Odds For NFL Week 8

Will Armitage

Updated: Oct 27, 2022

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We’re almost at the midway point of the NFL season, and boy does time fly.

Sportsbooks have posted Week 8 lines to view and bet on.

So, which teams should win their Week 8 matchups? And which teams will cover their Week 8 spreads?

Read on for betting odds, picks, and predictions for Week 8 of the NFL season.

And don’t forget to shop around for the best odds and lines! Why leave anything behind for the sportsbooks when your bet lands?!

With NFL odds for Week 8 finding their range, let’s preview all 15 games.

Thursday Night Football

Baltimore Ravens (+0.5, -107 ML) Vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1.5, +100 ML)

Do short weeks favor underdogs or favorites more?

Favorites usually cover on Thursday night, having gone 128-100-6 against the spread (ATS) since 2004. That’s good for a 56.1% clip and a 9.6% ROI.

However, Tom Brady has played in the Thursday Night Football game 15 times in his career and has covered only 50% of the time, currently holding a 7-7-1 ATS record.

Moreover, he’s failed to cover in all three Thursday Night games since becoming the quarterback of the Buccaneers.

I think that’s the fault of Brady’s coaching staff, which is far inferior to Bill Belichick’s in New England.

I expect John Harbaugh to have his team in a better position to compete with less time to prepare.

There are some big line discrepancies for this game, with Caesars and FanDuel at -1.5.

PointsBet is out on a limb at +0.5. Make sure you shop around for the best odds!

My pick: Baltimore Ravens +0.5 (-107) at PointsBet

Game Kickoff – 10:30 a.m. EST

Denver Broncos (+4.5, +180 ML) Vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5, -186 ML)

It’s tough that the Jaguars have one of their home games in London.

Despite the fact that their owner, Shahid Khan, is returning to his second home where he is the proprietor of a moderate (EPL) soccer team there, Fulham, the data shows favorites generally win and cover in international games.

That’s not what I expect to happen here.

My pick: Denver Broncos +4.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Game Kickoff – 1 p.m. EST

Pittsburgh Steelers (+10.5, +400 ML) Vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5, -450 ML)

This game is going to come down to Pittsburgh’s ability to stop the run.

The Eagles need to rely on their top-tier run game and the offensive line to open up the passing lanes for their young quarterback.

Despite their solid front seven that features TJ Watt, Myles Jack, Cam Heyward, and Larry Ogunjobi, the Steelers are not particularly adept at stopping the run.

Their ability to rush the passer is strong, but that could be offset if the Eagles continue to pound the ball.

Of course, there’s also the Mike Tomlin factor, considering he’s the most profitable underdog ATS head coach this century.

And the fact that the travel factor is mitigated going from Pittsburgh to Philadelphia.

There are too many conflicting factors here.

I’ll pass on this line, although I do lean toward the Eagles considering they’re coming off their Bye week. 

I expect them to maintain their unbeaten start to the season.

My pick: Pass

New England Patriots (-1, -145 ML) Vs. New York Jets (+1.5, +125 ML)

The Patriots dominated the Jets with Tom Brady under center.

But I’m still pretty confident in them without the GOAT calling the shots.

Bill Belichick and Mac Jones walked into the Meadowlands last year and took down the Jets 25-6.

With Cam Newton under center and eight COVID opt-outs in 2020, the Pats took down the Jets 30-27 in New Jersey.

The Jets still have the same coaching staff as last season. I think the Patriots roll, and will happily lay under a field goal.

My pick: New England Patriots -1 (-110) | Playable at number

Carolina Panthers (+6.5, -125 ML) Vs. Atlanta Falcons (-6, +105 ML)

Welcome to the Toilet Bowl.

Two bad rosters led by mediocre quarterback rooms and questionable coaching staff.

I’m going to just blindly lay the points with the favorite here.

This game also reminds me of the Miami-Houston matchup last year. With both teams sitting at 1-8, the money was with the underdog Texans.

But the Dolphins came out in solid fashion, winning by 9.

I’d definitely look towards the under at 41 as well.

My pick: Atlanta Falcons -6 (-110) | Lean under

Las Vegas Raiders (-1.5, -110 ML) Vs. New Orleans Saints (+2, -110 ML)

I’m quite surprised the Raiders are only half a field goal here.

Las Vegas has a good roster and a solid quarterback, while the Saints are transitioning with their new coaching staff.

Their two quarterbacks are making too many mishaps.

It’s tough to play in New Orleans, but I feel the Raiders should be laying points here. Therefore, I’ll take the undervalued line.

My pick: Las Vegas Raiders -1.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Miami Dolphins (-3, -155 ML) Vs. Detroit Lions (+3, +154 ML)

This is the most fascinating game to handicap this week. The lines have barely budged since they first appeared in the summer.

Are the Lions good enough to be catching only three at home? Can Tua go on the road and cover as a favorite?

The Lions tend to find ways to blow these games; especially the ones in which they have a chance.

I’m also worried that a talentless Detroit secondary will get burned by Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

I’m going to take Miami in this one, but only on the ML.

I don’t want to mess with a field goal spread given Tua and this relatively new coaching staff.

My pick: Miami Dolphins ML (-155) | Playable at number

Arizona Cardinals (+4, +175 ML) Vs. Minnesota Vikings (-3.5, -190 ML)

It’s simple. As a favorite, you fade the Cardinals. But as an underdog, you back the Cardinals.

And as a road underdog, Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray’s Cardinals are 13-3-2 ATS.

In the meanwhile, Kirk Cousins is just 17-22-1 ATS as a home favorite in his career.

This is a no-brainer, all the more so as the spread has drifted up past a field goal.

My pick: Arizona Cardinals +4 (-110) | Playable at number

Chicago Bears (+10, +390 ML) Vs. Dallas Cowboys (-10, -480 ML)

I have a feeling this will be a high-scoring game.

I’m looking at two relatively poor defenses, and I think Dallas took a step back on that end in the offseason and are starting to see regression from some 2021 turnover luck.

Dak Prescott will continue to roll, and Justin Fields looks like he’s taken a few small steps forward this season.

A high-scoring game generally trends toward the favorite, so I will be on Dallas in this one.

I’ll also take the over given the total is now down at 43 from an original 50.

My pick: Dallas -10 (-110) | Play Over 43 (-110) or better

Game Kickoff – 4 p.m. EST

Tennessee Titans (-3.5, -184 ML) Vs. Houston Texans (+4, +170 ML)

Can you trust the Texans as home underdogs? They went 5-3 ATS in that spot last season and this is a fairly sharp line.

Since becoming the quarterback of the Titans, Ryan Tannehill is 5-6 ATS as a road favorite.

I have no faith in the Titan defense, and it’s a fairly weak secondary. I think Davis Mills could perform fairly well in this spot.

I’ll take the home dog with the points.

My pick: Houston Texans +4 (-110) | Playable at number

San Francisco 49ers (-2, -124 ML) Vs. Los Angeles Rams (+2, +112 ML)

In the battle between the two brightest stars from the Mike Shanahan coaching tree, Kyle Shanahan has always come out on top.

Shanahan is 7-3 ATS when facing Sean McVay in the regular season.

Shanahan should have no trouble covering this number and I’m going to sprinkle the ML as well.

The spread has moved by a touchdown since the summer in favor of San Francisco and I’ll follow that money.

My pick: San Francisco 49ers -2 (-110) | San Francisco 49ers ML (-124)

Washington Commanders (+4, +175 ML) Vs. Indianapolis Colts (-4, -190 ML)

I think the Colts blow out the Commanders in this one.

This is a smart team with a good front seven that can stop the run.

Matt Ryan will be under center facing off against Carson Wentz, who is one of the more fade-able quarterbacks in the NFL.

Wentz is 24-32 ATS as a starting QB since leaving the Eagles, and he is just 11-18 ATS at home in that span.

The Commanders feel a little overvalued. They have a decent pass rush, but that won’t bother Ryan too much – especially with an offensive line as good as Indianapolis has.

My pick: Indianapolis Colts -4 (-110) | Playable at number

New York Giants (+3, +130 ML) Vs. Seattle Seahawks (-2.5, -121 ML)

I don’t think the Giants should be underdogs here.

The Giants have improved greatly with their offseason additions and are working underneath a new coaching staff.

The Giants now have the talent in the trenches to battle with the run-dependent Seahawks.

Additionally, it’s worth looking at Daniel Jones’ home-road statistics.

  • Daniel Jones home: 17 TDs, 19 INTs, 5.58 AY/A
  • Daniel Jones away: 28 TDs, 10 INTs, 7.05 AY/A

As a result, Jones is 12-6 ATS on the road as a starting quarterback. He’s also 11-4 ATS as a road dog.

This feels like a case of the wrong team being favored. I’ll hammer the Giants with the points and will also be betting on the ML.

My pick: New York Giants +2.5 (-110) | New York Giants ML (+130)

Sunday Night Football

Green Bay Packers (+10.5, +425 ML) Vs. Buffalo Bills (-10.5, -500 ML)

This is a great game. But, you might be wondering why the Packers are catching a whole four points here?

This is a hell spot for Green Bay. They’re on the second game of a three-game road trip, playing in a hostile environment on the sport’s biggest stage (Sunday Night Football).

Not to mention they played Week 5 in London, making this the fourth travel game in five Weeks.

Moreover, the Bills are coming off their bye week and will be fresh. They’ll also be motivated to stick it to Aaron Rodgers.

Much is being made of Rodgers’ wide receiver room.

I don’t think it’s that bad, but this Bills’ secondary is one of the best in the game.

They can shut down any WR corps, and I think they easily dispatch this one.

Rodgers won’t be able to carry his team in Buffalo, and the rest of the team will be too gassed to help him out.

The Bills roll here. I’d even be tempted to take them on the spread to overturn a 14-point start for Green Bay at higher odds.

The spread has moved an entire touchdown since the lines first came out. But I don’t think it is enough.

My pick: Buffalo Bills -10.5 (-110)

Monday Night Football

Cincinnati Bengals (-3, -154 ML) vs Cleveland Browns (+3.5, +140 ML)

There are opposing factors here.

The Browns should run the ball okay. They’ll likely control the time of possession, and perhaps that will be enough to beat the Bengals outright.

However, the Bengals are so explosive on offense.

I appreciate the level of talent in the Browns’ secondary, but it will not be enough against a Cleveland offense that can outrun and out-gun anyone. 

I do expect the Browns’ defensive front to get a push against a rather average Bengals offensive line, but that’s never bothered Joe Burrow before and won’t in this game.

If Deshaun Watson was playing, this game is a pass. But the difference in talent between Jacoby Brissett and Burrow is too staggering.

I’m rolling with Cincinnati.

My pick: Cincinnati Bengals -3 (-110) | Playable at number

Check out next week’s NFL betting odds.

Latest update: 3 hours ago
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About the author

Will has been an avid sports fan since the early 1980s. His first sporting love was a mediocre English soccer team that dwelled in the lower league...

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