NFL Week 14 Parlay

Thomas Snodgrass

Updated: Dec 5, 2023

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Another round of players went down with injuries in Week 13, including quarterbacks Trevor Lawrence of the Jacksonville Jaguars and Kenny Pickett of the Pittsburgh Steelers.

So many quarterbacks have been injured this season, and as a result we could see C.J. Beathard under center for the Jaguars, Jameis Winston for the New Orleans Saints, Trevor Siemian for the New York Jets, and Mitchell Trubisky for the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Since the football goes into the hands of the QB on 99 percent of offensive plays, coaches would hope it goes into the hands of a man they can trust.

Bettors must trust the starting quarterback, too.

This Week 14 parlay will follow the same formula as the parlays that came before; one underdog moneyline, two spreads, one over, and one under.

This parlay will be constructed on FanDuel.

Moneyline – Chicago Bears (+142) vs. Detroit Lions

The last time these two NFC North rivals went head-to-head, the Lions came out victorious in Week 11, 31-26.

In that high-scoring contest, the Bears held a 26-14 lead in the fourth quarter with only 4:20 left on the clock.

Then all hell broke loose.

Lions QB Jared Goff threw a 32-yard touchdown to Jameson Williams with 2:59 remaining to cut the deficit to five.

26-21, Bears.

Chicago’s following possession lasted only 26 seconds on the clock before they punted the ball away.

Goff then led Detroit’s offense down the field and running back David Montgomery scored a one-yard touchdown with 0:29 left on the clock.

Now 27-26, Lions.

Then, Goff threw a two-point conversion to tight end Sam LaPorta.

29-26, Lions.

Chicago needed to get into field goal range to tie the game.

On the very first play of their final possession, the Bears allowed quarterback Justin Fields to be sacked by Detroit’s Aidan Hutchinson, resulting in a fumble where the ball went out of bounds in the endzone, which is a safety.

Two more points for good measure. 31-26, Lions.

I don’t think any team has ever followed a two-point conversion with a safety on the very next offensive play. That’s got to be some kind of record.

Chicago will be looking for revenge for that collapsing defeat at Soldier Field.

Barring any once-in-a-century wildness, the Bears can steal this game from their NFC North rivals.

Pick: Bears Moneyline (+142)

Spread – Houston Texans (-5.5 | -112) vs. New York Jets

This graph from BestOdds EDGE shows the Houston Texans and New York Jets’ weekly scoring outputs.

The green line, representing the Jets, shows an already sporadic offense continuously getting worse as the season progresses.

BestOdds EDGE also shows how the Texans’ scoring has been way more consistent.

This week, New York could be turning to another quarterback in Trevor Siemian.

This chart from EDGE tells me that the Jets have failed to score more than 13 points in the last six games.

I don’t think Siemian is going to move the needle.

I have a hard time seeing the Jets score any points at all.

With C.J. Stroud on the opposing sideline, this game will be done and dusted by halftime.

Pick: Texans (-5.5)

Spread – San Francisco 49ers (-10.5 | -110) vs. Seattle Seahawks

I believe the Seattle Seahawks are a much better team than their 6-6 record indicates.

Three of Seattle’s losses have been excruciating one-possession losses, including a 17-13 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 6, and a 17-16 loss to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 11.

I also believe that the San Francisco 49ers are the best team in the NFL.

San Francisco lost three straight games in late October, but with the way the 49ers have played lately, that losing streak was quickly forgotten.

Seattle has a decent offense, but BestOdds EDGE shows that the Seahawks offense doesn’t stack up well with the explosive 49ers.

Also, Seattle’s defense has been torched lately, allowing 72 points in the last two games combined; one of those games being a 31-13 defeat to these very 49ers.

If San Francisco can beat the Seahawks by 18 in Seattle, then I have confidence that the 49ers can do it again at home.

Pick: 49ers (-10.5)

Over – Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys (o52.5 | -110)

The total in this matchup is 52.5, the highest of the Week 14 slate.

I’m still taking the over here.

These two NFC East rivals last played in Week 9, with the Philadelphia Eagles picking up a 28-23 win.

The Dallas Cowboys have scored an average of 32.3 points per game this season, the best mark in the NFL, and over their last six games after their Week 7 bye, the Cowboys are averaging a ridiculous 39 points per game.

The Eagles are averaging 27.4 points per game, and in their last six games, Philly is averaging 29 points per game.

The average total in Dallas home games this season is 56.8 points.

I expect the Eagles to get back on track against a beatable Cowboys defense.

Dallas will need to keep chucking the pigskin to stay afloat, and against Philadelphia’s near league-worst defensive secondary, the ‘Boys should do just that.

I’ll say the final score will be 41-37, Eagles.

Pick: Over 52.5

Under – New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (u30.5 | -118)

This Thursday Night matchup may be difficult to watch for those that are sensitive to anemic offenses.

The Steelers offense has been under a lot of scrutiny lately.

Even after firing offensive coordinator Matt Canada, and then tallying over 400 yards of total offense for the first time in 58 games, in a game where Pittsburgh still only scored 16 points, the Steelers’ offense is still under construction.

Now, Mitchell Trubisky will be the starting quarterback with Kenny Pickett out due to ankle surgery.

Pittsburgh is averaging just 16 points per game this season, and starting a new quarterback in Week 14 won’t provide much confidence in this offense turning a corner.

Things are looking bleak for the New England Patriots offense, too.

Bailey Zappe has taken over for Mac Jones at quarterback and starting running back Rhamondre Stevenson is expected to miss multiple weeks, so the questions keep adding up.

New England is averaging only 12.3 points per game this season, dead last in the NFL, and in the last three games, the Patriots are averaging only 4.3 points per game.

4.3 points per game over a three-game stretch is insanely low.

I’ll say the final score will be 10-6, Steelers.

Pick: Under 30.5

Week 14 Parlay Legs – FanDuelOdds
Chicago ML vs. DET+142
Houston (-5.5) vs. NYJ-112
San Francisco (-10.5) vs. SEA-110
OVER 52.5 (PHI vs. DAL)-110
UNDER 30.5 (NE vs. PIT)-118
Week 14 Parlay Odds+2984

A $10 wager on this Week 14 parlay would payout $298.43!

How To Bet NFL Parlays

A parlay bet is a sports wager that combines several bets on one ticket alone.

Usually, you would go with moneyline bets but can use spreads, totals, and futures.

You can include props in many cases, and bettors can choose to link together just two sides, or up to 15 or more depending on the sportsbook.

Parlays are wholly customizable meaning bettors get to choose how big they want the odds to go.

How many sides will be included, and how difficult is it to make each leg of the parlay or do the same game parlays.

The way to establish consistency is to have just two or three sides and avoid chasing astronomical odds.

It’s fine to take your shot at a massive payout as well, but be sure to only risk the money you’re prepared to lose.

If you fancy regular bets, we got the NFL Week 14 Odds analysis worth checking out.

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About the author

A fan of both the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers, which is rare! Thomas provides sports betting content with the intent to educate and en...

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