If you’re looking for some great picks, below are my best parlay bets for NFL Week 16.
I have evaluated all the Week 16 games and come up with my locks for a five-bet parlay. If you hit this five-bet $100 parlay, the payout would be just over $1,500.
Last week’s parlay didn’t hit due to multiple upsets.
Moneyline: Buccaneers (-400)
Tampa Bay is looking to bounce back after being shut out by the Saints. Tom Brady will be without critical weapons Leonard Fournette, Chris Godwin, and Mike Evens.
The Bucs are still averaging 29.3 points per game compared to Carolina, averaging 19.4 points. These teams are conceding around 22 points, so this could be a close game.
This game is the first of two meetings in three weeks for these teams. Tampa was on a four-game winning streak before their loss. In contrast, Carolina has lost five of its last six games.
The Bucs, with an angry GOAT at the helm, should ease to victory despite Tampa’s injury problems.
Spread: Lions to cover (+6) (-110)
Detroit faces the Falcons on the road on Boxing Day. The Lions are 2-11-1 on the season. However, they have won two of their last three games and the team is looking a lot more competitive.
Detroit has been within six points of their opponents in seven of their fourteen games this season. The Lions have an against the spread record of 8-2 in their ten games when underdogs by 5.5 points or more this season.
The Lions are averaging 23 points in their last three games compared to Atlanta, who average 17 points. Both teams have some key injuries, so it should be an even matchup.
With Detroit’s resurgence, there is no way they don’t cover the spread.
Over/Under: (under 49 points) (-109)
LA has one of the best defenses in the league this season. LA is conceding just 21.6 points per game. The Vikings have also been solid on defense, conceding 24.4 points per game.
Minnesota uses a run-heavy style on offense, averaging 123.8 yards on the ground. Los Angeles relinquished just 99.1 yards per game this season which is the sixth-best in the league.
Kirk Cousins will have to throw more than usual. He has been inconsistent this season. In his last five games, Cousins has a 93.7 passer rating, which is five less than his career average.
With the over/under line set so high, I cannot see these teams hit over.
Over/Under Passing Yards: Aaron Rodgers (over 255.5)
Aaron Rodgers has already led the Packers to the NFC North title and he will hope to clinch the number one seed in the playoffs. He has been outstanding this month, as well as much of October and November!
In Rodgers’ last two games, he has had a 76.5% completion rate for 609 yards, seven TDs and more importantly, no INTs. He is averaging over 300 yards in his last five games.
Rodgers will face an excellent Browns defense. However, Cleveland still has 16 players on the Covid list. The Browns have been allowing just 216.1 passing yards per game this season.
Rodgers is a safe bet to hit the over with the Browns missing critical players like Clowney and Newsome.
Over/Under Receiving Yards: Ja’Marr Chase (over 62.5 yards) (-115)
Ja’Marr Chase has been named a pro bowler in his Rookie season. The last time he faced the Ravens, he caught eight passes for 201 yards and a TD.
Chase is averaging 74 yards this season but just 40.6 yards in his last five games. However, he has been targeted less in this period. He is due a big game and that should come against the Ravens.
The Ravens have been hit by multiple injuries on defense, especially in their secondary. The Ravens have been conceding 264.9 passing yards per game compared to 86.2 rushing yards.
It will be a miracle if Chase doesn’t hit the over with Baltimore’s poor secondary.
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