2024 NFL Receiving Leader Odds
Malcolm Darnley
Updated: Sep 22, 2023
When it comes to the NFL, there is no debate over who the greatest wide receiver of all time is.
Jerry Rice had one of the most spectacular football careers ever, and the pass-catching legend still holds the majority of key NFL receiving records today.
Even though NFL offenses have evolved and teams are throwing the ball more now than ever, no other NFL wide receiver has been able to accomplish what Rice did.
The former first-round pick from Mississippi Valley State is still the all-time leader in receptions, total yards, and touchdowns.
Rice once scored 22 touchdowns in a season that was only 12 games long because of a labor dispute.
However, today’s NFL is loaded with great receivers doing impressive things of their own.
Justin Jefferson is doing some Jerry Rice-like things in just three-plus seasons with the Minnesota Vikings.
The former first-round pick already has over 5,000 career receiving yards, and he is just 24 years old.
2023 NFL Receiving Yards Odds
One of the more popular NFL futures bets is deciding which of the many talented receivers will lead the NFL in total receiving yards.
Last year, Justin Jefferson edged out the Miami Dolphins Tyreek Hill and ended as the league leader in total receiving yards.
History tells us that repeating as the NFL receiving yards leader is not easy to do.
Today’s NFL is loaded with many young, talented quarterbacks and playmaking wide receivers, with teams throwing the ball more today than ever before.
Jefferson has definitely proved in his three years to date that he is one of the game’s best.
However, Tyreek Hill, Ja’Marr Chase, Davante Adams, and many, many others will all be chasing Jefferson in 2023.
2022 NFL Receiving Yards Leaders
| Player | Receiving Yards | Team |
| Justin Jefferson | 1,809 | Vikings |
| Tyreek Hill | 1,710 | Dolphins |
| Davante Adams | 1,516 | Raiders |
| AJ Brown | 1,496 | Eagles |
| Stefon Diggs | 1,429 | Bills |
| CeeDee Lamb | 1,359 | Cowboys |
| Jaylen Waddle | 1,356 | Dolphins |
| Travis Kelce | 1,338 | Chiefs |
| DeVonta Smith | 1,196 | Eagles |
| Terry McLaurin | 1,191 | Commanders |
Who Will Have The Most Receiving Yards In 2023?
The Favorites
Justin Jefferson – MIN Vikings
The 2020 LSU Tigers featured Joe Burrow at QB, with Justin Jefferson and Ja’Marr Chase lined up as his primary receivers.
The Tigers must have given college-level defensive coordinators absolute nightmares because nobody has figured out how to stop any of those guys at the pro level.
Specifically, when we look at Justin Jefferson, the three-year start to his career has him well on his way to Canton, Ohio, and the NFL Hall of Fame.
In 2022, Jefferson went off for over 1,800+ yards while leading the league with 128 receptions and averaging over 106 receiving yards per game.
Tyreek Hill – MIA Dolphins
The worst-kept secret in the NFL this past off-season was how good the Miami Dolphins offense was when Tua Tagovailoa was on the field.
Tua and Tyreek Hill found instant chemistry in their first year playing together.
In 2022, Hill finished 99 yards behind Justin Jefferson for the league lead.
Dolphins fans realize that if Tua had remained healthy and played in 16 or 17 games instead of the 13 games he actually played, Tyreek would have easily led the league in receiving yards last year.
Davante Adams – LV Raiders
When Davante Adams hangs up his sticky receiver gloves, his career statistics suggest he will ultimately end up in Canton, Ohio, enshrined among the all-time greats.
There were Davante Doubters during his time in Green Bay, with a few suggesting that playing with Aaron Rodgers would make a lot of good receivers look great.
In 2022, Adams left Rodgers for Las Vegas and teamed up with Derek Carr.
The 2022 version of Carr was no Aaron Rodgers, but Davante was still Davante.
The 2014 second-round draft pick had 100 receptions and over 1,500+ receiving yards while leading the league with 14 receiving touchdowns.
Maybe we all got it wrong. Maybe Davante was making Rodgers look good.
The Contenders
Stefon Diggs – BUF Bills
During the 2023 season, Stefon Diggs will turn 30 years old. However, the Old Man is still proving to be one of the game’s elite receivers. In 2022, Diiggs went over 100 receptions for the fourth time in his career.
The nine-year veteran also had 1,429 receiving yards.
Diggs averaged 6.75 receptions and 89 receiving yards per game.
If there was concern about the uber-talented receiver, it might be the off-season drama that surrounded Diggs, his quarterback Josh Allen, and the team in general.
As the season starts, everyone appears positive and on the same page.
If Buffalo were to struggle to score points and move the ball at some point this season, it would be interesting to see if Diggs, Allen, and teammates can stay united while they figure things out.
AJ Brown – PHI Eagles
A.J. Brown missed six games combined in the 2021 and 2020 seasons for the Tennessee Titans. In the 27 games he did play, Brown was a force.
For reasons best left explained by the Titans, AJ was traded to the Eagles before the 2022 season. I
n his first season with Philadelphia, the four-year veteran set a franchise record for receiving yards in a season and caught 11 touchdowns.
He also went off for eight catches, 119 receiving yards, and two touchdowns in a game against his old team.
I’m sure AJ enjoyed that performance.
Ja’Marr Chase – CIN Bengals
Ja’Marr Chase has two seasons under his belt as an NFL receiver, and both times, he was able to go over 1,000 yards receiving.
Last year, his second season, Chase went over 1,000 yards while playing in just 12 games.
Chase and Bengals QB Joe Burrow won a National Championship together at LSU, which helps explain their immediate chemistry in the NFL.
Chase averages nine targets per game in 31 career games with the Bengals. However, that number is misleading.
In 2022, Burrow targeted his college teammate more than 11 times per game.
There are a lot of NFL receivers who could put up big numbers in a season if they remained healthy and had 11+ targets per game.
The issue for Chase, at least to start the 2023 season, is more about the health of his QB than the speedy receiver.
Burrow missed most of the pre-season with a calf injury and has been impacted by that same injury early in the year.
If Burrow isn’t healthy for the entire 2023 season, it will impact the numbers Chase can put up.
NFL Receiving Leaders – Last 15 Seasons
Looking at the list of names who have led the league in total receiving yards the last few seasons, it’s obvious that to accomplish this task, you must be already considered one of the game’s elite receivers.
| Year | Player | Receiving Yards | Team |
| 2022 | Justin Jefferson | 1,809 | Vikings |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | 1,947 | Rams |
| 2020 | Stefon Diggs | 1,535 | Bills |
| 2019 | Michael Thomas | 1,725 | Saints |
| 2018 | Julio Jones | 1,677 | Falcons |
| 2017 | Antonio Brown | 1,533 | Steelers |
| 2016 | T.Y. Hilton | 1,448 | Colts |
| 2015 | Julio Jones | 1,871 | Falcons |
| 2014 | Antonio Brown | 1,698 | Steelers |
| 2013 | Josh Gordon | 1,646 | Browns |
| 2012 | Calvin Johnson | 1,964 | Lions |
| 2011 | Calvin Johnson | 1,681 | Lions |
| 2010 | Brandon Lloyd | 1,448 | Broncos |
| 2009 | Andre Johnson | 1,569 | Texans |
| 2008 | Andre Johnson | 1,575 | Texans |
In 2022, Tyreek Hill definitely had a chance to go over 2,000 receiving yards, but his QB got hurt. Will Tua to Tyreek hit that special milestone in 2023?
NFL Receiving Touchdowns Betting Odds
When betting on NFL receiving touchdowns, a bettor must understand that there is even more variance and chance in this type of bet than betting on total receiving yards.
Over time, elite receivers will get open, and QBs will find them, meaning great pass catchers will find ways to put up a lot of yards.
However, touchdowns can be much more difficult to predict. Ja’Marr Chase could haul in a 40-yard catch down the sideline but get pushed out of bounds at the 1-yard line.
Play calling in the RedZone might mean a running back or quarterback gets their number called instead of a receiver.
It’s recommended to search for some appealing odds with this bet, as there can be a lot of variance.
2022 NFL Receiving Touchdowns Leaders
| Player | Receiving TDs | Team |
| Davante Adams | 14 | Raiders |
| Travis Kelce | 12 | Chiefs |
| Stefon Diggs | 11 | Bills |
| George Kittle | 11 | 49ers |
| AJ Brown | 11 | Eagles |
| Jerick McKinnon (RB) | 9 | Chiefs |
| Tyler Lockett | 9 | Seahawks |
| 3 others at 9 | 9 | N/A |
WR Totals: Receiving Yards Over/Under
NFL betting odds on NFL player props are available at all legal sportsbooks in your state/province.
If you enjoy watching those who play the wide receiver position, sportsbooks have plenty of betting options available, including prop bets on total receiving yards.
Key Strategy
Of course, we always recommend bettors do their homework for all types of bets they are interested in, including NFL wide receiver prop betting.
One of the strategies is to take advantage of some of the quality NFL player projection sites that are available.
Using a couple of different player projection sources can be valuable to understanding how players are perceived overall in the market.
Sometimes, we fall into the trap of only relying on one site to get our information and projections.
Even those who are very good at projecting player performance don’t get them all right.
Take the time to check out multiple sources and make your decisions from there.
WR Totals: Receiving TDs Over/Under
Betting the Over / Under for a player’s receiving touchdowns can be a season-long futures bet or a week-to-week player prop bet.
As mentioned above, predicting touchdowns can be even more difficult than total receiving yards.
Once again, we suggest turning to some of the popular player projection sites to help with your homework.
These sites can be very valuable by helping predict injuries and total games a player plays.
A bettor has a significant advantage by understanding players expected to be lined up for all 17 weeks and those who might only play 12 or 14 games.
Projecting injuries is far from an exact science, so using your instincts and knowledge is also crucial.
Totals: Rushing + Receiving Yards Over/Under
NFL defenses have become so good and complex that an offense must get creative to put up a lot of yards and points each week.
Today’s game has many more running backs who catch the ball and many more receivers who run the ball.
We no longer judge RBs strictly by rushing yards, and the same goes for the WR position and receiving yards.
Instead, total yards from scrimmage can give us a more accurate view of a player’s overall impact in a game or throughout the season.
Total yards from scrimmage is another bet all licensed operators in your area offer.
2022 NFL Receivers Yards From Scrimmage Leaders
| Player | Rushing Yards | Receiving Yards | Total Yards |
| Josh Jacobs | 1,653 | 400 | 2,053 |
| Derrick Henry | 1,538 | 398 | 1,936 |
| Christian McCaffrey | 1,139 | 741 | 1,880 |
| Justin Jefferson | 24 | 1,809 | 1,833 |
| Nick Chubb | 1,525 | 12 | 1,764 |
| Tyreek Hill | 32 | 1,710 | 1,742 |
| Saquon Barkley | 1,312 | 338 | 1,650 |
| Austin Ekeler | 915 | 722 | 1,637 |
| Aaron Jones | 1,121 | 395 | 1,516 |
| Davante Adams | -1 | 1,515 | 1,514 |
Always Shop Around
Far and away, the single greatest edge a sports bettor can have is the ability to shop around for the Best Odds.
Over time, it has been proven that shopping for your Best Odds can positively impact your ROI in a very significant way.
When it comes to futures betting, shopping around can be even more impactful because the variance in odds can be more drastic.
If a wide receiver like Justin Jefferson has +900 odds at one sportsbook to lead the league in receiving yards and is +1400 at another sportsbook, that is a massive edge for a bettor.
Making sure you shop around to find the best available odds is a bettor’s greatest advantage over the sportsbooks.
