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Chargers vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay | Week 7

Author

Thomas Snodgrass

Updated: Oct 20, 2023

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A showdown between AFC West rivals is the perfect time to fire up a Same Game Parlay!

The Los Angeles Chargers visit Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City this Sunday to take on the Chiefs.

This game is chock-full of star playmakers, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Isaiah Pacheco, Justin Herbert, Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler, etc.

So many options to choose from in this game that your Same Game Parlay can have more legs than a centipede.

Or for risk-averse bettors, just two legs like a human.

Occasionally, I like to swing for the fences, and this game is as entertaining an option as any, so I’m swinging here!

This Same Game Parlay will be built on FanDuel.

Patrick Mahomes – OVER 284.5 Passing Yards (-114) AND OVER 2.5 Touchdown Passes (+148 FanDuel)

The Los Angeles Chargers are dead-last in the NFL in passing defense, allowing 289 passing yards per game.

This week, the Chargers have to deal with Patrick Mahomes.

Mahomes is averaging just 265.5 passing yards per game this season and that is a career low. Mahomes has a career average of 300.4 yards per game, so something is off.

At some point, the Chiefs’ passing offense is going to start clicking, and this week seems like the perfect time for this offense to get back to what it does best, and that’s flinging the football.

Los Angeles’ defense has allowed eight touchdown passes in their first five games, and considering that KC has only four rushing touchdowns this season, it’ll be up to Mahomes and the Chiefs’ receiving corps to get the ball in the endzone.

With a solid Chargers offense on the other side, a potential shootout puts the weight of the offense on Mahomes’ right arm.

Isiah Pacheco – OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)

It’s such a small number of receiving yards were asking Pacheco for, just 15 yards.

Opposing running backs have produced great receiving yards against Los Angeles’ defense.

In the last two games, the Chargers surrendered eight catches for 81 yards to running back Josh Jacobs of the Las Vegas Raiders and six catches for 80 yards for Tony Pollard of the Dallas Cowboys.

Pacheco doesn’t have to come anywhere near those totals to surpass his receiving yards prop.

Jacobs and Pollard have shown that there is a path to success as a receiver out of the backfield against Los Angeles, and I believe Mahomes will look Pacheco’s way enough times to tally 15 receiving yards.

Pacheco has totaled 15 or more receiving yards in four of six games this season, and he has an excellent shot to blow by 14.5 receiving yards this week.

Travis Kelce – OVER 75.5 Receiving Yards (-114) AND OVER 6.5 Receptions (-114 FanDuel)

In a season where Mahomes has not produced passing numbers on par with the rest of his career, Kelce is still producing lofty numbers.

In the last two games, Kelce has received 20 targets and 19 catches, proving to be Mahomes top target in the Chiefs’ passing attack once again.

Although the Chargers have held strong against opposing tight ends, allowing just 187 receiving yards (5th in the NFL), Kelce is not a typical tight end, as his target share is much like a No. 1 wide receiver.

As the focal point of KC’s receiving options, Mahomes will looks Kelce’s way often in Week 7.

Similar to Minnesota Vikings’ tight end T.J. Hockenson’s performance against Los Angeles in Week 3, (11 targets, 8 Rec, 78 Yards), when the targets are high, a tight end can beat the Chargers’ defense.

No tight end is targeted like Kelce is from quarterback Patrick Mahomes.

Kelce is second in the NFL in targets by a tight end, just one behind Hockenson, and Kelce didn’t even play in Week 1.

Justin Herbert – OVER 261.5 Passing Yards (-114) AND OVER 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-112 FanDuel)

The Chargers have allowed at least 20 points in four of their five games this season, so their defense will relinquish some points.

If Los Angeles falls behind, a negative game script will call for the Chargers to abandon their running game and chuck the pigskin.

I think this scenario is likely.

Herbert is averaging 266.6 passing yards and 1.8 touchdown passes per game.

In a game where he may need to attempt nearly 50 passes, I like his chances of hitting the over on both his yards and touchdown passing props.

Although the Chiefs offense steals all of the headlines, their defense doesn’t receive enough publicity.

If only Taylor Swift could date one of the Chiefs’ linebackers, then maybe this defense would get its due respect.

Kansas City’s defense has held opposing QBs to just 183.8 passing yards per game, but that number appears to be slightly deflated from ugly performances from the Bears’ Justin Fields (99 passing yards in Week 4) and the Broncos’ Russell Wilson (95 passing yards in Week 6).

I like to use past games as a comp, and I’m going back to the Week 3 matchup with the Minnesota Vikings.

The Chiefs allowed Kirk Cousins to complete 29 of 47 passes for 284 yards and two touchdown passes in a 27-20 win for Kansas City.

I think Herbert produces a similar line this week.

Also, Herbert has played well as an underdog.

Keenan Allen – OVER 77.5 Receiving Yards (-114) and Any Time Touchdown Scorer (+145 FanDuel)

No. 1 receivers have found success against the Chiefs’ defense, and Keenan Allen is a true No. 1 receiver.

Allen leads Los Angeles’ receiving corps in targets with 55, the second-most is just 28 targets (Josh Palmer).

Allen is also averaging 103.8 yards per game and has caught four touchdowns in his first five contests.

So, how well have ‘No. 1 receivers’ done against KC’s defense?

Here’s a week-to-week look:

  • Week 1: Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) – 6 Rec, 71 Yds, 1 TD
  • Week 2: Christian Kirk (JAX) – 11 Rec, 110 Yds
  • Week 3: D.J. Moore (CHI) – 3 Rec, 41 Yds, 1 TD
  • Week 4: Garrett Wilson (NYJ) – 9 Rec, 60 Yds
  • Week 5: Jordan Addison (MIN) 6 Rec, 64 Yds, 1 TD
  • Week 6: Courtland Sutton (DEN) – 4 Rec, 46 Yds, 1 TD

Based on those numbers, I feel comfortable backing Allen to have a big game.

And, once again, Allen’s workload being boosted by a potentially negative game script here.

SGP LegsOdds
Patrick Mahomes – OVER 284.5 Passing Yards-114
Patrick Mahomes – OVER 2.5 TD Passes+148
Isiah Pacheco – OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards -114
Travis Kelce – OVER 75.5 Receiving Yards-114
Travis Kelce – OVER 6.5 Receptions-114
Justin Herbert – OVER 261.5 Passing Yards-114
Justin Herbert – OVER 1.5 TD Passes-112
Keenan Allen – OVER 77.5 Receiving Yards -114
Keenan Allen – Any Time Touchdown+145
Parlay Odds+5051

A $10 wager would win $505.11 on this Same Game Parlay at FanDuel!

Betting NFL Same Game Parlays

Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.

The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.

The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.

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Author

About the author

A fan of both the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers, which is rare! Thomas provides sports betting content with the intent to educate and enter...

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