2024 NFL Receiving Yards Leader Odds

Author

Lawrence Smelser

Updated: Oct 8, 2024

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Receiving yards categories are popular markets when betting on the NFL.

Many punters enjoy wagering on which wide receiver will lead the NFL in receiving yards over the course of the regular season.

Most sportsbooks feature this bet before the start of the campaign, but some also accept wagers for it during the year.

The bet is graded after the final week (18) of the NFL regular season.

In this article, we’ll dive into the odds, history, and types of receiving yards markets available to stake.

2023 NFL Receiving Yards Leaders

First, let’s take a look at the NFL receiving yards leaders 2023 in the table below.

PlayerReceiving YardsTeam
Tyreek Hill1,799MIA Dolphins
CeeDee Lamb1,749DAL Cowboys
Amon-Ra St. Brown1,515DET Lions
Puka Nacua1,486LA Rams
A.J. Brown1,456PHI Eagles
DJ Moore1,364CHI Bears
Brandon Aiyuk1,342SF 49ers
Nico Collins1,297HOU Texans
Mike Evans1,255TB Buccaneers
Amari Cooper1,250CLE Browns

Tyreek Hill’s 1,799 yards were the fourth-most since the 2000 NFL season.

However, his yardage was lower than the previous two winners: Justin Jefferson (1,809 in 2022) and Cooper Kupp (1,947 in 2021).

Calvin Johnson holds the record for most receiving yards in a season thanks to his 1,964 in 2012.

2024 NFL Receiving Yards Leader Odds

Looking ahead, in the table below, you’ll find the odds for the players to lead the league with the most receiving yards this season.

PlayerTeamOdds
Tyreek HillMIA Dolphins+500
CeeDee LambDAL Cowboys+600
Justin JeffersonMIN Vikings+700
Ja’Marr ChaseCIN Bengals+800
A.J. BrownPHI Eagles+900
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET Lions+1000
Garrett WilsonNY Jets+1500
Puka NacuaLA Rams+1500

After leading the NFL in receiving last year, oddsmakers view Hill as the favorite. It’s an extremely rare feat to claim the receiving yards title in back-to-back campaigns.

The last player to do so was Calvin Johnson in 2010 and 2011.

Garrett Wilson is tied as the seventh-favorite to lead the league in receiving thanks to Aaron Rodgers returning from his achilles injury.

Wilson’s chances will remain alive throughout the season if Rodgers, a four-time MVP, doesn’t become seriously injured.

Who Will Have the Most Receiving Yards In 2024?

We’ll showcase some of the favorites and contenders to lead the league in receiving.

2024 Favorites

Tyreek Hill (+500)

The athletic speedster can claim the receiving yards title for two consecutive years if Tua Tagovailoa can remain on the field.

Hill might’ve earned a three-peat for the most receiving yards had Tagovailoa not missed time during the 2022 season. Hill finished second that year with 1,710 yards, 99 behind Justin Jefferson.

Ever since joining the Dolphins in 2022, the West Alabama product has seen loads of success in Mike McDaniel’s system.

Hill won a Super Bowl with the Chiefs but never came close in terms of his receiving yardage stats with Miami.

His best year in Kansas City came in 2018 when he recorded 1,479 yards (fourth-most in the NFL).

This was due to Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes spreading the ball around to different options, such as future Hall-of-Fame tight end Travis Kelce.

CeeDee Lamb (+600)

During the preseason, Jerry Jones and the Dallas Cowboys gave their superstar wideout a four-year $136 million deal.

Lamb was holding out of camp because he felt he needed to be fairly compensated after leading the league in receptions (135), and finishing second in receiving yards (1,749).

The Oklahoma product also finished second in the league in touchdown catches (12), just one behind Hill and Mike Evans.

Dallas offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer remained with “America’s Team,” as well as quarterback Dak Prescott. This gives Lamb an excellent chance at fighting for the receiving yards title.

The former Oklahoma Sooner should be fed plenty of targets with questions surrounding the running game.

Last year’s starting running back, Tony Pollard, signed with Tennessee, leaving the Cowboys with a running back room consisting of Ezekiel Elliott, Rico Dowdle, and newly signed Dalvin Cook.

Elliott and Cook have shown signs of decline over the past few years. Dowdle was Pollard’s backup in 2023.

Justin Jefferson (+700)

While Hill is known for his speed and is arguably the best receiver in the league, Jefferson is widely considered the best all-around receiver thanks to his route-running, excellent hands and acrobatic catches.

Since he entered the league in 2020, “JJetas” has been a model for consistency.

Jefferson’s Receiving Yards by Year

YearYards
20201,400
20211,616
20221,809
20231,074

As a rookie, Jefferson finished fourth in receiving yards. In his sophomore season, he ended in second place behind the Rams’ Cooper Kupp, who broke the single-season record (1,947).

The national champion out of LSU, Jefferson, claimed the throne a year later with his 1,809 yards.

Despite it being extremely difficult to repeat the feat, all signs pointed to him doing it in 2023, but injuries hampered his season, and he only played 10 games (missed seven).

An achilles injury to starting quarterback Kirk Cousins also destroyed his chances.

Jefferson isn’t the favorite in 2024 due to Cousins departing for Atlanta and Minnesota’s quarterback room featuring journeyman quarterback Sam Darnold. Minnesota’s 12th overall pick in the NFL Draft, quarterback J.J. McCarthy (Michigan product), will miss the season due to a torn meniscus.

If an above-average signal caller featured as the Vikings’ QB1, Jefferson likely would’ve been the betting favorite this campaign to lead the league in receiving yards.

2024 Contenders

Ja’Marr Chase (+800)

During the 2021 season, another LSU product, Ja’Marr Chase, broke Jefferson’s rookie receiving yards record in the Super Bowl Era by recording 1,455 yards.

This record would later be broken by Puka Nacua in 2023 with 1,486 yards.

Chase is extremely talented and showcased it during the same season (2021) when he recorded 266 yards in a single game against the Chiefs in Week 17.

After his rookie year, things haven’t gone according to plan for Chase. The following season, the former No. 5 overall pick only played in 12 games due to injury and collected 1,046 yards.

Last year, practically all hope to lead the league in receiving was lost when his quarterback, Joe Burrow (also his former college teammate), was ruled out for the season with torn ligaments in his wrist.

This occurred during Week 11, with seven games left on the schedule.

Chase ended up missing one game and finishing with 1,216 yards. If Chase and Burrow can stay healthy in 2024, there’s definitely an opportunity to lead the league in receiving thanks to both talents and their excellent rapport.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

The Lions’ slot receiver broke out in 2023 thanks to his 1,515-yard campaign, which ranked third in the NFL.

The USC product has improved each year in the NFL. As a rookie in 2021, he recorded 912 yards and a year later finished with 1,161.

It will be hard to unseat the four previous names mentioned on this list, but with offensive coordinator Ben Johnson and quarterback Jared Goff returning, St. Brown can never be counted out.

NFL Receiving Leaders – Last 15 Seasons

Looking back at the last 15 seasons, here are the players who have lead the league with the most receiving yards:

YearPlayerReceiving YardsTeam
2023Tyreek Hill1,799MIA Dolphins
2022Justin Jefferson1,809MIN Vikings
2021Cooper Kupp1,947LA Rams
2020Stefon Diggs1,535BUF Bills
2019Michael Thomas1,725NO Saints
2018Julio Jones1,677ATL Falcons
2017Antonio Brown1,533PIT Steelers
2016T.Y. Hilton1,448IND Colts
2015Julio Jones1,871ATL Falcons
2014Antonio Brown1,698PIT Steelers
2013Josh Gordon1,646CLE Browns
2012Calvin Johnson1,964DET Lions
2011Calvin Johnson1,681DET Lions
2010Brandon Lloyd1,448DEN Broncos
2009Andre Johnson1,569HOU Texans

WR Receiving Yards Over/Under

On top of the futures bet for the most receiving yards in a season, sportsbooks provide betting markets for receiving yards totals each week. This also includes the playoffs and Super Bowl.

You can stake whether you think a player will go over or under a certain yardage assigned by bookmakers.

Before You Bet On Tyreek Hill

Before you look at the odds and place a bet on Tyreek Hill, you should choose your book wisely.

Winning bets isn’t the only important factor when sports betting. Odds shopping, which is finding the best available odds across all bookmakers, is also extremely vital.

You’ll be making a huge mistake by taking the first line you see. For example, if you’re going to bet on a certain receiver to lead the league in receiving yards, odds will vary among different operators.

One bookmaker might have the receiver at +400 while another could feature him at +700. This is a huge discrepancy. A $10 bet on +400 would win you $40. The same $10 wager at +700 would earn you $70.

Shopping around can save you money, make you money and help with your bankroll.

Remember to never bet more than you can afford and be responsible.

What Does Alternate Receiving Yards Mean?

Alternate receiving yards refer to a specific prop offered by a sportsbook. The bookmaker lets you bet on a certain player to record a set number of yards.

While standard receiving totals allow punters to stake over or under a certain yardage, such as 82.5 yards, alternate yards let them choose different yards offered by the sportsbook.

This is also common for receptions and other NFL categories. Other sports markets, such as the NBA, also contain alternate lines for points, three-pointers and assists.

This type of wager allows you to customize the yardage based on how you think the player will perform.

Alternate lines aren’t just limited to prop bets. Main markets, such as alternate spreads, are also included.

How Does Alternate Receiving Yards Betting Work?

If a sportsbook such as FanDuel offers Houston wide receiver Stefon Diggs’ standard receiving total at 52.5 yards and the over is set at -130 while the under is +120, the book will also offer alternate yardages for him but at different prices.

For example, FanDuel will list his alternate yards with different options, including 25+ yards and 40+ yards, but at a steeper price.

These are often thrown into parlays since they’re juiced at -1100 and -450.

They’ll also offer him above his total at 60+ or 70+ yards.

These numbers will be plus-money odds (+100 and +165) since they are higher than his regular total.

Which Sportsbooks Offer It?

Almost all regulated U.S. bookmakers offer alternate yards bets. The following are some of the more notable ones providing the option:

Author

About the author

Lawrence is a seasoned sports analyst with a combined decade of experience in the journalism, sports betting and iGaming industries. His expertise lie...

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