2022 NFL Week 6 Odds
Week 5 of the NFL provided us with plenty of excitement.
From explosive runs to an 89-point game and what seemed like 100 missed field goals and extra points. Let’s hope for more of the same in Week 6.
With NFL odds for Week 6 finding their range, let’s preview all 14 games.
This week’s parlay will again consist of five teams. I shall be making other picks for the remaining games, including prop bets.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-294) @ Philadelphia Eagles (+260)
Buccaneers: Tampa Bay blew away the Dolphins at the Raymond James Stadium. Tom Brady led the explosive offense to 45 points, including six TDs. Brady had 411 yards for the game. Blaine Gabbert replaced him at the end of the game, but not due to injury.
Mike Evens and Antonio Brown were excellent, with 113 and 124 yards, respectively. Leonard Fournette had another amazing day with 110 total yards and a TD. It was a complete performance by the Bucs’ offense to dominate the sorry Dolphins.
The defense didn’t need to work too hard with the offense playing as well as it did. They limited the Fins to 39 yards on only nine carries. They also forced a fumble and had an interception late in the game.
Eagles: Philly mounted a late comeback to beat the Panthers. The Eagles sparked into life after a Darius Slay interception in the third quarter. Jalen Hurts then went on to run in two TDs.
Hurts was excellent after the break, with 113 of his 198 yards coming in the second half. DeVonta Smith was Hurts’ most productive target with 77 yards, but he did fumble the ball in the third quarter.
The defense contributed to this win with three interceptions and a blocked punt to set up multiple short fields. They also held Darnold to just 177 yards. However, they did give up 109 yards to a run game that was missing McCaffrey.
The Bucs found their 2020 form last Sunday. They should dominate the Eagles in every department if they can maintain this form. The Eagles will be hoping to take advantage of the Bucs’ injury-hit secondary. I think the over 53 points is a solid bet, with Brady likely to rack up another handful of TDs.
I am taking the Bucs to cover the spread, with a big win in Philly.
Miami Dolphins (-161) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+150)
Dolphins: Miami suffered their fourth straight loss on Sunday. A rampant Bucs team dominated the Fins. Miami was able to keep up with the Bucs until the fourth quarter. They then relinquished 21 unanswered points, which sealed their fate.
Jacoby Brissett injured his hamstring early in the second quarter, but he could still throw for 275 yards with two TDs. Myles Gaskin had an outstanding game with 99 total yards. However, no receivers were able to make a significant contribution in the absence of DeVante Parker and Will Fuller.
The defense was blown away. They conceded an embarrassing 573 yards and six TDs. Their 25-game streak of takeaways also ended, although they did have their chances to pick off Brady.
Jaguars: Jacksonville lost to the Titans on Sunday at TIAA Bank Field. The offense put up some big numbers. Trevor Lawrence threw for 273 yards, and James Robinson rushed for 149 yards.
The receiving core all chipped in with contributions. TE Dan Arnold was the most productive receiver, with 64 yards. However, the Jags struggled to convert red-zone trips into meaningful points, with four visits resulting in no points.
The defense couldn’t stop the rampant Derrick Henry. He rushed for 130 yards and three TDs. But, they were able to pressure Ryan Tannehill and sack him three times.
These teams are traveling to London for the second UK game of the season. Tua Tagovailoa is eligible to come off IR, so we could see him start for the first time since Week 2.
It’s not often a team coming off a four-game losing streak are favorites. But when your opposition is on a 20-game losing streak, you can understand why!
I am picking Miami to win easily and I am adding them to my parlay.
Green Bay Packers (-210) @ Chicago Bears (+190)
Packers: Green Bay won a rollercoaster of a game against the Bengals. The excitement levels increased due to four missed field goals at the end of the game. Aaron Rodgers had an excellent match with 344 yards and two TDs.
Rodgers was backed up by Aaron Jones, who rushed for 103 yards and averaged an outrageous 7.4 yards per run. However, the most impressive performance was by Devante Adams, who had 11 catches for 206 yards. That’s not a typo!
The defense was able to pick off and sack Barrow twice. They struggled to defend against current Offensive Rookie of the Year Favorite, Ja’Marr Chase, who had 159 yards on just six receptions and was uncoverable.
Bears: Justin Field and the Bears overturned the Raiders on Sunday. Justin Field only threw for 111 yards in a defense-dominated game, but he had excellent ball security throughout the game.
Even without David Montgomery, the Bears were able to rush for 143 yards but averaged almost four yards per carry.
The front seven impressed for the second week in a row. They had three sacks and conceded 71 yards to the Raiders’ running department. They also stuffed lots of short-run plays to turn over the ball.
This matchup could be dominated by defense. Both teams are very reliant on their run games, meaning the key to winning will be shutting that down early in the game. The Packers have deserved favorites for this NFC North clash. I like the under 46.5 points.
But I am betting on the Packers to cover the spread.
Cincinnati Bengals (-175) @ Detroit Lions (+160)
Bengals: Cincinnati lost in heart-breaking fashion to the Packers on Sunday. Even McPherson had two chances to win the game for the Bengals but seems like all kickers at the weekend he missed both of his field goals.
Joe Burrow continued his year two development with another excellent performance. He completed 68% of his passes for 281 yards, and most importantly, he showed consistent QB play.
However, Ja’Marr Chase was the best Bengal on the field. He had 159 yards for the day. His chemistry and understanding of his QB are clear to see. This relationship will continue to improve and is fast turning into one of the best duos in the league.
Lions: Detroit slipped to 0-5 on the season with their loss to the Vikings. It was déjà vu for the Lions, as they lost their second game of the season to a long-yardage field goal in the final second.
The offense wasn’t able to gain any momentum until the fourth quarter. Goff had 203 yards and an interception for the day and only completed 60% of his passes. His receivers couldn’t create any separation, making it hard for Goff to produce the right passes.
The defense managed to stop the Vikings’ offense at critical moments in the game, but they couldn’t stop three long passes by Cousins to set up the game-winning field goal.
Cincinnati will be looking to continue its winning record this season. Detroit will be hoping that the sixth time’s a charm. The explosive Bengals offense should have some joy against this Lions defense. The Bengals are favorites for this game, and I think they will cover the spread.
The Bengals make it into my parlay.
Houston Texans (+425) @ Indianapolis Colts (-490)
Texans: Houston lost their fourth straight game on Sunday. It was a game of “what if” for Houston. The Texans’ kicker, Ka’imi Fairbairn, missed two extra points and a long field goal.
Divis Mills bounced back after last week’s shocking performance. He had 312 yards, three TDs, and no interceptions. He wasn’t afraid to take deep shots, and he placed a lot of trust in his receivers to go up and get the ball.
The defense played exceptionally well until the fourth quarter. They had an interception and forced a fumble on their goal line. They also limited Mac Jones to just 231 yards.
Colts: Indy lost in overtime to the Ravens on Monday night. Carson Wentz continues to improve as he gets healthier. He had an impressive 402 yards and two TDs.
Jonathon Taylor excelled with 116 receiving yards and 53 rushing yards. Taylor was backed up well by Michael Pittman with his 89 yards. The passing game didn’t seem to miss T.Y. Hilton.
The defense gave up 504 total yards to Lamar Jackson, who was simply unstoppable. The secondary was exploited by Jackson, showing future teams where they can target this defense.
The Colts are the second biggest favorites to win their game in Week 6. Divis Mills and his offense could put up a fight if we see the same level of performance from the rookie QB at Lucas Oil Stadium.
I think these teams will hit the under on 43.5 points due to both teams not putting up big points this season.
But my bet is the Colts to win and cover the spread.
Los Angeles Rams (-510) @ New York Giants (+450)
Rams: LA beat the Seahawks on Thursday Night. Matthew Stafford continued his excellent form with 365 yards. This means he is averaging over 300 yards per game this season.
Robert Woods was Stafford’s most productive target on Sunday with 12 catches for 150 yards. He was well backed up by Cooper Kupp, who hit over 87.5 receiving yards.
The defense limited Wilson to just 152 yards and Geno Smith to 131 yards. They also stuffed the run, giving up 92 yards. The D also had two picks that led to points put up by their offense.
Giants: The Giants lost to the Cowboys on Sunday. Daniel Jones exited the game with a concussion. Matt Glennon replaced Jones, but he couldn’t convert solid drives into points.
Kadarius Toney had a monster day with ten receptions and 189 yards before being told to leave the game for throwing a punch. This team was also hit with injuries to Saquon Barkley and Kenny Golladay to add to their woes.
The defense conceded a mammoth 525 yards to a rampant Cowboys offense. They struggled to keep a lid on both passing and running plays, although they were up against one of the most explosive offenses in the league.
The Rams are the biggest favorites to win their game in Week 6. I expect most of the Giants’ starting offense to be out injured for this weekend. This could lead to a very one-sided match. I think these teams will hit the under on 47.5 points due to the Giants’ offensive injuries.
My bet on this game is for Darrell Henderson to hit the over 76.5 rushing yards.
Kansas City Chiefs (-270) @ Washington Football Team (+260)
Chiefs: Kansas lost to Buffalo during primetime. Patrick Mahomes had an average day with two TDs and two interceptions, one of which was a pick-six.
He did manage 61 rushing yards, but most of those were due to scrambling out of the pocket. He led the team in rushing yards, with Darrel Williams in second with just 27.
The defense conceded 315 passing yards to Josh Allen and another 121 yards rushing. They relinquished numerous big plays to the Bills, such as Dawson Knox’s 53 yards TD.
Football Team: Washington moved to a 2-3 record after losing to the Saints. It has been a roller coaster of a season so far, with no one knowing what play Washington will produce week to week.
Taylor Heinicke had a poor day. He completed 50% of his passes and had two interceptions. The run game couldn’t back him up; they only averaged 3.25 yards per carry if you exclude Heinicke’s running plays.
The defense relinquished 279 yards to Winston and 98 yards to the run game. The front seven also couldn’t pressure Winston in the pocket with only two sacks.
Despite being surprising AFC West laggards, the Chiefs are favorites to win this game. Alarm bells are starting to go off, and people want someone to blame. However, there is still plenty of time left in the season to get back on track. I like the under bet of 55.5 points with both team’s offenses low on confidence.
I am betting the Chiefs to win and cover the spread.
Minnesota Vikings (+105) @ Carolina Panthers (-115)
Vikings: The Vikings managed a last-second field goal to beat the Lions. Kirk Cousins struggled to move the ball downfield on most drives and gain consistent momentum.
Cousins was able to connect with Justin Jefferson for 124 yards on seven catches. And in the absence of Dalvin Cook, Alexander Mattison yet again had a good day at the office with 113 yards rushing.
The defense limited Goff to just 203 passing yards but did give up 4.5 yards per rush. The front seven played better against the pass than the run, with four sacks and plenty of pressure.
Panthers: Carolina narrowly lost to the Eagles on Sunday. Sam Darnold had a shocking game. Having been on fire in previous weeks, he threw for 177 yards and was picked off three times on three poorly timed passes.
However, in the absence of Christian McCaffrey, Darnold was back up impressively by Chuba Hubbard, who had 101 rushing yards. The receivers weren’t able to create space and get open for Darnold.
The defense shut down the Eagles in the first half, but the Panthers couldn’t wrestle it back when Philly finally found some momentum.
The Panthers go into this match as slight favorites. However, the betting odds suggest this will be the closest match of Week 6. Both these teams have solid defenses but are lacking some explosiveness on the offensive side of the ball. For this reason, I think these teams should hit under 46.5 points.
However, I am picking the Vikings to win. They go into my parlay for the first time this season.
Los Angeles Chargers (+150) @ Baltimore Ravens (-149)
Chargers: The Chargers beat the Browns in a dramatic game at SoFi Stadium. The two teams combined for a whopping 89 points, 12 TDs, and an incredible 1,045 yards.
Herbert had 427 of those yards as well as five TDs. He found his chemistry with Mike Williams, who has 165 yards on only eight catches. It was a game of big-time plays.
The defense had a shocking day, conceding 305 yards to Baker Mayfield and 161 yards to Nick Chubb. However, the D was able to force a turnover on downs to win LA the game.
Ravens: The Ravens beat the Colts in overtime on Monday. Lamar Jackson was unstoppable with an outrageous 442 passing yards and 62 rushing yards. Not to mention the four TDs he threw.
The Colts couldn’t stop star receivers Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews, who had 125 and 147 yards, respectively. All of these stats were put up after a slow start by the Ravens’ offense.
The defense struggled against the pass and the run, conceding 525 total yards to the Colts. However, the special teams unit made up for this with the last-ditch blocked field goal to keep them in the game.
This will be a battle between two explosive offenses that have both been putting up outrageous numbers. I think this game will turn into which offense can outperform the other. For this reason, I think the over 50.5 points have a lot of value.
However, I am taking the underdog Chargers to win, and I am adding them to my parlay.
Arizona Cardinals (+130) @ Cleveland Browns (-139)
Cardinals: Arizona remains the only unbeaten team in the league. They beat the 49ers in a defense-dominated game. This win showed that Arizona isn’t just a one-trick pony.
Kyler Murray had 239 passing yards and a 71% competition rate. Even though it wasn’t his most productive game, he is still producing MVP-caliber play and leading this team from the front.
The defense shut down Trey Lance, limiting him to just 192 passing yards. However, like earlier in the season, the Cardinals struggled to stop the dual-threat QB. Lance had 89 rushing yards and averaged 5.6 yards per carry.
Browns: Cleveland lost to the Chargers in a game-of-the-season contender. Baker Mayfield was very impressive after last week’s disappointing performance. Baker had 305 yards and two TDs for the day.
David Njoku had a career-best game with 149 receiving yards, including a 71 yard TD. Nick Chubb also had an excellent day with 161 rushing yards at an average of 7.7 yards per carry and a 52 yard TD.
The defense couldn’t keep a lid on Justin Herbert, who had 398 yards and an incredible four TDs. However, the defense was able to control the Chargers’ run game, only conceding 112 yards.
Both teams have been imposing this year, and both will be hoping that they make it to the Playoffs. This Browns defense against Kyler Murray will make for an intriguing match.
Cleveland is a surprise favorite for this match, but a host of crucial injuries has hit Arizona. I think the Cardinals will win to extend their unbeaten run.
I am adding the Cards into my parlay.
Las Vegas Raiders (+170) @ Denver Broncos (-175)
Raiders: Las Vegas head coach Jon Gruden resigned this week after allegations of inappropriate emails. This comes after the Raiders lost their second straight game of the season.
Derek Carr had a season-low 206 passing yards last week. He also threw a poor interception as his receiver was never open. Josh Jacobs couldn’t make up for the lack of threat through the air. He only had 48 yards rushing.
The Raiders defense also couldn’t stop a Bears run game that was missing David Montgomery. They concede 143 rushing yards and have looked vulnerable in that department all season.
Broncos: After a 3-0 start, Denver has slipped to a 3-2 record after losing to the Steelers on Sunday. Teddy Bridgewater led a heroic comeback that just came up short with a red-zone interception.
Bridgewater had 288 yards and two TDs for the day, as well as the interception as mentioned above. Courtland Sutton had 120 yards and a TD and made up for the injured Jerry Jeudy.
The defense struggled against the run for the first time this season, conceding 147 rushing yards. They also couldn’t stop Chase Claypool, who was able to pick up plenty of yards after the catch.
The Broncos are clear favorites for this game at the Mile High. Derek Carr has been kept quiet for the last two weeks, but he could find his early season form again with a change of coach.
The Broncos’ defense had a poor game for the first time this season, and they will be looking to bounce back against the Raiders. I think the Broncos will win this matchup.
I am betting the over on 44.5 points, with both teams relying on their QBs instead of the run game.
Dallas Cowboys (-200) @ New England Patriots (+175)
Cowboys: Dallas dominated the Giants with a 44-20 win on Sunday. Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, Tony Pollard, and CeeDee Lamb were again the star performers for Dallas.
Elliot and Pollard combined for 185 yards and averaged an outrageous 5.3 yards per carry. They were well backed up by Prescott and co in the passing game, which had 324 yards. This included a Ced Wilson trick play which went for 22 yards.
New York was hit hard by injuries on the offensive side of the ball, so Dallas’ defense didn’t have too hard a job stopping the Giants’ offense. However, they did give up 189 yards to rookie Kadarius Toney.
Patriots: New England scraped by the Texans on Sunday. The Pats needed a fourth-quarter comeback to beat Houston. They were able to score ten unanswered points to acquire the win.
Mac Jones surprisingly struggled against Houston’s secondary, throwing for a modest 231 yards, one TD pass, and an interception. The rookie did show improved chemistry with tight-end Hunter Henry.
The defense came up trumps in the fourth quarter after having a disappointing game prior. They forced the Texans into a three-and-out, which then set up the game-winning field goal.
Mac Jones could struggle again this week. He is coming up against rising star CB in Trevor Diggs. Diggs has six interceptions this season, and I am sure he will be hungry for more. The Cowboys are four-point favorites for this game. I like the value of the Cowboys covering the spread.
But, I am betting the over on 51 points, with both teams putting up big points this season.
Seattle Seahawks (+190) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-200)
Seahawks: Seattle lost to the Rams on Thursday night. Seattle also lost their star QB to injury, and it looks like Russell Wilson is set to be out for multiple weeks.
After replacing Wilson, Geno Smith did a solid job leading a 98-yard scoring drive on his first possession. Smith showed an instant connection with Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, which will give hope to Seattle fans.
The defense couldn’t shut down the Rams during the second half. This is partly due to Robert Woods catching 12 passes for 150 yards. He was able to create space for himself when the defense was double-teaming Cooper Kupp.
Steelers: Pittsburgh survived a fourth-quarter comeback to beat Denver. Despite the win on Sunday, there are still some questions about Ben Roethlisberger’s play. Big Ben has only completed 63% of his passes so far this season.
Chase Claypool stepped up and caught five passes for 150 yards. This was after JuJu Smith-Schuster exited the game with an injury. Najee Harris is starting to pay dividends after his 122 rushing yards day.
The defense shut down the run successfully, only giving up one big 49-yard play. However, the D struggled against an injury-hit Broncos’ receiving core, giving up 120 yards to Courtland Sutton.
The Steelers became favorites for this game after Russell Wilson went down injured. Geno Smith is a competent backup, but he could struggle to gain momentum against this Steelers secondary. I don’t think the Steelers will cover the spread as both sides are relatively similar, so it should be a tight game.
I am betting the under 42.5 points with both teams having questionable QB play.
Buffalo Bills (-240) @ Tennessee Titans (+225)
Bills: The Bills continued to make a case for being current Super Bowl favorites. Buffalo dominated the Chiefs, 38-20 at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. Buffalo accumulated 436 total yards on the offensive side of the ball.
Josh Allen had 315 passing yards for the day and three excellently thrown TD passes. Allen also added another 59 yards on the ground. He showed that he could be as good a dual-threat QB as anyone in the league.
The defense held Mahomes to 272 yards, two TDs, and two interceptions. They also held star receivers Kelce and Hill to just 120 yards combined. The Bills took advantage of the Chiefs’ overconfidence and consigned them to last place in their division.
Titans: Tennessee controlled their win in Jacksonville from start to finish. Ryan Tannehill had a boost with the return of A.J. Brown. The Titans could also have Julio Jones return from injury for this game.
Derrick Henry continues to carry this offense (and most of the opposition defense!) on his back, with 130 yards on Sunday. He has 640 yards so far this season and looks set to have another 2,000+ yards season.
The defense did struggle against the run, conceding 149 yards to the quick-footed James Robinson. However, Harold Landry had an awe-inspiring day with two tackles for a loss and two sacks.
This game will present an exciting test for the Bills’ defense. They will need to limit Henry, but at the same time, they need to cover Jones and Brown. Ryan Tannehill will have to match Josh Allen if the Titans are going to win the game.
The Bills are favorites for this game, and who would bet against them with the form they’re in. I think the Bills will cover the spread.
But I am betting the over on 54 points, as I think both offenses will go lights out.