2022 NFL Week 17 Odds
Week 16 of the NFL provided us with plenty of entertainment. From the close divisional games to Miami’s seventh straight win. Let’s hope for more of the same in Week 17.
Last week’s parlay was a bust due to the Chargers’ loss. I was right on seven out of eleven games on my other bets.
With betting odds for Week 17 finding their range, let’s preview all 16 games.
This week’s parlay will again consist of five teams, while I shall be making other picks for the other games.
Los Angeles Rams (-179) @ Baltimore Ravens (+160)
Rams: LA beat the Vikings on primetime. Matthew Stafford’s play regressed on Sunday. He finished with 197 yards, a TD, and three shocking interceptions.
Despite Stafford’s questionable play Cooper Kupp and Sony Michel led the Rams to victory. They went for 109 receiving yards and 131 rushing yards, respectively.
The defense stepped up and held them to just a field goal on their last drive. The Rams combined for two sacks and eight tackles for a loss.
Ravens: Baltimore played the Bengals in a blow-out loss. Tyler Huntley couldn’t start due to illness, so Josh Johnson was under center. He went for 304 yards, two TDs, and an INT to round off an excellent performance.
The run game has been inconsistent all year, and this week they only had 39 rushing yards. Mark Andrews was the stand-out receiver with 125 total yards and a TD from eight receptions.
The defense couldn’t stop the rampant Burrow. He went for 525 yards and was unstoppable. The front seven did manage three sacks, but the secondary let Tee Higgins go for 194 yards.
The Rams clinched a playoff spot with their win on Sunday. Their focus will be to win the division and gain the home-field advantage. The Ravens have fallen to the eighth seed since losing Jackson to injury. There is hope that Jackson will return this weekend. I feel that the Rams will dominate the Ravens.
So I am taking Los Angeles to cover the spread of -3.5 points.
Atlanta Falcons (+660) @ Buffalo Bills (-835)
Falcons: Atlanta escaped an upset when they beat the Lions 20-16. Matt Ryan led the way with 215 yards and a TD. Ryan also finished with a passer rating of 115.4.
Cordarrelle Patterson struggled to make his usual impact. However, Kyle Pitts stepped up with a 102-yard receiving day. The O-line struggled in this game; they conceded three sacks and four tackles for a loss.
The defense did well to hold Tim Boyle to just 187 yards. The Falcons did have a sack but did pick-off Boyle and only conceded 338 total yards
Bills: Buffalo had their revenge on the Patriots on Sunday. Josh Allen had an outstanding game with 314 yards and three TDs. His resurgent form has helped the Bills reach 9-6.
Allen also added another 64 yards on the ground and helped the Bills up to 114 rushing yards. Isaiah McKenzie and Stefon Diggs were the stand-out players for Buffalo with 125 and 85 yards, respectively.
The defense rattled Mac Jones, which meant he threw two picks and finished with a 44% completion rate. Unsurprisingly the Bills conceded 103 yards and all three TDs to Damien Harris.
Thanks to a better divisional record, the Bills are now top of the AFC East. Buffalo is likely to win out with the Falcons and the Jets as their remaining games. The Falcons are still in contention for a wild card spot. I think the Bills will dominate the Falcons on both sides of the ball.
So, I am adding Buffalo to my parlay.
New York Giants (+230) @ Chicago Bears (-238)
Giants: New York was convincingly beaten by the Eagles on Sunday. Mike Glennon wasn’t great again. Glennon threw for 93 yards and was replaced by Jake Fromm, who was even worse.
The Giants have had to rely on their rushing attack all season. However, the backs only managed 84 yards at 3.1 yards per carry in this game.
The Giants’ defense didn’t have a takeaway and only managed one sack. The D also conceded 329 total yards and three TDs.
Bears: Nick Foles led the Bears to victory over the Seahawks on Sunday. Foles threw for 250 yards and a TD on his first start of the season. He also managed a 68% completion rate.
David Montgomery led the backs in carries. He finished with just 45 yards at 2.1 yards per carry. However, he did lead the reception stats in with 61 receiving yards.
The defense came up with a crucial stop to seal the game for the Bears in the fourth quarter. The front seven struggled against the run game and relinquished 170 yards from 24 carries.
Both teams have been eliminated from the playoffs. Now, these teams are trying to focus on their respective rebuilds. The Giants are expected to be in the QB market during the offseason. In comparison, the Bears are happy with their rookie QB.
As the over/under line is set so low, I am taking these teams to score more than 37 points.
Kansas City Chiefs (-210) @ Cincinnati Bengals (+193)
Chiefs: Kansas’ offense was on fire during their win over the Steelers. The Cheifs had four TDs and 385 total yards. Mahomes threw for 258 yards and three TDs on an accurate day.
The back had 127 yards at nearly four yards per carry. Kelce was on the Covid list, but Byron Pringle made up for the TE’s absence. He had 75 receiving yards, and two TD catches.
The defense had a fumble recovery and an interception from Big Ben. The front seven was solid against the run and managed two sacks and four tackles for a loss.
Bengals: Cincinnati dominated proceedings at Paul Brown Stadium on Sunday. Joe Burrow had his second 400+ yard day against the Ravens this season. Burrow finished with 525 yards, four TDs, and an 80% completion rate.
Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr chase were outstanding. They had 194 and 125 yards, respectively. Cincinnati didn’t use the run game much due to Burrow’s heroics.
The Bengals did concede 21 points to a third-string QB. However, the front seven was exceptional. They held the Ravens to 39 rushing yards and had a sack.
Kansas has sealed the division title. They will be hoping to make the Super Bowl for the third straight year. The Bengals are sitting pretty at the top of the AFC North. They have a chance of wrapping up the division this weekend. Both these teams have explosive offenses, so this should be entertaining.
I think the Chiefs will win, but I am betting on the Bengals to cover the spread of +5.5.
Miami Dolphins (+160) @ Tennessee Titans (-155)
Dolphins: Miami dominated the Saints on primetime. Tua Tagovailoa produced another accurate performance with 198 yards, a TD, and an interception.
Jaylen Waddle’s rookie season has been incredible. He added another 92 yards and a TD to his season. However, the defense won this game for the Dolphins.
Miami held the Saints to 218 yards and picked of Ian Book twice. Nik Needham had a pick-six on Book’s second throw of the game. The front seven beat up the Saints’ O-line and finished with eight sacks.
Titans: Tennessee pulled off a second-half comeback to beat the 49ers. Ryan Tannehill was outstanding in the pocket. He finished with 231 total yards and a 76% completion rate.
A.J. Brown returned with a bang. He finished with 145 yards from eleven receptions and a TD. Jeremy McNichols was relatively productive out of the backfield with 4.4 yards per carry.
The defense was incredible against the 49ers in the second half. The Titans had two key turnovers, one of which was in their endzone. The front seven limited the 49ers to 83 yards rushing.
These teams are both holding playoff spots. Miami needs to win out to be sure of a playoff spot. Tennessee just needs to win one game to clinch their division. These teams have been struggling offensively in recent weeks. Therefore I expect this game to be low-scoring.
So I am betting on these teams to score under 41.5 points.
Las Vegas Raiders (+285) @ Indianapolis Colts (-255)
Raiders: Las Vegas beat the Broncos in a low-scoring game. Derek Carr played a conservative game. He finished with 201 yards, a TD, and an INT.
The run game was outstanding. Josh Jacobs ran for 129 yards at 4.8 yards per carry. Las Vegas finished with 160 rushing yards. Foster Moreau was the stand-out receiver with 67 yards.
The defense finished with two sacks and five tackles for a loss. The front seven was excellent against the run. They conceded 18 yards from 16 carries. The secondary held Lock to just 153 yards.
Colts: Indy beat the Cardinals by six points on Christmas. Jonathon Taylor had his typical 100-yard rushing day. The run-heavy Colts finished with 126 yards at around four yards per carry.
Carson Wentz was forced to throw more than in recent weeks. He threw for 225 yards and two TDs. Michael was productive with 82 receiving yards.
The defense didn’t have a single sack, tackle for a loss, or takeaway. However, they did have a safety and two turnovers on downs. The Colts were also lucky that Arizona missed two field goals.
The Colts are one win behind the Titans and could still win the division. However, they are still likely to make the playoffs even if they don’t win the division. If Las Vegas wins their last two games, they are in the playoffs. I don’t think this game will be very high-scoring.
Therefore, I am betting on these teams scoring under 45 points.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+750) @ New England Patriots (-910)
Jaguars: Jacksonville lost to the Jets on Sunday. Trevor Lawrence threw for 280 yards with a 67% completion rate. He didn’t throw a TD, but he did fumble twice.
The run game was heavily relied on, with Dare Ogunbowale receiving the brunt of the carries for 57 yards. The Jags finished with 132 rushing yards.
Jacksonville’s defense didn’t have a single turnover and had just one sack. However, the secondary held Wilson to just 102 passing yards and the Jets.
Patriots: New England lost to the Buffalo Bills at Gillette Stadium. Mac Jones had his worst game in a Pats jersey. He threw for 145 yards and two INTs. He also had a 44% completion rate.
Damien Harris was excellent on the ground with 103 yards and three rushing TDs. The Pats finished with 149 rushing yards, which was why they were in the contest until the fourth quarter.
The Patriots’ defense did register a sack or a turnover. The D also conceded almost four yards per carry and three TDs to Josh Allen.
The Patriots are likely to qualify for the playoffs if they win this weekend. This season has shown that the Pats are back post-Tom Brady. The Jaguars were eliminated a couple of weeks ago. They will fight over the first overall pick in next year’s draft. I think the Pats will ease to victory.
Therefore, I am adding New England to my parlay.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-670) @ New York Jets (+550)
Buccaneers: Tampa Bay dominated the Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. Tom Brady was wildly inaccurate with a 60% completion rate, 232 yards, and a TD.
The Bucs used several running backs to make up for the injured Leonard Fournette. They finished with 159 rushing yards and two TDs, including a 55-yard TD by Ke’Shawn Vaughn.
The defense limited the Panthers to six points. The front seven had seven sacks and eight tackles for a loss on an unforgettable day.
Jets: New York managed their fourth win of the season when they beat the Jags. Zach Wilson was disappointing again with 102 yards and a TD with a 63% completion rate.
However, the Jets’ run game was superb, with a season-high 273 yards. Michael Carter had 118 yards at an impressive 7.4 yards per carry.
The defense did have a sack and four QB hits. Ronald Blair had the day’s only turnover when he recovered a Trevor Lawrence fumble.
The Jets were eliminated from the playoffs a couple of weeks ago. However, there has been an improvement from this New York team on both sides of the ball. The Bucs have sealed the division title and will be scrapping for the number one seed in the NFC. I think the Bucs will dominate this game.
Therefore, I am adding them to my parlay.
Philadelphia Eagles (-167) @ Washington Football Team (+150)
Eagles: Philly moved to 8-7 after their win against the Giants. Jalen Hurts had another exceptional game with 199 yards and two TDs.
The Eagles’ run game wasn’t as prolific as usual. They finished with 130 yards at an average of 4.3. DeVonta Smith was the only receiver who made a sizable contribution. He had 80 yards and a TD.
Philly’s defense was outstanding. They had two sacks and managed four turnovers. Alex Singleton returned a pick for a TD to help the Eagles dominate the Giants.
Football Team: Washington suffered a demoralizing defeat to the Cowboys on Sunday night. The rushing attack was adequate for Washington. They had 85 yards at 4.3 yards per carry.
Taylor Heinicke had a shocking game. He completed just 32% of his passes and threw two interceptions. Kyle Allen replaced him and threw for 67 yards and a TD.
The defense didn’t have an answer for the Cowboys. Dallas finished with 497 total yards and six TDs. However, Washington did manage three sacks and four tackles for a loss.
Washington is still technically in the hunt for the playoffs. However, at 6-9, it would take a miracle for them to make the postseason. The Eagles have plenty of pressure from the Vikings, Saints, and Falcons over the next two weeks. I think the Eagles will win, but it will be a tight game.
Therefore, I am staying away from the spread and betting on these teams scoring under 45 points.
Denver Broncos (+235) @ Los Angeles Chargers (-265)
Broncos: Denver lost to the Raiders 17-13. Drew Lock started after Teddy Bridgewater’s injury during Week 15. Lock went for 153 yards with no TDs or turnovers.
The Broncos run game was unable to make any impact. They rushed for 18 yards from 16 carries. Jerry Jeudy was the most productive receiver with 60 yards.
The defense managed three takeaways which the offense wasn’t able to capitalize on. However, the defense conceded 361 yards and two crucial TDs.
Chargers: LA suffered a shock loss to the Texans. Justin Herbert made some costly mistakes by throwing two interceptions and losing a fumble. He finished with 336 yards and a TD.
The run game was average. They rushed for 89 yards and two TDs at 4.2 yards per carry. However, RB Justin Jackson did add 98 receiving yards and was Herbert’s top target.
The defense conceded 41 points to a Texans team that averaged less than 20. The front seven relinquished 5.3 yards per carry, and the secondary let Mills throw for 254 yards.
LA is still in the hunt for the playoffs. They will be looking to steal the seventh see off Miami this weekend. The Broncos are also looking to close the gap to the top spots. Both teams will likely need to win out to make the postseason.
As the Broncos’ defense is solid, I am taking these teams to score under 46 points.
Houston Texans (+550) @ San Francisco 49ers (-670)
Texans: Houston provided a huge upset when they beat the Chargers. Davis Mills has impressed since taking over as a starter for the Texans. Mills finished with 254 yards and two TDs.
The Texans were productive when running the ball for the first time this season. Rex Burkhead had 149 rushing yards and two TDs at 6.8 yards per carry.
The Texans’ defense was also excellent. They came away with three takeaways, including two picks. The front seven managed just one sack but held the Chargers to 89 rushing yards.
49ers: San Fran lost to the Titans last Thursday night. Jimmy Garoppolo had an average game. He threw for 322 yards and a TD but did throw two costly interceptions.
Deebo Samuel was outstanding. He had 159 receiving yards and 32 rushing yards to round off an excellent game. FB Kyle Juszczyk was useful out of the backfield with 45 yards from three receptions.
The defense conceded 20 second-half points after a dominant first 30 minutes. The D did have a turnover but did have three sacks and nine tackles for a loss.
The 49ers have won five of their last seven games to be the sixth seed in the playoffs. The 49ers have the Eagles, Vikings, Falcons, and Saints nearby. The Texans will be feeling confident about Mills after his recent performances. The odds are heavily stacked against the Texans.
For that reason, I will bet on the Texans to cover the spread of +13.5.
Arizona Cardinals (+210) @ Dallas Cowboys (-235)
Cardinals: Arizona lost to the Colts on Sunday. Kyler Murray hasn’t looked the same since his injury. He threw for 245 yards and a TD with a 63% completion rate.
Murray was also the Cardinals’ leading rusher with 74 yards. Chase Edmonds and Jonathon Ward chipped in to bring the Cardinals up to 133 yards at 6.3 yards per carry.
The defense recovered two fumbles and managed an incredible ten tackles for a loss. This meant Jonathon Taylor averaged four yards per carry thanks to a 43-yard run.
Cowboys: Dallas dismantled the Football Team on primetime. The offense finished with 497 total yards and six TDs. Dak Prescott finished with 330 passing yards and didn’t play the whole game.
Cooper, Turner, and Schultz all chipped in with 80-yard one TD days. The run game wasn’t needed for Dallas, but they still rushed for 108 yards.
The defense was excellent. Golston and Lawrence both returned takeaways for TDs to increase Dallas’ lead.
Dallas has moved to 11-4 and has clinched the division title. They are now fighting Green Bay for a first-round bye in the playoffs. The Cardinals also clinched a playoff spot but are on a three-game losing streak.
I think the Cowboys will win, but the Cardinals will cover the spread of +6.
Detroit Lions (+290) @ Seattle Seahawks (-290)
Lions: Detroit lost to the Falcons 20-16 on Sunday. Jared Goff missed this game due to Covid. Tim Boyle started and went for 187 yards, a TD, and an INT.
Jamaal Williams returned to the starting line-up and went for 77 yards at 4.1 yards per carry. Amon-Ra St. Brown was outstanding with 91 yards from nine receptions.
The defense held the Falcons to 20 points and had a fumble recovery. The front seven managed three sacks, four tackles for a loss and held Atlanta to 47 rushing yards.
Seahawks: Seattle lost by one point to the Bears on Sunday. Russell Wilson’s disappointing season continued with 181 yards and a 59% completion rate against Chicago.
The run game was the driving factor in this game. Rashaad Penny finished with 135 yards at 7.9 yards per carry. The Seahawks run game ended with 170 yards with an average of 7.1 yards per carry.
The front seven was excellent, with four sacks and eight tackles for a loss. Seattle held the run game to under three yards per carry. Unfortunately, the offense couldn’t conger up a game-winning drive.
The Seahawks and the Lions have now been eliminated from the playoffs. These teams only have their pride to play for. I think the Seahawks have more talent on their roster, so they should win this game. However, the Lions have already created a couple of upsets.
I am adding the Seahawks to my parlay.
Carolina Panthers (+240) @ New Orleans Saints (-255)
Panthers: The Bucs blew away the Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. Darnold and Newton received snaps for Carolina. Darnold threw for 190 yards with a 47% completion rate. Newton threw for 61 yards.
Cam was the most productive rusher with 42 yards. Chubba Hubbard was disappointing with nine yards from six carries. Shi Smith was the stand-out pass catcher with 86 yards.
The defense did manage a single sack or takeaway on Sunday. The Panthers relinquished 391 total yards and three TDs to the rampant Buccaneers.
Saints: New Orleans lost to the Dolphins on Sunday. Ian Book started under center and threw a pick-six on his second attempt. That was the first of two picks the rookie threw.
The O-line was a significant problem for the Saints. Book was sacked eight times and spent most of the game running for his life. Alvin Kamara struggled to get into the game and ended up with 52 yards.
The defense held Miami’s offense to 13 points. The front seven had three sacks and relinquished 2.9 yards per carry to the Fins’ backs.
The Saints are still in the playoff fight. They will need the Eagles to lose their remaining two games and other results to go their way. The Panthers have been eliminated from contention after losing ten of their last twelve games. The Saints should win this game as they will have Taysom Hill under center.
However, I am picking these low-scoring teams to hit under 38 points.
Minnesota Vikings (+570) @ Green Bay Packers (-300)
Vikings: Minnesota lost to the Rams at home. Kirk Cousins had one of his better games this season. He went for 315 yards, a TD, and a 71% completion rate.
Unfortunately, the Vikings’ excellent fourth quarter was too little too late. The run game was underused due to the Vikings being behind from the start.
The defense had three interceptions, which the offense didn’t fully capitalize on. However, the front seven was trampled on by Sony Michel, who went for 131 yards.
Packers: Green Bay beat the Browns in a two-point game. Aaron Rodgers was conservative but still went for 202 yards and threw three TDs.
The Packers’ run game backed up Rodgers with 109 yards at 4.5 yards per carry. Devante Adams has the third-most receiving yards after a 114-yard day this season.
The Packers’ defense had four interceptions, five sacks, and five tackles for a loss. However, the Browns were able to stay in the game thanks to their rampant run game, which went for 219 yards.
The Packers will be feeling confident about finishing as the number one seed in the NFC. The Vikings have it all to play for. They are one win behind the Eagles. Minnesota must win their remaining two games if they are to make the postseason. I think the Vikings will be no match for the Packers.
Therefore, I am adding Green Bay to my parlay.
Cleveland Browns (-170) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (+150)
Browns: Cleveland lost to the Packers at Lambeau Field. Baker Mayfield had a shocking game. His stats were 222 yards, two TDs, four INTs, and a 58% completion rate.
The run game was the reason the Browns only lost by two points. The Browns’ backs combined for 219 yards from just 25 carries. That’s an incredible 8.76 yards per carry.
The Browns’ defense didn’t make any big plays. They didn’t register a sack or takeaway. However, they held the Packers to 311 total yards.
Steelers: Pittsburgh was blown away by the Chiefs on Sunday. Ben Roethlisberger only had 159 yards, a TD, and an INT. Mason Rudolph also received some snaps at the end of the game.
Najee Harris was the lead back and went for 93 yards at an excellent 4.9 yards per carry. Diontae Johnson was the only receiver to go for over 50 yards.
The defense didn’t have a great game. They didn’t have a turnover and conceded 385 yards. However, the front seven did hold the Chiefs to 3.6 yards per carry.
The Steelers are in the playoff hunt and hoping that results go their way this weekend. Cleveland is also still in the running. They will expect their run game can propel them towards the postseason. I think the Browns will win this game, but the Steelers will put up a fight.
Therefore I am taking Pittsburgh to cover the spread.