
Will Armitage
Updated: Feb 28, 2023
Sportbook Promos
- CLAIM NOW 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER, Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117(MI).
- CLAIM NOW 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER, Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117(MI).
- CLAIM NOW 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER, Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117(MI).

Every week this season, I pick a five-leg parlay where I choose one dawg moneyline which, in a break from tradition for Week 8, is a home underdog.
On top of that, I add in one over, one under, and a couple of spread bets.
Should I be correct with all five, then the return for this week would stand at a whisker over +4200.
The less said about last week’s selections, the better!
Like many futures bettors who plunged on Detroit to top the NFC North and have a breakout season, I’m licking my wounds!
They have been the most regular inclusion in my parlays. They have also consistently let me down.
Only the Jets did what I expected of them in last week’s parlay. Here’s hoping Week 8 proves to be better.
Remember to shop around for the best lines and then ensure that you take the Best Odds!
Imagine if you hadn’t realized that this week Caesars was the best value on the spread for the Raiders – Saints game.
If you’d placed your parlay at another book with a worse price on the spread, you could have a bust parlay, whilst your buddy who placed his parlay with Caesars would be celebrating with 40 times their money!
It really is prudent to shop around for those Best Odds!
Moneyline – Panthers (Best Odds – +225) Vs. Falcons
As has been the case since Week 3, I have chosen a game that will not feature high on fans’ list of must-see games this weekend.
But therein lies a lesson around the picks I identify. My aim is to choose those I deem to be good value.
I’m not always drawn to making my moneyline selection on the marquee games.
Sunday afternoon/evening promises to be an epic one with the 49ers – Rams with the Sunday night game seeing Green Bay travel to Buffalo.
Now those are games to watch and enjoy!
But the first part of this week’s parlay will sit in Georgia, where I expect the two teams who brought up the rear of the NFC South in 2020 and 2021 to part from their normal ways.
In recent years, the Panthers seemingly really struggle to put one over the Falcons. Of the last 13 games between these teams, Atlanta has a 10-3 record.
However, some sharps are warming to the Panthers at the moment. I shall side with the clever money this week. Carolina may only have 14% of the handle currently, but I’m with them.
+225 on the moneyline for the Panthers to go 3-0 against divisional rivals this season seems like value to me.
They firmly put the GOAT in his place on Sunday. I expect Mariota to suffer the same fate!
Spread – Raiders (-1.5) Vs. Saints (-110)
On the subject of NFC South, the Saints make a first appearance in my spread picks since Week 2.
On that occasion, I had them put one over Mr. Brady’s Buccaneers.
This time around, it is another swashbuckling team that comes to Louisiana and I expect the visitors this time to attain the upper hand; viz the Las Vegas Raiders.
The AFC West of 2022 was expected to be like the 2017 NFC South when the Saints, Panthers, and Falcons finished with a remarkable combined 32-16.
All three made the playoffs that year.
The sharps were betting on history to repeat itself out West before this season began. However, the Raiders and Broncos have let the division down so far this season.
However, Davante, Josh, and Derek are on a recent roll and can come out on top.
Las Vegas has been putting on the points in recent weeks. I expect them to outshine the Saints in an entertaining, high-scoring game on Sunday.
Now, as I mentioned above, it’s always important to shop around for the best odds or lines. Always!
The Raiders are available for -1.5, -2, and -2.5.
How narked would you be should you have included them in your parlay at -2.5 and you’re caught on the wrong side of the result, whereas your friend is laughing as he took the -1.5 that was on offer at Caesars.
Over/Under – Bengals Vs. Browns (46) (-110)
One of football’s biggest rivalries sees a Halloween match-up between these AFC North titans from Ohio.
Their last four regular season games averaged a whopping 62.25 points.
It’s probably asking too much for these two teams to break the record for a Monday night game total of 105!
For those wondering, that was when the Chiefs and Rams put on that super show back In November 2018.
However, given the electric talent on offer, particularly within the visiting team which racked up 35 points on Sunday,
I’m sure that we shall be served an absolute treat of a high-scoring affair. (Pardon the Halloween pun!)
Spread – Titans (-3.5) Vs. Texans (-110)
Last week’s selection for my second spread bet follows a similar theme to the selection above with the Tennessee Titans.
Last week, I was very tempted to have the Bucs with a 5-point start traveling to a mediocre fellow NFC South team in the Panthers.
I simply couldn’t see the much poorer divisional rival finishing within a touchdown of a top team. How wrong I was!
Tampa was restricted to a solitary field goal, whilst Carolina totted up three touchdowns on the scoreboard.
Well, history will not repeat itself, this time with the AFC South.
The Texans are very moderate, whilst the Titans have been a more than decent team these past couple of seasons and through the first seven weeks of this one.
Only the Bills and the Giants have defeated Tennessee. The Titans have won four on the bounce.
You can tell why the Texans were the pre-season rank outsiders for the Super Bowl, whereas Tannehill and Henry are cruising along nicely.
The Titans should be taken to leave Texas with a victory by at least a touchdown.
It’s surprising to note that the line has actually dropped from -5 to -3.5.
I shall also place an outright bet on the Titans to cover this spread, as this is my value bet of the coming weekend.
Over/Under – Broncos Vs. Jaguars (40) (-110)
The poor Jags have only appeared twice before so far this season in my parlay selections.
On each occasion, I was tipping them to finish as the defeated team, when at home to the Texans and at the Commanders.
Rather remarkably given my form this season, these picks actually were correct!
This time, I fear that they will be undone by Rypien et al flying in from Colorado to take the victory before their week off ahead of their Week 10 trip to Tennessee.
By the way, if you fancy Denver on the moneyline, the odds currently range from +156 to +180.
Before the season began the Broncos were -305 for this game. They really are underachieving in 2022!
Caesars currently has the Best Odds of +180, whereas if you bet with FanDuel your odds would only be +156.
This means that you would make over 15% more profit, if Denver is victorious, by betting with Caesars rather than FanDuel. It pays to be a better bettor!
These teams have only met 14 times and the honors are even. They might be the same for victories, but it certainly isn’t the case for the Total market.
The Under very much has the upper hand in recent meetings with a 7-2 record.
I believe that this heads to 8-2 with the Broncos also emerging on top in a low-scoring affair and Jacksonville’s woes continuing.
The original total was way up at 46.5. A flood of money has been pushing it south ever since! 40 still seems too toppy.
The Broncos have only just breached three figures after seven weeks. They have scored a paltry 100 points so far!
The Jags have 55% more to show after 7 games. The under is still my bet on this game.
How To Bet NFL Parlays
A parlay bet is a sports wager that combines several bets on one ticket alone.
Usually, you would go with moneyline bets but can use spreads, totals, and futures.
You can include props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up to 15 or more depending on the sportsbook.
Parlays are wholly customizable meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go.
How many sides will be included, and how difficult is it to make each leg of the parlay or do the same game parlays.
The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds.
It’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk money you’re prepared to lose.
Check out NFL parlay bets week 9 for betting ideas and to lock in early odds.
If you fancy regular bets, we got the NFL week 8 odds analysis worth checking out.
Sportbook Promos
- CLAIM NOW 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER, Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117(MI).
- CLAIM NOW 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER, Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117(MI).
- CLAIM NOW 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER, Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117(MI).

About the author
Will has been an avid sports fan since the early 1980s. His first sporting love was a mediocre English soccer team that dwelled in the lower league...
[Read full bio]