• Safety Kyle Hamilton (Questionable, Biceps)
• Cornerback Marlon Humphrey (Questionable, Foot)
• Linebacker David Ojabo (Questionable, Ankle)
• Linebacker Odafe Oweh (Questionable, Ankle)
• Safety Marcus Williams (Questionable, Pectoral)

Not to forget that linebacker Tyus Bowser and cornerback Trayvon Mullen are also on injured reserve.

Yikes.

With all that manpower NOT at 100 percent, I’d expect Cleveland’s top wide receiver Amari Cooper to find some open looks on Sunday.

AMARI COOPER WIDE OPEN FOR THE TD!
pic.twitter.com/SgFL5mZWgG

— SleeperNFL (@SleeperNFL) September 24, 2023

Cooper has totaled over 200 receiving yards in his last two games combined, and with Deshaun Watson possibly turning a corner in a Browns uniform, this connection could be one of the best in the NFL.

Pick: Cooper – OVER 59.5 Receiving Yards

Best Odds: (-110) Bet365

Roschon Johnson – RB, Chicago Bears

The Broncos just allowed a ridiculous total of points last week, I have to attack them this week.

Not too long ago, I mentioned a potential breakout for Bears’ rookie running back Roschon Johnson, and I’m going to take him this week against this rubbish Denver D.

The Broncos allowed a hilarious eight touchdowns to running backs last week!

Achane and Raheem Mostert had four touchdowns each.

I just need Johnson to get one, that’s all.

Johnson appears to be the more effective back in Chicago’s backfield, producing a solid 5.29 yards per carry compared to presumed RB1 Khalil Herbert’s 4.04 yards per carry.

Johnson has also caught four more passes than Herbert, showing some preference from Fields in the passing game.

On the ground, or through the air, it doesn’t matter.

This struggling Bears team will still find the endzone on Sunday against the Broncos, and the emerging rookie running back can find paydirt.

Pick: Johnson – Any Time TD Scorer

Best Odds: (+250) Bet365