Best NFL Parlay Bets Week 9

As we approach the peculiar halfway point in the season with that curveball of a 17th game and those byes meaning we enjoy 18 weeks of games.

Let me recap what we are seeking with my weekly parlays.

I choose one underdog, one over, one under, and a couple of spread with which to make my bets. The odds of the moneyline underdog are what really dictate the payout of my parlay.

This week’s sees the Pack pop along to Detroit where I’m taking the home side at +152.

Should this and my four other legs of the parlay all land, then the combined odds would be just shy of +3300.

Remember to shop around for those best odds and lines; otherwise, you could be leaving money on the table should your parlay succeed!

Moneyline – Packers Vs. Lions (Best Odds – +152)

Before the start of the season, a whopping 95% of BetMGM’s handle of Detroit’s win total was over 6.5.

The odds duly plummeted from +130 to -110. Like many bettors out there, I’ve been touting the Lions to make a marked improvement this year.

How wrong we have all been! The Lions have just a solitary victory in their win column.

This is in fact the third time that I have selected them to win as underdogs; the previous times being when they welcomed the Eagles in Week 1 (Interestingly, the Eagles had a gargantuan 96% of the handle on the over 9.5 wins season total at BetMGM.

These Eagles’ fans have almost reached that magic mark already!) and in Week 7 when they headed south to Dallas.

Anyways, why did I choose them yet again against the mighty Packers? Well, look at the Green Bay air miles coming into this game.

This is their third road game in a row AND that’s after a Week 5 hop across the pond to entertain Londoners when they faced the Giants.

Detroit will be vastly motivated to put one of their bitter NFC North rivals and can catch Rodgers et al napping with all that jet lag!

Detroit is my moneyline underdog pick of the week.

Spread – Vikings (-3.5 Vs. Commanders (-110)

The Vikings travel to Washington with the hopes of this writer upon their shoulders.

I make no secret of the fact that I have been an ardent fan for close to four decades.

My heart has been known to rule my head over the years when it comes to betting on the Vikes.

However, this game looks like one of cold, calculated logic as to why this spread should go the way of the visiting Minnesotans.

They are a far superior team on all counts; whether under center, defense, offense, special teams, supporters (Fact – The Commanders have the lowest attendance home and away record in the NFL), uniforms (maybe not?), head coach, and much else besides.

The only thing the Commanders have going for them is home-field advantage.

However, in recent seasons, Washington has been playing better ball on the road, so this can be discarded.

I think the Vikings will both cover the spread and emerge victorious yet again!

Over/Under – Ravens Vs. Saints (48.5) (-106)

The Ravens head south to Louisiana for Monday Night Football and I’m siding with the over on this game.

The total has risen from 44 when I first looked at this game in the summer and it has now crept up towards 50.

However, I still believe that this total might end up with nearer 60 points.

It will have been ten days since the Ravens came up against the Bucs and they have a bye week next week, so I expect Coach Harbaugh to have his flock primed to entertain the watching millions on 7th November.

These two have met just five times this millennium, yet they’ve averaged over 56 points per game and have never scored less than 47 points.

Financial advisors may state that past performance is no indicator of future returns; well, with only three Monday night games on the first such day in November being under 44 points since 2010.

I would be bitterly disappointed if Messrs Jackson and Dalton don’t serve up a feast for the eyes and have the scoreboard ticking over regularly!

I’m still with the over.

Spread – Bills Vs. Jets (+13) (-110)

The pre-season Super Bowl favorites make a third appearance of the year in my spread selections and for the third time are expected to come off second best!

I expected the Steelers and Chiefs to put the Bills in their place, and now it is the turn of Zach et al.

As my friend Tanner McGrath likes to cite, there is a notable statistic going back nearly two decades of home underdogs, when given at least a touchdown start, covering the spread 55% of the time.

Given the Jets have an upcoming bye week, coupled with the fact that this clash slots in between two tough home games against the best NFC North teams in Green Bay and Minnesota, this cries out for a closer-than-you-reckon-at-first-glance scoreline!

Nearly two touchdowns start for the Bills is too generous. I’m with the Jets to cover the spread.

Over/Under – Titans Vs. Chiefs (46.5) (-107 -110)

In the 31 times that these teams have played each other since I was born, there have only been 4 instances of breaking 50 points.

When the total first was published for this game, it was right up at 51.5. It has since drifted down to 46.5.

If you take out the 2019 season where they produced two high-scoring crackers, once during the season and again in the postseason; then all you have is 1977 and 2004 when they scored greater than 50 points.

Yes, these are two high-octane franchises currently and it will no doubt be one of the games of the weekend, but I’d be happy to sit back, enjoy and quietly pray that Mr. Mahomes throws in a slightly off day at the office.

Between Weeks 7 and 12 in 2021, when their season swung around positively, Kansas City won 5 of their 6 games all the while averaging under 20 points.

In fact, their only defeat in this period was against…Tennessee. The game made up 30 points (27-3).

I was much more confident to bet the under when it was above 50.

Now the total is much more realistic. It’s become tougher to call. For the first time this season, I shall now change my mind owing to the line’s five-point movement.

Anyways, it’s more fun to cheer on an over bet! Therefore my Week 9 parlay will have two over bets and zero under bets.

Come on the Over!

How To Bet NFL Parlays

A parlay bet is a sports wager that combines several bets on one ticket alone.

Usually, you would go with moneyline bets but can use spreads, totals, and futures.

You can include props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up to 15 or more depending on the sportsbook.

Parlays are wholly customizable meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go.

How many sides will be included, and how difficult is it to make each leg of the parlay or do the same game parlays.

The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds.

It’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk money you’re prepared to lose.

Check out NFL parlay bets week 10 for betting ideas and to lock in early odds.

If you fancy regular bets, we got the NFL week 9 odds analysis worth checking out.