Odds For NFL Week 13

Will Armitage

Updated: Nov 28, 2022

Following an action-packed Thanksgiving week in the NFL, we’ve approached the best week of the NFL season.

The Bills travel to Foxboro on Thursday Night.

We also get a 2021 AFC Championship rematch, a battle of former coaching confidants, an AFC West divisional matchup, and a Saints-Buccaneers nightcap on Monday Night Football.

Which teams will cover their Week 13 matchups? Which teams will win outright?

With NFL odds for Week 13 finding their range, let’s preview all 14 games.

And make sure to check out our NFL odds widget so you don’t miss out on the best odds for your team.

Thursday Night Football

Buffalo Bills (-5.5, -225 ML) Vs. New England Patriots (+5.5, +198 ML)

This is a massive spot for the Patriots. Bill Belichick needs to show he can out-maneuver Sean McDermott.

The Patriots need to show they have the speed and technical ability to keep up with Buffalo. And Mac Jones needs to show he can play a full NFL season without collapsing in the final four games.

Strangely enough, both these teams played on Thanksgiving last week, meaning this is the second-straight Thursday Night game for both squads.

That doesn’t happen often, and also negates the usual advantage the favorite has on a short week.

I need over a field goal to back the Patriots and something nearer a touchdown appeals more.

If money starts to come in on Buffalo, and I imagine it will since they’re a road favorite, I will be buying New England in a desperate spot.

Wait for the money to come in, and then buy Belichick as a home dog with a line over a field goal. That is the value play.

My Pick: New England Patriots +5 (-110) or better

Game Kickoff -1 p.m. EST

Pittsburgh Steelers (+1.5, -+106 ML) Vs. Atlanta Falcons (-1.5, -124 ML)

I simply cannot back Mike Tomlin and Mitch Trubisky in such a spot.

I don’t care how bad the Falcons are, playing the Steelers is a square play in the perfect letdown spot for a coach that covers only 45% of the time as a favorite or slight underdog.

The Falcons have some interesting pieces. Casey Hayward and AJ Terrell are solid secondary players. Grady Jarrett is talented.

Kyle Pitts and Drake London are one of the better young receiving cores in the NFL.

I have to play the Falcons here.

My Pick: Atlanta Falcons -1.5 (-110) | Playable at number

New York Jets (+3, +150 ML) Vs. Minnesota Vikings (-3, -160 ML)

I still think the Vikings are undervalued and will blow past the Jets here. If you disagree, then make sure to take the +150 on offer at Bet365.

Most sports books are somewhere between +125 and +140

This is a really good offense. Kirk Cousins has always filled up the stat box, has a solid offensive line to protect him, and Justin Jefferson to throw to on the outside.

I think Kevin O’Connell is a great coach.

The Jets are making major strides in becoming a relevant NFL franchise, but this is still a relatively weak roster. Especially in the secondary.

Although I have uber-high hopes for Sauce Gardner, it’s tough to rely on a rookie CB to keep up with Minnesota’s receiving core.

It also helps that this should be a high-scoring game, given that the game script generally favors the favorite. I’ll be on the Vikings.

My Pick: Minnesota Vikings -3 (-110) | Playable at number

Denver Broncos (+8, +340 ML) Vs. Baltimore Ravens (-8, -350 ML)

The Broncos are on the back-end of a two-week road trip.

The Ravens somehow just contrived to lose against the Jaguars and only have Pittsburgh and Cleveland to look ahead to.

But past that, I think the Ravens are loaded this season.

Plus, I’d much rather trust John Harbaugh than rookie Nathaniel Hackett.

I’m going with the Ravens at home, even though the spread has moved by a touchdown since the summer.

My Pick: Baltimore Ravens -8 (-110) | Playable at number

Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5, -104 ML) Vs. Detroit Lions (-0.5, -107 ML)

I believe in what Dan Campbell is building in Detroit, despite the number in their win column this season.

Plus, the Lions cruised down the stretch last season, finishing the season 3-5-1 after an 0-9 start.

I have yet to see enough from Doug Pederson in Jacksonville, even though they were heroic on Sunday.

And while the Lions’ biggest weakness is in the secondary, Trevor Lawrence and the Jags’ receiving core don’t inject much fear into me.

The Lions also added on the defensive line in the draft with Aidan Hutchison, who could mess with Lawrence’s ability to work.

I’m going to roll with the Lions at home, but would rather back them on the ML given this could be a tight matchup.

If you’re going to play the spreads, make sure you shop around. The sportsbooks have varied prices ranging from 0.5 to 1.5.

You don’t want to end up on the wrong side of a close result by not having taken the…best odds!

My Pick: Detroit Lions ML (-107) | Playable at number

Green Bay Packers (-2.5, -132 ML) Vs. Chicago Bears (+3, +120 ML)

Aaron Rodgers still owns Green Bay.

He’s 20-7 ATS vs the Bears since taking over quarterbacking duties for the Packers, and that includes a 10-3 mark in Soldier Field.

This has been a disaster of a season for the Bears, and that continues in this divisional matchup.

I have no faith in Justin Fields to “figure it out” and cover a relatively small spread.

However, it’s possible that neither will take to the field this Sunday, so who knows what might happen with the scoreboard.

This is one to pass on therefore.

My Pick: Pass

Washington Commanders (-1.5, -115 ML) Vs. New York Giants (+1.5, +118 ML)

The Giants win this game.

New York is coming off a long week after playing Dallas on Thursday Night last week in a classic encounter. This week, they will face a significant drop in talent.

It doesn’t seem like Washington has seen a significant boost in true talent with either Carson Wentz or Taylor Heinicke under center.

The Giants have enough in the trenches with Evan Neal and Dexter Lawrence to win that battle.

I never trust the Commanders, and I trust them less in a road divisional game.

My Pick: New York Giants ML (+118) | Playable at number

Tennessee Titans (+6.5, +235 ML) Vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-6, -240 ML)

I just don’t think the Titans have the defensive line to keep up with Philadelphia’s run game.

On Sunday, they racked up a truly staggering 363 rushing yards. Does Philly possess the greatest Offensive Line of the 2000s?

The Titans can be flashy, especially with Ryan Tannehill running the offense, but they have plenty of holes in the roster.

Do I trust Jalen Hurts? Well, increasingly so.

However, I don’t trust coach Mike Vrabel.

The Eagles play stay-away from the Titans on the ground and sneak out yet another home win and cover.

My Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -6 (-107) | Playable at number

Cleveland Browns (-7, -300 ML) vs Houston Texans (+7, +265 ML)

So, Deshaun Watson returns with controversy swirling around his head. The last time he played a professional football game was exactly 700 days ago.

What can we expect?

I have no idea, but I don’t think it’ll be good. He looked poor in his pre-season debut and should be making an emotional return to Houston – whether those are good emotions are poor ones.

There’s no question Watson has a stacked team around him.

He has a running game, a defense, and the proper weapons to turn Cleveland into a Super Bowl contender.

In the meanwhile, the Texans have a garbage roster that is outsized and devoid of talent.

But considering the storylines that will surround this game, I have no idea what to expect. I’d rather just pass on this one.

My pick: Pass

Game Kickoff -4 p.m. EST

Seattle Seahawks (-4.5, -205 ML) Vs. Los Angeles Rams (+5, +180 ML)

I want nothing to do with this game.

However, the spread is too high. The Rams are coming off a tough matchup against the Chiefs and are looking forward to the Raiders, so it’s a bit of a sandwich spot.

I can see the Rams sleepwalking through this one late in the season. Mind you, they have done nothing but sleepwalk all season.

What a tumble from grace for such an injury-ravaged franchise! Super Bowl glory to propping up the NFC West.

In the meanwhile, Pete Carroll and co. can still run the ball. They’ll play keep away and the back door is wide open.

I’ll take Seattle with the rejuvenated Geno leading them to yet another victory.

Before the season started, the moneyline odds for the Rams was -500. Now they are the +180 ‘dogs.

The spread has shifted by two full touchdowns! Remarkable.

My Pick: Seattle Seahawks -4.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Miami Dolphins (+3.5, +167 ML) Vs. San Francisco 49ers (-3.5, -180 ML)

I’ve been looking forward to this battle all season.

Two of the greatest offensive minds in the game are battling, both from the Mike Shanahan tree, and the two have been coaching together their entire careers.

Head coaches generally destroy their former assistants – think Nick Saban at Alabama.

But there are some exceptions to the rule, and I wouldn’t rule Mike McDaniel out.

But I think this Miami roster is fundamentally flawed.

Their defense is overvalued. I still think Tua Tagovailoa isn’t much of an upgrade from Trey Lance, despite his recent heroics.

And in his first game against his favorite assistant, I think Kyle Shanahan sneaks out a victory.

I’ll lay the points with the Niners at home.

My Pick: San Francisco 49ers -3.5 (-105) | Playable at number

Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5, -140 ML) Vs. Cincinnati Bengals +3, -135 ML)

This is crazy.

The Bengals pulled off one of the greatest comebacks in NFL history in the 2021 AFC Championship, but they should be catching more than a field goal against Patrick Mahomes, even if they are at home.

Plus, this is a huge revenge spot for KC.

They’ve lost two straight to the Bengals. It’s time for some regression to the mean in the Mahomes-Joe Burrow matchup.

I’ll take the Chiefs.

My Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Los Angeles Chargers (-2.5, -130 ML) Vs. Las Vegas Raiders (+2.5, +120 ML)

The Chargers are very good. They have a loaded roster on both sides of the ball and Justin Herbert is a star quarterback.

The Raiders have holes. Specifically, on the offensive line and defense.

Plus, how good is Derek Carr? Will he ever take that next step? With 578 total yards on offense last week, maybe the time is imminent?

Although it’s in Las Vegas, I like the Chargers to pull off this divisional matchup. It will be a huge step for Brandon Staley in having one foot in the playoffs.

My Pick: Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 (-105) | playable at number

Sunday Night Football

Indianapolis Colts (+9.5, +335 ML) Vs. Dallas Cowboys (-9.5, -375 ML)

When capping NFL games, I like to look towards the trenches.

Good football teams are built from the inside out. I also take into account the better overall defense and the better run game.

The Colts check every box. The Cowboys are going to be flashy, but there are serious issues with this roster and they took a huge step back in the offseason.

Plus, I think Matt Ryan might be a better quarterback than Dak Prescott, although it is close.

The Colts are looking forward to their Bye in Week 14, which can be interpreted as either a) the team is tired or b) they’re focusing on this game and nothing else.

I’m going to side with the latter and bet the Colts here.

The line has moved by a touchdown to the cusp of double digits over the course of a season. That’s too far.

My Pick: Indianapolis Colts +9.5 (-110) | Playable at number

Monday Night Football

New Orleans Saints (+6, +220 ML) Vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6, -240 ML)

The Saints have the Buccaneers’ number. I don’t care that there’s been a coaching change.

Tom Brady cannot figure out the Saints’ defense and the Buccaneers cannot figure out how to handle the Saints.

The Saints swept the Bucs last year and are 3-1 against Brady in the division. They’re catching almost a touchdown now? With Andy Dalton and a relatively healthy roster?

It could be a square trap line, but I’ll be on the Saints with the points. New Orleans was on the receiving end of their first shutout since 2001 on Sunday.

I expect them to come out firing on all cylinders against the GOAT and put one over him.

My Pick: New Orleans Saints +6.5 (-110) | Playable at number

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About the author

Will has been an avid sports fan since the early 1980s. His first sporting love was a mediocre English soccer team that dwelled in the lower league...

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