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NFL Week 6 Parlay


Thomas Snodgrass

Updated: Oct 11, 2023

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A loss from the Houston Texans was the only broken leg of last week’s parlay.

The Texans lost on a walk-off field goal from Atlanta Falcons’ kicker Younghoe Koo.

Narrowly missing on a parlay valued at +2583 stings, but I’ll take another swing at it in Week 6.

The parlay formula remains the same, one underdog moneyline, two spreads, and one over and one under.

This week’s parlay slip will be placed at FanDuel.

Moneyline – Indianapolis Colts (+176) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The 3-2 Indianapolis Colts will be without rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson in Week 6.

As frustrating as that may be for the Colts and their fanbase, it may not be the worst news.

Backup quarterback Gardner Minshew has played well when thrown into the game.

Here’s a quick looks at QB snap count percentages for Indianapolis’ first five games:

  • Week 1 vs. JAX: Richardson (96%), Minshew (4%) – LOSS
  • Week 2 vs. HOU: Richardson (32%), Minshew (68%) – WIN
  • Week 3 vs. BAL: Richardson (0%), Minshew (100%) – WIN
  • Week 4 vs. LAR: Richardson (100%), Minshew (0%) – LOSS
  • Week 5 vs. TEN: Richardson (33%), Minshew (67%) – WIN

As you can see, the Colts have had good results when Minshew dominates the snap count.

With Minshew taking at least 67% of the snaps, Indianapolis is 3-0!

Richardson is a talented rookie QB, but Minshew gives the Colts the best chance to win right now.

The Jaguars come back to the United States after their two-week run in the UK.

The travel potentially played a part in the Buffalo Bills’ loss to Jacksonville in London last week, and the travel could play a part for the Jags this week.

In Week 1, Indy hosted the Jags, and after taking a 21-17 lead into the fourth quarter, the Colts failed to hold down their lead, losing 31-21.

Anthony Richardson threw a crucial interception in the fourth quarter, leading to another late touchdown for Jacksonville.

The steadier Minshew will hold down a lead in Week 6.

Spread – Carolina Panthers vs. Miami Dolphins (-13.5 | -108)

I’m going to keep backing this Miami Dolphins offense against lesser quality opponents until it burns me.

So far, it has not.

Miami is 4-1 against the spread, only failing to cover against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills.

Bryce Young and the Carolina Panthers do not equate to Allen and the Bills.

The Dolphins will be without running back Devon Achane this week, but even without his video game-like play, Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr. have a solid track record in Miami’s backfield.

The Panthers defense has allowed at least 20 points in every game this season, so I’ll assume the explosive Dolphins continue that trend.

Last week, even without Amon-Ra St. Brown on the field, the Detroit Lions still scored 42 points; Jared Goff threw three touchdown passes, two to tight end Sam LaPorta.

Young put forth his best effort as he threw for three touchdowns as well, but Carolina still lost by 18 points.

Miami’s defense has been far from great, but these two offenses are worlds apart right now.

There is nothing the Panthers offense can do right now to match the Dolphins, and it will show on the scoreboard.

Spread – San Francisco 49ers (-5.5 | -110) vs. Cleveland Browns

The San Francisco 49ers just embarrassed the Dallas Cowboys in a primetime game, and now, the 49ers will travel to Cleveland to take on a Browns team that is without star running back Nick Chubb, and potentially, without starting quarterback Deshaun Watson once again.

Things aren’t looking great for Cleveland’s offense right now.

San Francisco’s defense held Dak Prescott to 153 yards and intercepted him three times on Sunday Night Football, before Prescott was ultimately benched for Cooper Rush in a blowout.

If Dorian Thompson-Robinson gets the start for Cleveland, what’s he going to do?

Thompson-Robinson is coming off a three interception game against the Baltimore Ravens.

The Ravens have four interceptions all year and Thompson-Robinson has three of them.

There is also a chance that P.J. Walker could start if Watson sits.

When lining up against San Fran’s defensive standouts like Nick Bosa, Fred Warner, and Talanoa Hufanga, does it even matter who’s under center for the Browns this week?

The weather in Cleveland is calling for rain on Sunday, and I’ll take the 49ers to cover over a beat up and inexperienced Browns offense in a potentially wet and sloppy game.

Over – Seattle Seahawks vs. Cincinnati Bengals (o45.5 | -105)

The Seahawks and Bengals’ defenses have not been great.

In Seattle’s first four games before their Week 5 bye, they allowed 27 or more points three times, only the New York Giants scored three, but the Giants are awful.

So, competent offenses can score against the Seahawks.

Cincinnati has allowed 20 or more points in four of their first five games, only the Los Angeles Rams failed to hit 20 points against the Bengals’ defense, scoring 16 points on the road in Week 3.

With Joe Burrow getting his feet underneath him, and Geno Smith continuing to play as a true No. 1 QB, I like this game as a potential shootout.

The ground games for both clubs is strong as well, with Joe Mixon leading the Bengals’ backfield and Kenneth Walker leading Seattle’s.

I’ll say the final score will be 31-27, Bengals.

Under – New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders (u41.5 | -105)

The New England Patriots are becoming a comedy.

After losing to the Cowboys by 35 points in Week 4, the Patriots followed that abysmal showing with a 34-0 shutout loss against the New Orleans Saints on their home turf in Foxborough in Week 5.

New England has currently put up 55 points on the scoreboard in 2023, still 15 points shy of Miami’s Week 3 game total of 70 points against the Denver Broncos.

As funny as the Patriots’ offense has been, the Raiders offense is also far from a serious threat.

Las Vegas has yet to record 20 points in any game this season, and the Raiders rank dead last in the NFL in rushing offense (71.4 rushing yards per game), and their passing offense under quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is still just 17th in the NFL (209.3 passing yards per game).

Two offenses underperforming, and one performing wildly bad, looks like a good opportunity on the under.

I’ll say the final score will be 14-10, Raiders.

NFL Week 6 Parlay Odds – FanDuel
Parlay LegsOdds
Indianapolis (ML) vs. Jacksonville+176
Miami (-13.5) vs. Carolina-108
San Francisco (-5.5) vs. Cleveland-110
OVER 45.5 (SEA vs. CIN)-105
UNDER 41.5 (NE vs. LV)-105
Parlay Odds+3768

Good luck to all of you with your parlays for Week 6 of the NFL season.

How To Bet NFL Parlays

A parlay bet is a sports wager that combines several bets on one ticket alone.

Usually, you would go with moneyline bets but can use spreads, totals, and futures.

You can include props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up to 15 or more depending on the sportsbook.

Parlays are wholly customizable meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go.

How many sides will be included, and how difficult is it to make each leg of the parlay or do the same game parlays.

The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds.

It’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk money you’re prepared to lose.

If you fancy regular bets, we got the NFL Week 6 odds analysis worth checking out.


About the author

A fan of both the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers, which is rare! Thomas provides sports betting content with the intent to educate and enter...

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