If you’re looking for sure picks, below are my best parlay bets for NFL Week 14.
I have evaluated all the Week 14 games and come up with my locks for a five-bet parlay. If you hit this five-bet $100 parlay, the payout would be just over $1,500 at BetRivers sportsbook.
Moneyline: Titans (-425)
Tennessee plays the Jags at Nissan Stadium on Sunday. The Titans beat the Jags 39-19 earlier in the season. This game will have a similar scoreline with the Titans playing at home.
The Titans are scoring 25.3 points per game and conceding 24.2. The Titans rushed for 270 yards at 7 yards per carry even without Derrick Henry. Those stats were against New England, who have one of the league’s best-run defenses.
The Jaguars are only scoring 15 points per game compared to conceding 26.7 points. The Jags are only averaging 312 yards per game compared to the Titans, averaging 353 yards.
The Titans are heavy favorites for this game and I can’t see Jacksonville producing an upset.
Spread: Chargers to cover (-9.5) (-114)
The LA Chargers are hosting the Giants at SoFi Stadium on Sunday. The Chargers have won two of their last three games. They have collectively beaten their opponents by 22 points in those two wins.
LA also has a fully fit stable of receivers and backs. In contrast, the Giants will likely start third-string QB Jake Fromm, who has never played a regular-season game in the NFL.
The Giants have been conceding 23 points per game and scoring just 19 points per game this season. However, the Giants have been averaging 10.7 points per game in the last three weeks.
Compared to the Chargers, who put up 31.6 points per game in their previous three matches.
With Fromm likely to start, there’s no way the Giants are covering the spread.
Over/Under: (Over 42.5 points) (-110)
These teams played each other in Week 12, and it was a low-scoring game. However, the Browns are coming off their bye week, so Baker Mayfield and the Browns’ running backs should be healthy for this match.
Baltimore put up 19 points against an excellent Steelers defense last week. The Ravens are now averaging 23.5 points per game and are conceding 22 points per game.
The Browns are averaging 21.2 points per game and are conceding 22.3 points per game. The Browns will be looking for revenge after their Week 12 loss to the Ravens.
These stats suggest that this game will be very tight, but they should hit over 42.5 points.
Over/Under Passing Yards: Josh Allen (under 287.5) (-110)
Josh Allen has had a solid season to date. Allen is averaging 303 yards per game with a 65% completion rate. However, he has been averaging 204.6 yards per game in the last three games.
Tampa Bay allows opposing QBs to throw for just 248.4 yards per game. Allen is projected to throw for 255.92 yards this game.
These teams will be pass dependent as both teams allow less than 100 yards rushing per game. Allen will therefore have more pressure when he throws the ball against Tampa’s excellent defense.
The Bills aren’t lighting up the NFL at the moment, and I feel like they will collapse offensively in this game.
Over/Under Receiving Yards: Terry McLaurin (over 63.5) (-110)
Terry McLaurin managed just 22 yards against the Raiders last week. However, McLaurin has been excellent this season and is averaging 67.3 yards per game. McLaurin is averaging just five receptions per game but 13.2 yards per catch.
McLaurin will be receiving from Heinicke, who is averaging a healthy 258 yards per game. Heinicke averages 10.5 yards per completion and has improved his completion percentage over the last three games.
The Cowboys allow 261 passing yards per game compared to 111 rushing yards per game. I expect Washington to run the ball a lot and Heinicke to take deep shots to McLaurin.
I think he will have a big game and explode for a lot more than 63.5 yards after a few quiet weeks.
If my $100 parlay hits, then I shall land $1,513.46, with BetRivers having the Best Odds for this particular bet.
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