Odds For NFL Week 14

Will Armitage

Updated: Dec 5, 2022

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Sportsbooks have posted Week 14 lines to view and bet on, and there are already plenty of road favorites I like for Week 14.

That’s never a good sign. We’ll have to avoid the trap lines and navigate our way through a trickier slate.

That being said: Which teams win their Week 14 matchups? Which teams will cover the spread?

With NFL betting odds for Week 14 finding their range, let’s preview all 14 games.

And check out our odds widget to get the best possible price for every team.

Thursday Night Football

Las Vegas Raiders (-5.5, -210 ML) Vs. Los Angeles Rams (+5.5, +167 ML)

The spread has moved a full 10 points since it first appeared in the summer.

Back then, who would ever have thought that the Super Bowl champs would be wallowing with a .250 record?!

This is not a tricky schedule spot for either team, although the Rams are looking forward to a Monday Night game in Lambeau next week.

The extra time to prepare for next week may mean Sean McVay will be a little more locked in than usual.

There are holes in both rosters, but I’ll side with the Rams in this one. They might not beat the Silver and Black, but I think they’ll keep it close.

My pick: Los Angeles Rams +5.5 (-105) | Playable at number

Game Kickoff – 1 p.m. EST

Houston Texans (+17, +980 ML) Vs. Dallas Cowboys (-14.5, -900 ML)

Mike McCarthy is 93-65-4 ATS is a favorite in his career.

That includes 37-28-2 ATS when laying over a touchdown and 55-39-4 ATS when laying points at home.

Kyle Allen stepped up under center these past two weeks and has not fared very well.

This is a no-brainer. The Cowboys roll over their fellow Texans by double digits.

This is a classic case of making sure that you shop around for the best odds! Vegas cannot quite work out how terrible the Texans will be.

Some sportsbooks are giving them 14.5 points, whilst PointsBet award them 17 points headstart.

And if you’re tempted to back the Cowboys on the moneyline, make sure you avoid FanDuel at -1800, when Caesars have Dallas at -900!

Check those odds before you bet!

The Cowboys were berserk on Sunday in the fourth quarter scoring more points than the Texans and Broncos average per game!

They destroyed the 10-2 Vikings last month. I can foresee the Texans needing at least 30 points to cover the spread on Sunday!!

My pick: Dallas Cowboys -14.5 (-110) | Playable to -17 (-110)

Minnesota Vikings (PK, -108 ML) Vs. Detroit Lions (+1, +104 ML)

The Lions are America’s team. Hard Knocks was great.

Dan Campbell is a great coach who is building something special in Detroit. And this is right around when the Lions got hot last season.

This is still a stripped-down Lions’ roster with a weak secondary that will get ripped apart by a re-charged Kirk Cousins-Justin Jefferson connection.

This line is far too short for a game between these two division rivals.

Plus, the Vikings are going to be motivated not to sleepwalk through this game after their embarrassing loss to the winless Lions last season.

The Lions’ offense has made strides, but I don’t think they win in a shootout with Kevin O’Connell’s offense.

I’ll take the Vikings easily and also lean the over.

My pick: Minnesota Vikings PK (-110) | Lean Over at 52

Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5, -275 ML) Vs. New York Giants (+6.5, +240)

I love what the Giants did in the draft.

Grabbing Evan Neal and Kayvon Thibodeaux boosts both the floor and the ceiling of the Giants a considerable amount.

But if we’re getting into a gritty, in-the-trenches NFC East battle, the Eagles will always come out victorious.

This is the best offensive line in the NFL, leading one of the NFL’s most efficient rushing offenses.

No wonder they have lost just one game all season!

Add that to a defensive line anchored by Brandon Graham and Fletcher Cox, and this team is fully prepared to out-duel the Giants.

Plus, it’s always worth fading Daniel Jones in the Meadowlands.

Danny Dimes is just 7-12 ATS at home as starting quarterback for the Giants, including 6-9 ATS as a home dog.

I’ll be on the Eagles.

My pick: Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 (-107) | Playable at number

Baltimore Ravens (+1, +100 ML) Vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (-1, -110)

I almost always back the Steelers as a home underdog or when they are a 2-point favorite or less.

Mike Tomlin is such a good coach in those situations, and he is one of the better “Rah-Rah” coaches in the league.

But this is ridiculous. The Ravens are stacked and, while I love coach Tomlin, I give the coaching advantage to John Harbaugh.

How are you supposed to trust Mitch Trubisky against Lamar Jackson and a coached-up, talented defense?

I have to take the Ravens here.

Quite how the sportsbooks have the Steelers as favorites now, I simply don’t get it.

I also lean under, considering I think the Steelers are stuffed on offense and have a talented enough front seven to cause Jackson problems.

My pick: Baltimore Ravens +1 (-107) | Lean Under at 38

New York Jets (+9.5, +375 ML) Vs. Buffalo Bills (-9.5, -410 ML)

Sean McDermott is 6-4 ATS vs the Jets in his Buffalo coaching career, and he covered both games in 2021.

He’s 3-1 ATS at home in that timeframe, but only failed to cover when the spread was under 7.

I’ll play those trends and play the Bills here.

Buffalo is also coming off a long week after playing the Patriots last Thursday while the Jets are on the back end of a two-game road trip.

Lay the points, but stay away if this number gets steamed up above 10.

Interestingly, the spread has hardly shifted since it first came out before the season began.

It remains just shy of double digits in favor of Buffalo.

My pick: Buffalo Bills -9.5 (-106) | Playable at number

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5, +167 ML) Vs. Tennessee Titans (-3.5, -180 ML)

Coach Mike Vrabel is just 15-20-1 ATS as a favorite in his career.

His Titans seem prone to letdown games against lesser competitors, and this looks like a great sleeper spot.

This game is sandwiched in-between road contests with the Eagles and Chargers.

On the opposite side, you get a late-season Jaguars team with loads of talent and a rookie head coach who is finally getting his team to gel.

If Trevor Lawrence can make some plays, I expect this game to remain close even if it’s a wire-to-wire victory for Tennessee.

Plus, the back door is wide open in this matchup. I’ll take the points.

The good news for Jags’ fans is that Tennessee is an AFC team.

Jacksonville has a remarkable 20-game losing streak against NFC teams!

My pick: Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 (-106) | Playable at number

Cleveland Browns (+$.5, +188 ML) vs Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5, -200 ML)

When the Browns and Bengals met up in Week 8, I wrote about how these two teams match up intriguingly. That day Joe Burrow had a bad day at the office.

The Browns have a pass rush and secondary that matches up well with the Bengals.

But Joe Burrow isn’t intimidated by any pass rush and should produce more explosive plays than the Browns secondary can handle.

However, the Browns are going to get a big push on the offensive side of the ball. The run game should carve it up.

In Week 8, I wrote about how the quarterback battle would be the difference.

But With Watson under center now, the prior advantage Cincinnati has is gone.

But in Week 8, I wrote that with Deshaun in, this game is a pass.

I stand by that point here.

My pick: Pass

Game Kickoff – 4 p.m. EST

Miami Dolphins (-2, -121 ML) Vs. Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5, +114 ML)

The Chargers are a great team with a loaded roster.

Brandon Staley is a good head coach. Plus, they’re playing a Dolphins team that’s in the middle of a three-game road trip.

The Dolphins have a solid defense with some serious weapons on the outside, and Mike McDaniel can scheme a run game as well as anyone.

It feels like this is just a mispriced line, as I would make this closer to a pick’em. Giving Los Angeles close to a field goal feels too generous.

My pick: Los Angeles Chargers +2.5 (-114) | Playable at number

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3, +140 ML) Vs. San Francisco 49ers (-3, -150 ML)

Tom Brady against a rookie quarterback who was born in the final week of 1999? This seems like an easy win for the Buccaneers.

But let’s slow down a second. The Bucs are off a short week after playing on Monday Night in Week 13.

The Bucs’ offensive line is hurt, specifically the interior offensive line, and the Niners have one of the best defensive lines in football.

Brady might struggle here, especially if he doesn’t have time to step up in the pocket and throw downfield.

The question is if Kyle Shanahan can scheme his way through a decent Buccaneers defense. And beat Brady.

I have no idea what will happen here, so I’ll pass on a side.

I do lean under, however, as I think the Bucs’ offense won’t be as prolific as usual.

My pick: Pass | Lean Under at 40.

Carolina Panthers (+6, +220 ML) Vs. Seattle Seahawks (-5, -225 ML)

What a terrible late afternoon game.

RedZone might not show this game once, save the touchdowns (if there are any).

I do lean Carolina here, however. The Panthers are coming off their Bye week and have two quarterbacks that can out-duel Geno Smith.

The Seahawks have certainly outperformed this season. They still have it in themselves to throw in a disappointing game against a weaker opponent.

I think this is just such a game.

The Panthers get a win here. Watch out for FanDuel with the worst odds on a Carolina victory at just +188. Other books are at least +200, with Bet365 having the best odds.

My pick: Carolina Panthers ML +215 with Bet365

Sunday Night Football

Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5, -375 ML) Vs. Denver Broncos (+9.5, +340 ML)

I still don’t believe in the Broncos, but this is a brutal spot for the Chiefs.

This is the middle of a three-game road trip for Kansas City, sandwiched by games at Cincinnati (Week 13) and Houston (Week 15).

For that reason alone, I will be betting on the Broncos.

In a huge divisional game, I’d rather side with the home team, especially at Mile High against an already exhausted Kansas City team.

With Russell being so disappointing this season, it’s no surprise that the spread has moved from a pick’em to nearly double digits.

I think the Broncos surprise everyone and keep it within a touchdown.

My pick: Denver Broncos +9.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Monday Night Football

New England Patriots (-1.5, -118 ML) Vs. Arizona Cardinals (+1.5, +110 ML)

What a wild stretch of the schedule for the Patriots.

They just played back-to-back Thursday Night games and are looking ahead to a Sunday Night matchup in Week 15.

That’s four primetime games in a row for the young Mac Jones if you weren’t counting.

What does this all mean?

Well, the Patriots will be very well-rested for this matchup. But the Cardinals are coming off a Bye week, so that’s largely a wash.

However, this is the absolute perfect fade spot for Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray. The rules for betting on this version of the Cardinals are simple:

  1. Bet Arizona in the first half of the season
  2. Fade Arizona in the second half of the season

I’ll be on the Patriots any day of the week, let alone Monday night.

My pick: New England Patriots -1.5 (-105) | Playable at number

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About the author

Will has been an avid sports fan since the early 1980s. His first sporting love was a mediocre English soccer team that dwelled in the lower league...

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