NFL Parlay Picks Week 8 2024
Lawrence Smelser
Updated: Nov 18, 2024
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Week 8 of the NFL is off and running after the Los Angeles Rams defeated the Minnesota Vikings 30-20 on Thursday Night.
We’ve built an alternate yards parlay below for Sunday featuring two of the best wide receivers in the league: The New York Jets’ Davante Adams and the Cincinnati Bengals’ Ja’Marr Chase.
Remember to wager responsibly and monitor your bankroll carefully.
Make sure to check out our week 8 NFL odds and props in our extensive articles.
Note: Odds were correct at the time of writing.
Week 8 Alternate Yards Parlay
Davante Adams 40+ rec yds and Ja’Marr Chase 50+ rec yds (-133 at FanDuel)
Davante Adams’ Outlook at New England (40+ Receiving Yards)
It wasn’t all sunshine and rainbows for Adams in his Jets debut, losing 37-15 to Pittsburgh and falling to 2-5 on the season.
The six-time Pro Bowler ended the contest with only three receptions for 30 yards, his worst stat line in the four games he’s played this year.
However, the Fresno State product was targeted nine times, giving him plenty of opportunities for a productive evening.
He also averaged 10 yards per reception, meaning one more catch would’ve extrapolated to 40 yards.
Adams was traded on Tuesday last week, giving him less than a week to study New York’s playbook before facing the Steelers, which likely contributed to the struggles.
Adams and his former Green Bay teammate Aaron Rodgers had a magical connection during their eight seasons together.
A little rust was expected after not playing on the same team since the 2022-2023 NFL season.
Sunday will mark 12 days since the trade, giving Adams more time to practice alongside his best friend, Rodgers, and become more familiar with the new system and playbook.
I expect a bounce-back week and for him to clear 39 yards.
Prior to last Sunday, Adams recorded 40 or more yards receiving in all three games with the Raiders and averaged 69.66 yards per game.
Last year with Las Vegas, Adams had 40+ receiving yards in 13/17 (76.47%) contests.
During 2022-2023, alongside Rodgers, he eclipsed 39 yards receiving in 70.58% (12/17) of outings and averaged 89.17 yards per game.
The Jets will take on the Patriots this week, who rank ninth-worst in the NFL against the pass, surrendering 223.4 passing yards per game, which provides a nice matchup for the 31-year-old wideout.
The last time these two teams faced off, New York dominated 24-3. Rodgers had his best game of the year, throwing for 281 yards on 27-of-35 passing attempts (77.1% completion).
The Patriots are also giving up the third-most receiving yards per game to outside receivers (H/T Derek Brown of FantasyPros).
Against Pittsburgh, Adams had a 23.1% first-read share. This number should become higher because there’s a reason the Jets traded for Adams: He and Rodgers wanted to reunite.
Adams’ standard receiving yards total is listed at 56.5 by most bookmakers.
This leg of the parlay is -270 (72.97% implied odds) on FanDuel, compared to -330 (76.74%) at DraftKings and -350 (77.78%) on Caesars.
Model Projections For Adams’ Receiving Yards
- ESPN: 72
- RotoWire: 70.8
- FantasyPros: 66.1
- BettingPros: 60.6
- 4for4: 59.3
- Action Network: 56
- Numberfire: 49.2
Ja’Marr Chase’s Outlook vs. Philadelphia (50+ Receiving Yards)
Life is good again for Chase, with his former college teammate and current Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow healthy again.
The LSU product ranks second in the NFL in receiving yards (620) behind another former teammate, Justin Jefferson (646), who has already played in Week 8 (Chase ranked first entering Week 8).
This season, Chase has recorded 50 or more receiving yards in six of seven (85.71%) contests and is averaging 88.57 yards per game.
Last season, in the first nine games before Burrow got hurt, Chase had 50+ yards in six of them (66.66%). He averaged 91.22 yards per contest throughout that span.
The Eagles have given up an average of 210.5 passing yards per game, but that number is skewed due to facing DeShaun Watson (168 yards) and Daniel Jones (105 yards) the past two weeks.
Both quarterbacks have played poorly and have been part of dysfunctional offenses.
Higher-rated quarterbacks Baker Mayfield (347 yards), Jordan Love (260 yards) and Kirk Cousins (241 yards) have enjoyed good days through the air against Philly.
This bodes well for Chase and Burrow.
Sportsbooks are listing the game total at 48 points for the Eagles vs. Bengals, which means they are predicting a shootout, which also helps Chase’s case to record 50+ receiving yards.
Cincinnati is a 2.5-point favorite, so if the contest remains close as bookmakers suggest, the game script will involve a lot of passing.
Burrow’s pass attempts are also set at 35.5, which projects a potentially high volume for Chase.
He’s only attempted 25 and 28 passes the past two games against the Browns and Giants in run-heavy game scripts, and Chase still managed 55 and 72 yards.
During Burrow’s past two outings, when he recorded 38 and 39 pass attempts against the Commanders and Ravens, Chase erupted for 118 and 193 yards.
Leading Wide Receivers Per Game Against Philadelphia
Week/Opponent | Wide Receiver | Receptions | Yards |
Week 1 (GB) | Jayden Reed | 4 | 138 |
Week 2 (ATL) | Darnell Mooney | 3 | 88 |
Week 3 (NO) | Chris Olave | 6 | 86 |
Week 4 (TB) | Mike Evans | 8 | 94 |
Week 6 (CLE) | Amari Cooper | 4 | 42 |
Week 7 (NYG) | Malik Nabers | 4 | 41 |
Note: The Eagles had a bye in Week 5.
As the game log above shows, leading receivers are averaging 81.5 yards per game against Philadelphia. Four of the six (66.66%) recorded 50 or more receiving yards.
That number would probably be higher if not for the extremely atrocious quarterback play from Watson and Jones over the past two weeks.
Chase is averaging 6.9 targets per game and doesn’t need many catches to eclipse 50+ yards since he’s averaging 15.9 yards per reception.
He should see more than seven targets if the game does end up being a shootout.
The former 2021 No. 5 overall pick has been elite this season, which has been the norm for the majority of his NFL career.
He ranks 10th in the NFL in yards per route run with 2.55 (he averages 34.7 routes per game), fourth in contested catch rate (75%) and seventh in explosive rating (122) and dominator rating (39.1%).
Dominator rating represents a player’s percentage of his team’s offensive production.
Burrow and Chase’s efficient play, combined with their strong rapport since college, has also helped: Chase ranks third in QB rating per target (141.0) and sixth in catchable target rate (85.4%).
Chase’s standard receiving yards total at most sportsbooks is set at 75.5.
Model Projections For Chase’s Receiving Yards
- 4for4: 91.9
- Numberfire: 83.5
- FantasyPros: 83.1
- ESPN: 83
- RotoWire: 81.2
- BettingPros: 77.5
- Covers: 79.1
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