Dolphins vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay | Week 7
Thomas Snodgrass
Updated: Oct 22, 2023
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Sunday Night Football will feature two 5-1 teams as the Miami Dolphins visit the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 7.
Some believe that this matchup could be a Super Bowl 58 preview.
According to Caesars Sportsbook, the Dolphins currently have +900 odds to win the Super Bowl, while the Eagles have the third-shortest odds to win the Big Game, currently set at +800.
It’ll be the first meeting between the two former Alabama QBs: Tagovailoa and Hurts.
First meeting in the NFL 🍿#MIAvsPHI | @JalenHurts pic.twitter.com/N5clLv8EC8
— NFL GameDay (@NFLGameDay) October 20, 2023
This Sunday Night Football contest has a total set at over/under 51.5 on FanDuel, the highest total of the Week 7 slate.
Oddsmakers are expecting fireworks, and so am I.
Let’s build a profitable Same Game Parlay for this heavyweight primetime matchup.
This parlay will be constructed at FanDuel.
Tua Tagovailoa – ALT Passing Yards: 300+ (+168 FanDuel)
Tagovailoa is leading the NFL in passing yards (1,876), touchdown passes (14), and passer rating (114.1), and this week on Sunday Night Football, he will face an Eagles’ defense that is 20th in the NFL in passing defense, allowing 254 passing yards per game.
Philadelphia is a good team, as evidenced by their 5-1 record, but the defensive secondary has become a noticeable hitch in their giddy-up.
Eagles’ No. 1 cornerback Darius Slay is questionable with a knee injury, safety Reed Blankenship has already been declared “out”, as is defensive back Avonte Maddox.
An already underperforming defensive secondary is now being depleted by injuries.
It’s bad timing for Philly, and great timing for Tagovailoa.
The Eagles have allowed a few large passing yard displays from Patriots’ QB Mac Jones in Week 1 (316 yards), Vikings’ QB Kirk Cousins in Week 2 (364 yards), and Commanders’ QB Sam Howell in Week 4 (290 yards).
Tagovailoa will be the next quarterback to dismantle this Philadelphia defense.
Tyreek Hill – OVER 97.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)
When Tagovailoa succeeds, so does Hill.
The symbiotic relationship between this QB-WR duo is unmatched.
Hill currently leads the NFL in receiving yards, and Hill’s 814 yards are 142 yards more than the next man, Eagles’ wide receiver A.J. Brown with 672 yards.
Hill is the NFL’s best “big play” receiver, leading the league with six catches of at least 40+ yards and 13 catches of 20+ yards.
Dolphins TyReek Hill w/ the TD catch vs the Panthers then take a video selfie doing a back flip!! Aaayyyooo 😂😄😁
— Van (@vanman_1000) October 15, 2023
pic.twitter.com/QFE6jn1zK1
Hill doesn’t need many grabs to eclipse his receiving yards prop, but with 42 catches on the year, Hill is tied for fifth in the NFL in receptions (tied with A.J. Brown and Keenan Allen of LAC), so he will still see a large volume of targets.
Jaylen Waddle – OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)
Jaylen Waddle is the Robin to Tyreek Hill’s Batman.
Tua deep ball to Jaylen Waddle for 32 yards! DOT #FinsUp #NFL #NFLTwitter #MIAvsNE
— 🦅 (@bigcocklockzz) September 18, 2023
pic.twitter.com/8QwsDOr5Jk
Waddle would certainly be a “Batman” on most NFL teams, though.
Waddle appears to be fully healthy after missing a couple of games in September, and after totaling 16 targets in his first three appearances, he has seen 19 targets over his last two.
With so much focus on finding ways to bottle up Hill, Waddle is frequently left in single coverage, and facing a bruised Philly defensive secondary should work wonders for Waddle this week.
Waddle is averaging 59.2 receiving yards per game, but he should see plenty of chances to hit the over on his 62.5 receiving yards prop in a closely contested game.
In the Eagles Week 5 win over the LA Rams, the Rams’ top-two receiving duo of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua played a dominant role in LA’s offense.
Kupp saw 12 targets, catching eight passes for 118 yards, and Nacua saw 11 targets, catching seven passes for 71 yards and a touchdown.
I see a similar output for Hill and Waddle this week.
Jalen Hurts – OVER 251.5 Passing Yards (-114 FanDuel)
It may be tough keeping up with the Dolphins’ explosive offense, but Hurts will have to try.
Hurts’ passing yards prop is set at 251.5 yards, a number he has gone over in each of the last four weeks.
Hurts totaled less than 200 passing yards in Week 1 and Week 2, but when playing against the New England Patriots and Minnesota Vikings, he just didn’t have to.
On Sunday Night Football, Hurts will have to.
Miami’s defense has allowed some lofty passing yard totals, Russell Wilson and Josh Allen each had 300+ passing yards against the Dolphins’ D.
Miami’s defense has faced Daniel Jones of the Giants and Bryce Young of the Panthers in the last two games, but that two week break is over.
The story for the Dolphins this season has been their offense, but Jalen Hurts will show that this Miami team is far from a complete product.
A.J. Brown – OVER 82.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)
Fellow wide receiver DeVonta Smith is nursing a hamstring injury, but is still expected to suit up this Sunday.
If Smith sits, the success of the Eagles’ passing attack will rely heavily on A.J. Brown.
Even if Smith plays, I still like Brown to put up some big numbers here.
Dolphins’ cornerback Kader Kohou has been beat by plenty of receivers this season, making for a good matchup this week for Brown, and Kohou is also a little banged up, dealing with a neck injury.
In each of the last four games, Brown has tallied 127 or more receiving yards or more, collecting as many as 175 yards against the Commanders in Week 4.
AJ Brown in his last 4 games:
— PFF (@PFF) October 15, 2023
🦅 42 catches
🦅 564 yards
🦅 2 TDs
4 straight games with 125+ REC yards – the longest streak by any player since 2014 pic.twitter.com/RI0wU8J1T8
Brown is operating at a different level this season, averaging 112 receiving yards per game, and I believe his props should be set a little higher.
Over 82.5 is a very reachable number.
SGP Legs | Odds |
Tua Tagovailoa – ALT Passing Yards (300+) | +168 |
Tyreek Hill – OVER 97.5 Receiving Yards | -114 |
Jaylen Waddle – OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards | -114 |
Jalen Hurts – OVER 251.5 Passing Yards | -114 |
A.J. Brown – OVER 82.5 Receiving Yards | -114 |
Parlay Odds | +1104 |
A $10 wager would win $110.48!
Betting NFL Same Game Parlays
Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.
The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.
The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.
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