2022 NFL Week 3 Odds
The NFL Week 2 had more ups and downs than a rollercoaster and let’s hope for more of the same in Week 3.
With NFL odds for Week 3 finding their range, let’s preview all 16 games for this coming weekend.
My parlay this week will consist of five teams, whilst I shall be making other picks for these upcoming games.
Carolina Panthers (-380) @ Houston Texans (+290)
Panthers: Sam Darnold (305 yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT) put up another outstanding QB display to help the Panthers blow away the Saints. He distributed the ball incredibly well, with 5 receivers going for over 35 yards each.
Christian McCaffrey continued his excellent post-injury return, with 137 total yards. All these stats show encouraging signs for the Panthers’ new offense under Sam Darnold, which I expect will continue against a weak Texans’ defense. The Panthers’ defense bounced back after a modest performance in Week 1.
Jameis Winston was only allowed to complete 50% of his passes and threw for a mere 111 yards; the Panthers’ secondary truly kept a lid on the Saints. Overall, it was a good day at the office for their D, registering 4 sacks and 2 interceptions.
Texans: Reality hit the Texans on Sunday as they lost not only the game to the Browns, but also their starting QB at halftime. Tyrod Taylor left with a hamstring injury and is expected to be out of the Texans Week 3 game.
Divis Mills, who was the Texans’ 3rd round draft pick this draft is expected to start Week 3.
Mills (102 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT) didn’t look exceptional in the second half with only 44% of his passes completed. He will likely improve the more he plays, but he was a 3rd round pick for a reason, although the GOAT proves that you don’t have to be an early pick to attain best-ever status!
I predict that the Texans will sorely miss Taylor against a confident Panthers’ defense. It also doesn’t help Mills that two of the Texans’ WRs were also injured and are doubtful to play next week.
The question is whether Mills can step up. I don’t think he will be able to play anywhere near the ability at which Taylor was playing before his injury. I am taking Carolina to win on the road. I think the moneyline odds have little value for me.
However, I am going to bet on the Panthers covering the spread.
Washington Football Team (+310) @ Buffalo Bills (-410)
Washington: Washington is coming off its first win of the season beating their divisional rivals, the Giants. New starting QB Taylor Heinicke (336 yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT) played exceptionally, as did his favorite receiver, Terry McLaurin (107 yds, 1 TD). The Giants’ secondary struggled all game to cover him.
The Washington defense managed 4 sacks but overall looked quite shaky, giving up 412 total yards. They must improve and develop into the defense everyone expected to see before the season if they are to stop an explosive and merciless Bills offense.
Bills: Buffalo dismantled the Dolphins for their first win of the season. The Bills’ defense looked back to its lethal best, completely shutting out the Dolphins. They managed 6 sacks and 9 tackles for a loss.
Rookie Greg Rousseau led the way with 2 sacks and 2 tackles for a loss. The run game and offensive line massively improved from a dismal Week 1 performance. Josh Allen looked very composed and comfortable on throwing plays, but didn’t put up big numbers (179 yds) against a decent secondary.
This win will give the Bills confidence going into this matchup and I am sure we will see the Bills’ offense continue to improve.
The Bills are rightly heavy favorites for this match, after their crushing victory last week.
I’m taking the under (46.5 points) here, as I feel both talented defenses will come out on top for a low-scoring clash.
Chicago Bears (+265) @ Cleveland Browns (-350)
Bears: Chicago won a close-fought match against the Bengals on Sunday for their first win of the season. The offense was mediocre, with Justin Fields (60 yds, 0 TDs, 1 INT) not setting the stadium alight, after Andy Dalton (56 yds, 1TD, 0 INT) exited the game with an injury in the first half.
Darrell Moore was the only receiver who contributed, with 66 yards. However, the Bears’ defense greatly improved after a dismal Week 1 performance.
They put up outrageous stats, with the top performance coming from Roquan Smith with 1 sack and an interception that he returned for a TD. If the Defense plays like this for the rest of the season then they can merit an outside bet for a return to the playoffs.
Browns: Cleveland also managed their first victory of the season against the Texans. The Browns’ offense had another excellent game with 369 total yards.
Nick Chubb enjoyed another cracking game with 97 yards and 1 TD and most impressively averaged 8.6 yards per carry. However, Jarvis Landry exited the game with a knee injury.
He joins fellow star receiver Odell Beckham as being questionable to play on Sunday. The defense struggled again last week, giving up 3 TDs to an average Texans offense.
This game should provide an interesting matchup between the Browns’ injury-hit but explosive offense and the Bears’ improved defense.
Again, I like the under (46.5 points) for this game with both sides being hit by offensive injuries and I expect a low-scoring affair.
Baltimore Ravens (-475) @ Detroit Lions (+350)
Ravens: The Ravens pulled off a huge upset to beat the Chiefs by one point. Lamar Jackson (239 passing yds, 107 rushing yds, 2 rushing TDs, 1 passing TD) was surely MVP last weekend. Marquise Brown also had an outstanding day with 113 yards and 1 TD.
It was a very gutsy and impressive performance led by Jackson. The defense did struggle, which is to be expected against the best QB in the league. They relinquished 343 yards through the air but forced what turned out to be the game-winning fumble recovery.
Lions: The Detroit Lions were handed their second loss of the season by the Packers. They showed a fighting spirit to stay in the game for the first half but were shut out in the second half.
Jared Goff (292 total yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT) continued his recent good vein of form, but the offense struggled to convert 3rd and 4th down attempts late in the game that ultimately cost them the game. T.J. Hockenson had another excellent day with 66 yards and a TD. The skirmishes continued on defense as they gave up 4 TDs through the air.
The Ravens’ lights-out offense should be too much for the Lions’ defense so they are understandable favorites for this match.
I firmly believe that the Ravens will cover the (-9) spread. With their solid defense and rampant Jackson Baltimore should win by more than 9 points.
Indianapolis Colts (+205) @Tennessee Titans (-235)
Colts: The Rams handed the Colts their second loss of the season. Carson Wentz (247 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT) was playing well until he left the game with another ankle injury in the fourth quarter.
The Colts are unsure how serious the injury might be. Second-year QB Jacob Eason will start if Wentz isn’t fit. After a disappointing rookie season, Michael Pittman (123 yds) was the best player on the field for the Colts.
It was the start of a promising relationship between him and Wentz. The defense played well again against the run, but like last week, couldn’t keep the opposition QB quiet.
Titans: Tennessee pulled off a huge second-half comeback to force the game against Seattle into overtime, and then eventually win.
Ryan Tannehill (347 yds) and Derrick Henry (182 yds, 3 TDs) found their 2020 form to help put up some outrageous stats, not to mention Julio Jones (128 yds) who didn’t have too bad a day either! Tannehill was able to hit receivers downfield more times than not and Henry bulldozed his way through defender after defender.
It was an outstanding offensive performance. The defense played well against the run whilst the secondary looks highly susceptible to the deep ball.
Titans are heavy favorites for this game. I have to agree with the books. My favorite bet for this game is the over on 48 points if Wentz is indeed fit to play.
I think both secondaries are the weakest part of each team so we shall see a high-scoring game.
Los Angeles Chargers (+250) @Kansas City Chiefs (-278)
Chargers: The Chargers lost in the last second of the game to the Cowboys during Week 2. However, there are plenty of positives to take from the Chargers’ loss.
The offensive core of Justin Herbert, Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, and Mike Williams is fitting well into new offensive coordinator Joe Lombard’s scheme. Herbert (338 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT) had a rollercoaster of a game, moving the ball downfield effectively, but he did give up two poor interceptions.
Nevertheless, Los Angeles had trouble converting their 24 first downs and 408 total yards into enough points on Sunday, something they will need to improve on if they are to beat a world-class Kansas team.
Chiefs: Kansas had a devastating loss to the Ravens on Sunday night. Clyde Edwards-Helaire had an excellent game until he fumbled the ball on 2nd and 3; if he had sneaked the first down they would have won the match.
However, the offense was still able to light up the scoreboard with Mahomes throwing for 3 TDs and 343 yards. Star WR Tyreek Hill was kept quiet, but Travis Kelce took over as the lead receiver going for 109 yards and a TD. This Kansas team is too experienced to let this loss linger over them and they will surely bounce back this week.
The Chargers won this match during Week 17 last season against the Mahomes-less Kansas. I think the Chiefs are going to cover the spread (-6.5) so that is the bet I am taking for this match but I think it will be a high-scoring affair.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Arrowhead Stadium witnesses the team’s hit over of 55.5 points.
Arizona Cardinals (-333) @Jacksonville Jaguars (+300)
Cardinals: The Cardinals secured a lucky victory on Sunday when the Vikings’ kicker missed a 37-yard field goal during the last second of the match. Kyler Murray (400 yds, 3 TDs, 2 INT) continues to have an MVP-caliber season with 431 total yards.
If the Cardinals want to be a serious playoff contender, they need to improve in the run game outside of Murray. They only put up 72 yards rushing if you take out Murray’s yards.
However, TE Maxx Williams and rookie WR Rondale Moore had 208 yards between them, showing that Murray doesn’t need to rely solely on Hopkins.
Jaguars: Jacksonville was handed their second defeat of the season under new head coach Urban Meyer. Trevor Lawrence (118 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT) was hit with a reality check on Sunday.
His accuracy was shocking, only completing 42% of his passes even with decent protection from his offensive line. The Jags’ defense looked susceptible to deep balls and couldn’t control Teddy Bridgewater and his receivers.
The front seven did play well. They had 3 sacks and they smothered the Broncos’ running game on several plays.
The weak Jags secondary will be targeted by Kyler Murray, who will no doubt continue his heroics. I am predicting a hefty win for the Cardinals, so I think they will cover the spread (-7).
But my favorite bet is the under on 52 points, as the Jags will struggle to trouble the scoreboard.
New Orleans Saints (+131) @ New England Patriots (-153)
Saints: The Saints were dismantled by the Panthers on Sunday. This team looked nothing like the Week 1 team that decimated the Packers.
After looking world-class a week ago, Jameis Winston (111 yds, 0 TDs, 2 INTs) looked like a rookie against the Panthers. He was inaccurate and rash in his decision-making. The Saints also were unable to run the ball with Alvin Kamara (8 car, 5 yds) having a day to forget.
The defense also gave up 305 passing yards and only had 2 sacks. However, they remain one of the top run defenses in the league as Christian McCaffrey can attest to, given he only averaged 3 yards per run. Winston is going to have to rediscover his Week 1 form if the Saints are to beat the Pats.
Patriots: New England earned their first win of the season against the Jets. Mac Jones (186 yds, 0 TDs, 0 INTs) put in a respectable performance.
You can see why Bill Belichick rates his rookie so highly. He is very accurate and protects the ball well. There is more to come from this offense as all the new signings are still learning the ropes. The defense continued its Week 1 form with 4 interceptions and 4 sacks.
They look to be one of the leading defenses in the league. They should be able to keep a lid on an unconfident Jameis Winston.
This will be an interesting matchup with the run-heavy Patriots offense against the run-stuffing Saints defense.
I am taking the Pats to win and hitting the moneyline (-153) and I also see them covering the spread (-2.5) as well. It all depends on which Winston rocks up at the Gillette Stadium.
Atlanta Falcons (+140) @ New York Giants (-149)
Falcons: The Falcons gave the Bucs a battle for three quarters before two fourth-quarter pick-sixes ended any hopes of an upset.
The good news for the Falcons in Sunday’s loss is that the offense actually looked usable after flunking its first game under new head coach Arthur Smith in Week 1 against the Eagles. The Matt Ryan-Calvin Ridley chemistry was back in business, Cordarrelle Patterson thrived in his dual-threat role by scoring TDs through both the ground and air and hyped-up rookie Kyle Pitts began flashing some of his elite athleticism.
The defense, however, was not as serviceable last week, giving up 5 TDs to Tom Brady through the air.
Giants: The Giants lost their second match of the season in a close battle with Washington. The positive news amidst the Week 2 heartbreak for New York was the robust play from Daniel Jones (249 yds, 1 TD, 0 INTs) and explosiveness from Saquon Barkley.
However, the offensive line struggled to protect Jones that led to him fleeing the pocket too often for his liking. The defense couldn’t pressure the passer, only notching 1 sack. Not to mention they also relinquished 336 yards to Taylor Heinicke.
This match will provide the first win of the season for one of these two. The Giants are favorites but I am going to take the Falcons to win, with their offense continuing to improve under veteran Matt Ryan.
I’m betting on the underdog Falcons here at +140 and they are also the first team in my parlay.
Cincinnati Bengals (+160) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-167)
Bengals: The Bengals came up short against Chicago in a 20-17 loss. They were up against a much tougher defense than Week 1 and it showed. Joe Burrow was sacked four times and picked off three times.
Burrow’s stumble on Sunday is most likely nothing to worry about over the long term, but the offensive line is. The o-line has now given up 9 sacks in two games. Considering Burrow is coming off a major injury, his protection needs to improve quickly.
The Bengals’ secondary did greatly improve last week, although they did face some distinctly average QB play.
Steelers: The Steelers lost their home field opener to the rampant Raiders. Although it’s little consolation, Ben Roethlisberger and his receivers enjoyed more statistical success against the Raiders than in the Week 1 upset of the Bills.
However, it does seem to show the various skill players are still adapting to new offensive coordinator Matt Canada’s scheme, and rookie Najee Harris’ touchdown reception showed Steelers fans and coaches what he will bring to this offense.
Dionte Johnson put in an impressive display with 105 receiving yards before being injured on the final drive of the game.
Pittsburgh is a 4.5-point favorite despite having a whole host of injuries. Both teams are looking to bounce back after Week 2 losses. I am taking the Steelers in this match as I feel they will be able to disrupt the Bengals’ frail offensive line and target Burrow for another uncomfortable day in the pocket.
I don’t see much value in the moneyline, so I’m taking the under (44 points) as both teams are struggling to score points.
New York Jets (+465) @ Denver Broncos (-588)
Jets: Zach Wilson had another average game against the Patriots as the Jets lost 25-6. Wilson (210 yds, 0 TDs, 4 INTs) struggled against a savvy Pats defense. He looked unsettled and made plenty of rash and incorrect decisions.
It’s no wonder he is favorite to throw the most interceptions this season! On the brighter side rookie, RB Michael Carter had 88 total yards and looked like a decent fit in the Jets’ offense.
The defense struggled mainly due to Wilson giving the Pats excellent field position multiple times. Even though the Pats only put up 186 passing yards and 101 rushing yards, it was still enough to beat the Jets.
Broncos: The Broncos have had the best possible start to the season moving to 2-0. Denver seems to have fixed its one major weakness from last year; Teddy Bridgewater (328 yds, 2 TDs, 0 INTs) carried his excellent form into the win against the Jags.
Teddy has now completed an unbelievable 77.1% of his passes with 4 TDs and 0 INTs in two games. Other than great QB play, the Broncos are also creating great defensive plays. They limited Lawrence to just 118 yards and picked him off twice.
This team is shaping up to be a serious playoff contender.
The Broncos are huge favorites to win this game at Mile High. I think Denver will win with their outstanding defense and Teddy’s continued heroics.
However, there is no value in the moneyline bet, but I like the over (42 points), with the Broncos expected to score several TDs against a weak Jets secondary.
Miami Dolphins (+175) @ Las Vegas Raiders (-200)
Dolphins: The Dolphins beat themselves last week. They were on the receiving end of a Bills pummelling, 35-0. Buffalo played well, yet were not lights-out. The Dolphins’ offense failed to fire, conceding too many penalties, dropping several makeable catches, and then deep into the Red Zone, they even fumbled the ball on the Bills’ 5-yard line.
Tua Tagovailoa suffered a painful rib injury on the first drive of the game and didn’t return. Jacoby Brissett (169 yds, 0 TDs, 1 INT) played adequately, but even if Tua hadn’t been forced off the field, I don’t think it would have changed the outcome of the game.
By far the biggest worry is the offensive line, which has been unable to create holes for running plays and has been unable to protect their QB for most passing plays.
Raiders: The Raiders have continued their explosive start to the season with another win. They have impressively won two games against 2020 playoff teams and are now a serious playoff contender in the AFC.
Derek Carr has thrown for over 800 yards this season and finally looks like a QB who can deliver consistent high-level performances. The core of the Raiders’ offense (Carr, Ruggs, Renfrow, Waller, and Jacobs) looks to have finally found its chemistry.
However, the Raiders will have some injury concerns with rookie tackle Alex Leatherwood, LG Richie Incognito, and RB Josh Jacobs all questionable to play on Sunday.
The Raiders will be looking to gain revenge for last year’s dramatic Miami win when Ryan Fitzpatrick completed the game-winning pass while having his facemask pulled off.
The Dolphins will be looking to put in a much better performance either with Brissett or Tua. The oddsmakers have the Raiders as clear favorites and with the way they are playing, I don’t think anyone would bet against them.
I am adding the Raiders to my parlay for Week 3.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-118) @ Los Angeles Rams (+105)
Buccaneers: Tampa Bay scored an impressive seven TDs on Sunday in a hard-fought contest with the Falcons. The Bucs were only able to pull away from the Falcons in the fourth quarter.
Tom Brady (276 yds, 5 TDs, 0 INTs) was highly impressive and threw for all five of the Offense’s TDs. The defense also stepped up in the fourth quarter with two pick-sixes both by Mike Edwards who had a particularly productive day.
The reigning champions are defending their title in some style.
Rams: The Rams continued with their excellent start to the season. Matthew Stafford looks comfortable in his new team and has been thriving with his explosive and deep group of skill position players.
Cooper Kupp is quickly becoming Stafford’s favorite target, going for over 160 yards on Sunday as well as catching 2 TD passes. The defense is shaping up how everyone expected it to. The matchup between Tom Brady and Bucs explosive receivers versus the talented Rams secondary is going to be intriguing.
The Bucs are slight favorites for this matchup of unbeaten sides. Both teams have high hopes of progressing all the way to the Super Bowl and will view this match as a must-win to keep the winning momentum going. My pick is the Rams to take the win at home.
Their odds are favorable, so I am adding them to my parlay.
Seattle Seahawks (-120) @ Minnesota Vikings (+110)
Seahawks: The Seahawks have some soul searching to do after blowing a 30-16 fourth-quarter lead against Tennessee on Sunday, eventually losing the match 33-30 in overtime.
The Seahawks’ defense was beaten up by Derrick Henry, who trampled any defender in his way. Bobby Wagner was the only defender who looked capable of tackling Henry. Wagner had 16 tackles on Sunday as well as 1 sack and 1 tackle for a loss.
The offense was impressive with 420 total yards and Wilson throwing 343 of those yards. The Seahawks need to up their run game, so they can relieve some of the offensive pressure from Wilson.
Vikings: The Vikings had their own disappointment on Sunday when they missed what would have been the game-winning 37-yard field goal as time ran out. Much like the Seahawks the Vikings looked great on offense, yet leaky on defense.
Kirk Cousins (244 yds, 3 TDs, 0 INTs) has been impressive for the first two weeks of the season. More good news, the Vikings have nailed down the third receiver spot, with K.J. Osborn (91 yds, 1 TD) having another immense day. However, the secondary seemed to surrender to the deep ball, giving up 400 yards to the elusive Kyler Murray.
Understandably the Seahawks are favorites heading into this match. I see this game turning into a high-scoring affair, but the over at 55.5 doesn’t seem great value.
The poor Vikings will be 0-3 next week, so I’m adding the Seahawks to my parlay.
Green Bay Packers (+155) @ San Francisco 49ers (-175)
Packers: The Packers achieved their first win of the season on Monday night. They beat a feisty Lions team who matched the Packers blow-for-blow throughout the first half.
Aaron Rodgers (255 yds, 4 TDs, 0 INTs) was back to his usual self and this week his favorite weapon was Aaron Jones who caught 3 TD passes and ran in a 4th TD. The defense was much improved from the Week 1 blow-out.
They only gave up 108 rushing yards, yet didn’t sack Jared Goff. The main area of concern is how many hits Rodgers took in the pocket. The Lions sacked him 3 times and had pressure several more times.
This needs to improve as the Packers will be coming up against much tougher front sevens in the league.
49ers: Jimmy G and the 49ers couldn’t have asked for a better start to the season. They beat the Eagles 17-11, in a defense-dominated game. Neither offense managed much momentum, but the 49ers’ talented defense was able to shut down the gung-ho Jalen Hurts.
The 49ers only allowed 190 yards on 12 completions, but one of those completions was around 80 yards. The 49ers’ offense played adequately but like the Eagles, they rarely ventured into the Red Zone.
The 49ers are the favorites for this Week 3 match. I really like the under bet (49.5 points) as these are two of the superior defenses in the league.
But I like the value for the Packers to win after their Monday night victory so I’m adding the underdogs to my parlay, which is now complete.
Philadelphia Eagles (+170) @ Dallas Cowboys (-189)
Eagles: The Eagles are coming off a defensive stalemate with the 49ers. Philly lost 17-11 at home on Sunday, but there were plenty of positives to take from the game.
Jalen Hurts didn’t throw an interception and was very composed even though his receivers struggled to get open. Second-year player Quez Watkins caught two superb passes for 117 yards, and also Miles Sanders averaged 4.2 yards per carry.
The defense put in a valiant effort to limit the 49ers to just 189 passing yards but they just couldn’t achieve that one final turnover to give their offense another drive at the end of the game.
Cowboys: The Cowboys snatched a late win against the Chargers to bounce back from their Week 1 loss. Dak Prescott (237 yds, 0 TDs, 1 INT) had another exceptional game, even though the stats don’t back it up.
Dallas appears to have found a new lead RB with Tony Pollard rushing for over 100 yards on Sunday and averaging a remarkable 8.4 yards per rush. Meanwhile, CeeDee Lamb (8 rec, 81 yds) continued to impress during his second season in the NFL.
The front seven of the defense were able to limit the Chargers’ running backs. However, the defense couldn’t handle the gun-slinging Justin Herbert who lit up their secondary.
The Cowboys are favorites in this game. This game will present a really interesting matchup between the Eagles’ strong and confident defense versus the Cowboys’ lights-out offense. I predict the latter will come out on top.
My bet is for the Cowboys to cover the spread (3.5 points).