N2022 NFL Week 5 Odds
Week 4 of the NFL provided us with plenty of entertainment.
From explosive runs to a 40-0 shutout and Tom Brady passing Drew Brees for most passing yards in the history of the NFL. Let’s hope for more of the same in Week 5.
With NFL odds for Week 5 finding their range, let’s preview all 16 games.
This week’s parlay will again consist of five teams, while I shall be making other picks for the other games, including prop bets.
Los Angeles Rams (-111) @ Seattle Seahawks (+100)
Rams: The Rams’ offense wasn’t able to match the Cardinals on Sunday. It was the Rams’ first loss of the season, but they are still second in their division going into Thursday’s divisional game.
For the first time this season, the offense couldn’t blow away the opponent’s defense. This was shown by the Cardinals taking the lead in the first half and resolutely maintaining it for the rest of the game.
Matthew Stafford connected with his receivers but was very inefficient in the red zone, with three field-goal attempts and a turnover on downs.
Aaron Donald and company couldn’t stop Chase Edmonds, who rushed for 120 yards and averaged 10 yards per rush. This unit had only given up around 4 yards per carry before this game. The might of the Cards or a big day at the office?
Seahawks: The Seahawks managed their second win of the season, this time over the 49ers. It was a game of big-time plays for Seattle. They had four TDs but punted the ball away eight times. Interestingly, when they did have a drive last longer than three plays, it led to a TD every time.
Russell Wilson was distinctly average, as were the other key players on offense for Seattle. Star receivers Metcalf and Lockett only had 89 yards combined, and lead back Chris Carson averaged 2.3 yards per carry.
The defense achieved the win for Seattle with two timely takeaways as well as forcing six punts. They managed to keep a lid on Garoppolo, who couldn’t return to the game after halftime due to a calf injury.
The Seahawks didn’t have the greatest of games on Sunday, but they scrapped it out for the win. They will be hoping they put in a much better performance against a resilient Rams team. The Rams will be looking to bounce back and have a better day on offense.
If Wilson can rekindle the chemistry with his receivers, something we saw regularly last year, this should provide an exciting matchup with the Rams’ defense. I like the Rams to win and cover the spread. I also shall take Cooper Kupp to hit the over 87.5 receiving yards.
The Rams are the first team in my parlay.
New York Jets (+164) @ Atlanta Falcons (-182)
Jets: The Jets snuck their first win with a shock overtime victory at MetLife stadium. Zach Wilson finally showed his potential when he threw a brilliant 53-yard TD pass to Corey Davis.
Wilson threw for almost 300 yards with 2 TDs. Lead wide-outs Davis and Cole had memorable a day with 111 yards and 92 yards, respectively. Finally, the offensive line only gave up one sack, which is a season-low. This was a much-improved offensive performance.
The defense had a day to remember. They had seven sacks and seven tackles for a loss. This is compared to 9 sacks in the three games prior. They also limited Derrick Henry to 4.8 yards per rush, which is impressive considering Henry is the best running back in the league.
Falcons: The Falcons returned to losing ways on Sunday. They bottled an eight-point lead in the fourth quarter to Washington. Matt Ryan played like the savvy veteran that he is; he had four TDs and 300 total yards.
In the first half, we saw more flashes of the athleticism of Kyle Pitts, but no consistent threat like he had at Florida. Calvin Ridley has continued to be the star man since Julio Jones left. Ridley had 80 receiving yards, and it should have been over 100 if he hadn’t dropped two tough passes.
The defense looks susceptible to the deep ball. Terry McLaurin exploited this weakness; he averaged 20 yards per catch and had two long TD receptions.
Both teams are 1-3 and will be looking at this game as a must-win if either team wants to have any chance of making the postseason. If the Jets’ defense can maintain this improved form, they should limit Ryan and his receivers.
My bet is adding the Jets, who are the underdogs, to my parlay.
Green Bay Packers (-175) @ Cincinnati Bengals (+162)
Packers: Green Bay had a big win at home against the Steelers. Aaron Rodgers and his man bun threw for 248 yards and two TDs. He had a lot of help from his run game as well with 131 rushing yards.
Green Bay was able to take advantage of a Ben Roethlisberger fumble and come away with a TD. Randall Cobb had two TDs and was Rodgers’ most productive receiver on Sunday. It wasn’t a lights-out performance from the offense, but it was enough to see them over the line.
The defense was one of the main factors in this win. They only allowed 294 total yards, as well as having two sacks and an interception. This defense finally stepped up and achieved the level predicted by analysts at the start of the season.
Bengals: Cincinnati is starting to resemble a dangerous team in the AFC. Joe Burrow played exceptionally well with 348 yards and two TDs. The offense managed to make up for the average defensive display.
Even without Tee Higgins, three receivers went for over 75 yards. TE C.J. Uzomah was the biggest red-zone threat, catching both of Burrow’s TD passes. All of this was after 107 total yards in the first half.
The defense was poor against the run, giving up 139 yards to a mediocre rushing team. Trevor Lawrence was also able to exploit the secondary on the limited times he did throw the ball.
This wasn’t the most accomplished defensive performance, but we have seen the defense thrive so far this season, so Bengals fans will be hoping it was a one-off performance.
Both these teams boast potent offenses and decent defenses. This game might turn into which team’s offense can outplay the other. I think there is some value on the over 48.5 points, with both offenses going lights out.
However, my bet is the Packers covering the spread of -3.
Detroit Lions (+310) @ Minnesota Vikings (-370)
Lions: Detroit continues to be winless this season. Jared Goff had an excellent game when he was given time to throw. He was sacked three times and had pressure many more times, which led to drives stalling.
However, Goff did still manage 307 total yards with plenty of deep shots. The Lions were able to run the ball effectively but had to resort to the passing game after they went behind early on in the game.
The defense couldn’t stop the run-heavy Bears. They gave up 188 rushing yards, which meant Justin Fields didn’t have any pressure when throwing the ball and he was able to connect on some deep bombs. This defense was frankly beaten up by the Bears’ offense, which we have seen happen all season.
Vikings: Minnesota lost to the Browns in a low-scoring game. The Vikings achieved their only score of the game on the opening drive. It was an 80-yard drive in which Kirk Cousins had a big 22-yard play to Adam Thielen.
After that opening score, Cousins only threw for 144 yards. He threw his first interception of the season late in the second half when looking deep and underthrowing to a receiver who was never open. He didn’t get any help in the run game either, with only 65 rushing yards.
The defense limited Mayfield to dump off passes and check downs. They also stopped the Browns at critical points in their drives. However, they gave up 184 rushing yards to the Browns as well as a TD.
The Vikings will be pleased they limited the explosive Browns’ offensive but will be hoping for a better offensive performance against a weak Lions side. The Lions will try to take advantage of the Vikings’ poor form and achieve their first win of the season.
The Vikings are one of the heaviest favorites to win in Week 5 and I agree with the oddsmakers.
I am taking the Vikings to win and also cover the spread of -8.5.
Denver Broncos (+100) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-110)
Broncos: Denver suffered their first loss of the season. They also lost their starting QB, Teddy Bridgewater, at halftime to a concussion, so he will likely miss the game on Sunday. Even before Teddy was injured, he had only completed 44% of his passes for just 65 yards.
Drew Lock replaced Teddy and didn’t play much better; he only completed 57% of his passes for 113 yards and an interception. Denver could run the ball successfully in the first half, but they had to move to pass plays as they trailed by ten at halftime.
The defense was able to stuff the run and put pressure on Lamar Jackson. The run defense has continued its excellent form from the start of the season. However, the secondary didn’t fare particularly well against Lamar Jackson. They gave up 316 yards and a TD.
Steelers: Pittsburgh’s disappointing season continued with a loss to the Packers. They are now last in the AFC North and are two wins behind third place. They haven’t been able to replace any of the players they lost last season, such as Bud Dupree and Mike Hilton.
Ben Roethlisberger hasn’t produced the veteran play that we have come to expect from him. He threw for 232 yards and had an interception as well as a superb TD throw. He also conceded a costly fumble that allowed the Packers to score on a short field.
The defense conceded points on five of the nine drives when the Packers controlled the football. One of those nine drives was victory formation. They also struggled to put pressure on Rodgers and couldn’t stop A.J. Dillon and Aaron Jones from picking up extra yards after the catch.
The Steelers are just favorites to win this match. Given their current form, you probably want to steer clear of them. The Broncos’ defense should be able to sniff out and stuff any run plays the Steelers attempt, so the offense will most likely rely on Big Ben. I expect the Broncos to leave Pennsylvania with a victory.
My selection is for the Broncos to win against the spread.
Miami Dolphins (+400) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-435)
Dolphins: Miami lost their third straight game, this time against the Colts on Sunday. They dominated the first quarter but were unable to come away with more than 3 points. They then went on to concede 20 unanswered points, which sealed the fate of the match.
This offense is struggling without Tua Tagovailoa. Jacob Brissett only threw for 199 yards, with 123 yards in the fourth quarter when he was forced to make deep throws. He wasn’t helped by the run game, which only achieved a dismal 35 yards.
This defense was one of the best in the NFL last season. It hasn’t matched those performances this year, although they haven’t been awful. They only allowed Wentz to throw for 228 yards, with two big plays making up most of those yards.
However, stopping the run continues to haunt this unit. Jonathon Taylor averaged 6.4 yards per carry and went for over 100 yards.
Buccaneers: Tampa Bay narrowly avoided defeat to the Patriots on Sunday. Nick Folk hit the goal post on a field goal attempt to give the Bucs the win. It was a game of defense with both offenses struggling to convert field position into points.
Tom Brady became the QB with the most passing yards in history on Sunday and also threw for 269 yards but only completed 50% of his passes. It was a surprisingly inaccurate day for Brady, although a few of his incomplete passes were called for pass interference.
The defense actually gained yardage on the Pats’ run plays. They allowed -1 yard rushing for the whole game! They also only gave up 275 yards to Mac Jones through the air, which were mainly dump-offs and short-yardage throws.
The Bucs put in an excellent team performance to stuff the Pats, who were in the game due to the number of penalties the Bucs made. The Dolphins look like they have no answers for their offensive woes, which has been their main problem ever since Ryan Fitzmagic was benched for Tua.
The Bucs are one of the heaviest favorites of Week 5 to win. Leonard Fournette should hit the over on rushing yards owing to the Dolphins’ poor run defense.
I am betting on the over 48 points.
New Orleans Saints (-125) @ Washington Football Team (+112)
Saints: The Saints suffered a heart-crushing overtime loss to the Giants. The Saints were in front for most of the second half, but the defense could not shut down two late scoring drives, which sent the game to overtime.
Jameis Winston played close to the Week 1 heroics we saw against the Packers. He threw for 226 yards on only 23 attempts and completed an exceptional 74% of his passes. He also had a lot of help from his running backs, with Alvin Kamara being the standout back rushing for 120 yards.
The defense couldn’t stop the electric Giants offense. Daniel Jones threw for 402 yards and wasn’t sacked once. He had plenty of time in the pocket to let his explosive receivers create separation and wreak havoc.
Washington: The Football Team squeezed past Atlanta with a fourth-quarter comeback. Taylor Heinicke had a big day with 334 total yards and 3 TDs; those stats were helped by 138 passing yards for the two fourth-quarter TDs.
Heinicke was well supported by his running backs, who had 122 rushing yards between them, easing the pressure on him. However, Terry McLaurin had the best game with 123 yards on six receptions. He has continued to step up to the mark and led the Washington receivers.
The front seven finally showed up. They stuffed the run, only giving 3.5 yards per attempt. Matt Ryan, who only managed 283 passing yards, didn’t exploit the secondary’s deep ball weakness.
These two teams were hyped up before the season, and they were both playoff teams last year. However, they are currently looking like ghosts of their former selves, with 2-2 records. Both defenses haven’t played to their potential, which will result in a high-scoring game. I like the value on the over, which currently sits at 44 points.
I am taking Washington to win and I am adding them to my parlay.
Philadelphia Eagles (+170) @ Carolina Panthers (-189)
Eagles: The Eagles lost a high-scoring match to the Chiefs. This match provided seventy-two total points, which easily hit the over of 54 points. Jalen Hurts is looking more like the answer to the Eagles’ QB problems. He had 432 total yards and showed that he is a quality dual-threat QB.
DeVonta Smith showed the world why he won the Heisman trophy last year. He went for 122 yards, and it would have been more if a huge play hadn’t been called back for a questionable penalty. Also, the tight-end duo of Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert are proving valuable targets for Hurts.
The defense struggled after playing above average so far this season. They gave up 478 total yards to a rampant Chiefs offense, with Mahomes throwing for 5 TDs on Sunday. The one positive was they were able to put a bit of pressure on Mahomes and make him scramble.
Panthers: Carolina suffered their first loss of the season to the Cowboys. Sam Darnold had a rollercoaster of a game. He threw two TDs but also gave up two interceptions. He also threw for 301 yards and completed 66.7% of his passes.
D.J. Moore was again Darnold’s favorite target and went for an impressive 113 yards and caught both of Darnold’s TDs passes. The run game was deserted after the Panthers went down in the second half.
The defense played well in the first half, only giving up 13 points, but the Cowboys’ run game trampled them in the second half. Ezekiel Elliot had 143 yards for the day, only 45 yards less than Dak Prescott had passing.
The Panthers are favorites for this game, and their offense could take advantage of an Eagles defense that is low on confidence. However, the Eagles’ offense is proving to be one of the best in the league, and for that reason, I’m taking the Eagles to win.
Therefore, I am adding the underdog Eagles to my parlay.
Tennessee Titans (-189) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+170)
Titans: Tennessee lost their second game of the season in overtime against the Jets. Derrick Henry was once again at his bulldozing best with 157 yards and a TD. No team has looked like they have an answer for his powerful runs.
However, the Titans had to shy away from the run game in the fourth quarter and rely on Ryan Tannehill’s arm to get them back in the game. Even without Julio Jones and A.J. Brown, Tannehill was able to throw for 298 yards and a game-tying TD in regular time.
The defense struggled to keep a lid on Zach Wilson, who hasn’t been spectacular this season. They gave up almost 300 yards to him, including a mammoth 53 yard TD catch. On the positive side, they only relinquished 68 rushing yards, which helped keep them in the game.
Jaguars: Urban Meyer almost had his first win as an NFL coach in Week 4. The Jags lost by 3 to the Bengals and led the game for the first half. However, they couldn’t send the game to overtime as the Bengals won in the last second with a game-winning field goal.
Trevor Lawrence was able to lean on the run game with James Robinson going for 78 yards. Laviska Shenault continued his excellent form with 110 total yards. He has been Lawrence’s favorite target through the first four weeks of the season.
The defense conceded a mammoth 348 yards to Joe Burrow on only 25 completions. But, they did stop the Bengals from gaining any momentum with the run game, only allowing 78 yards.
Lawrence and Meyer have had the worst possible start to their NFL careers with four straight losses. The Titans will be looking to bounce back and hoping their defense has a better day against another rookie QB.
The oddsmakers have the Titans winning this one and I am in accordance with them. There is some value on the moneyline bet for the Titans.
But, I am taking a prop bet on the over for Laviska Shenault’s receiving yards at 56.5.
New England Patriots (-405) @ Houston Texans (+350)
Patriots: Tom Brady’s return didn’t have a happy ending for the Pats. New England could keep pace with the Bucs and almost won the game if Nick Folk had made the last-second field goal.
Mac Jones again showed his upside. He prioritizes ball safety and accuracy over deep shots. However, the biggest takeaway for this game was the Pats had a disastrous -1 rushing yard. After three promising weeks, the running backs and o-line couldn’t create any holes or make any yards after contact.
The defense was trampled on by former pro-bowler Leonard Fournette et al, who limited Brady to just 269 yards, which was his least productive game of the season. Matt Judon showed his worth again with the team’s only sack as well as two tackles for a loss.
Texans: Houston continued its dismal season with yet another loss, this time at shutout against the rampant Bills. Divis Mills continued his stint at QB in the absence of Tyrod Taylor. The Texans could only produce 135 yards of total offense, which explains why the Bills shut them out.
Mills only completed about half of his passes, but worst of all, he threw four terrible interceptions. After two solid but not exceptional games, reality hit Mills hard on Sunday.
The defense surrendered 455 yards and four TDs. On the mildly positive side, the Texans were able to force the Bills to kick four field goals and force two fumbles.
New England is coming into this game with a 1-3 record but won’t be too disheartened. They think they have found their QB for the future and have been in games right until the end.
The Texans are in chaos with shocking QB play and not much better performances from their defense. The Pats are big-time favorites for this game. I like the Pats to cover the spread of -9.
But I am betting on the under at 40 points with both teams struggling to put points on the board this season.
Chicago Bears (+190) @ Las Vegas Raiders (-200)
Bears: The Bears blew away the Lions for their second win of the season. On his second start, Justin Field looked like a much more accomplished QB. He moved the ball downfield well and completed 65% of his passes for 209 yards.
However, the offense didn’t need to rely on Fields, unlike last week. This is due to their rampant run game. David Montgomery had 106 of the 188 rushing yards. The Bears also ran in all three of their TDs. This was a welcome return to the classic Chicago offense we have seen over the last few years.
The strong front seven also finally showed up on Sunday. They limited the Lions to 90 rushing yards on 25 attempts. They also managed four sacks and put constant pressure on Goff in the pocket.
Raiders: The Raiders suffered their first loss of the season to the Chargers. The offense was slow to get out of the gate. They were simply always playing catch-up. Derek Carr had a mediocre 196 yards with two TDs and a bad interception.
The most worrying part of the loss was the four sacks and several pressures the offensive line conceded. They were also unable to create holes for their running backs, which resulted in only 48 yards rushing.
The defense gave up 222 yards and three TDs to Justin Herbert and 117 rushing yards to Austin Ekeler. After playing exceptionally during the first three weeks of the season, the defense looked scared of Herbert.
The Raiders could struggle to run the ball again against a revived Chicago front seven. However, if Derek Carr returns to his explosive best, the Raiders could make short work of the Bears’ shaky secondary. The potent offenses should mean that the teams hit the over.
I am betting the Raiders to cover the spread at 5.5.
Cleveland Browns (+110) @ Los Angeles Chargers (-120)
Browns: Cleveland won their third game of the season in a low-scoring affair. The Browns’ defense made up for their offensive troubles. The D was able to shut out the Vikings’ offense on every drive after their first-drive TD.
Baker Mayfield only accounted for 155 of the 339 total yards. This left a lot of the work to be done by Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb, the latter going for 100 yards. The offense was able to do just enough to get by the Vikings.
The defense carried the offense to the win, only conceding one scoring drive. They also had two sacks and a critical interception. They forced six punts and two turnovers on downs. It was an exceptional display from the defense, with no single player putting a foot wrong.
Chargers: The Chargers came out firing against the Raiders on Monday. Justin Herbert led his team to three first-half TDs to give LA a considerable lead going into halftime. Herbert had an excellent game with three TD passes and 222 yards.
He was helped particularly by Austin Ekeler, who managed 145 total yards for the day. He was able to break multiple tackles and gain plenty of yards after the catch. However, Jared Cook was surprisingly Herbert’s most productive target with 70 yards on six receptions.
The defense was the first team to restrict Carr to under 200 yards this season. They were able to apply plenty of pressure on him, which resulted in four sacks. They also stuffed the run, only giving up 2.7 yards per carry.
The Chargers’ explosive offensive versus the Browns’ stuffing defense should be a tasty matchup. Both teams are 3-1 and looking like they are going to make a playoff push. This match could prove to be a pivotal turning point this season. The odds suggest there is nothing to separate these two teams. I like the under bet with both teams boasting exceptional defenses.
I am picking the slight underdog Browns to win and I am adding them to my parlay.
New York Giants (+275) @ Dallas Cowboys (-310)
Giants: The Giants sealed their first win of the season with an electric offensive performance. Daniel Jones showed why he was a first-round pick. Jones threw for an outrageous 402 yards and two TDs. He has demonstrated this level of performance before, but Giants fans will hope that he maintains it for the rest of this season.
He was helped out by his explosive receiving core, all of whom were finally fit. Kenny Golladay was the standout with 116 yards on six catches. Yet he was impressively backed up by John Ross and Kadarius Toney, each of whom achieved more than 75 yards.
The defense was still a little unreliable. They stopped Winston from gaining too much momentum on passing plays but gave up 120 yards to Alvin Kamara. They also were unable to get a sack or put much pressure on Winston.
Cowboys: Dallas enjoyed its third win of the season with a victory over the Panthers at the AT&T Stadium. Dak Prescott had an excellent day with four superbly thrown TD passes.
Dak only threw for 188 yards as the offense was able to lean on the run game. Ezekiel Elliot had a great day with 143 rushing yards and a TD. He ran with power, poise, and purpose, and he was able to gain plenty of yards post-contact.
The defense snuffed out running plays quickly, only giving up 113 yards, with most of those coming from Sam Darnold scrambling out of the pocket. The defense also turned the ball over two times, giving the offense excellent field position.
If the Giants’ offense can maintain the level of play they showed on Sunday, they could be a severe threat to the Cowboys. However, we have rarely seen this level of consistent play from Jones, so the Giants are still underdogs for this match.
The Cowboys’ offense should continue to dominate the opposition’s defense. I fancy the Cowboys to win and cover the spread.
But my bet will be taking the over for Ezekiel Elliot’s rushing yards.
San Francisco 49ers (+205) @ Arizona Cardinals (-235)
49ers: Trey Lance played his first meaningful minutes in the NFL during a loss to Seattle. Lance replaced Jimmy Garoppolo at halftime, who left with a calf injury. Jimmy should be fit against Arizona, but whether he plays is another question.
It seems that Trey Lance’s time has come to lead this franchise. He impressively led a second-half comeback against the Seahawks with two TDs and 157 yards. Unlike most rookies, Lance wasn’t afraid the test out the deep ball, with his longest completion being a 76-yard bomb.
The defense wasn’t able to keep the 49ers in the game. They gave up three TDs in the second half, which sealed the 49ers’ fate. They were able to limit Seattle’s offense to just 254 yards, with Wilson only having 149 of those yards.
Cardinals: Arizona became the only unbeaten team in the league with their win over the Rams. The Cardinals produced a complete offensive performance with 216 rushing yards and 268 passing yards. Murray continued his MVP-caliber season with two more TDs to his name.
Chase Edmonds had the most productive day with 120 rushing yards. DeAndre Hopkins had the measure over arguably the best CB in the league in Jalen Ramsey. Finally, Maxx Williams is starting to move up the TE rankings and heavily contributing to the offense.
The defense is also continuing to thrive under Kliff Kingsbury. They limited Matthew Stafford to just 280 yards and only allowed two TDs. They were also able to turn the ball over twice, providing the offense with excellent field position.
The Cardinals’ offense versus the 49ers’ defense should provide an intriguing matchup. I can’t see the Cardinals losing this game, and with the form they’re in, who would bet against them? There is value for the Cardinals covering the spread.
I am betting on DeAndre Hopkins to hit the over 72.5 yards.
Buffalo Bills (+130) @ Kansas City Chiefs (-137)
Bills: Buffalo shut out the Texans in a rampant 40-point win. Buffalo dominated proceedings in all departments. They rushed for 199 yards and had 256 passing yards. The hype over Josh Allen has been justified. He controlled the game excellently and completed almost 70% of his passes.
The Allen to Diggs connection returned on Sunday. Diggs went for 114 yards and overshadowed fellow receiver Emmanuel Sanders, who had 74 yards. Devin Singletary provided this team is also capable of running the ball; he averaged 5.6 yards per carry.
The defense played excellently as well. They picked off Davis Mills four times and limited him to 87 yards. They also only relinquished 48 rushing yards. The defense was aggressive, disciplined, and took advantage of Mills’ inexperience.
Chiefs: Kansas returned to winning ways on Sunday. The Chiefs beat the Eagles in a high-scoring game. Patrick Mahomes reminded us of what he and Tyreek Hill are capable of when running on the same page. Mahomes threw five TD passes, three of them going to his electric receiver.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire averaged an outrageous 7.3 yards per rush and had 114 total yards for the day. Outside of Tyreek Hill, no receiver made it over 25 yards for the day. Hill clocked up an impressive 186 yards for the day.
The defense still isn’t perfect. It conceded 387 yards to Jalen Hurts, but it was able to limit the Eagles to a field goal multiple times. The defensive line was the best unit for the Chiefs, with three sacks and limited the Eagles’ run game to 103 yards.
The matchup between Mahomes and the Bills’ stacked secondary will be an enthralling one to watch, considering Buffalo will head into the game allowing an NFL-low 148.8 passing yards per contest at a league-low 4.9 yards per attempt.
The Chiefs are narrow favorites for this match. There is some value for the Chiefs on the moneyline.
But I am betting the under on 56.5 points.
Indianapolis Colts (+265) @ Baltimore Ravens (-280)
Colts: The Colts beat the Dolphins for their first win of the season. Wentz was able to fight through his ankle sprains and looked more mobile in Week 4 than in Week 3.
He threw for 228 yards and two TDs, and for the first time this season, he looked healthy enough to play. He was helped by a rampant Jonathon Taylor, who ran for 103 yards and averaged 6.4 yards per carry.
The defense shut down Miami’s run plays early on in the contest. They only allowed 35 rushing yards and 2.2 yards per rush. This put all the pressure on Brissett to throw. He was restricted to 199 yards, with the majority coming in a fourth-quarter flourish.
Ravens: The Ravens marched to 3-1 with their win over the Broncos at the Mile High. It was a commanding win, with the Broncos’ offense not being given a chance to gain momentum.
Jackson showed plenty of faith in Marquise Brown, despite the receiver dropping three possible TDs in Week 3. His chemistry with Sammy Watkins, Mark Andrews, and James Proche paid dividends as well.
The defense didn’t yield an inch to the Broncos passing game, especially to Teddy Bridgewater, who left with a concussion at halftime. The defense was equally effective against the run, only conceding 106 yards to Denver’s talented backfield.
If Wentz is close to fully fit come Monday night, we could see an enthralling contest between two playoff teams from last year.
Lamar Jackson is continuing his MVP-caliber season and is carrying the Ravens’ run game on his shoulders. Baltimore is the favorite to win this matchup with no value on the moneyline bet.
I am betting on the under 46.5 points as both teams boast solid defenses, and Drew Lock looks to be in line to start.