Week 13 of the NFL provided us with plenty of entertainment. From the Lions’ first win to a dramatic Monday Night Football game. Let’s hope for more of the same in Week 14.
Last week’s parlay was close to hitting; I was only wrong on the Bengals. On my other bets, I was correct with five out of my nine games.
With NFL betting odds for Week 14 finding their range, let’s preview all 14 games.
This week’s parlay will again consist of five teams, while I shall be making other picks for the remaining games.
Steelers: Pittsburgh beat the Ravens on Sunday night. It was a close-fought game that ended with a failed two-point attempt by the Ravens. Pittsburgh’s offense hasn’t been firing on all cylinders recently.
Ben Roethlisberger finished with 236 yards and two TDs to cap an improved performance. However, the run game only managed 85 yards from 25 carries, even with Najee Harris in the backfield.
The defense was excellent against the Ravens. They allowed just 360 offensive yards. T.J. Watt and Cameron Hayward were outstanding with 3.5 and 2.5 sacks, respectively.
Vikings: Minnesota lost to the previously winless Lions in Detroit on Sunday. Kirk Cousins was faultless on Sunday with 340 yards, two TDs, and a 75% completion rate. The only negative was that they somehow contrived to lose the game!
Cousins’ chemistry with Justin Jefferson returned with the pair connecting for 182 yards from 11 completions. The run game was also competent, with 90 yards for Alexander Mattison.
The defense had a shocking day. They conceded 396 yards to the Lions and three TDs to Jared Goff. On the bright side, the defense did manage two turnovers and three sacks.
The Vikings are 5-7 but are still in the playoff hunt in the NFC. Minnesota has been woefully inconsistent this season. This offense will have a tough test against one of the best defenses in the league. The Steelers have had to rely on their defense to win them games. I think this will be a low-scoring game.
So I am taking these teams to score under 45 points on Thursday.
Ravens: Baltimore lost the Steelers on Sunday. Pittsburgh’s defense stood up to the test and held Lamar Jackson to a 62% completion rate. Jackson finished with 253 passing yards, a TD and an INT.
Jackson also added 55 rushing yards to his stats at a healthy 6.9 yards per carry. All of the Ravens’ receivers contributed, but none could go for more than 60 yards on the day.
The defense struggled to bring pressure, as they finished with just one sack. The secondary couldn’t cover Diontae Johnson, who had 105 yards and caught both of Roethlisberger’s TD passes.
Browns: Cleveland is coming off its bye week. Last time out, the Browns lost to the Ravens in a low-scoring game. Baker Mayfield hasn’t looked the same QB since his shoulder injury.
Mayfield finished with a shocking 49% completion rate. The run game is also struggling. Hunt and Chubb combined for a paltry 36 yards from 15 carries. This is very uncharacteristic from a run-heavy Browns’ offense.
The defense played exceptionally well against the Ravens. The D finished with four interceptions and two sacks. The front seven also conceded only 3.4 yards per carry.
The bye week might give Baker time to rest and recover. The Browns are only one win outside of the NFL playoffs. They will be back for revenge after the unusual situation of playing the Ravens in back-to-back games. The Ravens aren’t lighting teams up, so this could turn into a close contest.
My bet is to hit over 42.5 points, which seems too conservative.
Jaguars: Jacksonville lost to the Rams 37-7. Jacksonville never had a chance with Trevor Lawrence completing just 57% of his passes for 145 yards.
The Jags’ run game was awful. The backs finished with 61 yards at just over a dismal 2 yards per carry. Both Hyde and Robinson had fumbles which resulted in turnovers.
The defense conceded over 400 yards, four TDs, one sack and zero turnovers. The D looked lost for most of the game and multiple improvements need to be made before next season.
Titans: Tennessee is coming off its bye week. Last time out, they lost to the Patriots. It was a dominant win by the Pats, with the Titans never finding a way into the second quarter.
Ryan Tannehill was inaccurate and unconfident when throwing the ball. Tannehill finished with 93 yards and a 52% completion rate. However, he was missing both A.J. Brown and Julio Jones.
The run game was outstanding. The backs finished with 270 yards at almost seven yards per carry. This was highly encouraging, given Derrick Henry’s injury is keeping him out for the rest of the regular season.
The Jags season is now about finding out if Urban Meyer and Trevor Lawrence deserve another season in the NFL. The Titans are still in an excellent position to make the playoffs, but their performances have dropped off since the Henry injury.
This game could be closer than the spread suggests. You might be tempted with the Jags to cover the ten-point spread.
However, I am betting the Titans to win and I am adding them to my parlay.
Raiders: Las Vegas lost to the Football Team on Sunday. It was an average performance by Derek Carr, who led the league in passing yards before this game. Carr finished with 249 yards, no TDs and no INTs.
The run game was surprisingly productive against a stout Washington front seven. The backs averaged 4.75 yards per carry, but they only carried 76 yards. Hunter Renfrow had his second 100-yard day in as many games.
The defense was excellent, but they couldn’t stop a late WTF field goal, which won them the game. The D held Heinicke to under 196 yards and the run game to 3.7 yards per carry.
Chiefs: Kansas beat the Broncos 22-9 at Arrowhead Stadium. It was a dominant defensive performance by Kansas. However, the offensive still isn’t clicking with Mahomes at QB.
Mahomes only had 184 yards and a 50% completion rate. Due to Mahomes’ dip in form, the run game has borne more carries. The backs finished with just 89 yards and the only offensive TD for Kansas.
The defense was outstanding with multiple red-zone stops and turnovers. One of Bridgewater’s two interceptions was returned for a TD by Daniel Sorensen.
The Chiefs are relying on their defense to win them games. However, I am sure the offense will return to its explosive self before the postseason.
The Raiders are falling away down the stretch like they always do. They have had a tumultuous season and making the NFL playoffs would provide a massive boost to this franchise.
My bet is for these teams to go under 49.5 points.
Saints: New Orleans lost their fifth straight game last Thursday. The Cowboys had control of the game and the Saints simply had no answer to the Cowboys’ run game.
The Saints’ defense conceded 146 yards at over 6 yards per carry to Dallas. The defense also couldn’t manage more than one sack. However, the offense lost them the game.
Taysom Hill started over Siemian and threw four interceptions. He also completed less than 50% of his passes. Yet somehow, he managed 264 yards and 101 rushing yards.
Jets: New York lost to the Eagles at MetLife Stadium. Zach Wilson threw for 226 yards, two TDs and an INT. Wilson had another inaccurate day, completing 60% of his passes.
The rushing attack was relatively productive without Michael Carter. The RBs finished with 70 yards from just 14 carries. Elijah Moore continued his productive streak with 77 receiving yards and a TD.
The run-heavy Eagles ran over the Jets’ defense. Philly rushed for 185 yards against the Jets’ front seven, who only managed one sack. The Jets also couldn’t recover any of the Eagles’ three fumbles that were coughed up.
The Saints are still in the playoff race at 5-7, after their 5-2 start. This is a must-win game for the Saints, but they have an easy stretch which will help their playoff hopes.
Doubts over Zach Wilson are increasing. The Jets will have to decide whether they should give up on Wilson or give him another year.
I am betting on the Saints to win on the road and cover the spread of -4.5.
Cowboys: Dallas beat the Saints on Thursday night. Dak Prescott didn’t have his best game of the season, but he did enough to win. Prescott finished with 238 yards, a TD and an INT.
The Cowboys’ run game was successful, with 146 yards at over six yards per carry. CeeDee Lamb was the most productive receiver as usual with 89 yards from seven receptions.
The defense managed to pick off Taysom Hill four times, including a pick-six by Carlos Watkins. However, Hill still managed 264 passing yards and 101 rushing yards.
Football Team: Washington beat the Raiders on Sunday. The low-risk approach from the Football Team seems to be working with Heinicke attempting 35 passes or fewer during their four-game winning streak.
This puts more pressure on the run game, which managed 112 yards on Sunday. Antonio Gibson was valuable, with 88 yards at 3.8 yards per carry. The returning Logan Thomas finished with 48 yards and a TD.
The defense did manage two sacks and three tackles for a loss. However, the most impressive part of the performance was allowing 325 total yards and just one TD.
Washington is now well placed to make the playoffs at 6-6. The Football team now has five straight divisional games starting with the Cowboys.
Dallas is leading this division by two wins, and they’re easing their way into the playoffs. I can see this being a tight game, but Dallas will come out on top.
I am betting on these teams going under 49 points.
Falcons: Atlanta lost 30-17 against the Bucs on Sunday. The Falcons were only down by three going into halftime, but plenty of mistakes meant Atlanta went scoreless in the second half.
Matt Ryan went for 297 yards on an accurate and impressive performance. The rushing game was also productive, with 121 yards from 23 carries. Russell Gage finished with 130 yards and was outstanding in the first half.
The defense held the Bucs to 3.3 yards per carry. But Tom Brady blew away the Falcons’ secondary. The front seven hardly pressured Brady all game, and they didn’t even register a sack.
Panthers: The Panthers are coming off their bye week. Last time out, the Panthers lost to the Fins 33-10 at Hardrock Stadium. Cam Newton and the offense couldn’t handle Miami’s highly effective blitzing tactics.
Newton completed just five passes from 21 attempts and threw two INTs. Newton was replaced by P.J. Walker, who completed just five passes from 10 attempts and threw an INT.
The running game also was inefficient, with just 64 yards. Christian McCaffrey limped off injured in this game and is now confirmed to be out for the season.
With the Panthers missing Christian McCaffrey, expect Carolina ‘s run game to revolve around Cam Newton. Cam should also have a better understanding of the playbook for this match. The Falcons offense has been inconsistent this year. So, I expect the offense to struggle against the Panthers’ excellent defense.
Therefore, I am taking the Panthers to win and I am adding them to my parlay.
Seahawks: Russell Wilson led the Seahawks to victory over the 49ers. Wilson finished with 231 yards, two TDs and an INT. He was also very accurate, completing 30 out of 37 attempts.
The rushing department helped Wilson by going for 146 yards. Travis Homer finished with 80 rushing yards thanks to an entertaining 73-yard fake punt which ended as a TD.
The defense did manage three takeaways but relinquished 299 yards from just 20 attempts to Jimmy Garoppolo. The front seven also came away with just one sack and two tackles for a loss.
Texans: Houston was shut out by the Colts on Sunday. The offense was shocking. Both Davis Mills and Tyrod Taylor played and neither could throw for over 50 yards. The QBs combined for a dire 11 completions from 27 attempts.
The offensive line didn’t give their QBs any time. The Colts finished with four sacks and four tackles for a loss. The run game managed 84 yards from 19 carries, but most of those yards were from the QBs.
The defense allowed the rampant Jonathon Taylor to go for 143 yards. The Colts’ run game went for 238 yards from 48 attempts. The defense did manage a sack and a fumble recovery.
Houston is the first team to be officially out of playoff contention. The Texans are now just hoping to solve their QB situation by the time the draft comes around to start their rebuild.
The Seahawks are second-last in the NFC division and will find it hard to make it into the playoff with Arizona and the Rams left on their schedule.
I will play it safe and add the Seahawks to my parlay.
Lions: Detroit won the first game of their season. The Lions beat the Vikings 29-27. Jared Goff led a game-winning drive which ended with a 4th Down TD pass to Amon-Ra St. Brown as time expired.
Goff didn’t have the most accurate day, but he did throw two TD passes and 296 yards. Jamaal Williams returned to start at RB and went for 80 total yards.
The defense conceded 440 total yards and three TDs. However, the defense limited the Vikings to just six points in the first half. The front seven also managed three sacks and seven tackles for a loss.
Broncos: Denver lost to Kansas in a low-scoring game. Denver only scored nine points. Teddy Bridgewater’s low-risk-low-reward style of play hasn’t worked out for the Broncos during the second half of the season.
Bridgewater plays it safe and had a three-and-out on his first two-possession in this game. This results in him taking deep shots late in the game to regain the lead. On Sunday, Bridgewater was intercepted twice in the second half.
Javonte Williams and Jerry Jeudy are the two young bright spots on the Denver offense. Williams finished with 178 total yards, whilst Jeudy finished with 76 yards and a TD.
The Lions have been close in many games this season and actually have a great ATS record. Dan Campbell has kept them fighting all season. I still think the Lions will cause a couple of upsets down the stretch.
The Broncos are still in the playoff race, but I can’t see them grabbing the seventh seed with Bridgewater at QB. As Denver has an excellent defense, I think they will edge past the Lions.
Therefore, I am taking Denver to win at the Mile High and I am adding them to my parlay.
Giants: New York lost to Miami 20-9. The Giants had a chance to draw level in the fourth quarter, but Mike Glennon couldn’t hit his man in Miami territory. Glennon finished with just 187 yards and an INT.
Glennon has since been diagnosed with a concussion which could explain his inaccurate play on Sunday. He completed just 52% of his passes. Saquon Barkley returned with a 55-yard rushing day.
The defense played well for most of the game. The front seven relinquished just 2.7 yards per carry to the Fins. They also sacked Tua twice and came away with three tackles for a loss.
Chargers: LA had a huge win over the Bengals on Sunday. The Chargers came out firing and scored 16 first-quarter points. Herbert was excellent with 317 yards, three TDs and an INT.
Austin Ekeler averaged 4.2 yards per carry and finished with 104 total yards and a TD to round out a successful day for him. Mike Williams was the most productive receiver with 110 yards from just five receptions.
The defense held the explosive Bengals offense to 22 points and Joe Mixon to just 2.8 yards per carry. The front seven had a fantastic day with five sacks and five tackles for a loss.
The Giants should have Daniel Jones back under center. Jones might feel that his Giants career is coming to an end after a very disappointing season to date. The Chargers season is still alive, and they are in a promising situation with an easy last five games.
I think the Chargers will ease their way to victory, so I am adding them to my parlay.
49ers: San Fran lost to the revived Seahawks on Sunday. Jimmy Garoppolo had a good day with 299 yards and two TDs. However, Jimmy G did throw two costly interceptions.
The 49ers sorely missed Deebo Samuel’s rushing and receiving abilities. The rushing attack finished with 71 yards from 25 carries. George Kittle stepped up in Samuel’s place and went for 181 yards and two TDs on an awe-inspiring display.
The defense conceded just 231 yards from 30 receptions. However, the 49ers should have forced Wilson to throw deep with his injured finger. They gave Wilson easy check-downs and short passes.
Bengals: Cincinnati lost to the Chargers at home. The Bengals’ offense couldn’t respond to the Chargers’ red-hot start. Joe Burrow threw for 300 yards, but he was inaccurate and threw two picks.
Joe Mixon couldn’t generate any momentum in the run game. Mixon finished with just 2.8 yards per carry. Tee Higgins had an excellent day with 138 yards and a TD.
The defense had a day to forget. They conceded 396 yards and 41 points, including four TDs. The positives were the front seven finished with three sacks and forced two fumble recoveries.
The Bengals are just one win behind the Ravens, who seem to be struggling with rhythm at the moment. The 49ers will be feeling the pressure from the chasing pack in the NFC. San Fran had been on a three-game winning streak before Week 13.
I think they will return to that form in what is the closest game to call according to the books.
I am picking the 49ers to win and cover the spread of 1.5 points.
Bills: Buffalo lost to the Patriots on a windy Monday night. It was a weather and defense-dominated game. Allen could only complete 50% of his passes for 145 yards.
The run game needed to have a big night, but unfortunately, the backs only had 99 yards, and Singletary and Moss averaged 3.2 yards per carry. Stefon Diggs had the most receiving yards on the day with 51.
The Patriots ran over the Bills’ defense. Remarkably, Mac Jones threw the ball just three times in the windy conditions. The Pats ran the ball 46 times for 222 yards. The Bills conceded just one TD, but that was a 64-yard run.
Buccaneers: Tampa Bay beat the Falcons in a nervous game for Bucs’ fans. Tampa could never pull away from the Falcons until the second half. Brady finished with 368 yards and his seemingly usual four TDs.
With Antonio Brown injured Chris Godwin and Mike Evens stepped up with outstanding games. Godwin caught 15 passes for 143 yards, whilst Evens caught seven passes for 99 yards.
The defense came away with five sacks, six tackles for a loss and a fumble recovery. The Falcons fumbled the ball five times on Sunday, yet the Bucs could only recovery one.
The Bills are currently the seventh seed in the AFC. They are in danger of missing the playoffs after their stellar start, if they don’t find their old form.
The Bucs will be feeling comfortable in the NFC South. The Bucs are just one win off the top spot in the NFC playoffs and could draw level as the Cardinals play the Rams on Sunday.
I am betting on the Bucs to cover the three-point spread.
Bears: Chicago lost to the Cardinals in a high-scoring game on the weekend. The game started ominously with Andy Dalton throwing two interceptions on the first two drives.
Dalton finished with 229 yards, two TDs and four interceptions. All four interceptions led to points for the Cardinals, with three of them resulting in TDs. The Bears had to rely on the run game, which finished with 112 yards.
The defense couldn’t do much with Arizona, often having short field starting positions. However, the front seven also struggled to pressure Murray and they didn’t register a sack.
Packers: Green Bay enjoyed its bye week during Week 13. The last time out, the Packers beat the Rams 36-28. Aaron Rodgers had a decent game with 307 yards and two TDs.
The run game was surprisingly unproductive for the Packers. The backs rushed for 92 yards at under three yards per carry. However, the offensive line did exceptionally to concede just one sack and limit a normally rampant Aaron Donald.
The Packers’ defense was also excellent against the run. The front seven relinquished just 68 yards. The D came away with three takeaways, including two fumble recoveries.
The Bears will likely miss the postseason this year and their coach Matt Nagy is now favourite to be the next Head Coach to be Fired (@ +200). However, their main focus has to be developing Justin Fields into their franchise QB.
The Packers are the number two seed in the NFC. They will be looking to steal the number one seed away from the Cardinals. I think the Packers will win but struggle out of their bye and be somewhat complacent against their divisional rivals.
Therefore I am picking the Bears to cover the spread of 12.5 points.
Rams: LA blew away the Jags on Sunday. Matthew Stafford had a very productive day with 295 yards and three TDs. He also completed 68% of his passes.
The run game was efficient, with Sony Michel rushing for 121 yards at five yards per carry. Cooper Kupp had yet another 100-yard day, bringing him up to 1,366 yards this season.
The defense had another successful day at the office with two sacks and four passes defended. The D held the Jags to just 206 yards and seven points. The Rams conceded just 2.4 yards per carry.
Cardinals: Arizona beat the Bears at Soldier Field. Kyler Murray returned and only threw 15 passes. He completed 11 passes for 123 yards and two TDs.
The run game was efficient, so Murray didn’t need to make many throws. Kyler rushed for 59 yards to add to James Conner’s 75 yards. Conner also added 36 receiving yards from just two receptions.
The defense picked off Andy Dalton four times, giving the offense plenty of short field drives. The D also managed three sacks and held Dalton to just 229 yards.
The Cardinals are the first seed in the NFC, but have the Bucs and the Packers hunting them down. The Rams will want to win this game too close to just one win behind the Cardinals in the NFC West.
These teams met in Week 4 and the Cardinals won 37-20. Stafford hasn’t been playing at his best recently and the result against the Jags cannot hide this fact. So, I think the Cardinals will win this game, especially with the explosive Murray back playing in Arizona.
I am betting the Cardinals to win and cover the two-point spread.