Cowboys vs. Bills Same Game Parlay | Week 15

The Dallas Cowboys and Buffalo Bills meet at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York this week.

In 13 Bills’ games this season, nine games have gone under the total, and in Buffalo, the under is 5-2, with all five unders coming in the last five home games for the Bills.

This graph from BestOdds EDGE also shows a recent dip in scoring for both Buffalo and Dallas.

Many things will factor into the scoring in this game and that includes the weather.

This home game for Buffalo will start at 4:25 pm, and the heaviest rainfall is predicted for the time this game starts until it’s over.

This game could become a sloppy mess.

For this potential slip and slide, I’ll place a Same Game Parlay on FanDuel.

Dak Prescott – UNDER 270.5 Passing Yards

Dak Prescott continues to torch opposing defenses, as he is now averaging 269.6 passing yards per game and has tallied 28 touchdown passes to just two interceptions.

Prescott has climbed the MVP ladder at most sportsbooks, currently sitting at +150 to win the MVP, one spot behind Brock Purdy at +140.

How Prescott performs in a potential monsoon could help or hurt his case.

Outside of the domed home field of AT&T Stadium, Prescott has not done nearly as well.

Here’s a quick look at Prescott’s home and road splits:

Prescott	Home	Road
Comp%	74%	63.5%
Yards/Gm	303.6	230
TD	20	8
INT	2	4

Those are some fairly large splits.

Take Prescott out of his comfortably-domed stadium, throw him in front of the rowdy Bills Mafia, send a potential deluge of rain his way, and what do you get?

Probably some unders.

Pick: Prescott – UNDER 270.5 Passing Yards (-114 FanDuel)

Tony Pollard – UNDER 53.5 Rushing Yards

Although teams are likely to run more during inclement weather, I’m not sure that will help Pollard too much considering that he is running at a humdrum clip of 4.06 yards per carry.

Pollard has tallied at least 54 rushing yards in eight games this season, but Buffalo’s defense has tightened up against opposing rushing attacks in recent weeks.

In the first six games of the season, the Bills allowed 133.7 rushing yards per game.

In the last seven games, Buffalo has allowed only 97.1 rushing yards per game, and that includes the Philadelphia Eagles 185 rushing yards against in Week 12’s 37-34 overtime showdown.

Pollard is running at just 3.52 yards per carry over the last two games, and I don’t see him figuring it out in this one.

Pick: Pollard – UNDER 53.5 Rushing Yards (-114 FanDuel)

CeeDee Lamb – UNDER 89.5 Receiving Yards

If Prescott’s numbers are to take a dip, then Lamb’s will follow.

Asking a receiver to tally 90 yards is already asking a lot, but in a tough road matchup in the rain, hitting the over on 89.5 is just too much.

Lamb has gone under 90 receiving yards in seven of 13 games, and his matchup with cornerback Taron Johnson won’t be an easy one, regardless of weather factors.

Here’s how slot receivers have fared against Johnson in the last five weeks.

BUF Opponent	WR Covered by Johnson	WR Results
Week 9: Cincinnati	Tyler Boyd	3 Rec, 56 Yds
Week 10: Denver	Jerry Jeudy	3 Rec, 35 Yds
Week 11: NY Jets	Xavier Gipson	1 Rec, 7 Yds
Week 12: Philadelphia	Olamide Zaccheaus	1 Rec, 29 Yds
Week 14: Kansas City	Rashee Rice	7 Rec, 72 Yds

Rice has tallied the most yards with Taron Johnson shadowing over the last five Bills’ games, but even Rice failed to reach the magic number of 90 receiving yards.

Prescott may need to look in a different direction.

Pick: Lamb – UNDER 89.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)

Josh Allen – UNDER 257.5 Passing Yards

This selection has to do more with the Cowboys’ defense than it does with Josh Allen’s talent.

Dallas has seen an easier schedule of QBs in recent weeks with the likes of Bryce Young of the Carolina Panthers and Tommy DeVito of the New York Giants, but their defense has held strong nonetheless.

Only Geno Smith of the Seattle Seahawks (334 yards, 3 TD) managed to do anything of note against Dallas’ defense in the last five games.

The Cowboys have allowed only 208 passing yards per game over the last five weeks, and with Smith’s monster game excluded, they’ve only allowed 176.5.

Even if Josh Allen were to throw for three touchdowns, I still don’t feel comfortable backing his passing yards prop in a wet and sloppy contest; especially considering how well he can run.

Bettors can take the over on Allen’s rushing yards at over 33.5 for -114 on FanDuel, but I’ll stick to my growing them of unders here.

Pick: Allen – UNDER 257.5 Passing Yards (-114 FanDuel)

James Cook – UNDER 50.5 Rushing Yards

James Cook’s output has been erratic all season, running for nine yards per carry one week and two yards per carry the next.

Cook is averaging 60.7 rushing yards per game this season, but he could struggle to reach that number this week.

Dallas has allowed an average of 75.5 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs, and 106 total rushing yards per game.

I would expect plenty of carries in this game, with both teams trying to kill the clock and get off the field, so there should be some Latavius Murray sightings, too.

Dallas is currently ranked as the 13th rushing defense in the NFL, and Cook has only faced five teams ranked 16th or better in rushing defense, New England (3rd), Jacksonville (4th), Philadelphia (6th), Miami (7th), and Tampa Bay (10th).

In those five games, Cook ran for 191 yards on 60 carries. That’s 3.18 yards per carry.

This is not a great matchup for Cook.

Pick: Cook – UNDER 50.5 Rushing Yards (-114 FanDuel)

Dalton Kincaid – UNDER 43.5 Receiving Yards

Dalton Kincaid has firmly entrenched himself as the No. tight end in Buffalo.

But, he’s averaging only 39 yards over the last four games.

The targets are there, it just the yards after catch are minimal.

Dallas has not surrendered a lot of production from opposing tight ends this season, allowing 42.8 receiving yards per game to tight ends.

Over the last five weeks, Noah Fant of the Seahawks compiled the most receiving yards against Dallas, picking up 43 receiving yards on three catches.

In a game where passing plays may be hard to come by, I don’t see Kincaid collecting many yards; especially against a defense that knows how to handle tight ends.

Pick: Kincaid – UNDER 43.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)

It’s all unders here.

FanDuel SGP Legs	Odds
Dak Prescott – UNDER 270.5 Passing Yards	-114
Tony Pollard – UNDER 53.5 Rushing Yards	-114
CeeDee Lamb – UNDER 89.5 Receiving Yards	-114
Josh Allen – UNDER 257.5 Passing Yards	-114
James Cook – UNDER 50.5 Rushing Yards	-114
Dalton Kincaid – UNDER 43.5 Receiving Yards	-114
Cowboys vs. Bills SGP Odds	+2953

A $10 wager on this Same Game Parlay would profit $295.31!

Betting NFL Same Game Parlays

Same game parlay is just like a regular NFL parlay bet, except all bet selections come from different wagers within one football game.

The benefit of an NFL same game parlay is achieved by combining multiple bets so you can go for bigger wins as the odds increase.

The more bet selections you add, the more difficult it is to win, but the odds also greatly increase so is the potential winning amount.

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