2022 NFL Week 16 Odds
Week 15 of the NFL provided us with plenty of entertainment. From the close divisional games to a shock upset in Detroit. Let’s hope for more of the same in Week 16.
Last week’s parlay was a complete bust. Unfortunately, I was right on only four out of my eleven games on my other bets due to a couple of strange score lines.
With NFL odds for Week 16 finding their range, let’s preview all 16 games.
This week’s parlay will again consist of five teams, while I shall be making other picks for the other games.
San Francisco 49ers (-162) @ Tennessee Titans (+160)
49ers: San Fran beat the Falcons at home on Sunday. It was a nervous start for the 49ers, who fumbled the ball on their first play. Jimmy Garoppolo led the way with 235 yards from 18 completions and a TD.
Jeffery Wilson was excellent in place of the injured Elijah Mitchel. Wilson rushed for 110 yards at an average of 5.2 yards per carry. George Kittle has been outstanding since returning from injury. Kittle had 93 yards against the Falcons.
The defense conceded just 298 total yards and one TD to the Falcons. The D also had three sacks and a fumble recovery at a critical point in the game.
Titans: Tennessee lost to the Steelers 19-13. The Titans were up by ten at halftime, but Pittsburgh shut out the offense in the second half. Ryan Tannehill threw for just 153 yards and an INT on an inaccurate day.
The one positive is that the run game averaged 4.8 yards per carry, all without Derrick Henry. D’Onta Foreman rushed for 108 of the Titans’ 201 yards. Julio Jones has been non-existent this year. Jones was targeted once and didn’t touch the ball all game.
The defense is proving to be exceptional. The Titans allowed just 183 total yards. The problem was that the offense conceded four turnovers, which gave the Steelers short field on most of their drives.
The Titans are the third seed in the playoffs. However, after losing three of their last four games, the Colts are just one win behind them. The 49ers have held onto their one-win lead in the NFC but have a couple of teams hunting them down. I think the Titans will struggle against the 49ers’ excellent defense.
Therefore, I am picking the 49ers to cover the spread of -3.5 points.
Cleveland Browns (+310) @ Green Bay Packers (-345)
Browns: Cleveland lost to the Raiders thanks to a walk-off field goal by Daniel Carlson. Both Keenum and Mayfield were on Covid reserve, so the ex-49er and Eagle Nick Mullens started at QB.
Mullens was adequate with 147 yards, a TD, and a 67% completion rate. The Browns were missing seven other players on offense owing to Covid, so this game was always going to be low-scoring.
The defense was also missing ten players for the same reason. However, Cleveland still held the Raiders to 324 total yards and came away with two turnovers plus two sacks.
Packers: Green Bay was almost upset at the death on Sunday. The Packers conceded a late TD to the Ravens, but the defense denied the two-point attempt to seal the win for Green Bay.
Aaron Rodgers tied Brett Favre’s TD record in Green Bay on Sunday. Rodgers finished with 268 yards and three TDs. Marquez Valdes-Scantling went for 98 yards and a TD.
The defense conceded four TDs to Tyler Huntly, who finished with 288 total yards. Huntley was very effective when running the ball. The Packers conceded 73 yards to Huntley and 5.5 yards per carry to the Ravens.
The Browns are now in last in the AFC North but are just one win behind their Ohio rival, Cincinnati. Green Bay has secured the NFC North division title with their win over the Ravens. The Packers will now be fighting for the conference title and a first-round bye.
Cleveland should have some players back from Covid protocols by Saturday. I think the Packers should still ease to victory over the depleted Browns, but it will be tighter than expected at Lambeau Field.
Therefore, I am taking the Packers to win but the Browns to cover the spread of +8.5 points.
Indianapolis Colts (+110) @ Arizona Cardinals (-120)
Colts: Indy convincingly beat the Patriots at Lucas Oil Stadium. Carson Wentz had a quiet day with just 57 yards from five completions and 12 attempts. However, Wentz took a back seat to Jonathon Taylor.
The league leader rushed for his third 150+ yard day this year. Taylor finished with a whopping 170 yards, a TD, and 5.9 yards per rush. The Colts racked up 226 rushing yards from 39 carries.
The defense came away with two crucial interceptions. The Colts also conceded just four yards per carry. However, the D let the Pats back in by conceding 17 fourth-quarter points.
Cardinals: Arizona suffered a shock loss to the Lions on Sunday. McCoy replaced Kyler Murray after completing just 56% of his passes. Murray also threw an interception, leading to a Lions TD the next drive.
The Cardinals’ run game was adequate, with 105 yards at five yards per carry. The offensive stats wouldn’t suggest the Cardinals only managed 12 points. Arizona was always chasing the game, which forced them into mistakes.
The defense managed a fumble recovery, two sacks and five tackles for a loss. Yet, they conceded 342 total yards, three TDs and a passer rating of 139.7 to Jared Goff.
With the Colts’ win over the Pats, they snuck into the fifth seed in the AFC. The Titans have lost three of their last four games, so now the Colts are only one win behind them. The Cardinals have now slipped down to fourth in the NFC playoff picture. They are now under threat of losing the division to the rampant Rams.
The O/U line is set high; I am taking these teams to score under 49.5 points.
Detroit Lions (+215) @ Atlanta Falcons (-200)
Lions: Detroit produced a significant upset to beat the Cardinals at Ford Field. Jared Goff had his best game in a Lions jersey. Goff finished with 216 yards, three TDs and a 139.7 passer rating.
Rookie wide-out Amon-Ra St. Brown has become the number one receiver for the Lions. St. Brown finished with 90 yards and a TD catch on Sunday. Craig Reynolds was excellent, with 112 yards at 4.3 yards per carry.
The defense conceded 418 total yards to the Cardinals, including five yards per carry to Arizona’s backs. However, the defensive unit stepped up with an important takeaway and two turnovers on downs to stop the Cardinals.
Falcons: The Falcons lost to the 49ers by 18 points. Matt Ryan was inaccurate with just a 59% completion rate. He finished with 236 yards and a TD.
The run game was disappointing against a stout defense. The backs managed just 2.7 yards per carry. Russell Gage had 91 receiving yards from eight catches and he is fast proving to be a valuable asset with Calvin Ridley sidelined.
The defense couldn’t muster a sack and hardly pressured Garoppolo all game. Rickie Grant came away with the Falcons’ only takeaway when he recovered Hasty’s fumble.
The Lions will be encouraged after that performance by Goff. Suddenly Detroit has won two of their last three games. The Falcons are one win off the playoff spots.
However, Atlanta has a poor conference record, so it is unlikely they will make the postseason. I can’t see these teams scoring many points, with both offenses often lacking passing threats.
Therefore, I am taking these teams to score under 44 points on Sunday.
Baltimore Ravens (+120) @ Cincinnati Bengals (-135)
Ravens: Baltimore lost to the Packers at home. The Ravens had a chance to tie the game after a Tyler Huntley TD. However, to their moneyline bettors’ bitter disappointment, they opted for the win and their two-point conversion was unsuccessful.
Huntley stared for the injured Lamar Jackson. Huntley was exceptional, considering it was just his second NFL start. Huntley threw for 215 yards and two TDs and rushed for 73 yards and two TDs.
Mark Andrews was Huntley’s favorite target. He made several exceptional catches to finish with 136 yards and two TDs. Marquise Browns made ten catches for only 43 yards, surprisingly.
Bengals: Cincinnati beat the Broncos in a low-scoring game. Both defenses dominated this game, but Joe Burrow did manage 157 yards, a TD and a 68% completion rate.
The run game was also efficient, with 4.3 yards per carry. The offense didn’t concede a single turnover, but Burrow was sacked three times.
The defense came away with a turnover and conceded just 319 total yards. The Bengals held Lock and Bridgewater to a 53% completion rate and managed three sacks.
Baltimore did an incredible job to come within a point of the Packers considering their injury problems. Jackson is still questionable to play on Sunday, meaning Huntley could receive his second start in a row.
The Bengals have leapfrogged the Ravens at the top of the AFC North. It feels as if whichever team wins this game will win the division.
I think this game will be close, but I am betting on the Ravens to cover the spread of +2.5.
Los Angeles Rams (-143) @ Minnesota Vikings (+138)
Rams: LA beat the Seahawks on Tuesday night to move to 10-4. Matthew Stafford became the fastest ever player to reach 50,000 passing yards last night. Stafford finished with 244 yards, two TDs and an INT.
Cooper Kupp had his usual 100-yard day. He finished with 136 yards and two TDs. Could he possibly sneak the MVP award this season? Sony Michel is proving a valuable edition. Michel finished 92 yards at an average of 5.1 yards.
The defense held the Seahawks to 236 yards and Wilson to complete 55% of his passes. The D also had three sacks and five tackles for a loss to round off an excellent day.
Vikings: Minnesota beat the Bears in a low-scoring game. Kirk Cousins had another disappointing match in an inconsistent year. Cousins had a paltry 87 yards, two TDs and an INT on the day.
With Cousins’ inaccurate play at QB, the Vikings had to rely on their run game. The backs finished with 132 yards thanks to Dalvin Cook, who had 89 yards.
The secondary was blown away when Fields passed the ball. However, the front seven came out with three fumble recoveries and three sacks, making it hard for the Bears to achieve any momentum on offense.
The Vikings are still sitting just inside the playoffs. However, the Saints and the Eagles are breathing down their necks for the seventh seed. The Rams are now level with the Cardinals in the NFC West. The Rams have a more manageable schedule, and I think they will take the division title.
I think the Rams will win this game, so I am adding them to my NFL parlay.
Buffalo Bills (+120) @ New England Patriots (-135)
Bills: Buffalo convincingly beat the Panthers at the weekend. Josh Allen was inaccurate but still went for 210 yards, three TDs and an interception.
With Zach Moss out, Devin Singletary was given the brunt of the carries. Singletary finished with 96 total yards and a TD. Gabriel Davis finished with the most receiving yards on the day.
The defense finished with an interception, four sacks, and seven tackles for a loss. Even with those stats, the Panthers ran the ball for 151 yards at over five yards per carry.
Patriots: New England lost to the Colts last Thursday. The Colts and Jonathon Taylor simply ran over the Pats. Mac Jones had an average day, as he was uncharacteristically inaccurate. Jones finished with 299 yards, two TDs and two INTs.
The Pats were missing Damien Harris. Rhamondre Stevenson took the brunt of the carries and only went for 36 yards. Hunter Henry had 77 yards and caught both of Jones’ TDs.
Taylor, as mentioned above, trampled on the defense. He went for 170 yards and had 29 carries. Wentz only had 12 attempts for 57 yards. The Pats just couldn’t stop the run even though they knew it was coming.
The Bills will be looking for revenge from their Week 13 loss to the Pats. Both teams are currently in the playoffs. Buffalo is one win behind the Pats, but New England has a better conference record.
If Buffalo were to win the division, New England would have to lose two of their last three games. I think the Pats bounce back and do the double over the Bills.
Therefore, I am taking the Patriots to cover the spread of -2.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+120) @ New York Jets (-132)
Jaguars: Jacksonville lost to Houston 30-16. Urban Meyer was fired, so Darrell Bevell was in charge. Trevor Lawrence had a solid game, with 210 yards and no TDs or INTs.
James Robinson led the rush attack with 75 yards and a TD. However, it was hard for the Jags’ offense to gain momentum due to their O-line conceding three sacks and six tackles for a loss.
Tyson Campbell had the only takeaway of the day for Jacksonville. Their defense were average, again. They had a sack and held the Texans’ run game to a reasonable three yards per carry.
Jets: New York lost to their divisional rival at Hard Rock Stadium. The Jets produced one of their best first halves of the season. Unfortunately, the Jets conceded 21 second-half points to the Fins.
Again, Zach Wilson was shockingly inaccurate, only completing 56% of his passes for 170 yards. The Jets finished with just 54 second-half yards thanks to six sacks by the Dolphins.
The defense did come away with two interceptions. Brandin Echols had a pick-six which was the only points the Jets scored in the second half. The front seven conceded 183 rushing yards and managed just one sack.
Both these teams have already been eliminated from the playoffs. This game will be a battle between the top two picks from this year’s draft. Neither QB has been consistent or had an outstanding game.
Both have flashed their potential. This game will be a chance to prove themselves. Thanks to home-field advantage, I think the Jets will come out on top.
Therefore, I am betting on the Jets to cover the spread of -2.5.
New York Giants (+385) @ Philadelphia Eagles (-455)
Giants: New York lost to Dallas 21-6. Mike Glennon had a shocking day. Glennon finished with 99 yards and three interceptions. Jake Fromm replaced Glennon and only managed 82 yards from six completions.
The Giants continued to run the ball effectively. Barkley and Booker combined for 124 yards at over five yards per carry. The backs also combined for another 32 receiving yards.
The defense had a fumble recovery and two sacks. However, the D relinquished 342 total yards, including 6.2 yards per carry, to Tony Pollards.
Eagles: Philly dominated the Football Team even though the scoreline doesn’t back that up. Jalen Hurts was outstanding with a 77% completion rate for 296 yards, a TD and an unfortunate INT.
The Eagles continue to use a run-heavy style on offense. Miles Sanders went for 131 yards, and Hurts ran in two TDs. The Eagles’ run game finished with 238 yards and averaged 5.8 yards.
The defense didn’t manage a turnover but did have two sacks and five tackles for a loss. The front seven held Antonio Gibson to 26 yards from 15 carries.
The Eagles are closing in on the playoffs. Philly only has divisional games left this season which could be crucial for their conference record by Week 18.
The Giants are all but eliminated from the playoffs. New York now needs to focus on whether Daniel Jones is their franchise QB.
I think the Eagles will dominate this game, so I am adding them to my parlay.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-500) @ Carolina Panthers (+410)
Buccaneers: Tampa Bay was dominated by the Saints’ defense in a 9-0 upset. It was only the third time that Tom Brady has ever been shut out. Brady completed 54% of his passes for 214 yards and an INT.
Fournette, Godwin, and Evens didn’t help the offense, all exiting the game through injury. It looks like all three will miss multiple games. However, the Bucs will have Antonio Brown back.
The Bucs had two sacks and ten tackles for a loss but didn’t have a takeaway. The Saints put up worse offensive stats than the Bucs, but they took their opportunities when they got into field goal range.
Panthers: Carolina lost to the Bills 31-14. Cam Newton played the whole game for Carolina and went for 18/38, 156 yards, a TD and an interception.
Newton also rushed for 71 yards and a TD. He was backed up by Chuba Hubbard, who went for 40 yards. This brought the run game up to 151 total yards at five yards a carry.
The defense conceded four TDs and 329 total yards to the Bills. Jeremy Chinn had the only interception of the day for Carolina. The front seven also had four sacks and three tackles for a loss.
The Panthers are still in the playoff hunt, but it is statistically almost impossible for them to make it. The Bucs are a win behind the number one seed.
Tampa is level with Arizona and Dallas on ten wins and looking to gain an advantage over their rivals. I think the Bucs will bounce back and blow away the Panthers.
Therefore, I am adding the Bucs to my parlay.
Los Angeles Chargers (-400) @ Houston Texans (+335)
Chargers: LA lost to the Chiefs in a gripping overtime match. Justin Herbert threw for 236 yards with two TDs and an INT. Herbert only completed 58% of his passes which is a season-low.
Justin Jackson shared his carries with Ekeler. The backs combined for 192 yards, two TDs, and 4.9 yards per carry. Keenan Allan was the most productive receiver with 78 yards and a TD.
The defense let Travis Kelce swerve his way into the end-zone for the win in overtime. The D conceded 21 points in the fourth quarter and overtime, even with a fourth-quarter interception. This cost them dearly.
Texans: Houston convincingly beat the Jags on the road. Davis Mills is having an excellent rookie year considering the talent around him. Mills finished with 209 yards, two TDs and an INT.
The Texans have the worst rushing yards per game in the league at just 77.4. History seemed to repeat itself, as they managed 75 yards at under three yards per carry in this game.
The defense is proving to be better than first thought. They held the Jags to 317 yards and 16 points. The front seven had three sacks and six tackles for a loss.
The Texans have been eliminated from the postseason. They will be looking at Davis Mills’ play and gauging his potential. The Chargers are still in the sixth seed spot.
LA will be looking over their shoulder with Baltimore, Pittsburgh and others chasing their place. I expect this game to be an easy win for the Chargers.
Therefore, I am adding LA to my parlay.
Chicago Bears (+240) @ Seattle Seahawks (-265)
Bears: Chicago lost to the Vikings on Monday night. Justin Fields looked very composed in the pocket. Fields finished with 285 yards and a TD. However, he did fumble the ball twice, one of which was recovered by Minnesota.
The rush was productive, with Montgomery going for 60 yards and Fields finishing with 35 yards. Cole Kmet and Fields’ chemistry is proving to be strong. Kmet had another 70-yard day against the Vikings.
Thanks to five pass deflections, the defense held Cousins to a 50% completion rate and less than 100 yards in the air. The defense also held Dalvin Cook to just 3.2 yards per carry.
Seahawks: Seattle lost to the Rams 20-10. Russell Wilson didn’t produce his best performance, finishing with 156 yards and an INT. This performance could be down to Wilson’s finger injury.
The run game struggled to make up for the inefficient passing game. The backs managed just 80 yards at four yards per carry and a TD.
The defense had an excellent game. They had four sacks, seven tackles for a loss and an interception. More importantly, they held LA to just 20 points, well below their season’s average of 28.2 points.
The Bears were officially eliminated from the playoffs with their loss to Minnesota. However, they have plenty of positives to take from this season. Their rookie QB has been a success and should only get better.
The Seahawks are still in contention, but it would take a miracle if they are to make the postseason. I think Seattle will come out on top in this close matchup.
Therefore, I am taking the Seahawks to win but the Bears to cover the spread of +6.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+300) @ Kansas City Chiefs (-345)
Steelers: Pittsburgh came out on top against the Titans in a close-fought match. Ben Roethlisberger’s inconsistent season continued with a 16/25, 148-yard display.
The run game is still inefficient, with the Steelers’ backs going for 35 yards from 17 carries. The O-line is also struggling in pass protection. Big Ben was sacked three times by the Titans.
The defense was run over by the Titans’ rushing attack. Tennessee’s backs managed 201 yards from 42 carries. However, they stepped up to the plate when forcing fumbles. The D managed three fumble recoveries and an interception.
Chiefs: Kansas beat the Chargers in a gripping overtime game. Patrick Mahomes threw for over 400 yards. Mahomes also completed 66% of his pass and threw three TDs and an INT.
Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill had huge days. They went for 191 yards, two TDs, 148 yards and a TD, respectively. Kelce also weaved his way into the end zone for the game-winning TD in OT.
The defense struggled to pressure Herbert and couldn’t register a sack all game. However, Kansas did come up with a fumble recovery and an interception.
The Chiefs have managed to steal the number one seed after a 3-4 start, which has made their futures odds to be the season’s most volatile . Pittsburgh is still on the hunt for a playoff spot.
The Steelers are sitting just outside, and it looks like their draw to the Lions could hinder their chances. This match will be intriguing as Kansas’ offense is on fire, yet the Steelers’ defense is proving to be one of the best in the league.
However, I feel that Kansas will continue their seven-game win streak and so I am adding them to my parlay.
Denver Broncos (+105) @ Las Vegas Raiders (-105)
Broncos: Denver lost to the Bengals in a defense-dominated game. Teddy Bridgewater started the game and went for just 98 yards. Drew Lock replaced Teddy when he was injured and went for 88 yards.
Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams rushed for 125 yards at just over four yards per carry. None of the Denver receivers made any notable contributions.
The defense held the Bengals to just 270 total yards but didn’t have a takeaway and only managed two sacks.
Raiders: Las Vegas beat the Browns thanks to a Daniel Carlson field goal as time expired. Derek Carr had a pretty good game with 236 yards, a TD and an INT.
Peyton Barber was very productive, with 6.8 yards per rush. Surprisingly, Zay Jones and Foster Moreau were the most productive receivers for the Raiders.
The defense held firm against a depleted Browns team. Las Vegas allowed just 236 total yards. The front seven didn’t have a sack, but they impressively held Nick Chubb to just four yards per carry.
The Raiders and the Broncos are still in playoff contention. They are at 7-7 and are only one win behind the teams ahead.
This will be an exciting game as whoever loses this game will be all but eliminated from the playoffs. I think the Raiders will win this match as they have home-field advantage, and Drew Lock will start.
Therefore, I am taking the Raiders to win what is the closest game to call for the sportsbooks this weekend.
Washington Football Team (+400) @ Dallas Cowboys (-475)
Football Team: Washington lost to the Eagles on Tuesday night. Garrett Gilbert started owing to Heinicke being involved in Covid protocols. He managed 194 yards and a 65% completion rate.
Terry McLaurin had 51 yards from just two catches. However, the star player for Washington was Antonio Gibson, who went for 65 total yards and was the most productive player on the team.
Landon Collis was made two big plays with a lucky interception and a fumble recovery. WFT also had three sacks and three tackles for a loss on the day.
Cowboys: Dallas produced a dominant performance to beat the Giants. Dak Prescott had a decent game with 217 yards and a TD.
The run game was very productive. Tony Pollard rushed for 74 yards at 6.2 yards per rush. Dalton Schultz and CeeDee Lamb were the stand-out receivers with 67 and 50 yards, respectively.
The defense came away with four takeaways, including Trevon Diggs’ tenth interception on the season. The Giants did successfully run the ball against the Cowboys’ front seven.
The Cowboys are battling for the number one seed in the NFC. However, I can’t see Dallas beating out the Packers for the top spot.
The Football team will have an uphill climb to make the postseason. I think this will be a low-scoring defense-dominated game.
So I am betting on these teams to score under 47.5 points.
Miami Dolphins (+144) @ New Orleans Saints (-159)
Dolphins: Miami beat the Jets in a back-and-forth match. It took Miami the first half to wake up after their bye week. However, the Fins were clinical apart from one mistake in the second half.
Tua Tagovailoa wasn’t as accurate as in recent weeks. Tua threw two interceptions, including a pick-six which was New York’s only second-half points. Duke Johnson was outstanding with 107 yards from 22 attempts.
The Miami defense is constantly improving. The D finished with six sacks and seven tackles for a loss. Jerome Baker was the stand-out performer with two sacks and two TFL.
Saints: New Orleans shut out the Bucs in a commanding win. Taysom Hill wasn’t accurate, but he did make some excellent throws. He finished with 154 passing yards and 33 rushing yards.
Marquez Callaway was the only notable player on offense for the Saints. Callaway had 112 yards from just six receptions. However, the defense won this game for New Orleans.
The Saints’ defense had four sacks, six tackles for a loss, an interception and a fumble recovery. The Bucs couldn’t take their chances and opted not to take a field goal a couple of times.
Both teams are now 7-7, and this game is critical for their playoff hopes. The Fins are coming into this game on a six-game winning streak, whereas the Saints are on a two-game winning streak. This game has two dominating defenses facing off.
For that reason, I am taking these teams to hit under 39 points.
Check out this week 16 best parlay bets.