Best NFL Divisional Round Parlay Picks

If you’re looking for a value parlay play, below are my best selections for the Divisional round.

I have evaluated all the Divisional games and come up with my locks for a five-bet parlay.

According to ParlayCalculator.com, if you hit this five-bet $100 parlay the payout would be just under $3,600.

Last week’s parlay didn’t hit, but I did get three out of five picks correct.

I was let down by my spreads choices. 

Yet again, my underdog moneyline selection landed.

That takes my record this season to 15-4 on my weekly underdog legs in my parlays!

Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills – Moneyline Leg

Moneyline: Bengals (+176)

Should Joe Burrow produce the goods this weekend, this will take my underdog moneyline selections of my 2022 NFL parlays to an 80% strike rate.

I think there is a combination of factors that can support the view that an upset is on the cards this weekend.

We are all aware of the tragic events of a fortnight ago when the medics did wonders to save the life of Damar Hamlin.

The Bills have been admirable in their ability to put this behind them and win their last two games.

The fact that they now play the team against which this happened, adds even more pressure for them to emerge victorious.

Having their own vocal support and armchair fans cheering them on should be a great motivating factor.

However, it can also big a sizeable burden which could make certain players freeze in the frozen conditions.

Buffalo should have put Miami to the sword at the weekend, given who was under center and how ineffective he was.

Yet they didn’t. Against a more gifted team with a fine QB, this is where they can come unstuck.

The Bengals are better equipped to beat the Bills than the Dolphins.

I expect the less emotionally and physically drained team to be heading to the AFC Championship game at the end of January.

And that team is from Ohio.

They are my underdog moneyline pick of the week.

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles – Over Leg

Over – 47.5 (-110)

The Giants were not the most free-scoring of franchises this season.

They were remarkably reluctant to score less than 20 points. But they were also uneasy to score more than 27 points!

In eleven games, they scored between 20 and 27 points. That is mighty consistent play.

The Eagles on the other hand loved to throw points on the board when they had a fit Jalen Hurts under center.

With both head coaches happy to throw caution to the wind and with both sides’ offenses being potent, this is unlikely to be a low-scoring affair.

Both QBs have been accurate in the air and agile on the ground last weekend. I don’t see the punters being in action very much in Pennsylvania this weekend!

It’s always more fun to be cheering for the over.

So, for those of you who would want to do a straight bet on the over, make sure to head to FanDuel, as they have the BestOdds currently.

They are the only sportsbook showing 47.5 at the time of writing.

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles – 1st Spread Leg

Spread: Giants to Cover at +7.5 (-110)

I was impressed with the Giants during their defeat of my beloved Vikings yesterday.

I saw a well-oiled and unified team be consistently aggressive on first downs and be suitably rewarded.

I expect them to try the same strategy again and see a similar level of success.

The Eagles were imperious through much of the season, but these divisional games always have a habit of being closer than expected.

And road underdogs catching more than a touchdown have a greater than 55% chance of covering dating back close to two decades.

History, an excellent head coach up in New York, and the fact that fuller-strength Philly failed to demolish a second-string Giants team earlier this month, makes me want to have New York to cover as the third leg of my parlay.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs – Over Leg

Over – 51.5 (-110)

Regular readers will know that I like to have one over and one under leg in my weekly NFL parlays. However, as we approach the final seven games of the long season I’ve decided to change things up somewhat.

Frankly, it feels more exciting to be cheering on for more action and entertainment.

Do I really want to be watching Trevor Lawrence and Patrick Mahomes not to be at their explosive bests keeping the scoreboard busy?!

No, of course not. These two future Hall of Famers know how to do just that. Patrick would certainly have more talent around him to keep racking up those touchdowns.

Yet, Trevor has shown what he is capable of during the second half of the season. The second half of his game against the Chargers was mesmeric.

And that is a word I don’t use very often.

Please may this clash be a classic!

I have to cheer for two overs this weekend and this is the second one!

PointsBet is one of the few sportsbooks currently with the BestOdds on the over.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Kansas City Chiefs – 2nd Spread Leg

Spread: Jaguars to Cover at +8.5 (-108)

The final leg of this week’s parlay focuses on whether Jacksonville can keep within a 2-point converted touchdown in Kansas on Saturday.

Before Thanksgiving, the Jags came away from a defeat to the Chiefs by ten points.

Since then, Jacksonville has been on a roll and is a much more confident franchise. What they lack in superstars away from Trevor Lawrence, they make up in effort and camaraderie.

They can stand head-to-toe with talented teams and hold their own. Just ask Dak Prescott and his Cowboys or Derrick Henry and his Titans.

That’s not to mention how they overcame serious adversity and points on the board against Justin Herbert and those Chargers at the weekend.

I still expect Patrick Mahomes to take the Chiefs to another Championship game, but Trevor Lawrence is going to push them all the way.

I think it’s going to be a highly entertaining one-score game.

At least, I very much hope that this will be the case!

We shall see whether this is the week when one of my parlays finally lands…

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