Bills vs. Bengals Same Game Parlay | Week 9
Thomas Snodgrass
Updated: Nov 3, 2023
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After starting the season 1-3, the Cincinnati Bengals have won three straight games, and the Bengals will put their winning streak on the line against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday Night Football in Week 9.
Buffalo and Cincinnati hold two of the NFL’s most notable QB-WR connections, with Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs of the Bills and Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase of the Bengals.
In a primetime matchup, I expect those two duos to be featured regularly, which is why they’ll be the focus of my Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay.
I’ll be placing this primetime ticket on DraftKings.
Josh Allen – ALT Passing Yards: 300+ (+170 DraftKings) AND OVER 1.5 TD Passes (-145 DraftKings)
Despite the Bengals three game winning streak, they’ve still allowed some large passing totals in recent games, and Josh Allen should continue that trend.
In Cincy’s last two games, they allowed Geno Smith of the Seattle Seahawks to throw for 323 yards and Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers to throw for 365 yards.
The Bengals’ defense is beatable through the air, and Allen and Diggs should find plenty of open coverage and green grass ahead.
Cincinnati is allowing 251.3 passing yards per game, and Allen is averaging 270.6 passing yards per game.
Josh Allen: highest graded QB in the NFL this season – 90.0 🦬 pic.twitter.com/972DNQPsvu
— PFF BUF Bills (@PFF_Bills) November 2, 2023
In a matchup against a porous Bengals’ defensive secondary, and Joe Burrow flinging it on the other side, Allen should exceed his lines.
Stefon Diggs – OVER 6.5 Receptions (-140 DraftKings) AND ALT Receiving Yards: 100+ (+130 DraftKings)
Stefon Diggs will be shadowed by Cincinnati cornerback Cam Taylor-Britt, and it’ll most likely be a long day for Taylor-Britt.
Taylor-Britt allowed 49ers’ receiver Brandon Aiyuk to register five catches and 109 yards last week on nine targets.
Considering that Diggs is averaging 11.25 targets per game, seeing as many as 16 targets in a game this season, Diggs should easily outproduce the numbers posted by Aiyuk.
Diggs should be able to record more than 6.5 receptions, based purely on target share alone, but BestOdds EDGE also agrees with Diggs hitting the over on his receptions prop.
The data at BestOdds EDGE always gives me a little more confidence in my bets.
If Diggs is projected to catch seven or more passes, there is no way he’ll be held under 100 receiving yards.
Joe Burrow – ALT Passing Yards: 300+ (+215 DraftKings) AND OVER 1.5 TD Passes (-166 DraftKings)
The Buffalo Bills have suffered some injuries on the defensive side of the ball, specifically cornerback Tre’Davious White and linebacker Matt Milano, and those two major absences are beginning to show.
Both Mac Jones (272 yards, 2 TDs) and Baker Mayfield (237 yards, 2 TDs) produced solid outings against the Bills defense in the last two games, so I’d expect a solid outing for Joe Burrow as well in Week 9.
Burrow has been on a roll lately, averaging 261.7 passing yards per game and throwing for eight touchdowns and just two interceptions in the Bengals’ three game winning streak.
Joe Burrow’s starting to heat up 🔥
— NFL (@NFL) November 2, 2023
(via @NextGenStats) pic.twitter.com/8EsLpWMYSM
Buffalo currently has the NFL’s 10th-ranked passing defense, but they’re the 20th-ranked passing defense over the last three games.
Joe Burrow versus a crumbling Bills’ defense is a recipe for overs on passing props.
Ja’Marr Chase – OVER 7.5 Receptions (-110 DraftKings) AND ALT Receiving Yards: 100+ (+145 DraftKings)
With Tre’Davious White out for Buffalo, Ja’Marr Chase will be shadowed by cornerback Christian Benford.
Benford has struggled trying to fill White’s shoes, and that bodes well for Chase on Sunday Night Football.
The Bills brought in former Green Bay Packers’ cornerback Rasul Douglas prior to the trade deadline, but Douglas will mostly be covering Tee Higgins.
Over the last three games for Cincy, Joe Burrow has been trending upward, and with that, so has Chase.
Chase is averaging 8.6 catches and 93.7 receiving yards per game, and in those last three games, Chase is averaging 10.3 catches and 124 receiving yards.
JAMARR CHASE TUDDY AND BACKFLIP pic.twitter.com/ycve2GCpFa
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) October 29, 2023
I’m going to continue backing this QB-WR combo until the wheels fall off.
In this potentially high-scoring primetime matchup, Burrow to Chase should be a common play call.
SGP Legs | Odds |
Josh Allen – ALT Passing Yards (300+) | +170 |
Josh Allen – OVER 1.5 TD Passes | -145 |
Stefon Diggs – OVER 6.5 Receptions | -140 |
Stefon Diggs – ALT Receiving Yards (100+) | +130 |
Joe Burrow – ALT Passing Yards (300+) | +215 |
Joe Burrow – OVER 1.5 TD Passes | -166 |
Ja’Marr Chase – OVER 7.5 Receptions | -110 |
Ja’Marr Chase – ALT Receiving Yards (100+) | +145 |
Parlay Odds | +3000 |
A $10 wager on this Sunday Night Same Game Parlay would win $310!
Betting NFL Same Game Parlays
Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.
The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.
The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.
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